2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 15 Ohio seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 12 4
Seats won 10 5
Seat change Decrease 2 Increase 1
Popular vote 2,318,993 1,790,614
Percentage 56.43% 43.57%
Swing Decrease 0.03% Increase 1.02%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 15 U.S. representatives from Ohio, one from each of the state's 15 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on May 3, 2022.

Results summary

Statewide

Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Republican Party 15 2,318,993 56.43% 10 Steady 66.67%
Democratic Party 15 1,790,614 43.57% 5 Steady 33.33%
Write-in 2 104 0.00% Steady 0.00%
Total 43 4,109,711 100.00% 15 Steady 100.00%
Popular vote
Republican
56.43%
Democratic
43.57%
Other
0.0%
House seats
Republican
66.67%
Democratic
33.33%

District

Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio by district:

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 137,213 47.05% 151,418 52.05% 0 0.00% 296,474 100.00% Democratic gain
District 2 188,300 74.05% 64,329 25.05% 0 0.00% 257,862 100.00% Republican hold
District 3 74,335 29.08% 174,846 70.02% 18 0.00% 258,797 100.00% Democratic hold
District 4 196,655 69.03% 87,106 30.07% 0 0.00% 290,156 100.00% Republican hold
District 5 184,205 67.00% 90,614 33.00% 0 0.00% 279,937 100.00% Republican hold
District 6 186,965 67.07% 89,086 32.03% 0 0.00% 280,383 100.00% Republican hold
District 7 164,904 55.04% 132,548 44.06% 86 0.00% 303,573 100.00% Republican hold
District 8 180,287 64.06% 98,629 35.04% 0 0.00% 278,916 100.00% Republican hold
District 9 113,363 43.05% 147,512 56.05% 0 0.00% 266,017 100.00% Democratic hold
District 10 168,327 61.07% 104,634 38.03% 0 0.00% 272,961 100.00% Republican hold
District 11 46,862 22.04% 162,154 77.06% 0 0.00% 215,710 100.00% Democratic hold
District 12 191,344 69.03% 84,893 30.07% 0 0.00% 276,237 100.00% Republican hold
District 13 134,593 47.03% 149,816 52.07% 0 0.00% 284,409 100.00% Democratic hold
District 14 183,389 61.07% 113,639 38.03% 0 0.00% 297,028 100.00% Republican hold
District 15 143,112 57.05% 108,139 43.00% 0 0.00% 251,251 100.00% Republican hold
Total 2,318,993 56.43% 1,790,614 43.57% 104 0.00% 4,109,711 100.00%

District 1

2022 Ohio's 1st congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Greg Landsman Steve Chabot
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 151,418 137,213
Percentage 52.8% 47.2%

Landsman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Chabot:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Chabot
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Landsman
Democratic

The 1st district is based in the city of Cincinnati, stretching northward to Warren County. The incumbent was Republican Steve Chabot, who was re-elected with 51.8% of the vote in 2020.[1]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2022.[2] Democrat Greg Landsman won the election by a 5.6% margin.[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Chabot (incumbent) 45,450 100.0
Total votes 45,450 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Greg Landsman 28,330 100.0
Total votes 28,330 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Tossup March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tossup April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean R November 7, 2022
Politico[24] Lean D (flip) November 3, 2022
RCP[25] Lean R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Lean R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Tossup October 1, 2022
538[28] Likely R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Tossup November 1, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Steve
Chabot (R)
Greg
Landsman (D)
Undecided
Impact Research (D)[30][A] October 13–16, 2022 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Impact Research (D)[31][A] September 17–21, 2022 506 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Impact Research (D)[32][A] May 9–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% 6%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Change Research (D)[33][B] October 19, 2022 44% 49% 7%
Impact Research (D)[32][A] May 9–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 43% 17%

Results

2022 Ohio's 1st congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Greg Landsman 156,416 52.8
Republican Steve Chabot (incumbent) 140,058 47.2
Total votes 296,474 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

2022 Ohio's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Brad Wenstrup Samantha Meadows
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 188,300 64,329
Percentage 74.5% 25.5%

Wenstrup:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Meadows:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Brad Wenstrup
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brad Wenstrup
Republican

The 2nd district takes in eastern Cincinnati and its suburbs, including Norwood and Loveland, and stretches eastward along the Ohio River. The incumbent was Republican Brad Wenstrup, who was re-elected with 61.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • James J. Condit Jr., perennial candidate[37]
  • David J. Windisch[37]

Endorsements

Brad Wenstrup

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Wenstrup (incumbent) 56,805 77.4
Republican James J. Condit, Jr. 9,250 12.6
Republican David J. Windisch 7,382 10.1
Total votes 73,437 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Samantha Meadows, EMT[37]
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Samantha Meadows 11,694 72.0
Democratic Alan Darnowsky 4,541 28.0
Total votes 16,235 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 2nd congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Wenstrup (incumbent) 192,117 74.5
Democratic Samantha Meadows 65,745 25.5
Total votes 257,862 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2022 Ohio's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Joyce Beatty Lee Stahley
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 174,846 74,335
Percentage 70.2% 29.8%

Beatty:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%

Stahley:      50–60%      60–70%

Tie:      40-50%

U.S. Representative before election

Joyce Beatty
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Joyce Beatty
Democratic

The 3rd district, located entirely within the borders of Franklin County, taking in inner Columbus, Bexley, Whitehall, as well as Franklin County's share of Reynoldsburg. The incumbent was Democrat Joyce Beatty, who was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] She was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joyce Beatty (incumbent) 48,241 100.0
Total votes 48,241 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lee Stahley 30,250 100.0
Total votes 30,250 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid D March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid D April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 3rd congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joyce Beatty (incumbent) 182,324 70.5
Republican Lee Stahley 76,455 29.5
Write-in 18 0.0
Total votes 258,797 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2022 Ohio's 4th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Jim Jordan Tamie Wilson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 196,655 87,106
Percentage 69.3% 30.7%

Jordan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Wilson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Jordan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Jordan
Republican

The 4th district, sprawls from the Columbus exurbs, including Marion and Lima into north-central Ohio, taking in Mansfield. The incumbent was Republican Jim Jordan, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Jim Jordan

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

  • American Conservative Union[49]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Jordan (incumbent) 86,576 100.0
Total votes 86,576 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Jeffrey Sites

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tamie Wilson 10,804 51.5
Democratic Jeffrey Sites 10,160 48.5
Total votes 20,964 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 4th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Jordan (incumbent) 200,773 69.2
Democratic Tamie Wilson 89,383 30.8
Total votes 290,156 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2022 Ohio's 5th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Bob Latta Craig Swartz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 184,205 90,614
Percentage 66.9% 33.1%

Latta:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Swartz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Latta
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bob Latta
Republican

The 5th district encompasses the lower portion of Northwestern Ohio and the middle shore of Lake Erie, taking in Findlay, Lorain, Oberlin, and Bowling Green. The incumbent was Republican Bob Latta, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Bob Latta

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Latta (incumbent) 69,981 100.0
Total votes 69,981 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Craig Swartz 14,590 55.3
Democratic Martin Heberling 11,812 44.7
Total votes 26,402 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 5th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Latta (incumbent) 187,303 66.9
Democratic Craig Swartz 92,634 33.1
Total votes 279,937 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2022 Ohio's 6th congressional district election

 
Nominee Bill Johnson Louis Lyras
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 186,965 89,086
Percentage 67.72% 32.28%

Johnson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Lyras:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Johnson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Johnson
Republican

The 6th district encompasses Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley, including Youngstown, Steubenville, and Marietta. The incumbent was Republican Bill Johnson, who was re-elected with 74.4% in 2020. Some parts of the 6th district, including Youngstown, were formerly in the 13th district before redistricting. He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Bill Johnson

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Johnson (incumbent) 57,189 77.32
Republican John Anderson 9,212 12.49
Republican Michael Morgenstern 4,926 6.66
Republican Gregory Zelenitz 2,632 3.56
Total votes 73,959 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Louis Lyras, businessman[59]
Eliminated in primary
  • Martin Alexander[59]
  • Eric Scott Jones, data scientist[62][59]
  • Shawna Roberts[59]
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Louis Lyras 8,607 37.64
Democratic Eric Scott Jones 6,972 30.49
Democratic Martin Alexander 5,062 22.14
Democratic Shawna Roberts 2,226 9.73
Total votes 22,867 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 6th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Johnson (incumbent) 189,883 67.72
Democratic Louis Lyras 90,500 32.28
Total votes 280,383 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2022 Ohio's 7th congressional district election

2024 →
 
Nominee Max Miller Matthew Diemer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 164,904 132,548
Percentage 55.4% 44.6%

Miller:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Diemer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representatives before election

Bob Gibbs (Republican)
Anthony Gonzalez (Republican)

Elected U.S. Representatives

Max Miller
Republican

The 7th district stretches from exurban Cleveland to rural areas in north central Ohio, including Medina and Wooster. The incumbents were Republicans Bob Gibbs and Anthony Gonzalez, both of whom retired.[1] Max Miller won the election.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Anthony Leon Alexander, podcaster[68][67]
  • Charlie Gaddis, business owner[68][67]
  • Jonah Schulz, non-profit founder[68][67]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Max Miller

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Anthony
Gonzalez
Max
Miller
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[75][C] March 17–18, 2021 411 (LV) ± 4.9% 30% 39% 31%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Max Miller 43,158 71.8
Republican Jonah Schulz 8,325 13.9
Republican Charlie Gaddis 5,581 9.3
Republican Anthony Leon Alexander 3,033 5.0
Total votes 60,097 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matthew Diemer, podcast producer[76][67]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Patrick A. Malley[67]

Endorsements

Mathew Diemer

Organizations

Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matthew Diemer 12,636 62.8
Democratic Tristan Rader 7,500 37.2
Total votes 20,136 100.0

Independents

  • Brian Kenderes (write-in) [81]
  • Vince Licursi (write-in) [81]

Filed paperwork

  • Lynn Carol Gorman, minister[82]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Likely R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 7th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Max Miller 168,002 55.3
Democratic Matthew Diemer 135,485 44.6
Write-in 86 0.0
Total votes 303,573 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

2022 Ohio's 8th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Warren Davidson Vanessa Enoch
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 180,287 98,629
Percentage 64.6% 35.4%

Davidson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Enoch:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Warren Davidson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Warren Davidson
Republican

The 8th district takes in the northern and western suburbs of Cincinnati, including Butler County. The incumbent was Republican Warren Davidson, who was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results[85]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Warren Davidson (incumbent) 50,372 72.4
Republican Phil Heimlich 19,230 27.6
Total votes 69,602 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Vanessa Enoch, former journalist[5]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Vanessa Enoch 18,290 100.0
Total votes 18,290 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 8th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Warren Davidson (incumbent) 180,287 64.6
Democratic Vanessa Enoch 98,629 35.4
Total votes 278,916 100.0
Republican hold

By county

County[34] Warren Davidson
Republican
Vanessa Enoch
Democratic
Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % #
Butler 65.33% 83,837 34.67% 44,497
Darke 84.43% 16,770 15.57% 3,092
Hamilton 56.64% 60,703 43.36% 46,476
Miami 79.69% 6,183 20.31% 1,576
Preble 81.07% 12,794 18.93% 2,988

District 9

2022 Ohio's 9th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Marcy Kaptur J.R. Majewski
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 150,655 115,362
Percentage 56.6% 43.4%

Kaptur:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Majewski:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Marcy Kaptur
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Marcy Kaptur
Democratic

The 9th district is based in Northwest Ohio, including Toledo and the western Lake Erie coast. The incumbent was Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] She was running for re-election.

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2022.[86] The seat was significantly changed due to redistricting, losing all of its territory in Lorain and Cuyahoga counties while picking up more territory in northwest Ohio. This turned the district from a safely Democratic seat to a competitive one.

During the campaign, the Associated Press reported that Majewski may have falsified his service record and lied about serving in Afghanistan.[87]

Kaptur was re-elected in 2022; her win was the second largest overperformance by a Democratic candidate of their district's baseline partisanship in the 2022 election, in part due to accusations that Majewski stole valor.[35][88][89]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) 32,968 100.0
Total votes 32,968 100.0

Republican primary

Results by county:
Majewski:
     30–40%
Riedel:
     30–40%
     50–60%
Gavarone:
     30–40%
     40–50%

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Theresa Gavarone

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

  • Rex Damschroder, former state representative from the 88th district (1995–2002; 2011–2014)[99]

Newspapers and other media

  • The Chronicle-Telegram (Republican primary only)[100]

Organizations

J.R. Majewski
Craig Riedel

U.S. Representatives

State representatives

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican J.R. Majewski 21,850 35.8
Republican Craig Riedel 18,757 30.7
Republican Theresa Gavarone 17,542 28.7
Republican Beth Deck 2,931 4.8
Total votes 61,080 100.0

Independents

Filed paperwork

  • Youseff Baddar, teacher and activist[104]

General election

J.R. Majewski ran on his military experience, claiming to have been a combat veteran deployed to Afghanistan. A public records request by the Associated Press showed that Majewski worked for six months loading planes in Qatar but did not receive any medals given to those who served in Afghanistan, and the campaign did not confirm if he was ever there.[105]

However, in August 2023, the United States Air Force added the Global War on Terrorism Expeditionary Medal to Majewski's record and issued a corrected discharge form. Majewski said that the correction had "vindicated" him, after questions about his military service arose in the media during the 2022 general election. According to The Toledo Blade, Majewski said he did in fact deliver cargo to Afghanistan, among other locations, and that the military still referred to him as a combat veteran even though "not all of us were kicking in doors and shooting people".[106]

Although the district would have gone for Donald Trump by 2.9 points, Kaptur easily won re-election. Kaptur won Erie County, which Trump won by over 10 points, and was the only Democrat to win this county in this election cycle. Her performance was the largest overperformance of the partisan baseline by a Democratic candidate during the 2022 midterms.[88]

Endorsements

J.R. Majewski (R)

Executive branch officials

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Lean D September 30, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Lean D October 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean D September 29, 2022
Politico[24] Lean D October 3, 2022
RCP[25] Tossup October 15, 2022
Fox News[26] Lean D October 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Lean R (flip) October 17, 2022
538[28] Likely D October 25, 2022
The Economist[29] Tossup September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Marcy
Kaptur (D)
J. R.
Majewski (R)
Undecided
Info Strategy Northeast (R)[110] June 28–29, 2022 1,254 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 42% 11%

Results

2022 Ohio's 9th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marcy Kaptur (incumbent) 150,655 56.6
Republican J.R. Majewski 115,362 43.4
Total votes 266,017 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

2022 Ohio's 10th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Mike Turner David Esrati
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 168,327 104,634
Percentage 61.7% 38.3%

Turner:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Esrati:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Turner
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Turner
Republican

The 10th district encompasses the Dayton metro area, including Dayton and the surrounding suburbs, as well as Springfield. The incumbent was Republican Mike Turner, who was re-elected with 58.4% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mike Turner

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Turner (incumbent) 65,734 100.0
Total votes 65,734 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Esrati, veteran, activist and candidate for this seat in 2010 & 2012[111]
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Esrati 10,473 31.4
Democratic Jeff Hardenbrook 8,633 25.9
Democratic Baxter Stapleton 8,529 25.5
Democratic Kirk Benjamin 5,760 17.2
Total votes 33,395 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Likely R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 10th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Turner (incumbent) 168,327 61.7
Democratic David Esrati 104,634 38.3
Total votes 272,961 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

2022 Ohio's 11th congressional district election

 
Nominee Shontel Brown Eric Brewer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 162,154 46,862
Percentage 77.6% 22.4%

Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Brewer:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Shontel Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Shontel Brown
Democratic

The 11th district takes in Cleveland and its inner suburbs, including Euclid, Cleveland Heights, and Warrensville Heights. The incumbent was Democrat Shontel Brown, who was elected with 78.8% of the vote in a 2021 special election after the previous incumbent, Marcia Fudge was appointed as the United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development.[114]

The Democratic primary was low-profile, especially in contrast to the highly contentious 2021 special election.[115]

The Congressional Progressive Caucus supported Nina Turner in the Democratic primary for Ohio's 11th congressional district special election in 2021 but switched its endorsement for the 2022 Democratic primary.[116]

Brown was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Nina Turner

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shontel Brown (incumbent) 44,841 66.3
Democratic Nina Turner 22,830 33.7
Total votes 67,671 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric J. Brewer 8,240 57.6
Republican James Hemphill 6,062 42.4
Total votes 14,302 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid D March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid D April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 11th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shontel Brown (incumbent) 167,722 77.8
Republican Eric J. Brewer 47,988 22.2
Total votes 215,710 100.0
Democratic hold

District 12

2022 Ohio's 12th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Troy Balderson Amy Rippel-Elton
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 191,344 84,893
Percentage 69.3% 30.7%

Balderson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Elton:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Troy Balderson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Troy Balderson
Republican

The 12th district encompasses area of Ohio east of the Columbus metro area, taking in Newark, and Zanesville, as well as Athens. The incumbent was Republican Troy Balderson, who was re-elected with 55.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Brandon Michael Lape[67]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Troy Balderson (incumbent) 66,181 82.3
Republican Brandon Michael Lape 14,196 17.7
Total votes 80,377 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Amy Rippel-Elton[67]
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Fletcher[67]
Withdrawn
  • Alaina Shearer, businesswoman and nominee for this seat in 2020[144]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amy Rippel-Elton 12,712 56.7
Democratic Michael Fletcher 9,717 43.3
Total votes 22,429 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 12th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Troy Balderson (incumbent) 191,344 69.3
Democratic Amy Rippel-Elton 84,893 30.7
Total votes 276,237 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

2022 Ohio's 13th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee Emilia Sykes Madison Gesiotto Gilbert
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 149,816 134,593
Percentage 52.7% 47.3%

Sykes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Gilbert:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Tim Ryan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Emilia Sykes
Democratic

The 13th district includes most of the Akron - Canton population corridor. The incumbent was Democrat Tim Ryan, who was re-elected with 52.5% in 2020.[1] On April 26, 2021, Ryan announced that he would seek the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by two-term senator Rob Portman.[64]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2022.[86] The seat was altered significantly due to redistricting, now including all of Summit County and switching out parts of the Mahoning Valley for Canton. Despite this, it remains a Democratic leaning swing seat. Sykes won the election in 2022.[35]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emilia Sykes 36,251 100.0
Total votes 36,251 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Madison Gesiotto Gilbert

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

  • American Conservative Union[156]
Janet Porter

Governors

U.S. Representatives

Greg Wheeler

Newspapers and other media

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Madison Gesiotto Gilbert 16,211 28.6
Republican Greg Wheeler 13,284 23.4
Republican Janet Porter 9,402 16.6
Republican Shay Hawkins 6,468 11.4
Republican Ryan Saylor 5,261 9.3
Republican Dante N. Sabatucci 4,740 8.4
Republican Santana F. King 1,338 2.4
Total votes 56,704 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Tossup March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tossup August 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[24] Tossup October 3, 2022
RCP[25] Lean R (flip) June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Tossup July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Likely R (flip) July 20, 2022
538[28] Likely R (flip) June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Tossup November 1, 2022

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Emilia
Sykes (D)
Madison
Gesiotto Gilbert (R)
Undecided
Wick/RRH Elections (R)[158] October 23–26, 2022 525 (LV) ± 4% 46% 44% 10%
GQR Research (D)[159][D] May 23–31, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% 9%
RMG Research[160][E] May 19–20, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 46% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Change Research (D)[33][B] October 19, 2022 46% 43% 11%

Results

Despite many election forecasters stating Republicans were slightly favored to flip it, Sykes held the district in Democratic hands and defeated Gesiotto Gilbert by 5 percentage points. Had the map been enacted in time for the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden would have carried the district by 3 percentage points.[161]

2022 Ohio's 13th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Emilia Sykes 149,816 52.7
Republican Madison Gesiotto Gilbert 134,593 47.3
Total votes 284,409 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

2022 Ohio's 14th congressional district election

← 2020
2024 →
 
Nominee David Joyce Matt Kilboy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 183,389 113,639
Percentage 61.7% 38.3%

Joyce:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Kilboy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

David Joyce
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Joyce
Republican

The 14th district is located in Northeast Ohio, taking in the eastern suburbs and exurbs of Cleveland, Ohio. The incumbent was Republican David Joyce, who was re-elected with 60.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Joyce (incumbent) 58,042 75.7
Republican Patrick Awtrey 12,296 16.0
Republican Bevin Cormack 6,364 8.3
Total votes 76,702 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Kilboy, consultant, nurse, veteran [166][162]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Kilboy 34,499 100.0
Total votes 34,499 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

2022 Ohio's 14th congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Joyce (incumbent) 183,389 61.7
Democratic Matt Kilboy 113,639 38.3
Total votes 297,028 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

2022 Ohio's 15th congressional district election

 
Nominee Mike Carey Gary Josephson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 143,112 108,139
Percentage 57.0% 43.0%

Carey:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      ≥90%
Josephson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     ≥90%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Carey
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Carey
Republican

The 15th district encompasses the southwestern Columbus metro area, taking in the western, southern, and some northern suburbs of Columbus, including Dublin, Hilliard, and Grove City. The incumbent was Republican Mike Carey, who was elected with 58.3% of the vote in a 2021 special election after the previous incumbent, Steve Stivers, resigned to take a job as president and CEO of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce.[114] He was re-elected in 2022.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mike Carey

Organizations

  • American Conservative Union[167]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Carey (incumbent) 48,938 100.0
Total votes 48,938 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Gary Josephson, activist[41]

Withdrawn

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Josephson 9,047 97.0
Democratic Danny O'Connor (withdrawn) 284 3.0
Total votes 9,331 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 31, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 6, 2022
Politico[24] Likely R April 5, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

Ohio's 15th congressional district, 2022[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Carey (incumbent) 143,112 57.0
Democratic Gary Josephson 108,139 43.0
Total votes 251,251 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Landsman's campaign
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by Sykes's campaign
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by U.S. Term Limits

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