2022 California gubernatorial election
The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California , with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[ 1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021 , during his first term.
The elections featured universal mail-in ballots ; in-person voting was also available.[ 2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle , who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.[ 3]
Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the smallest since 2010 . Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake , Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange , San Bernardino , and San Joaquin . Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County , the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014.[ 4] Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47 ). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner[ 6]
Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 6]
Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidate[ a] [ 6]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman[ 6]
Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in) [ 8]
Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney[ 9]
Ron Jones, former police officer[ 6]
Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election [ 6]
David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 6]
Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020 [ 6]
Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive[ 6]
Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 6]
Lonnie Sortor, business owner[ 6]
Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 10]
Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 11]
Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[ 6]
Declined
Green Party
Eliminated in primary
American Independent Party
Eliminated in primary
No party preference
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Endorsements
James G. Hanink (NPP)
Political Parties
Individuals
Gavin Newsom (D)
Newspapers and other media
Organizations
Michael Shellenberger (NPP)
Organizations
Individuals
Primary election
The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state.[ 45]
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Berkeley IGS [ 46]
May 24–31, 2022
3,438 (LV)
± 2.2%
1%
0%
3%
10%
1%
0%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
0%
1%
50%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
3%
1%
2%
1%
0%
16%
SurveyUSA [ 47]
May 13–15, 2022
709 (LV)
± 4.5%
7%
2%
5%
7%
5%
0%
0%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
40%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
18%
Results
Results by county 20–30%
30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
General election
Predictions
Debates
Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.[ 57]
2022 California gubernatorial debate
No.
Date
Host
Moderators
Link
Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
Gavin Newsom
Brian Dahle
1
October 23, 2022
KQED
Scott Shafer Marisa Lagos
YouTube [ 58]
P
P
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Gavin Newsom (D)
Brian Dahle (R)
Other[ c]
Margin
Real Clear Politics [ 59]
September 22 – October 23, 2022
November 3, 2022
55.0%
34.3%
10.7%
Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEight [ 60]
September 2 – November 8, 2022
November 8, 2022
59.6%
38.7%
1.7%
Newsom +20.9
270ToWin [ 61]
October 27 – November 7, 2022
November 8, 2022
57.4%
37.0%
5.6%
Newsom +20.4
Average
57.3%
36.7%
6.0%
Newsom +20.6
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Gavin Newsom (D)
Brian Dahle (R)
Other
Undecided
Research Co. [ 62]
November 4–6, 2022
450 (LV)
± 4.6%
56%
37%
7%
USC [ 63]
October 30 – November 2, 2022
802 (RV)
± 3.5%
62%
38%
–
–
UC Berkeley [ 64]
October 25–31, 2022
5,972 (LV)
± 2.0%
58%
37%
–
4%
ActiVote [ 65]
July 29 – October 27, 2022
200 (LV)
± 7.0%
61%
39%
–
–
Public Policy Institute of California [ 66]
October 14–23, 2022
1,060 (LV)
± 5.4%
55%
36%
4%[ d]
5%
SurveyUSA [ 67]
October 7–10, 2022
1,013 (LV)
± 4.4%
57%
35%
–
8%
UC Berkeley [ 68]
September 22–27, 2022
6,939 (LV)
± 2.5%
53%
32%
2%[ e]
13%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 69]
September 2–11, 2022
1,060 (LV)
± 5.4%
58%
31%
5%[ f]
7%
UC Berkeley [ 70]
August 9–15, 2022
9,254 (RV)
± 2.0%
52%
25%
4%
19%
6,321 (LV)
± 2.4%
55%
31%
3%
11%
Hypothetical polling
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Gavin Newsom (D)
Kevin Faulconer (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS [ 71]
August 30 – September 6, 2021
9,809 (RV)
± 2.3%
49%
27%
24%
Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Gavin Newsom (D)
John Cox (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS [ 71]
August 30 – September 6, 2021
9,809 (RV)
± 2.3%
51%
26%
23%
Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Gavin Newsom (D)
Larry Elder (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS [ 71]
August 30 – September 6, 2021
9,809 (RV)
± 2.3%
52%
30%
18%
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Gavin Newsom (D)
Kevin Kiley (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS [ 71]
August 30 – September 6, 2021
9,809 (RV)
± 2.3%
50%
25%
25%
Results
Swing by county
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend by county
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
By county
[ 74]
By county
County
Gavin Newsom Democratic
Brian Dahle Republican
Margin
Total votes
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alameda
387,046
79.32
100,923
20.68
286,123
58.64
487,969
Alpine
363
58.64
256
41.36
107
17.29
619
Amador
6,027
32.31
12,628
67.69
-6,601
-35.38
18,655
Butte
31,502
43.49
40,939
56.51
-9,437
-13.03
72,441
Calaveras
7,103
33.44
14,137
66.56
-7,034
-33.12
21,240
Colusa
1,553
27.92
4,009
72.08
-2,456
-44.16
5,562
Contra Costa
265,371
68.31
123,132
31.69
142,239
36.61
388,503
Del Norte
3,264
38.97
5,111
61.03
-1,847
-22.05
8,375
El Dorado
34,534
38.95
54,137
61.05
-19,603
-22.11
88,671
Fresno
98,417
44.92
120,668
55.08
-22,251
-10.16
219,085
Glenn
1,930
24.34
6,000
75.66
-4,070
-51.32
7,930
Humboldt
29,541
61.80
18,257
38.20
11,284
23.61
47,798
Imperial
16,711
55.95
13,158
44.05
3,553
11.90
29,869
Inyo
3,382
45.23
4,095
54.77
-713
-9.54
7,477
Kern
69,706
36.94
119,006
63.06
-49,300
-26.13
188,712
Kings
9,389
34.89
17,523
65.11
-8,134
-30.22
26,912
Lake
9,771
48.54
10,360
51.46
-589
-2.93
20,131
Lassen
1,444
15.75
7,726
84.25
-6,282
-68.51
9,170
Los Angeles
1,620,053
67.81
769,174
32.19
850,879
35.61
2,389,227
Madera
13,283
35.94
23,678
64.06
-10,395
-28.12
36,961
Marin
95,289
80.03
23,775
19.97
71,514
60.06
119,064
Mariposa
2,944
37.55
4,896
62.45
-1,952
-24.90
7,840
Mendocino
19,031
62.61
11,363
37.39
7,668
25.23
30,394
Merced
25,200
45.59
30,073
54.41
-4,873
-8.82
55,273
Modoc
687
20.13
2,725
79.87
-2,038
-59.73
3,412
Mono
2,493
54.56
2,076
45.44
417
9.13
4,569
Monterey
65,262
63.90
36,867
36.10
28,395
27.80
102,129
Napa
32,437
64.73
17,671
35.27
14,766
29.47
50,108
Nevada
26,655
52.54
24,082
47.46
2,573
5.07
50,737
Orange
464,206
48.51
492,734
51.49
-28,528
-2.98
956,940
Placer
73,619
40.43
108,450
59.57
-34,831
-19.13
182,069
Plumas
3,083
35.71
5,550
64.29
-2,467
-28.58
8,633
Riverside
285,000
47.83
310,901
52.17
-25,901
-4.35
595,901
Sacramento
274,680
57.51
202,933
42.49
71,747
15.02
477,613
San Benito
10,428
53.26
9,150
46.74
1,278
6.53
19,578
San Bernardino
215,391
47.39
239,109
52.61
-23,718
-5.22
454,500
San Diego
574,121
55.78
455,107
44.22
119,014
11.56
1,029,228
San Francisco
257,402
85.38
44,064
14.62
213,338
70.77
301,466
San Joaquin
85,498
48.22
91,827
51.78
-6,329
-3.57
177,325
San Luis Obispo
61,166
51.13
58,464
48.87
2,702
2.26
119,630
San Mateo
185,599
74.98
61,918
25.02
123,681
49.97
247,517
Santa Barbara
80,648
59.57
54,726
40.43
25,922
19.15
135,374
Santa Clara
379,377
70.01
162,518
29.99
216,859
40.02
541,895
Santa Cruz
79,117
75.95
25,052
24.05
54,065
51.90
104,169
Shasta
18,607
27.16
49,913
72.84
-31,306
-45.69
68,520
Sierra
529
34.28
1,014
65.72
-485
-31.43
1,543
Siskiyou
6,326
35.69
11,397
64.31
-5,071
-28.61
17,723
Solano
77,769
59.54
52,850
40.46
24,919
19.08
130,619
Sonoma
140,041
70.92
57,413
29.08
82,628
41.85
197,454
Stanislaus
55,311
42.23
75,656
57.77
-20,345
-15.53
130,967
Sutter
9,082
32.31
19,024
67.69
-9,942
-35.37
28,106
Tehama
5,024
24.35
15,607
75.65
-10,583
-51.30
20,631
Trinity
1,860
41.09
2,667
58.91
-807
-17.83
4,527
Tulare
33,273
36.43
58,053
63.57
-24,780
-27.13
91,326
Tuolumne
8,471
36.47
14,759
63.53
-6,288
-27.07
23,230
Ventura
153,226
54.54
127,709
45.46
25,517
9.08
280,935
Yolo
44,328
66.03
22,807
33.97
21,521
32.06
67,135
Yuba
6,534
33.28
13,097
66.72
-6,563
-33.43
19,631
Totals
6,470,104
59.18
4,462,914
40.82
2,007,190
18.36
10,933,018
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.[ 75]
Notes
^ Candidate for San Francisco Board of Supervisors in 1977 , 1979, and 2002 , candidate for Mayor of San Francisco in 1995 , 1999 , and 2019 , and candidate in the 2021 recall election
^ a b c d e f Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ "Neither/Would not vote" with 4%
^ "Other (write-in)" with 2%
^ "Would not vote" with 5%
^ Hanink was listed on the ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party , did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed.[ 17] [ 18] [ 19] [ 20]
See also
References
^ "Bill Text - SB-970 Primary election date" .
^ "California Adopts Vote-by-Mail System for All Future Elections" .
^ "California Governor Primary Election Live Results 2022" . NBC News. Retrieved October 3, 2022 .
^ Nicole Nixon (November 8, 2022). "Democrat Gavin Newsom sails to reelection as California governor" . npr.org . Retrieved November 9, 2022 .
^ White, Jeremy B. (January 21, 2022). "What 2022 election? California Republicans grim on beating Newsom" . Politico . Retrieved February 17, 2022 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Primary Election - June 7, 2022" . Archived from the original on March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022 .
^ Garofoli, Joe (February 7, 2022). "Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle to announce challenge to Gavin Newsom" . San Francisco Chronicle . Retrieved February 8, 2022 .
^ a b "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF) . California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022 .[permanent dead link ]
^ "FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — GOP GOVERNOR CHALLENGER" . Politico . Retrieved March 8, 2022 .
^ "Gubernatorial candidate Anthony Trimino sees himself as a problem solver, not a politician" . KUSI. February 5, 2022.
^ Hearden, Tim (February 11, 2022). "GOP's Sen. Dahle upbeat about bid for governor" . Western Farm Press .
^ White, Jeremy B. (January 4, 2022). "Larry Elder will not run against Newsom in 2022" . Politico . Retrieved January 4, 2022 .
^ Brennan, Deborah Sullivan (March 10, 2022). "Kevin Faulconer steps out of governor's race" . The San Diego Union-Tribune . Retrieved March 18, 2022 .
^ Ross, Martha (February 27, 2021). "California may get Kimberly Guilfoyle back, running for public office" . Mercury News . Retrieved August 17, 2021 . ,
^ Hansen, BJ (December 29, 2021). "Republican Assemblyman Kiley Running For Eastern Sierra Congressional Seat" . My Mother Lode . Retrieved January 4, 2022 . ,
^ Rodriguez, Luis (February 2022). "Luis J. Rodriguez is running for California Governor" . People's Tribune . Retrieved March 28, 2022 .
^ Spielmann, Cristobal; Backer-Peral, Veronica (May 6, 2021). "Former LMU professor runs for governor in recall election" . Los Angeles Loyolan . Retrieved July 12, 2021 .
^ Winger, Richard (August 18, 2021). "California Secretary of State Makes a Tiny Concession to Unqualified Parties in the Official Voter Information Guide" . Ballot Access News . Retrieved August 22, 2021 .
^ Black, SaVannah. "Political Body: American Solidarity Party" (PDF) . California Secretary of State . Retrieved July 20, 2021 .
^ Weber, Shirley. "California Gubernatorial Recall Election Official Voter Information Guide" (PDF) . California Secretary of State . Retrieved August 24, 2021 .
^ Wyer, Stephen (August 26, 2021). "Reinette Senum takes steps toward running for governor in 2022" . The Union .
^ Laurenzo, Nikki (March 10, 2022). "First on Inside California Politics: Author Michael Shellenberger to challenge Newsom for governor" . Fox 40 . Retrieved March 10, 2022 .
^ Haber, Matt (October 31, 2019). "Meet the Gubernatorial Candidate Whose Campaign Has One Mission: Attacking Facebook's Fake Political Ads Problem" . Inc.com . Retrieved October 28, 2020 .
^ Hampton, Adriel [@adrielhampton] (September 1, 2021). "I declared for California Governor in the fall of 2019 in order to shame Facebook for its political ad practices. Today, I'm formally withdrawing from the 2022 race, and calling on Gavin Newsom to step down as Governor for the good of our state" (Tweet ). Archived from the original on September 1, 2021. Retrieved September 4, 2021 – via Twitter .
^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party" . Los Angeles Times . Retrieved April 25, 2022 .
^ "American Solidarity Party of California" . Retrieved May 27, 2022 – via Facebook.
^ Carroll, Brian. "Brian Carroll, Commentaries" . Retrieved May 31, 2022 – via Facebook.
^ Maturen, Mike. "Mike Maturen Hfi" . Retrieved May 31, 2022 – via Facebook.
^ "Who did the L.A. Times endorse for 2022?" . Los Angeles Times . April 27, 2022. Retrieved May 13, 2022 .
^ "2022 AFSCME California Primary Endorsements" . AFSCME California . December 5, 2019.
^ "2022 Primary Endorsements" (PDF) . cadem.org . California Democratic Party. Retrieved March 30, 2022 .
^ "Endorsements - California Faculty Association" . CFA .
^ "Statewide Primary Election Endorsements" . CFT .
^ "Elections 2022" . California Teachers Association .
^ "Election Center" . Equality California . Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
^ "Endorsements - March On" . October 31, 2022. Archived from the original on October 31, 2022. Retrieved September 3, 2023 .
^ "Endorsements" . NARAL Pro-Choice California . Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022 .
^ "Endorsements" . stonewalldems.org . Stonewall Democrats . Retrieved March 7, 2022 .
^ "Endorsed 2022 Statewide Candidates" . cagreens.org . Retrieved April 15, 2022 .
^ "California Primary Election 2022: The Peace & Freedom, Left Unity Candidates" . peaceandfreedom.us . Retrieved April 15, 2022 .
^ "Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC Endorses Michael Shellenberger for Governor" . Shellenberger for Governor . April 21, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022 .
^ Murray, Douglas [@DouglasKMurray] (June 4, 2022). "Great to meet you Michael @ShellenbergerMD. And good luck with the race for Governor. Rooting for you!" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .
^ Pinker, Steven [@sapinker] (May 19, 2022). "As a temporary Californian, I endorse Michael Shellenberger @ShellenbergerMD for governor in the upcoming open primary - independent, evidence-driven, non-ideological policies to deal with climate, homelessness, energy, conservation, violent crime" (Tweet ). Retrieved May 20, 2022 – via Twitter .
^ "CERTIFIED LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR THE JUNE 7, 2022, PRIMARY ELECTION" (PDF) . Archived from the original (PDF) on March 31, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022 .
^ Berkeley IGS
^ SurveyUSA
^ "California June 7, 2022 Primary Statement of Vote" (PDF) . Retrieved July 16, 2022 .
^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved September 15, 2021 .
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings" . Inside Elections . Retrieved September 15, 2021 .
^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved September 15, 2021 .
^ "California Governor Race 2022" . Politico . April 1, 2022.
^ "2022 Governor Races" . RCP . January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022 .
^ "2022 Election Forecast" . Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022 .
^ "2022 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022 .
^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings" . Elections Daily . Retrieved November 28, 2022 .
^ "Newsom Agrees to Debate Dahle in Gubernatorial Forum at KQED" . KQED. Archived from the original on October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 23, 2022 .
^ YouTube
^ Real Clear Politics
^ FiveThirtyEight
^ 270ToWin
^ Research Co.
^ USC
^ UC Berkeley
^ ActiVote
^ Public Policy Institute of California
^ SurveyUSA
^ UC Berkeley
^ Public Policy Institute of California
^ UC Berkeley
^ a b c d Berkeley IGS
^ "General Election - Statement of the Vote, November 8, 2022" (PDF) . California Secretary of State . Retrieved December 15, 2022 .
^ "NOVEMBER 8, 2022, GENERAL ELECTION - VOTER PARTICIPATION STATISTICS BY COUNTY" (PDF) . Secretary of State of California . Archived (PDF) from the original on December 19, 2022. Retrieved December 21, 2022 .
^ "November 8, 2022, General Election Governor" (PDF) . California Secretary of State . Retrieved July 27, 2024 .
^ Results . docs.google.com (Report).
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