2016 United States presidential election in Florida
2016 United States presidential election in Florida Turnout 74.48%[ 1] 2.94 pp
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Clinton
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Tie/No data
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color[ 2]
Treemap of the popular vote by county.
The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump , and his running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence , against the Democratic nominee, former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton , and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine . Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[ 3]
Trump carried the state with a plurality of 49.0% of the popular vote, which included a 1.2% winning margin over Clinton, who had 47.8% of the vote. Trump consequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 . Trump was also the first Republican presidential candidate to carry St. Lucie County since 1992 , and the first to carry Jefferson and Monroe Counties since 1988 ; all three of these counties were last carried by George H. W. Bush .
Florida voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 1.20%.[ 4] It was the fifth-closest state result , with only Wisconsin , Michigan , New Hampshire and Pennsylvania closer. According to the National Election Pool , Trump got a majority of 54% from the Cuban-American voters in the state—in comparison to the 71% of Clinton support by Latino voters from other origins.[ 5] This is also the closest election contested by any of Trump's three Democratic opponents in his presidential bids, as the Florida electorate has decisively
swung to the right in the Trump political era; relatedly, this would be the last time Trump ran for president as a resident of another state (New York) rather than of Florida.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Democratic debate
March 9, 2016 – Kendall, Florida
Candidate
Airtime
Polls[ 6]
Clinton
23:29
51.0%
Sanders
17:51
39.6%
The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Kendall, Florida . It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post .[ 7] [ 8] The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee 's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen."[ 9] The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015.[ 10]
Opinion polling
Results
Election results by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
District
Delegates
Votes Clinton
Votes Sanders
Votes Qualified
Clinton delegates
Sanders delegates
1
3
26987
18497
45484
2
1
2
6
50190
34073
84263
4
2
3
4
32070
27974
60044
2
2
4
4
33920
22765
56685
2
2
5
6
55855
18639
74494
4
2
6
5
37995
24443
62438
3
2
7
5
37410
26795
64205
3
2
8
5
39384
24376
63760
3
2
9
5
40609
19880
60489
3
2
10
5
38011
22213
60224
3
2
11
5
38061
21590
59651
3
2
12
5
35498
23172
58670
3
2
13
6
44121
29707
73828
4
2
14
6
49146
23617
72763
4
2
15
5
32793
20712
53505
3
2
16
6
43921
25856
69777
4
2
17
4
29899
17045
46944
3
1
18
6
42804
20620
63424
4
2
19
4
31958
17235
49193
3
1
20
7
61998
15761
77759
6
1
21
7
57723
22100
79823
5
2
22
6
49602
22209
71811
4
2
23
6
44510
19974
64484
4
2
24
8
59274
13893
73167
6
2
25
3
24897
9287
34184
2
1
26
4
32069
14148
46217
3
1
27
4
30709
12258
42967
3
1
Total
140
1101414
568839
1670253
93
47
PLEO
28
1101414
568839
1670253
18
10
At Large
46
1101414
568839
1670253
30
16
Gr. Total
214
1101414
568839
1670253
141
73
Total vote
64.44%
33.28%
1,709,183
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections
Republican primary
Republican debate
March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida
The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida , Illinois , North Carolina , Missouri , and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami , moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash , Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt , and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan . The Washington Times cohosted the debate.[ 14] The debate was originally scheduled considering the likelihood that no candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field.[ 15] On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign."[ 16] This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15.[ 17]
Polling
Results
Election results by county. Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
Florida Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
1,079,870
45.72%
99
0
99
Marco Rubio
638,661
27.04%
0
0
0
Ted Cruz
404,891
17.14%
0
0
0
John Kasich
159,976
6.77%
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
43,511
1.84%
0
0
0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
21,207
0.90%
0
0
0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
4,450
0.19%
0
0
0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
2,624
0.11%
0
0
0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
2,493
0.11%
0
0
0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
1,899
0.08%
0
0
0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
1,211
0.05%
0
0
0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
693
0.03%
0
0
0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
319
0.01%
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
0
0
Total:
2,361,805
100.00%
99
0
99
Source: The Green Papers
.
Green primary
The Green Party held a primary in Florida on July 31, 2016. Early voting began on July 25.[ 18]
On July 31, 2016, the Green Party of Florida announced that Jill Stein had won the Florida primary via instant-runoff voting .
Green Party of Florida primary – first round
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
18
52.9%
Elijah Manley
14
41.2%
William Kreml
1
2.94%
Kent Mesplay
1
2.94%
Sedinam Curry
0
Darryl Cherney
0
Total
34
100%
Green Party of Florida primary – second round
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
19
55.9%
Elijah Manley
14
41.2%
William Kreml
1
2.94%
Total
34
100
Green Party of Florida primary – third round
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
20
58.8%
15
Elijah Manley
14
41.2%
10
Total
34
100
25
General election
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Florida as of Election Day.
Polling
In early polling conducted in late 2015, Trump started with strong momentum and won almost every poll against Clinton by margins varying from 2 to 8 points. In March 2016, Trump's early momentum seemed to slow, as Clinton won every poll until June 2016, when Trump won a poll 45% to 44%. Most polling conducted throughout the summer was favorable to Clinton, but both candidates were neck and neck in late August and early September, with neither having a consistent lead. From mid September to October 20, Clinton won every poll but one. In the last weeks, polling was extremely close, with neither candidate taking the lead. The third to last and fourth to last poll ended in a tie, but Trump won the last poll 50% to 46%.[ 28] The average of the last three polls showed Trump ahead 47.3% to 46.7%, where the race was essentially tied.
Results
2016 United States presidential election in Florida[ 29]
Party
Presidential candidate
Popular vote
Electoral vote
Count
Percentage
Republican Donald Trump 4,617,886 49.02 % 29
Democratic Hillary Clinton 4,504,975 47.82% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 207,043 2.20% 0
Green Jill Stein 64,399 0.68% 0
Constitution Darrell L. Castle 16,475 0.17% 0
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 9,108 0.10% 0
Write-in -
153 0.01% 0
Date
November 8, 2016
Total voters
Registered : 12,863,773 Eligible : 14,441,877
Turnout %
Registered : 74.48% VAP : 66.34%
Turnout votes
Valid votes : 9,420,039 Invalid votes : 160,450
By county
County
Donald Trump Republican
Hillary Clinton Democratic
Various candidates Other parties
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alachua
46,834
36.00%
75,820
58.28%
7,446
5.72%
-28,986
-22.28%
130,100
Baker
10,294
81.02%
2,112
16.62%
299
2.36%
8,182
64.40%
12,705
Bay
62,194
70.50%
21,797
24.71%
4,231
4.79%
40,397
45.79%
88,222
Bradford
8,913
73.31%
2,924
24.05%
321
2.64%
5,989
49.26%
12,158
Brevard
181,848
57.16%
119,679
37.62%
16,614
5.22%
62,169
19.54%
318,141
Broward
260,951
31.16%
553,320
66.08%
23,117
2.76%
-292,369
-34.92%
837,388
Calhoun
4,655
75.96%
1,241
20.25%
232
3.79%
3,414
55.71%
6,128
Charlotte
60,128
61.96%
33,445
34.41%
3,524
3.63%
26,773
27.55%
97,187
Citrus
54,456
67.72%
22,789
28.34%
3,167
3.94%
31,667
39.38%
80,412
Clay
74,963
69.85%
27,822
25.93%
4,532
4.22%
47,141
43.92%
107,317
Collier
105,423
61.11%
61,085
35.41%
6,002
3.48%
44,338
25.70%
172,510
Columbia
20,368
70.57%
7,601
26.33%
895
3.10%
12,767
44.24%
28,864
DeSoto
6,778
62.17%
3,781
34.68%
344
3.15%
2,997
27.49%
10,903
Dixie
5,822
80.35%
1,270
17.53%
154
2.12%
4,552
62.82%
7,246
Duval
211,672
48.48%
205,704
47.12%
19,197
4.40%
5,968
1.36%
436,573
Escambia
88,808
57.60%
57,461
37.27%
7,903
5.13%
31,347
20.33%
154,172
Flagler
33,850
58.38%
22,026
37.98%
2,111
3.64%
11,824
20.40%
57,987
Franklin
4,125
68.08%
1,744
28.78%
190
3.14%
2,381
39.30%
6,059
Gadsden
6,728
30.29%
15,020
67.62%
466
2.09%
-8,292
-37.33%
22,214
Gilchrist
6,740
79.56%
1,458
17.21%
274
3.23%
5,282
62.35%
8,472
Glades
2,996
68.37%
1,271
29.01%
115
2.62%
1,725
39.36%
4,382
Gulf
5,329
72.69%
1,720
23.46%
282
3.85%
3,609
49.23%
7,331
Hamilton
3,443
62.70%
1,904
34.67%
144
2.63%
1,539
28.03%
5,491
Hardee
5,242
68.57%
2,149
28.11%
254
3.32%
3,093
40.46%
7,645
Hendry
6,195
55.40%
4,615
41.27%
372
3.33%
1,580
14.13%
11,182
Hernando
58,970
62.30%
31,795
33.59%
3,886
4.11%
27,175
28.71%
94,651
Highlands
29,565
64.26%
14,937
32.46%
1,509
3.28%
14,628
31.80%
46,011
Hillsborough
266,870
44.19%
307,896
50.99%
29,124
4.82%
-41,026
-6.80%
603,890
Holmes
7,483
87.46%
853
9.97%
220
2.57%
6,630
77.49%
8,556
Indian River
48,620
60.20%
29,043
35.96%
3,106
3.84%
19,577
24.24%
80,769
Jackson
14,257
67.38%
6,397
30.23%
505
2.39%
7,860
37.15%
21,159
Jefferson
3,930
51.11%
3,541
46.05%
218
2.84%
389
5.06%
7,689
Lafayette
2,809
82.35%
518
15.19%
84
2.46%
2,291
67.16%
3,411
Lake
102,188
59.48%
62,838
36.58%
6,773
3.94%
39,350
22.90%
171,799
Lee
191,551
58.12%
124,908
37.90%
13,095
3.98%
66,643
20.22%
329,554
Leon
53,821
34.98%
92,068
59.83%
7,992
5.19%
-38,247
-24.85%
153,881
Levy
13,775
70.64%
5,101
26.16%
623
3.20%
8,674
44.48%
19,499
Liberty
2,543
76.78%
651
19.66%
118
3.56%
1,892
57.12%
3,312
Madison
4,851
56.80%
3,526
41.29%
163
1.91%
1,325
15.51%
8,540
Manatee
101,944
56.40%
71,224
39.40%
7,589
4.20%
30,720
17.00%
180,757
Marion
107,833
61.30%
62,041
35.27%
6,026
3.43%
45,792
26.03%
175,900
Martin
53,204
61.41%
30,185
34.84%
3,244
3.75%
23,019
26.57%
86,633
Miami-Dade
333,999
33.83%
624,146
63.22%
29,046
2.95%
-290,147
-29.39%
987,191
Monroe
21,904
50.97%
18,971
44.14%
2,102
4.89%
2,933
6.83%
42,977
Nassau
34,266
72.92%
10,869
23.13%
1,857
3.95%
23,397
49.79%
46,992
Okaloosa
71,893
70.42%
23,780
23.29%
6,423
6.29%
48,113
47.13%
102,096
Okeechobee
9,356
67.99%
3,959
28.77%
446
3.24%
5,397
39.22%
13,761
Orange
195,216
35.37%
329,894
59.77%
26,792
4.86%
-134,678
-24.40%
511,902
Osceola
50,301
35.56%
85,458
60.41%
5,709
4.03%
-35,157
-24.85%
141,468
Palm Beach
272,402
40.89%
374,673
56.24%
19,137
2.87%
-102,271
-15.35%
666,212
Pasco
142,101
58.41%
90,142
37.06%
11,022
4.53%
51,959
21.35%
243,265
Pinellas
239,201
48.08%
233,701
46.98%
24,583
4.94%
5,500
1.10%
497,485
Polk
157,430
54.86%
117,433
40.92%
12,106
4.22%
39,997
13.94%
286,969
Putnam
22,138
66.48%
10,094
30.31%
1,069
3.21%
12,044
36.17%
33,301
St. Johns
88,684
64.34%
43,099
31.27%
6,063
4.39%
45,585
33.07%
137,846
St. Lucie
70,289
49.50%
66,881
47.10%
4,823
3.40%
3,408
2.40%
141,993
Santa Rosa
65,339
73.68%
18,464
20.82%
4,881
5.50%
46,875
52.86%
88,684
Sarasota
124,438
53.79%
97,870
42.30%
9,045
3.91%
26,568
11.49%
231,353
Seminole
109,443
48.10%
105,914
46.55%
12,169
5.35%
3,529
1.55%
227,526
Sumter
52,730
68.27%
22,638
29.31%
1,870
2.42%
30,092
38.96%
77,238
Suwannee
14,287
76.05%
3,964
21.10%
536
2.85%
10,323
54.95%
18,787
Taylor
6,930
74.13%
2,152
23.02%
266
2.85%
4,778
51.11%
9,348
Union
4,568
79.83%
1,014
17.72%
140
2.45%
3,554
62.11%
5,722
Volusia
143,007
54.32%
109,091
41.44%
11,180
4.24%
33,916
12.88%
263,278
Wakulla
10,512
68.07%
4,348
28.15%
584
3.78%
6,164
39.92%
15,444
Walton
25,756
75.98%
6,876
20.28%
1,266
3.74%
18,880
55.70%
33,898
Washington
8,637
77.04%
2,264
20.19%
310
2.77%
6,373
56.85%
11,211
Totals
4,617,886
48.60%
4,504,975
47.41%
379,886
3.99%
112,911
1.19%
9,502,747
Swing by county
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
By congressional district
Trump won 14 of 27 congressional districts, while Clinton won 13, including two held by Republicans.[ 30]
See also
References
^ "Voter Turnout - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State" . dos.myflorida.com .
^ 2016 General Election November 8, 2016. Official Election Results. Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.
^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes" . National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020 .
^ "Florida Election Results 2016 – The New York Times" . Retrieved November 10, 2016 .
^ Unlike other Latinos, about half of Cuban voters in Florida backed Trump , Pew Research Center , November 15, 2016.
^ RealClearPolitics .com"
^ "Miami Dade College To Host Democratic Presidential Debate" . wlrn.org . November 2, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2016 .
^ "DNC/Florida Democratic Party Primary Debate Hosted by Univision News and The Washington Post to Take Place at the Nation's Largest and Most Diverse College, Miami Dade College, on March 9, 2016 - Univision" . Univision . Archived from the original on February 2, 2016. Retrieved January 8, 2016 .
^ Avendaño, Alberto (December 18, 2015). "Él impulsa el debate hispano entre los precandidatos demócratas" . The Washington Post . ISSN 0190-8286 . Retrieved January 8, 2016 .
^ "Univision/Washington Post Democratic debate to be held March 9" . POLITICO . Retrieved January 8, 2016 .
^ The Green Papers
^ Florida Division of Elections - Official Primary Results
^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination" .
^ Wemple, Erik (January 20, 2016). "CNN partnering with the Washington Times for March 10 debate in Miami" . The Washington Post . ISSN 0190-8286 . Retrieved February 13, 2016 .
^ "CNN announces March debate in Florida" . Politico . Retrieved January 18, 2016 .
^ "Republican Debate in Miami: What to Watch" . CNN.com. March 10, 2016.
^ Peters, Jeremy; Barbaro, Michael (March 15, 2016). "Marco Rubio Suspends His Presidential Campaign" . The New York Times . Retrieved March 15, 2016 .
^ "2016 Presidential Primary" . Green Party of Florida . May 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016 .
^ "Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traverse the country in final push" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 – via LA Times.
^ Chalian, David. "Road to 270: CNN's new election map" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "Presidential Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021 .
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "ElectoralVote" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House" . Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "Fox News Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge" . November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "The Final 15: Latest Polls in Swing States" . ABC News . November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016 .
^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Florida: Trump vs. Clinton" .
^ "Florida Department of State - Election Results" . Retrieved April 14, 2017 .
^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index" . cookpolitical.com .
Further reading
External links
U.S. President U.S. Senate U.S. House (Election ratings ) Governors Attorneys general State legislatures Mayors
Bakersfield, CA
Baltimore, MD
Baton Rouge, LA
Corpus Christi, TX
Columbia, MO
Fresno, CA
Gainesville, FL
Glendale, AZ
Honolulu, HI
Irvine, CA
Lubbock, TX
Miami-Dade County, FL
Milwaukee, WI
Norfolk, VA
Portland, OR
Richmond, VA
Riverside, CA
Sacramento, CA
Salt Lake County, UT
San Diego, CA
San Juan, PR
Santa Ana, CA
Stockton, CA
Tulsa, OK
Wilmington, DE
Winston-Salem, NC
Local Statewide