2004 United States Senate election in Florida

2004 United States Senate election in Florida
← 1998 November 2, 2004 2010 →
 
Nominee Mel Martínez Betty Castor
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 3,672,864 3,590,201
Percentage 49.43% 48.32%
County results

Martinez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Castor:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Bob Graham
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mel Martínez
Republican

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The 2004 United States Senate election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Graham decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Graham made an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. The primary elections were held on August 31, 2004. Republican Mel Martínez won the open seat with 49.4% of the vote to Democratic nominee Betty Castor's 48.3%. With a margin of 1.1%, this election was the closest race of the 2004 Senate election cycle. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Florida for this seat since 1974.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

County results
Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Betty Castor 669,346 58.1%
Democratic Peter Deutsch 321,922 27.9%
Democratic Alex Penelas 115,898 10.1%
Democratic Bernard E. Klein 45,347 3.9%
Total votes 1,152,513 100.0%

Republican primary

Martínez was supported by the Bush Administration.

Candidates

Results

County results
Republican Primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mel Martínez 522,994 44.9%
Republican Bill McCollum 360,474 30.9%
Republican Doug Gallagher 158,360 13.6%
Republican Johnnie Byrd 68,982 5.9%
Republican Karen Saull 20,365 1.8%
Republican Sonya March 17,804 1.5%
Republican Larry Klayman 13,257 1.1%
Republican William Billy Kogut 3,695 0.3%
Total votes 1,165,931 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2004

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Betty
Castor (D) 		Mel
Martínez (R) 		Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[citation needed] August 24 500 ± 4.5% 44% 44%
Survey USA[citation needed] September 12 602 ± 4.1% 49% 45% 5% 1%
Quinnipiac[4] September 18–21, 2004 819 ± 3.4 43% 42% 0% 14%
Gallup[citation needed] September 18 674 ± 4.0% 51% 45% 0% 4%
Survey USA[citation needed] October 1 706 ± 3.8% 46% 50% 3% 1%
Quinnipiac[5] October 1–5, 2004 717 ± 3.7 47% 48% 0% 5%
Mason-Dixon[citation needed] October 4 625 ± 4.0% 41% 46% 1% 12%
UNF[citation needed] October 10 641 ± 4.0% 38% 35% 15% 12%
Mason-Dixon[citation needed] October 14 625 ± 4.0% 45% 45% 1% 9%
Survey USA[citation needed] October 15 596 ± 4.1% 47% 49% 3% 1%
Quinnipiac[6] October 15–19, 2004 808 ± 3.5 47% 47% 0% 5%
Research 2000[citation needed] October 18 48% 48% 4% 4%
Miami Herald[citation needed] October 19 800 ± 3.5% 44% 44%
Survey USA[citation needed] October 22 741 ± 3.7% 50% 47%
Insider Advantage[citation needed] October 22 400 ± 5.0% 44% 46%
Quinnipiac[7] October 22–26, 2004 944 ± 3.2 46% 49% 0% 5%
The New York Times[citation needed] October 23 802 ± 3.0% 47% 44% 0% 10%
Mason Dixon[citation needed] October 26 625 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 6%
CNN/USA Today/Gallup[citation needed] October 28 1138 ± 4.0% 48% 46% 5%
Quinnipiac University[citation needed] October 31 1098 ± 3.0% 44% 49% 6%
Zogby International[citation needed] October 31 600 ± 4.0% 46% 46% 0% 7%

Results

United States Senate election in Florida, 2004[8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Melquíades Rafael Martínez Ruiz 3,672,864 49.43% +11.9%
Democratic Elizabeth Castor 3,590,201 48.32% −14.15%
Veterans Dennis F. Bradley 166,642 2.24% +2.24%
Write-ins 187 0.00% +0.0%
Majority 82,663 1.11% −23.83%
Turnout 7,429,894 70.92%[9] +24.08%
Total votes 7,429,894 100.00% +3,529,732
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

Results by County

2004 United States Senate Election in Florida (By County)[10]
County Mel Martínez

Republican

Betty Castor

Democratic

Various Candidates

Other Parties

Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Alachua 43,074 39.63% 63,809 58.71% 1,802 1.65% -20,735 -19.08% 108,685
Baker 6,815 69.16% 2,853 28.95% 186 1.89% 3,962 40.21% 9,854
Bay 49,639 67.63% 22,190 30.23% 1,564 2.13% 27,449 37.40% 73,393
Bradford 6,534 60.83% 3,938 36.66% 270 2.51% 3,596 24.17% 10,742
Brevard 142,394 54.44% 111,477 42.62% 7,682 2.94% 30,917 11.82% 261,553
Broward 231,266 33.63% 442,728 64.37% 13,780 2.00% -211,462 -30.74% 687,774
Calhoun 3,133 53.70% 2,526 43.30% 175 3.00% 607 10.40% 5,834
Charlotte 43,079 55.48% 32,837 42.29% 1,729 2.23% 10,242 13.19% 77,645
Citrus 33,998 49.68% 31,699 46.32% 2,742 4.01% 2,299 3.36% 68,439
Clay 58,131 72.24% 20,831 25.89% 1,503 1.86% 37,300 46.35% 80,465
Collier 81,948 65.97% 40,332 32.47% 1,934 1.56% 41,616 33.50% 124,214
Columbia 14,014 57.15% 9,780 39.89% 726 2.96% 4,234 17.26% 24,520
DeSoto 4,994 53.58% 4,031 43.25% 295 3.17% 963 10.33% 9,320
Dixie 3,322 52.67% 2,735 43.36% 250 3.97% 587 9.31% 6,307
Duval 205,001 54.68% 163,748 43.68% 6,160 1.64% 41,253 11.00% 374,909
Escambia 88,787 63.56% 48,274 34.56% 2,632 1.88% 40,513 29.00% 139,693
Flagler 18,294 48.13% 18,812 49.49% 904 2.38% -518 -1.36% 38,010
Franklin 2,706 47.13% 2,886 50.26% 150 2.61% -180 -3.13% 5,742
Gadsden 5,230 25.15% 15,246 73.33% 316 1.52% -10,016 -48.18% 20,792
Gilchrist 4,060 58.87% 2,578 37.38% 258 3.74% 1,482 21.49% 6,896
Glades 2,147 52.15% 1,821 44.23% 149 3.62% 326 7.92% 4,117
Gulf 4,086 57.36% 2,858 40.12% 180 2.53% 1,228 17.24% 7,124
Hamilton 2,206 44.75% 2,597 52.68% 127 2.58% -391 -7.93% 4,930
Hardee 4,024 56.38% 2,806 39.32% 307 4.30% 1,218 17.06% 7,137
Hendry 5,350 55.75% 4,027 41.97% 219 2.28% 1,323 13.78% 9,596
Hernando 36,557 46.08% 39,634 49.96% 3,143 3.96% -3,077 -3.88% 79,334
Highlands 22,326 54.72% 17,196 42.15% 1,278 3.13% 5,130 12.57% 40,800
Hillsborough 207,331 46.29% 230,298 51.42% 10,261 2.29% -22,967 -5.13% 447,890
Holmes 5,114 63.42% 2,608 32.34% 342 4.24% 2,506 31.08% 8,064
Indian River 34,338 57.82% 23,511 39.59% 1,543 2.60% 10,827 18.23% 59,392
Jackson 10,449 53.73% 8,605 44.24% 395 2.04% 1,844 9.49% 19,449
Jefferson 2,722 36.93% 4,504 61.10% 145 1.97% -1,782 -24.17% 7,371
Lafayette 1,768 54.57% 1,390 42.90% 82 2.53% 378 11.67% 3,240
Lake 68,425 56.37% 49,635 40.89% 3,319 2.73% 18,790 15.48% 121,379
Lee 139,810 59.90% 89,048 38.15% 4,531 1.94% 50,762 21.75% 233,389
Leon 45,453 34.09% 86,180 64.64% 1,691 1.27% -40,727 -30.55% 133,324
Levy 8,735 53.39% 7,129 43.57% 497 3.04% 1,606 9.82% 16,361
Liberty 1,448 48.75% 1,459 49.12% 63 2.12% -11 -0.37% 2,970
Madison 3,318 40.58% 4,640 56.74% 219 2.68% -1,322 -16.16% 8,177
Manatee 72,829 51.53% 64,795 45.85% 3,699 2.62% 8,034 5.68% 141,323
Marion 73,530 53.23% 60,814 44.02% 3,799 2.75% 12,716 9.21% 138,143
Martin 39,076 55.41% 29,868 42.35% 1,579 2.23% 9,208 13.06% 70,523
Miami-Dade 367,867 49.21% 366,482 49.02% 13,202 1.77% 1,385 0.19% 747,551
Monroe 18,075 47.19% 18,961 49.50% 1,267 3.31% -886 -2.31% 38,303
Nassau 21,893 68.40% 9,519 29.74% 595 1.86% 12,374 38.66% 32,007
Okaloosa 65,146 74.71% 19,645 22.53% 2,413 2.77% 45,501 52.18% 87,204
Okeechobee 5,959 50.00% 5,464 45.84% 496 4.16% 495 4.16% 11,919
Orange 188,121 49.15% 187,549 49.00% 7,081 1.85% 572 0.15% 382,751
Osceola 42,103 52.00% 36,569 45.16% 2,296 2.84% 5,534 6.84% 80,968
Palm Beach 200,442 37.96% 318,042 60.23% 9,566 1.81% -117,600 -22.27% 528,050
Pasco 89,400 48.01% 90,761 48.74% 6,044 3.24% -1,361 -0.73% 186,205
Pinellas 197,640 42.55% 254,451 54.78% 12,379 2.66% -56,811 -12.23% 464,470
Polk 108,774 52.28% 93,231 44.81% 6,051 2.91% 15,543 7.47% 208,056
Putnam 15,941 52.23% 13,701 44.89% 876 2.87% 2,240 7.34% 30,518
St. Johns 56,251 66.19% 27,319 32.14% 1,420 1.67% 28,932 34.05% 84,990
St. Lucie 44,436 45.34% 50,660 51.69% 2,905 2.96% -6,224 -6.35% 98,001
Santa Rosa 49,149 74.65% 15,165 23.03% 1,524 2.31% 33,984 51.62% 65,838
Sarasota 95,425 50.08% 91,651 48.10% 3,455 1.81% 3,774 1.98% 190,531
Seminole 102,898 56.11% 76,579 41.76% 3,914 2.13% 26,319 14.35% 183,391
Sumter 17,929 57.05% 12,844 40.87% 656 2.09% 5,085 16.18% 31,429
Suwannee 9,095 58.45% 6,069 39.00% 397 2.55% 2,629 19.45% 15,561
Taylor 4,241 50.17% 3,972 46.98% 241 2.85% 269 3.19% 8,454
Union 2,874 62.49% 1,632 35.49% 93 2.05% 1,242 27.00% 4,599
Volusia 104,032 46.21% 114,932 51.05% 6,174 2.74% -10,900 -4.84% 225,138
Wakulla 5,240 45.10% 6,048 52.05% 331 2.85% -808 -6.95% 11,619
Walton 16,038 68.56% 6,770 28.94% 585 2.50% 9,268 39.62% 23,393
Washington 6,414 63.45% 3,452 34.15% 242 2.39% 2,962 29.30% 10,108
Totals 3,672,864 49.43% 3,590,201 48.32% 166,829 2.24% 82,663 1.11% 7,429,894

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

  1. ^ "Florida Department of State - Election Results". Archived from the original on October 3, 2011. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
  2. ^ "Florida Department of State - Election Results". Archived from the original on October 3, 2011. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
  3. ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  4. ^ Quinnipiac
  5. ^ Quinnipiac
  6. ^ Quinnipiac
  7. ^ Quinnipiac
  8. ^ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  9. ^ "Voter Registration - Yearly - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State". Archived from the original on December 5, 2016. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
  10. ^ "Our Campaigns - FL US Senate Race - Nov 02, 2004". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved January 15, 2025.

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