2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election
2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election Turnout 27.16%[ 1]
Results by countyRyan: 50–60% 60–70%Molinaro: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
The 2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election was a special election held on August 23, 2022.[ 2] The seat became vacant after incumbent Democratic representative Antonio Delgado resigned on May 25, 2022, to become lieutenant governor of New York .[ 3] [ 4] Democratic nominee Pat Ryan won a slight victory over Republican nominee Marc Molinaro in what was seen as an upset due to Molinaro's lead in polls and fundraising in the weeks leading to the election.[ 5]
Candidates
Democratic Party
Nominee
Declined
Republican Party
Nominee
Endorsements
Pat Ryan (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors
Organizations
Marc Molinaro (R)
U.S. representatives
Organizations
General election
Predictions
Polling
Graphical summary
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of August 3, 2022
Candidate
Amount raised
Amount spent
Cash on hand
Marc Molinaro (R)
$1,593,762
$993,626
$600,136
Pat Ryan (D)
$1,582,369
$1,265,848
$316,522
Source: OpenSecrets [ 25]
Results
Pat Ryan won the election with 66,088 votes or 51.2% of the vote compared to Marc Molinaro's 48.8% of the vote or 63,010 votes. This defied most polls, which had Molinaro winning by a somewhat comfortable margin as well as Sabato's Crystal Ball rating of Lean R. His victory can be attributed to his large margins in Ulster County . Ryan overperformed Joe Biden 's 2020 margin in this district by about 0.8%. The result was considered an upset by some, as Molinaro had led by as much as 14 percentage points in public polling of the race, and Molinaro outspent Ryan on television advertising.[ 26] [ 27] Ryan's victory led some forecasters to change some of their predictions for the 2022 House election .[ 28]
By county
County
Pat Ryan Democratic
Marc Molinaro Republican
Write-in
Margin
Total votes
Turnout
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Broome (part)
81
30.00
189
70.00
0
0.00
-108
-40.00
270
18.90
Columbia
9,026
57.35
6,704
42.60
8
0.05
2,322
14.75
15,738
32.71
Delaware
3,033
41.42
4,287
58.55
2
0.03
-1,254
-17.13
7,322
24.85
Dutchess (part)
12,257
48.44
13,030
51.49
17
0.07
-773
-3.05
25,304
31.07
Greene
3,632
39.21
5,626
60.74
4
0.04
-1,994
-21.53
9,262
28.67
Montgomery (part)
440
36.48
766
63.52
0
0.00
-326
-27.03
1,206
14.16
Otsego
4,153
48.26
4,434
51.52
19
0.22
-281
-3.27
8,606
24.23
Rensselaer (part)
3,901
45.13
4,739
54.83
3
0.04
-838
-9.70
8,643
18.51
Schoharie
1,642
34.05
3,176
65.85
5
0.10
-1,534
-31.81
4,823
24.27
Sullivan
3,881
42.72
5,196
57.19
8
0.09
-1,315
-14.47
9,085
18.84
Ulster
24,042
61.75
14,863
38.17
30
0.08
9,179
23.58
38,935
31.35
Totals
66,088
51.15
63,010
48.77
96
0.07
3,078
2.38
129,194
27.16
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
See also
Notes
^ a b Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
Partisan clients
^ a b This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC
^ a b This poll was sponsored by Freedom Council USA
^ This poll was sponsored by Ryan's campaign and analyzed by Global Strategy Group
References
^ a b "New York State Unofficial Election Night Results" . New York State Board of Elections . August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ Taddeo, Sarah (May 23, 2022). "Antonio Delgado to be sworn in as New York's lieutenant governor on May 25" . The Journal News . Retrieved May 23, 2022 .
^ a b c "Hochul taps upstate Rep. Antonio Delgado as LG" . City & State . May 3, 2022. Retrieved May 3, 2022 .
^ a b Fandos, Nicholas; Ferre-Sadurni, Luis (May 3, 2022). "Hochul Chooses Antonio Delgado as New Lieutenant Governor" . The New York Times . ISSN 0362-4331 . Retrieved May 3, 2022 .
^ Solender, Andrew (August 23, 2022). "Democrats hold onto key House seat in N.Y. special election" . Axios . Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ a b c d "Pat Ryan to run in special 19th Congressional election before pursuing 18th seat" . Poughkeepsie Journal. May 17, 2022. Retrieved May 23, 2022 .
^ "For the strength of our party & the future we need here in NYS, I have decided to stay in the Senate & run for re-election, however the lines may look. We need representation in Albany fighting against the partisan rhetoric & blatant attacks on the rights we hold so dear" .
^ "LABOR CANVASS FOR NY-19 SPECIAL ELECTION: Join Tom DiNapoli to knock doors for Pat Ryan · Mobilize" .
^ "Columbia and Greene: Virtual Phonebank for Michelle Hinchey and Pat Ryan! · Mobilize" .
^ "Special election for upstate New York House seat offers new test of political energy around abortion | CNN Politics" . CNN . August 22, 2022.
^ a b c d e f g h "Mayors Across Hudson Valley Endorse Pat Ryan" . hudsonvalleypress.com . June 22, 2022. Retrieved December 5, 2022 .
^ "Pat Ryan" .
^ "Stefanik makes push for Republican New York House hopefuls" .
^ "Small Businesses Endorse Marc Molinaro in NY-19 Special Election" . National Federation of Independent Business . July 20, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022 .
^ "NYFCR Endorsements: 2022" . newyorkfcr.org . August 21, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022.
^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Marc Molinaro for New York's 19th Congressional District" . August 10, 2022.
^ Wasserman, Dave. "Delgado Exit Yet Another Setback for New York Democrats" . Retrieved May 6, 2022 .
^ Rubashkin, Jacob (July 21, 2022). "New York Special Elections: 19th and 23rd Districts" . House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 21, 2022 .
^ Coleman, J. Miles (May 11, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: May 11, 2022" . Retrieved May 11, 2022 .
^ Data for Progress (D)
^ a b DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)
^ Triton Polling & Research (R)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Triton Polling & Research (R)
^ "New York District 19 2022 Special Election" . OpenSecrets . Archived from the original on August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ "Democrats win Albany-area special House race despite being outspent on airwaves" . NBC News . August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ Solender, Andrew (August 24, 2022). "Democrats hold onto key House seat in N.Y. special election as Pat Ryan wins" . Axios . Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ "Red Wave Looks More Like a Ripple" . Cook Political Report . August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 24, 2022 .
^ "New York 19th Congressional District Special Election Results" . The New York Times . August 23, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022 .
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