2022 United States Senate election in Kansas


2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Jerry Moran Mark Holland
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 602,976 372,214
Percentage 60.00% 37.04%
Moran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Holland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Graham:      >90%
Tie:      30–40%      40–50%      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elections in Kansas
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
Treasurer elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
1867
Suffrage referendum
2005
Amendment 1
2022
Abortion referendum
Kansas City
Mayoral elections
Overland Park
Mayoral elections
Wichita
Mayoral elections

The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office.[1] Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election.[2][3]

Moran ultimately won the election,[4] but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he still won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election, and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Jerry Moran

Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Moran
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 383,332 80.5
Republican Joan Farr 93,016 19.5
Total votes 476,348 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  Holland
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Buskirk
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Andra
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Klingenberg
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Soetaert
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Tie
  •   20–30%
Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Holland 101,429 38.1
Democratic Paul Buskirk 53,750 20.2
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 47,034 17.6
Democratic Mike Andra 33,464 12.6
Democratic Robert Klingenberg 21,413 8.0
Democratic Michael Soetaert 9,464 3.6
Total votes 266,554 100.0

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • David Graham, attorney[17]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[19] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[21] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[22] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[23] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[24] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[25] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[26] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

Jerry Moran (R)

Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Mark Holland (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jerry
Moran (R) 		Mark
Holland (D) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[36] October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 33% 5%[b] 8%
Emerson College[37] September 15–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% 4%[c] 18%
Echelon Insights[38][A] August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 54% 35% – 11%
Battleground Connect (R)[39][B] August 8–10, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 37% – 5%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Kansas[40]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jerry Moran (incumbent) 602,976 60.00% −2.18%
Democratic Mark Holland 372,214 37.04% +4.80%
Libertarian David Graham 29,766 2.96% −2.62%
Total votes 1,004,956 100.0%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Moran won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[41]

District Moran Holland Representative
1st 67.97% 29.06% Tracey Mann
2nd 61.46% 35.41% Jake LaTurner
3rd 49.75% 47.44% Sharice Davids
4th 63.61% 33.42% Ron Estes

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Graham (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by NetChoice
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by the John Brown Freedom Fund

References

  1. ^ a b Moran, Jerry (November 4, 2020). "Statement of candidacy 2020". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on November 5, 2020. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  2. ^ a b Kraske, Steve (October 1, 2021). "Former Kansas City, Kansas, Mayor Mark Holland is making a bid for the U.S. Senate". KCUR-FM. Archived from the original on October 15, 2021.
  3. ^ Torres, Aarón (August 2, 2022). "Ex-KCK Mayor Mark Holland wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, will face Moran". Retrieved August 3, 2022.
  4. ^ "Kansas U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 8, 2022. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  5. ^ "Aide: Kansas Sen. Moran plans to seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press. November 11, 2020. Archived from the original on December 22, 2020. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  6. ^ Casteel, Chris (September 28, 2021). "State senator Nathan Dahm joins race against incumbent Sen. James Lankford". The Oklahoman. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c Drucker, David M. (October 27, 2021). "Mike Pompeo removes himself from 2022 Kansas Senate bid". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on November 1, 2021.
  8. ^ a b Cooper, Brad (March 12, 2021). "Pence endorses Moran for reelection". Sunflower State Journal. Archived from the original on June 3, 2021.
  9. ^ a b Lowry, Brian (February 25, 2021). "Trump endorses Jerry Moran — 12 days after vote to acquit him on incitement charge". Kansas City Star. Archived from the original on August 2, 2021.
  10. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  11. ^ a b "2022 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. August 2, 2022. Retrieved September 21, 2022.
  12. ^ Kaut, Steve (November 11, 2021). "Former KCK Mayor Mark Holland to run for US Senate seat in Kansas". KSHB. Retrieved November 13, 2021.
  13. ^ Bahl, Andrew. "Jerry Moran has Democratic opponents for 2022. He also has $4M+ and a Trump endorsement on his side". The Topeka Capital-Journal.
  14. ^ a b "Mann, Moran officially launch re-election bids". KVOE (AM). May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "Candidates | Johnson County Election Office". jocoelection.org. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  16. ^ Senate, Buskirk US. "Paul Buskirk US Senate Kansas". Buskirk US Senate democratic party. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  17. ^ "2022 LPKS Candidates". Libertarian Party of Kansas. April 23, 2022. Archived from the original on August 9, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  18. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  19. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  20. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  21. ^ "Kansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  22. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  23. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  24. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  25. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  26. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  27. ^ a b c d e "Jerry Moran's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  28. ^ "KFB's Vote FBF endorses Sen. Moran for re-election". www.kfb.com. May 24, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  29. ^ "KLA Endorsements". www.kla.org. Retrieved November 3, 2022.[permanent dead link‍]
  30. ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Kansas". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
  31. ^ "NRA rolls out general election endorsements". sunflowerstatejournal.com. September 12, 2022. Archived from the original on September 12, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  32. ^ "Mark Holland". Gun Sense Voter.
  33. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes.
  34. ^ "Candidates for Common Good 2022". Archived from the original on October 5, 2022.
  35. ^ The Kansas City Star [dead link‍]
  36. ^ Emerson College
  37. ^ Emerson College
  38. ^ Echelon Insights
  39. ^ Battleground Connect (R)
  40. ^ "2022 General Election Official Results" (PDF). ent.sos.ks.gov.
  41. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).

Official campaign websites