2016 United States Senate election in Colorado

2016 United States Senate election in Colorado
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Nominee Michael Bennet Darryl Glenn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,370,710 1,215,318
Percentage 49.97% 44.31%
Bennet:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Glenn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Michael Bennet
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic

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The 2016 United States Senate election in Colorado was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Major party candidates can qualify for the ballot through party assemblies or by petition.[1] To qualify by assembly, a candidate must receive at least 30 percent of the vote from the party's state assembly.[1] To qualify by petition, the candidate must file at least 1,500 signatures from each congressional district by April 4, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won re-election to a second full term in office. Bennet's main challenger was Republican nominee Darryl Glenn, an El Paso County commissioner. Glenn won a crowded, five-way Republican primary in June. Three other candidates were on the ballot: former Eagle County Commissioner Arn Menconi was the Green Party nominee; Lily Tang Williams was the Libertarian Party nominee; and Unity Party of America chairman Bill Hammons was the Unity Party nominee.[2][3]

Background

Democratic U.S. Senator Ken Salazar resigned in January 2009 to become United States Secretary of the Interior and Governor Bill Ritter appointed Bennet, the Superintendent of Denver Public Schools, to replace him. Bennet was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Republican Ken Buck by 48.1% to 46.4%.

Democratic primary

Incumbent senator Michael Bennet was unopposed for renomination.

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 262,344 100.0%
Total votes 262,344 100.0%

Republican primary

The Colorado Republican Party State Assembly was held April 9, 2016.[6] Darryl Glenn won the convention with 70% of the vote.[7] Robert Blaha, Jack Graham, Jon Keyser, and Ryan Frazier sought to qualify for the ballot by petition instead of through the State Assembly.[8]

Glenn won the June primary with about 37.5% of the vote in the crowded, five-candidate Republican primary field.[9]

Candidate controversies

In early May, the Denver ABC affiliate uncovered over 10 forged voter signatures on the petition which placed Republican candidate Jon Keyser on the June Republican primary ballot. The circulator who forged the signatures was arrested for 34 felonies. A late May lawsuit claiming at least 60 forged signatures based on the analysis of a handwriting expert and challenging Keyser's placement on the primary ballot was dismissed because it didn't fall within the five-day window to challenge a ballot placement. [10] [11]

When asked on-camera about the forgeries, Keyser didn't address the issue and proceeded to inform the interviewer that Keyser's dog was larger than the interviewer. [12]

In early June, when asked by a fellow Republican candidate and a retired air force lieutenant colonel whether Keyser received his Bronze Star for work on a software program or for "kicking in doors" in combat as "represented to the community", Keyser refused to answer the question and claimed he had "no idea" what software program his rival was talking about. Yet, according to the article announcing Keyser's citation, Keyser "developed and implemented a unique and effective technique to provide critical force protection and situational-awareness data to ground counter-terrorism operations." [13] [14]

In August 2014, Republican candidate Jack Graham was fired as Colorado State University Athletic Director for reasons that were not specified, though he would continue to be paid through the November 2016 election. [15] [16]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Rejected at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Robert Blaha
Darryl Glenn

Governors

U.S. Senators

Statewide officials

Mayors

Individuals

Organizations

Jon Keyser

Individuals

Tim Neville

Individuals

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  Glenn
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Graham
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darryl Glenn 131,125 37.74%
Republican Jack Graham 85,400 24.58%
Republican Robert Blaha 57,196 16.46%
Republican Jon Keyser 43,509 12.52%
Republican Ryan Frazier 30,241 8.70%
Total votes 347,471 100.0%

Darryl Glenn won the general primary on June 28 and went on to face the other candidates in the November election.[85]

Third party and independent candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Lily Tang Williams

General election

Debates

Dates Location Bennet Glenn Williams Link
September 10, 2016 Grand Junction, Colorado Participant Participant Participant [92]
October 11, 2016 Denver, Colorado Participant Participant Not invited [93]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[94] Likely D November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[95] Safe D November 7, 2016
Inside Elections[96] Safe D November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[97] Safe D November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[98] Lean D November 7, 2016

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michael
Bennet (D) 		Darryl
Glenn (R) 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey[99] November 1–7, 2016 2,777 ± 4.6% 52% 45% — 3%
SurveyMonkey[100] October 31–November 6, 2016 2,412 ± 4.6% 51% 45% — 4%
Public Policy Polling[101] November 3–4, 2016 704 ± 3.7% 50% 40% 5%[102] 6%
Keating Research[103] November 2–3, 2016 605 ± 4.0% 49% 38% 5%[104] 5%
SurveyMonkey[105] October 28–November 3, 2016 1,927 ± 4.6% 51% 45% — 4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[106] November 1–2, 2016 1,125 ± 2.9% 47% 44% — 9%
SurveyMonkey[107] October 27–November 2, 2016 1,631 ± 4.6% 50% 46% — 4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[108] October 28–November 1, 2016 972 ± 3.0% 49% 41% — 10%
SurveyMonkey[109] October 26–November 1, 2016 1,402 ± 4.6% 49% 47% — 4%
University of Denver[110] October 29–31, 2016 550 ± 4.2% 48% 40% 3% 9%
Emerson College[111] October 28–31, 2016 750 ± 3.5% 47% 42% 6% 5%
SurveyMonkey[112] October 25–31, 2016 1,532 ± 4.6% 48% 46% — 6%
CBS News/YouGov[113] October 26–28, 2016 997 ± 4.1% 46% 41% 3% 10%
University of Colorado Boulder[114] October 17–24, 2016 1,037 ± 3.6% 54% 40% 6% 0%
Quinnipiac University[115] October 10–16, 2016 685 ± 3.7% 56% 38% — 6%
Magellan Strategies (R)[116] October 12–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 47% 32% 9%[117] 12%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[118] October 8–16, 2016 956 ± 0.5% 52% 42% — 6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[119] October 12–13, 2016 1,226 ± 2.8% 48% 38% — 13%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[120] October 3–4, 2016 1,246 ± 2.8% 47% 39% — 15%
Monmouth University[121] September 29–October 2, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 53% 35% 7%[122] 5%
Public Policy Polling[123] September 27–28, 2016 694 ± 3.7% 44% 34% 7%[124] 15%
50% 40% — 10%
CNN/ORC[125] September 20–25, 2016 784 LV ± 3.5% 53% 43% 1% 2%
896 RV 53% 41% 1% 2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[126] September 22–23, 2016 799 ± 3.5% 43% 45% — 12%
Quinnipiac University[127] September 13–21, 2016 644 ± 3.9% 52% 43% 1% 4%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[128] September 14–18, 2016 350 LV ± 6.3% 42% 31% 4%[129] 22%
45% 32% 2% 20%
540 RV ± 5.1% 38% 26% 5%[130] 31%
44% 28% 3% 26%
Emerson College[131] September 9–13, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 46% 39% 7% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R)[132] August 29–31, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 48% 38% 7%[122] 7%
Quinnipiac University[133] August 9–16, 2016 830 ± 3.4% 54% 38% — 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[134] August 4–10, 2016 899 ± 3.3% 53% 38% 2% 7%
FOX News[135] July 9–12, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 51% 36% 1% 9%
Monmouth University[136] July 9–12, 2016 404 ± 4.9% 48% 35% 5%[104] 12%
Harper Polling[137] July 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 40% — 14%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[138] July 5–11, 2016 794 ± 3.5% 53% 38% 2% 7%
Senate Conservatives Fund[139] July 1–6, 2016 500 – 47% 42% — 11%
Hypothetical polling

with Scott Tipton

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michael
Bennet (D) 		Scott
Tipton (R) 		Other Undecided
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[140] October 24–28, 2015 1,600 ± 3.2% 50% 44% — 16%

with Mike Coffman

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michael
Bennet (D) 		Mike
Coffman (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[141] March 29–April 7, 2015 894 ± 3.3% 40% 43% 4% 14%

with Cynthia Coffman

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michael
Bennet (D) 		Cynthia
Coffman (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[141] March 29–April 7, 2015 894 ± 3.3% 44% 36% 5% 15%

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016[142]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 1,370,710 49.97% +1.89%
Republican Darryl Glenn 1,215,318 44.31% −2.09%
Libertarian Lily Tang Williams 99,277 3.62% +2.35%
Green Arn Menconi 36,805 1.34% −0.85%
Unity Bill Hammons 9,336 0.34% N/A
Independent Dan Chapin 8,361 0.30% N/A
Independent Paul Fiorino 3,216 0.12% N/A
Total votes 2,743,023 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Bennet won 4 of 7 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[143]

District Bennet Glenn Representative
1st 69% 26% Diana DeGette
2nd 56% 37% Jared Polis
3rd 44% 50% Scott Tipton
4th 38% 57% Ken Buck
5th 36% 58% Doug Lamborn
6th 51% 44% Mike Coffman
7th 54% 40% Ed Perlmutter

References

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  91. ^ "Austin Petersen - She's one of a very few select candidates I've endorsed, so I'll be doing whatever I can to help her". Facebook. Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  92. ^ Full debate
  93. ^ Full debate
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  99. ^ SurveyMonkey
  100. ^ SurveyMonkey
  101. ^ Public Policy Polling
  102. ^ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 1%, and "Other" with 1%
  103. ^ Keating Research
  104. ^ a b Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 2%
  105. ^ SurveyMonkey
  106. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  107. ^ SurveyMonkey
  108. ^ The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  109. ^ SurveyMonkey
  110. ^ University of Denver
  111. ^ Emerson College
  112. ^ SurveyMonkey
  113. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  114. ^ University of Colorado Boulder
  115. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  116. ^ Magellan Strategies (R)
  117. ^ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 4%, and "Other" with 2%
  118. ^ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  119. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  120. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing Archived February 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  121. ^ Monmouth University
  122. ^ a b Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 3%
  123. ^ Public Policy Polling
  124. ^ Williams (L) with 4%, Menconi (G) with 2%, and "Other" with 1%
  125. ^ CNN/ORC
  126. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  127. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived September 24, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  128. ^ Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS
  129. ^ Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  130. ^ Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  131. ^ Emerson College
  132. ^ Magellan Strategies (R)
  133. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 14, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  134. ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  135. ^ FOX News
  136. ^ Monmouth University
  137. ^ Harper Polling Archived July 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  138. ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  139. ^ Senate Conservatives Fund
  140. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived February 28, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  141. ^ a b Quinnipiac University Archived April 17, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  142. ^ "Official Results November 8, 2016 General Election". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.
  143. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 20, 2024.

Official campaign websites