2016 United States presidential election in California
2016 United States presidential election in California Turnout 75.27% (of registered voters) 2.91 pp 58.74% (of eligible voters) 3.27 pp [ 1]
County results
Congressional district results
Census block group results
Clinton
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Treemap of the popular vote by county
The 2016 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party 's nominee, businessman Donald Trump , and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton , and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine . California had 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state.[ 2]
Clinton won the state with 61.73 percent of the vote, a 30.11 percent margin, and a vote difference of 4,269,978. Despite being the largest state by population in the country, California only delivered Trump his third largest vote count, behind Florida and Texas . Even though Clinton lost the presidency, her victory margin in California was the largest of any Democrat since 1936 . This was only the fourth time in U.S. history that a Republican was elected president without carrying California. She also was the first Democrat to win Orange County since that same year, making Trump the first ever Republican to win the presidency without winning the county. Trump's 31.62% vote share remains the worst performance by a Republican presidential nominee since 1856 . The state was one of 11 (along with the District of Columbia) that shifted towards the Democrats.
Primary elections
On June 7, 2016, in the presidential primaries , California voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic , Republican , Green , and Libertarian , Peace and Freedom , and American Independent parties' respective nominees for president.
Sanders at a rally at UC, Davis While California has had a top-two candidates open primary system since 2011,[ 3] presidential primaries are still partisan races. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's presidential primary. Unaffiliated voters may choose any one primary in which to vote, if the party allows such voters to participate.[ 3] For 2016, the American Independent , Democratic, and Libertarian parties have chosen to allow voters registered with no party preference to request their respective party's presidential ballots.[ 4]
Democratic primary
Democratic primary results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Seven candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[ 5]
Opinion polling
Results
e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in California – Summary of results –
Candidate
Popular vote
Estimated delegates
Count
Percentage
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Hillary Clinton
2,745,302
53.07%
254
66
320
Bernie Sanders
2,381,722
46.04%
221
0
221
Willie Wilson
12,014
0.23%
Michael Steinberg
10,880
0.21%
Rocky De La Fuente
8,453
0.16%
Henry Hewes
7,743
0.15%
Keith Judd
7,201
0.14%
Write-in
23
0.00%
Uncommitted
—
10
10
Total
5,173,338
100%
475
76
551
Source: [ 6] [ 7]
Republican primary
Republican primary results by county. 50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Five candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot, four of whom had suspended their campaigns prior to the primary:[ 5]
Donald Trump , the only candidate with an active campaign, won each Congressional district by substantial margins, as well as all the statewide delegates, to capture all 172 votes.
California Republican primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
1,665,135
74.76%
172
0
172
John Kasich (withdrawn)
252,544
11.34%
0
0
0
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
211,576
9.50%
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
82,259
3.69%
0
0
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
15,691
0.70%
0
0
0
Write-ins
101
0.00%
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
2,227,306
100.00%
172
0
172
Source: The Green Papers
Libertarian primary
Libertarian primary results by county. Gary Johnson
Tie
Twelve candidates appeared on the Libertarian presidential primary ballot:
The primary took place after Gary Johnson won the Libertarian nomination at the Party's 2016 convention .
California Libertarian presidential primary, June 7, 2016[ 8]
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Gary Johnson
19,294
62%
John McAfee
3,139
10%
Austin Petersen
1,853
6%
Rhett Smith
1,531
5%
Joy Waymire
923
3%
John David Hale
873
3%
Marc Allan Feldman
867
3%
Jack Robinson Jr.
739
2%
Steve Kerbel
556
2%
Darryl Perry
521
2%
Derrick Michael Reid
462
1%
Cecil Ince
417
1%
Total
31,175
100%
Green primary
Green Party of California presidential primary, June 7, 2016[ 9]
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
11,207
76.2%
40
Darryl Cherney
1,475
10%
5
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry
839
5.7%
3
William Kreml
595
4.2%
2
Kent Mesplay
584
4.0%
2
Total
14,700
100%
50
Other parties
American Independent
AIP primary Alan Spears
Arthur Harris
J. R. Myers
California American Independent presidential primary, June 7, 2016[ 10]
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Alan Spears
7,348
19%
Arthur Harris
6,510
17%
Robert Ornelas
6,411
17%
J. R. Myers
4,898
13%
Wiley Drake
4,828
13%
James Hedges
3,989
11%
Thomas Hoefling
3,917
10%
Total
37,901
100%
The American Independent Party , a far-right and paleoconservative political party that formed when endorsing the candidacy of George Wallace in 1968 held a small presidential primary on June 7. It was won by attorney Alan Spears.
The American Independent Party nullified the results of this primary when they endorsed Donald Trump in August.[ 11] The party indicated that Trump was a popular write-in choice during the primary, but was not allowed on the ballot because there was no evidence that Trump wanted the American Independent endorsement.[ 12]
Peace and Freedom
General election
Banner displaying "Vote To Make America Great Again" on a roadside in California shortly after the November 2016 election
Polling
Democrat Hillary Clinton won every pre-election poll by double digits. The average of the last three pre-election polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 54.3% to 32%.[ 14]
Predictions
Results
2016 U.S. presidential election in California[ 23]
Party
Presidential candidate
Popular vote
Electoral vote
Count
Percentage
Democratic Hillary Clinton 8,753,788 61.73 % 55
Republican /American Independent Donald Trump 4,483,810 31.62% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 478,500 3.37% 0
Green Jill Stein 278,657 1.97% 0
Independent Bernie Sanders (write-in) 79,341 0.60% 0
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 66,101 0.47% 0
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 39,596 0.28% 0
Solidarity Mike Maturen (write-in) 1,316 0.01% 0
Independent Laurence Kotlikoff (write-in) 402 0.00% 0
Independent Jerry White (write-in) 84 0.00% 0
Date
November 8, 2016
Total voters
Registered : 19,411,771 Eligible : 24,875,293
Turnout %
Registered : 75.27% VAP : 58.74%
Turnout votes
Valid votes : 14,181,585 Invalid votes : 428,924
Swing by Census Block Group >50%
40-50%
30-40%
20-30%
15-20%
10-15%
5-10%
1-5%
1-5%
5-10%
10-15%
15-20%
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
>50%
Below is an official list of California's Recognized Write-in Candidates.
California law only requires that 55 electors sign on to declare a person a write-in candidate, not that the persons consent, according to a statement from the Secretary of State's Office.[ 24]
By county
County
Hillary Clinton Democratic
Donald Trump Republican
Various candidates Other parties
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alameda
514,842
78.06%
95,922
14.54%
48,779
7.40%
418,920
63.52%
659,543
Alpine
334
55.48%
217
36.05%
51
8.47%
117
19.43%
602
Amador
6,004
33.42%
10,485
58.37%
1,474
8.21%
-4,481
-24.95%
17,963
Butte
41,567
42.85%
45,144
46.54%
10,291
10.61%
-3,577
-3.69%
97,002
Calaveras
7,944
33.76%
13,511
57.42%
2,076
8.82%
-5,567
-23.66%
23,531
Colusa
2,661
39.73%
3,551
53.02%
485
7.25%
-890
-13.29%
6,697
Contra Costa
319,287
67.50%
115,956
24.51%
37,771
7.99%
203,331
42.99%
473,014
Del Norte
3,485
36.46%
5,134
53.71%
939
9.83%
-1,649
-17.25%
9,558
El Dorado
36,404
38.26%
49,247
51.76%
9,498
9.98%
-12,843
-13.50%
95,149
Fresno
141,341
49.24%
124,049
43.21%
21,672
7.55%
17,292
6.03%
287,062
Glenn
3,065
32.37%
5,788
61.12%
617
6.51%
-2,723
-28.75%
9,470
Humboldt
33,200
55.32%
18,373
30.61%
8,441
14.07%
14,827
24.71%
60,014
Imperial
32,667
67.93%
12,704
26.42%
2,720
5.65%
19,963
41.51%
48,091
Inyo
3,155
38.57%
4,248
51.94%
776
9.49%
-1,093
-13.37%
8,179
Kern
98,689
40.42%
129,584
53.07%
15,890
6.51%
-30,895
-12.65%
244,163
Kings
13,617
39.69%
18,093
52.73%
2,600
7.58%
-4,476
-13.04%
34,310
Lake
11,500
46.59%
10,603
42.95%
2,581
10.46%
897
3.64%
24,684
Lassen
2,224
20.79%
7,574
70.79%
901
8.42%
-5,350
-50.00%
10,699
Los Angeles
2,464,364
71.76%
769,743
22.41%
200,201
5.83%
1,694,621
49.35%
3,434,308
Madera
17,029
39.14%
23,357
53.69%
3,121
7.17%
-6,328
-14.55%
43,507
Marin
108,707
77.27%
21,771
15.48%
10,205
7.25%
86,936
61.79%
140,683
Mariposa
3,122
35.17%
5,185
58.41%
570
6.42%
-2,063
-23.24%
8,877
Mendocino
22,079
58.23%
10,888
28.72%
4,948
13.05%
11,191
29.51%
37,915
Merced
37,317
52.47%
28,725
40.39%
5,085
7.14%
8,592
12.08%
71,127
Modoc
877
22.82%
2,696
70.15%
270
7.03%
-1,819
-47.33%
3,843
Mono
2,773
52.51%
2,111
39.97%
397
7.52%
662
12.54%
5,281
Monterey
89,088
66.78%
34,895
26.16%
9,425
7.06%
54,193
40.62%
133,408
Napa
39,199
63.87%
17,411
28.37%
4,762
7.76%
21,788
35.50%
61,372
Nevada
26,053
47.43%
23,365
42.53%
5,517
10.04%
2,688
4.90%
54,935
Orange
609,961
50.94%
507,148
42.35%
80,412
6.71%
102,813
8.59%
1,197,521
Placer
73,509
39.52%
95,138
51.14%
17,377
9.34%
-21,629
-11.62%
186,024
Plumas
3,459
35.12%
5,420
55.03%
971
9.85%
-1,961
-19.91%
9,850
Riverside
373,695
49.73%
333,243
44.35%
44,453
5.92%
40,452
5.38%
751,391
Sacramento
326,023
57.98%
189,789
33.75%
46,473
8.27%
136,234
24.23%
562,285
San Benito
12,521
56.60%
7,841
35.44%
1,760
7.96%
4,680
21.16%
22,122
San Bernardino
340,833
52.12%
271,240
41.48%
41,910
6.40%
69,593
10.64%
653,983
San Diego
735,476
56.07%
477,766
36.43%
98,376
7.50%
257,710
19.64%
1,311,618
San Francisco
345,084
84.47%
37,688
9.23%
25,769
6.30%
307,396
75.24%
408,541
San Joaquin
121,124
53.36%
88,936
39.18%
16,942
7.46%
32,188
14.18%
227,002
San Luis Obispo
67,107
48.91%
56,164
40.94%
13,931
10.15%
10,943
7.97%
137,202
San Mateo
237,882
75.67%
57,929
18.43%
18,573
5.90%
179,953
57.24%
314,384
Santa Barbara
107,142
59.90%
56,365
31.51%
15,371
8.59%
50,777
28.39%
178,878
Santa Clara
511,684
72.71%
144,826
20.58%
47,199
6.71%
366,858
52.13%
703,709
Santa Cruz
95,249
73.26%
22,438
17.26%
12,325
9.48%
72,811
56.00%
130,012
Shasta
22,301
27.52%
51,778
63.90%
6,945
8.58%
-29,477
-36.38%
81,024
Sierra
601
32.35%
1,048
56.40%
209
11.25%
-447
-24.05%
1,858
Siskiyou
7,234
35.30%
11,341
55.34%
1,918
9.36%
-4,107
-20.04%
20,493
Solano
102,360
60.87%
51,920
30.88%
13,870
8.25%
50,440
29.99%
168,150
Sonoma
160,435
68.77%
51,408
22.03%
21,460
9.20%
109,027
46.74%
233,303
Stanislaus
81,647
46.81%
78,494
45.01%
14,265
8.18%
3,153
1.80%
174,406
Sutter
13,076
38.66%
18,176
53.74%
2,572
7.60%
-5,100
-15.08%
33,824
Tehama
6,809
28.48%
15,494
64.81%
1,605
6.71%
-8,685
-36.33%
23,908
Trinity
2,214
38.28%
2,812
48.62%
758
13.10%
-598
-10.34%
5,784
Tulare
47,585
41.70%
58,299
51.09%
8,218
7.21%
-10,714
-9.39%
114,102
Tuolumne
9,123
35.23%
14,551
56.20%
2,219
8.57%
-5,428
-20.97%
25,893
Ventura
194,402
54.59%
132,323
37.16%
29,382
8.25%
62,079
17.43%
356,107
Yolo
54,752
66.70%
20,739
25.26%
6,599
8.04%
34,013
41.44%
82,090
Yuba
7,910
34.39%
13,170
57.27%
1,918
8.34%
-5,260
-22.88%
22,998
Total
8,753,792
61.46%
4,483,814
31.48%
1,005,843
7.06%
4,269,978
29.98%
14,243,449
Swing by county
Democratic — +12.5-15%
Democratic — +10-12.5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Democratic — +12.5-15%
Democratic — +10-12.5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Clinton won 46 of the 53 congressional districts, including 7 held by Republicans.[ 25]
By city
Official outcomes by city.[ 26]
Analysis
California has voted Democratic in every presidential election since Republican George H. W. Bush won the state in 1988 . Hillary Clinton easily continued the Democratic tradition in California, winning the state with 61.7% of the vote, Clinton's second highest vote percentage of any state, behind Hawaii . Donald Trump received 31.6% of the vote, making for a Democratic victory margin of 30.11 points.[ 27] California was one of eleven states where Hillary Clinton outperformed outgoing President Barack Obama in 2012 , and contributed to Clinton's national popular vote victory.[ 28]
The California state result was historically one of the most successful for the Democratic Party nominee by several measures, as Hillary Clinton carried California by the largest margin of any Democratic candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt swept the state by 35.25% in his 1936 re-election landslide.[ 29] Trump's 31.62% vote share in the state was the lowest for a major-party candidate in the state since John W. Davis 's 8.2% in 1924 . Trump became only the second nominee of either party to win the presidency without receiving at least a million votes in Los Angeles County , by far the nation's largest, since the county had first given any nominee over a million votes in 1952 (George W. Bush in 2000 having been the first).[ 30] [ 31]
California was the only large state (one with at least 15 electoral votes[ 32] ) in which Hillary Clinton lost no counties that had been carried by Barack Obama in 2012. Indeed, she herself flipped Orange County , the largest county to switch parties in either direction in 2016, into the Democratic column; no Democrat had carried Orange County since 1936 , when Franklin Roosevelt carried every county in the state.[ 33] This made Donald Trump the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Orange County since the county's founding in 1889; he also became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Ventura County since its founding in 1872, without carrying Riverside County since its founding in 1893, without carrying San Bernardino County since Ulysses Grant in 1868 , without carrying Nevada , San Diego , or San Joaquin Counties since William McKinley in 1896 , without carrying San Luis Obispo County since William McKinley in 1900 , and without carrying Fresno , Merced , or Stanislaus Counties since Richard Nixon in 1968 .
See also
References
^ "Historical Voter Registration and Participation in Statewide General Elections 1910-2018" (PDF) . California Secretary of State .
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes" . National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Archived from the original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020 .
^ a b "Frequently Asked Questions | California Secretary of State" . Sos.ca.gov . Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ "County Clerk/Registrar of Voters (CC/ROV) Memorandum #16036" (PDF) . Elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov . Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ a b "June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election | California Secretary of State" . Sos.ca.gov . June 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ California Secretary of State - Presidential Primary Election Statement of Votes
^ The Green Papers
^ "Presidential Primary Election - Statement of Vote, June 7, 2016" . Office of the Secretary of State of California . Government of California . Retrieved August 8, 2016 .
^ "President Green - Statewide Results | Primary Election | California Secretary of State" . vote.sos.ca.gov . Archived from the original on June 24, 2012. Retrieved June 19, 2016 .
^ "President American Independent - Statewide Results" . Office of the Secretary of State of California . Government of California . June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on June 8, 2012. Retrieved June 18, 2016 .
^ Myers, John (August 16, 2016). "Donald Trump will be the nominee of two parties on California's November ballot" . Los Angeles Times . Retrieved November 27, 2016 .
^ Winger, Richard (July 8, 2016). "Donald Trump Probably Won American Independent Party Presidential Primary" . Ballot Access News . Retrieved August 14, 2016 .
^ "President Peace and Freedom - Statewide Results" . Office of the Secretary of State of California . Government of California . June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on November 9, 2012. Retrieved June 18, 2016 .
^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - California: Trump vs. Clinton" . Archived from the original on May 27, 2016.
^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours" . Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map" . CNN . Retrieved March 3, 2019 .
^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard" . The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019 .
^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction" . Electoral-vote.com . November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019 .
^ "Presidential Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021 .
^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President" . University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved March 3, 2019 .
^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House" . RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge" . Fox News . November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ "The Statement of Vote - President by County" (PDF) . California Secretary of State .
^ "California, your official presidential write-in options include Bernie Sanders and Evan McMullin" . Los Angeles Times . October 28, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index" .
^ "Supplement to Statement of Vote" (PDF) . California Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020 .
^ "California Election Results 2016 – The New York Times" . Retrieved November 10, 2016 .
^ General Election - Statement of Vote, November 8, 2016 . Final results certified by Alex Padilla, California Secretary of State. December 16, 2016.
^ "West Coast Trump" . The New York Times . Retrieved November 13, 2016 .
^ "Presidential Election Results Los Angeles County" . Los Angeles Almanac. Archived from the original on January 16, 2017. Retrieved January 14, 2017 .
^ "The 25 largest counties in the United States in 2016, by population (in millions)" . Statista. Retrieved March 31, 2017 .
^ Cook, Rhodes. "OBAMA'S NEXT CHALLENGE: – Sabato's Crystal Ball" . Retrieved May 31, 2021 .
^ Krishnakumar, Priya; Schleuss, Jon; Fox, Joe (November 11, 2016), "For the first time since Franklin D. Roosevelt, a majority in Orange County voted for a Democrat" , Los Angeles Times
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