2004 United States Senate election in California
2004 United States Senate election in California
County results Boxer: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Jones: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
The 2004 United States Senate election in California took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer ran for re-election and defeated Republican former Secretary of State Bill Jones . Boxer's 6.96 million votes set the all-time record for the most votes cast for one candidate in one state in one election, although it was surpassed by Senator Dianne Feinstein 's 7.75 million votes in 2012 .
Democratic primary
Candidates
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Danney Ball, activist
Toni Casey, former Mayor of Los Altos Hills [ 1]
Barry L. Hatch, activist
Bill Jones , former Secretary of State of California and candidate for Governor in 2002
Howard Kaloogian , former State Assemblyman from San Diego County and chair of the Recall Gray Davis Committee
Rosario Marin , former Treasurer of the United States and mayor of Huntington Park
James Stewart, businessman[ 2]
Tim Stoen, Assistant District Attorney
Bill Quraishi, businessman[ 2]
John Van Zandt, businessman[ 2]
Results
Third party primaries
American Independent
Libertarian
2004 United States Senate Libertarian primary, California
Candidate
Votes
%
Jim Gray
13,656
57.30%
Gail Lightfoot
10,177
42.70%
Total votes
23,833
100.00%
Peace and Freedom
General election
Candidates
Major
Minor
Campaign
Boxer originally had planned to retire in 2004 but changed her mind to "fight for the right to dissent" against conservatives such as House Majority Leader Tom DeLay . Jones was widely considered as the underdog.[ 3] Jones got a major endorsement from the popular Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger .[ 4] The two major candidates had a debate. Pre-election polling had Boxer leading in double digits.[ 5] But he never released a single TV ad. Boxer portrayed Jones as too conservative for California, citing his votes in the California Assembly (1982 to 1994) against gun control and an increased minimum wage, and in support of offshore drilling and a loosening of environmental regulations.[ 6]
Fundraising
Jones raised about $700,000 more than Boxer during the third quarter, pulling in $2.5 million to Boxer's $1.8 million. But overall, Boxer has raised $16 million to Jones' $6.2 million. And Boxer has spent about $7 million on radio and television ads alone.[ 7]
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ a]
Marginof error
Barbara Boxer (D)
Bill Jones (R)
Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA [ 9]
October 29–31, 2004
763 (LV)
± 3.6%
57%
36%
7%
Results
The election was not close, with Boxer winning by an authoritative 20 point margin. Jones only performed well in rural parts of the state. Boxer on the other hand won almost all major metropolitan areas in the state. The race was called right when the polls closed at 11:00 P.M. EST, and 7:00 P.M. PTZ. Jones conceded defeat to Boxer at 11:12 P.M. EST, and 7:12 PTZ.
By county
Final results from the Secretary of State of California .[ 11]
County
Boxer
Votes
Jones
Votes
Feinland
Votes
Others
Votes
San Francisco
82.67%
277,193
12.83%
43,029
2.15%
7,220
2.34%
7,862
Alameda
75.66%
403,892
20.23%
107,966
2.22%
11,851
1.89%
10,103
Marin
70.86%
94,164
25.81%
34,301
1.44%
1,915
1.89%
2,505
San Mateo
70.53%
196,285
26.29%
73,171
1.33%
3,715
1.84%
5,126
Santa Cruz
70.58%
84,840
23.49%
28,239
2.77%
3,329
3.15%
3,791
Los Angeles
66.75%
1,940,493
28.29%
822,351
2.36%
68,743
2.60%
75,449
Santa Clara
66.00%
380,551
29.83%
172,008
1.66%
9,550
2.51%
14,487
Sonoma
65.67%
143,124
29.57%
64,438
2.28%
4,962
2.49%
5,419
Contra Costa
63.49%
258,905
33.24%
135,559
1.48%
6,044
1.78%
7,277
Monterey
62.31%
76,647
32.96%
40,547
1.84%
2,263
2.89%
3,560
Yolo
61.94%
44,085
34.05%
24,234
1.88%
1,340
2.13%
1,518
Mendocino
61.87%
23,415
29.41%
11,131
2.76%
1,044
5.96%
2,254
Solano
61.32%
89,779
35.07%
51,354
1.61%
2,355
2.00%
2,929
Napa
60.30%
33,577
35.94%
20,012
1.59%
884
2.17%
1,208
Humboldt
58.76%
38,016
34.61%
22,394
3.47%
2,246
3.16%
2,044
Imperial
57.65%
19,498
36.06%
12,195
3.43%
1,159
2.87%
971
Lake
56.32%
13,812
39.22%
9,619
1.91%
469
2.55%
625
San Benito
55.82%
10,349
39.73%
7,365
1.96%
363
2.49%
462
Santa Barbara
55.10%
91,055
40.02%
66,146
2.03%
3,347
2.85%
4,717
Sacramento
54.16%
252,016
42.34%
196,984
1.50%
6,995
2.00%
9,283
Alpine
53.90%
373
41.76%
289
2.31%
16
2.02%
14
San Joaquin
53.00%
99,074
42.98%
80,350
1.92%
3,582
2.10%
3,921
Ventura
52.13%
159,920
43.66%
133,917
1.84%
5,630
2.37%
7,284
San Diego
51.45%
565,457
44.13%
484,948
2.04%
22,431
2.38%
26,125
Mono
49.95%
2,592
44.59%
2,314
2.14%
111
3.31%
172
San Bernardino
49.76%
251,776
45.36%
229,527
2.18%
11,038
2.70%
13,655
Merced
49.65%
27,975
46.18%
26,023
1.95%
1,098
2.22%
1,251
Riverside
47.39%
259,169
48.67%
266,197
1.93%
10,547
2.01%
11,015
Stanislaus
46.93%
67,539
49.70%
71,527
1.61%
2,324
1.75%
2,517
San Luis Obispo
46.49%
58,212
48.48%
60,708
2.12%
2,659
2.91%
3,646
Trinity
46.24%
2,960
47.93%
3,068
2.17%
139
3.66%
234
Del Norte
46.03%
4,264
48.72%
4,513
2.29%
212
2.97%
275
Nevada
45.79%
24,367
49.46%
26,321
1.90%
1,013
2.85%
1,518
Fresno
45.36%
109,849
51.59%
124,937
1.61%
3,905
1.44%
3,495
Butte
44.96%
42,512
49.12%
46,446
2.52%
2,385
3.39%
3,204
Tuolumne
44.38%
11,538
52.39%
13,620
1.23%
319
2.00%
519
Orange
43.73%
458,604
50.86%
533,406
1.94%
20,394
3.47%
36,374
Kings
42.71%
13,485
54.07%
17,075
1.71%
539
1.51%
478
Amador
42.16%
7,445
54.15%
9,562
1.53%
271
2.15%
380
Calaveras
42.17%
9,339
53.58%
11,865
1.51%
334
2.75%
608
Inyo
40.68%
3,474
54.37%
4,643
2.08%
178
2.86%
244
Mariposa
40.38%
3,437
55.82%
4,751
1.69%
144
2.10%
179
Siskiyou
39.92%
8,215
54.95%
11,308
1.94%
399
3.18%
655
Placer
39.70%
59,554
56.78%
85,163
1.46%
2,197
2.06%
3,086
Plumas
39.59%
4,347
54.82%
6,019
2.21%
243
3.38%
371
El Dorado
39.58%
33,715
56.09%
47,775
2.05%
1,743
2.29%
1,950
Madera
39.15%
15,058
57.84%
22,249
1.67%
641
1.35%
519
Yuba
38.94%
6,926
55.80%
9,925
2.21%
393
3.05%
542
Kern
38.13%
79,769
56.82%
118,882
2.17%
4,543
2.88%
6,026
Tulare
37.11%
36,181
59.55%
58,066
1.84%
1,798
1.50%
1,464
Colusa
36.61%
2,228
60.10%
3,657
1.23%
75
2.05%
125
Sutter
36.61%
10,864
60.06%
17,824
1.47%
436
1.86%
553
Tehama
36.18%
8,285
58.89%
13,488
1.76%
403
3.17%
726
Shasta
35.21%
26,795
60.00%
45,667
1.86%
1,412
2.94%
2,235
Sierra
34.89%
679
58.74%
1,143
1.90%
37
4.47%
87
Glenn
33.87%
3,147
61.77%
5,739
1.86%
173
2.50%
232
Lassen
32.36%
3,655
62.43%
7,051
1.97%
223
3.24%
366
Modoc
28.48%
1,253
66.27%
2,916
1.52%
67
3.73%
164
Shift by county Trend by county
Republican — >15%
Republican — +12.5−15%
Republican — +10−12.5%
Republican — +7.5−10%
Republican — +5−7.5%
Republican — +2.5−5%
Republican — +0−2.5%
Democratic — +0−2.5%
Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +5−7.5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Democratic — >15%
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
See also
Notes
^ Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
References
^ "GOP race in state draws little cash, attention : 4 candidates seek chance to replace Boxer in Senate" . June 29, 2011. Archived from the original on June 29, 2011.
^ a b c "NewsLibrary Search Results" . nl.newsbank.com . Archived from the original on June 9, 2011. Retrieved July 2, 2010 .
^ "John J. Miller on U.S. Senate & Election 2004 on National Review Online" . Archived from the original on March 9, 2012. Retrieved September 4, 2010 .
^ "USATODAY.com - Schwarzenegger to endorse Jones for Senate" . Usatoday.com .
^ "CAMPAIGN 2004 / Jones, Boxer mix it up in only live debate / Challenger plays up Schwarzenegger ties, senator counters" . Sfgate.com . August 11, 2004. Archived from the original on September 5, 2010.
^ [1]
^ "Los Angeles Times: Archives - CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS; Jones Pulls Out Cash He Lent to Campaign" . Archived from the original on November 3, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2018 .
^ "The Final Predictions" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Archived from the original on May 2, 2021. Retrieved May 2, 2021 .
^ SurveyUSA
^ [2]
^ "Archived copy" (PDF) . Archived from the original (PDF) on July 31, 2008. Retrieved July 31, 2008 .{{cite web }}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link )
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