2006 California gubernatorial election
The 2006 California gubernatorial election occurred on November 7, 2006. The primary elections took place on June 6, 2006. The incumbent Republican Governor , Arnold Schwarzenegger , won re-election for his first and only full term. His main opponent was California State Treasurer Phil Angelides , the California Democratic Party nominee. Peter Camejo was the California Green Party nominee, Janice Jordan was the Peace and Freedom Party nominee, Art Olivier was the California Libertarian Party nominee, and Edward C. Noonan was the California American Independent Party nominee.
Under the state constitution , the Governor serves a four-year term, with a maximum or minimum term limit of two four-year terms for life, regardless of whether or not they are consecutive or nonconsecutive. Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected in a 2003 recall election and served out the remainder of predecessor Gray Davis 's term ending in 2007; Schwarzenegger was therefore eligible to serve until 2011.[ 1] As of 2024, this along with the concurrent Insurance Commissioner election was the last time Republicans won a statewide election in California and marked the last time a Republican was officially elected California Governor as well as the last election in which a California governor and lieutenant governor of opposite political parties were elected.
Exit polls showed Schwarzenegger won the vote of White (63%–32%) and Asian Americans (62%–37%), while Angelides won among African Americans (70%–27%) and Latinos (56%–39%).[citation needed ]
Primary election
Bar graph of statewide results[ 2]
Results by county[ 3]
The period for candidate nominations closed on March 24, 2006.
Democratic
Candidates
The two front-runners for the Democratic nomination were Angelides and California State Controller Steve Westly . A pre-election poll had Westly leading Angelides by six percentage points.[ 4] The Field Poll conducted on April 17, 2006, showed that both Democratic candidates had low recognition factors amongst the state's electorate, with only 45% having any opinion on Angelides and 40% for Westly. Of registered Democrats surveyed, 59% said they didn't know enough about Angelides to have any opinion about him, with 58% saying the same for Westly.[ 5] The Los Angeles Times reported that the race for the Democratic nomination was a virtual tie, with Angelides leading Westly by three percentage points (37%–34%), within the 3% margin of error. Unusually, 28% of Democratic voters were undecided, and both candidates tried to earn the undecided vote.
Angelides reported a recent increase in support for his campaign and gained union support as well as support from the "core" liberal constituency. The California Democratic Party endorsed him prior to the primary, despite most polls showing that Westly would fare much better against Schwarzenegger in the general election.[ 6] However, many registered Democrats believed that Westly had a greater chance of winning against incumbent governor Schwarzenegger and felt that he had a slightly "more positive" image.[ 7] In the end, Angelides won 47.9% of the vote to Westly's 43.4%. The turnout for the primary, was a record low 33.6%,[ 8] far below the 38% predicted by the Secretary of State,[ 9] with the turnout of valid ballots cast on election day at 28%.[ 10]
Polling
Source
Date
Westly
Angelides
Survey USA [ 11]
June 5, 2006
36%
44%
Survey USA [ 12]
June 2, 2006
37%
41%
Field Poll [ 13]
June 2, 2006
35%
34%
LA Times Poll[ 14]
May 27, 2006
34%
37%
Survey USA [ 15]
May 25, 2006
32%
44%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 16]
May 25, 2006
32%
35%
Survey USA [ 17]
May 8, 2006
31%
41%
LA Times Poll[ 18]
April 29, 2006
33%
20%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 19]
April 27, 2006
26%
20%
Field Poll [ 13]
April 17, 2006
37%
26%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 20]
March 30, 2006
23%
22%
Field Poll [ 13]
November 3, 2005
26%
37%
Field Poll [ 13]
September 7, 2005
22%
32%
Field Poll [ 13]
June 29, 2005
28%
37%
Field Poll [ 13]
February 25, 2005
11%
15%
Results
Democratic primary results by county
Democratic primary results by congressional district
Republican
Candidates
Republican Schwarzenegger faced token opposition and won overwhelmingly in the primary held on June 6, 2006.
Results
Minor parties
Green
American Independent
Libertarian
Peace and Freedom
General election
Candidates
Campaign
Schwarzenegger's decision to call the 2005 special election , as well as his propositions dealing with teachers' and nurses ' unions and other political missteps, brought his approval rating down to 39% by April 2006,[ 22] though he ended up solidly defeating his opponents. During his first two years, he came under fire from some conservatives for supporting several taxes on Californians,[ 23] and from some liberals for refusing to sign a bill allowing gay marriage , and his support for several controversial propositions in 2005. Later, Schwarzenegger's popularity with voters rebounded and he won reelection by a wide margin.
Predictions
Polling
Source
Date
ArnoldSchwarzenegger (R)
Phil Angelides (D)
Peter Camejo (G)
Art Olivier (L)
Field Poll [ 28]
November 1, 2006
49%
33%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
October 17, 2006
47%
40%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
September 28, 2006
43%
34%
8%
4%
Field Poll [ 30]
September 27, 2006
44%
34%
Rasmussen [ 31]
September 12, 2006
47%
39%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
September 11, 2006
40%
35%
6%
4%
Rasmussen [ 32]
August 31, 2006
48%
42%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 33]
August 30, 2006
45%
32%
Survey USA [ 34]
August 28, 2006
52%
38%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
August 28, 2006
45%
40%
Rasmussen [ 35]
August 1, 2006
47%
41%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 36]
July 26, 2006
43%
30%
Field Poll [ 37]
July 25, 2006
45%
37%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
July 24, 2006
42%
44%
Rasmussen [ 38]
July 13, 2006
44%
46%
Survey & Policy Institute [ 39]
July 6, 2006
44%
37%
Zogby /WSJ [ 29]
June 21, 2006
45%
45%
Field Poll [ 13]
June 2, 2006
46%
39%
LA Times Poll[ 40]
May 28, 2006
45%
46%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 16]
May 25, 2006
38%
38%
Rasmussen [ 41]
May 23, 2006
45%
45%
LA Times Poll[ 42]
April 29, 2006
43%
43%
Rasmussen [ 43]
April 17, 2006
49%
36%
Field Poll [ 13]
April 14, 2006
44%
40%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 20]
March 30, 2006
41%
29%
Rasmussen [ 44]
March 23, 2006
44%
45%
Field Poll [ 13]
March 2, 2006
39%
39%
Rasmussen [ 45]
February 13, 2006
40%
41%
Rasmussen [ 46]
January 25, 2006
39%
41%
Rasmussen [ 47]
December 16, 2005
40%
44%
Field Poll [ 13]
November 3, 2005
41%
47%
Field Poll [ 13]
August 29, 2005
40%
43%
Field Poll [ 13]
June 13, 2005
42%
46%
Field Poll [ 13]
February 25, 2005
52%
35%
Hypothetical polling
Schwarzenegger v Westly
Source
Date
Schwarzenegger (R)
Westly (D)
Field Poll [ 48]
June 2, 2006
44%
42%
LA Times Poll[ 40]
May 28, 2006
40%
50%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 16]
May 25, 2006
36%
36%
Rasmussen [ 49]
May 23, 2006
44%
46%
LA Times Poll[ 42]
April 29, 2006
39%
48%
Rasmussen [ 50]
April 17, 2006
48%
40%
Field Poll [ 51]
April 14, 2006
43%
43%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 20]
March 30, 2006
39%
31%
Rasmussen [ 44]
March 23, 2006
44%
45%
Field Poll [ 51]
March 2, 2006
37%
41%
Rasmussen [ 52]
February 13, 2006
39%
34%
Field Poll [ 51]
February 2, 2006
52%
33%
Rasmussen [ 46]
January 25, 2006
39%
40%
Rasmussen [ 47]
December 16, 2005
39%
46%
Field Poll [ 51]
November 3, 2005
40%
46%
Field Poll [ 51]
August 29, 2005
39%
42%
Field Poll [ 51]
June 13, 2005
40%
44%
Results
Results by county
Results showed Schwarzenegger won 52 counties while Angelides won six; Schwarzenegger won an absolute majority in 48 counties and a plurality in four others, while Angelides won a majority in two counties and a plurality in four more. Schwarzenegger won large majorities in California's rural counties, the populous Southern California counties of San Diego , Orange , Riverside , San Bernardino , and Ventura , as well as populous Sacramento , Fresno , and Kern counties in the Central Valley . The results were closely contested in Los Angeles County and in Bay Area suburban counties. Angelides won substantially only in Alameda and San Francisco counties.[ 53]
County
Arnold Schwarzenegger Republican
Phil Angelides Democratic
Peter Camejo Green
Art Olivier Libertarian
Janice Jordan PFP
Edward C. Noonan AIP
All Others Write-in
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Alameda
148,322
36.59%
229,217
56.54%
18,236
4.50%
3,784
0.93%
3,569
0.88%
2,231
0.55%
19
0.00%
-80,895
-19.96%
405,378
Alpine
295
54.23%
218
40.07%
14
2.57%
8
1.47%
6
1.10%
3
0.55%
0
0.00%
77
14.15%
544
Amador
10,755
72.09%
3,354
22.48%
390
2.61%
148
0.99%
100
0.67%
172
1.15%
0
0.00%
7,401
49.61%
14,919
Butte
45,591
65.82%
18,672
26.96%
2,912
4.20%
856
1.24%
640
0.92%
593
0.86%
4
0.01%
26,919
38.86%
69,268
Calaveras
12,691
70.44%
4,268
23.69%
490
2.72%
238
1.32%
130
0.72%
199
1.10%
0
0.00%
8,423
46.75%
18,016
Colusa
3,665
73.76%
1,104
22.22%
94
1.89%
46
0.93%
30
0.60%
30
0.60%
0
0.00%
2,561
51.54%
4,969
Contra Costa
158,565
52.42%
128,578
42.50%
8,529
2.82%
2,725
0.90%
2,169
0.72%
1,932
0.64%
15
0.00%
29,987
9.91%
302,513
Del Norte
3,639
54.85%
2,531
38.15%
133
2.00%
121
1.82%
85
1.28%
125
1.88%
0
0.00%
1,108
16.70%
6,634
El Dorado
49,771
73.37%
14,535
21.43%
1,911
2.82%
752
1.11%
365
0.54%
500
0.74%
3
0.00%
35,236
51.94%
67,837
Fresno
116,534
66.08%
53,605
30.39%
2,324
1.32%
1,449
0.82%
1,418
0.80%
1,031
0.58%
2
0.00%
62,929
35.68%
176,363
Glenn
5,775
76.50%
1,421
18.82%
110
1.46%
102
1.35%
70
0.93%
71
0.94%
0
0.00%
4,354
57.68%
7,549
Humboldt
23,282
48.22%
20,070
41.56%
3,241
6.71%
702
1.45%
572
1.18%
419
0.87%
0
0.00%
3,212
6.65%
48,286
Imperial
10,363
46.73%
10,024
45.21%
706
3.18%
273
1.23%
569
2.57%
239
1.08%
0
0.00%
339
1.53%
22,174
Inyo
4,180
64.39%
1,892
29.14%
132
2.03%
130
2.00%
66
1.02%
92
1.42%
0
0.00%
2,288
35.24%
6,492
Kern
108,253
72.06%
35,512
23.64%
1,752
1.17%
1,988
1.32%
1,287
0.86%
1,421
0.95%
9
0.01%
72,741
48.42%
150,222
Kings
15,683
68.47%
6,344
27.70%
219
0.96%
247
1.08%
244
1.07%
167
0.73%
0
0.00%
9,339
40.77%
22,904
Lake
10,930
56.26%
7,031
36.19%
615
3.17%
323
1.66%
275
1.42%
255
1.31%
0
0.00%
3,899
20.07%
19,429
Lassen
5,665
66.03%
2,353
27.42%
158
1.84%
197
2.30%
96
1.12%
111
1.29%
0
0.00%
3,312
38.60%
8,580
Los Angeles
907,919
46.06%
967,149
49.07%
37,029
1.88%
28,429
1.44%
16,001
0.81%
14,519
0.74%
30
0.00%
-59,230
-3.00%
1,971,076
Madera
21,416
71.12%
7,473
24.82%
353
1.17%
324
1.08%
253
0.84%
285
0.95%
9
0.03%
13,943
46.30%
30,113
Marin
48,439
45.81%
50,441
47.70%
4,724
4.47%
1,060
1.00%
670
0.63%
408
0.39%
1
0.00%
-2,002
-1.89%
105,743
Mariposa
5,074
66.82%
1,985
26.14%
204
2.69%
139
1.83%
73
0.96%
118
1.55%
0
0.00%
3,089
40.68%
7,593
Mendocino
14,002
45.41%
13,790
44.72%
1,869
6.06%
463
1.50%
401
1.30%
309
1.00%
0
0.00%
212
0.69%
30,834
Merced
26,231
62.52%
14,027
33.43%
543
1.29%
378
0.90%
425
1.01%
355
0.85%
0
0.00%
12,204
29.09%
41,959
Modoc
2,829
75.20%
723
19.22%
47
1.25%
71
1.89%
57
1.52%
35
0.93%
0
0.00%
2,106
55.98%
3,762
Mono
2,315
61.83%
1,176
31.41%
100
2.67%
87
2.32%
31
0.83%
35
0.93%
0
0.00%
1,139
30.42%
3,744
Monterey
46,882
53.33%
35,769
40.69%
2,646
3.01%
928
1.06%
852
0.97%
829
0.94%
0
0.00%
11,113
12.64%
87,906
Napa
23,187
54.57%
16,504
38.84%
1,559
3.67%
520
1.22%
366
0.86%
352
0.83%
0
0.00%
6,683
15.73%
42,488
Nevada
28,570
66.03%
11,833
27.35%
1,982
4.58%
461
1.07%
236
0.55%
183
0.42%
3
0.01%
16,737
38.68%
43,268
Orange
507,413
69.70%
185,388
25.46%
9,646
1.32%
15,328
2.11%
5,419
0.74%
4,825
0.66%
12
0.00%
322,025
44.23%
728,031
Placer
91,972
74.38%
26,723
21.61%
2,501
2.02%
1,098
0.89%
588
0.48%
770
0.62%
0
0.00%
65,249
52.77%
123,652
Plumas
6,160
69.53%
2,194
24.76%
232
2.62%
97
1.09%
70
0.79%
107
1.21%
0
0.00%
3,966
44.76%
8,860
Riverside
251,962
65.49%
115,803
30.10%
4,314
1.12%
6,224
1.62%
3,070
0.80%
3,327
0.86%
44
0.01%
136,159
35.39%
384,744
Sacramento
218,889
60.45%
123,685
34.16%
11,170
3.08%
2,942
0.81%
2,636
0.73%
2,754
0.76%
19
0.01%
95,204
26.29%
362,095
San Benito
8,208
57.08%
5,400
37.55%
335
2.33%
159
1.11%
126
0.88%
151
1.05%
0
0.00%
2,808
19.53%
14,379
San Bernardino
212,200
61.63%
114,388
33.22%
4,387
1.27%
6,455
1.87%
3,539
1.03%
3,278
0.95%
54
0.02%
97,812
28.41%
344,301
San Diego
509,059
65.49%
234,938
30.22%
13,653
1.76%
9,444
1.21%
5,425
0.70%
4,732
0.61%
54
0.01%
274,121
35.27%
777,305
San Francisco
72,722
29.75%
153,335
62.72%
13,186
5.39%
2,390
0.98%
1,911
0.78%
913
0.37%
11
0.00%
-80,613
-32.97%
244,468
San Joaquin
83,952
60.32%
49,868
35.83%
2,026
1.46%
1,138
0.82%
1,174
0.84%
1,007
0.72%
3
0.00%
34,084
24.49%
139,168
San Luis Obispo
61,842
63.56%
30,568
31.42%
2,319
2.38%
1,135
1.17%
764
0.79%
660
0.68%
4
0.00%
31,274
32.14%
97,292
San Mateo
96,478
47.12%
97,092
47.42%
6,822
3.33%
2,048
1.00%
1,335
0.65%
975
0.48%
14
0.01%
-614
-0.30%
204,764
Santa Barbara
73,677
60.01%
42,880
34.92%
3,149
2.56%
1,365
1.11%
1,054
0.86%
654
0.53%
2
0.00%
30,797
25.08%
122,781
Santa Clara
225,132
52.16%
185,037
42.87%
10,932
2.53%
5,034
1.17%
2,942
0.68%
2,559
0.59%
19
0.00%
40,095
9.29%
431,655
Santa Cruz
37,866
41.99%
43,619
48.36%
6,156
6.83%
1,154
1.28%
801
0.89%
587
0.65%
6
0.01%
-5,753
-6.38%
90,189
Shasta
43,436
73.92%
12,434
21.16%
808
1.38%
802
1.36%
627
1.07%
655
1.11%
1
0.00%
31,002
52.76%
58,763
Sierra
1,131
70.60%
353
22.03%
62
3.87%
34
2.12%
9
0.56%
13
0.81%
0
0.00%
778
48.56%
1,602
Siskiyou
10,916
65.64%
4,615
27.75%
383
2.30%
321
1.93%
173
1.04%
222
1.33%
1
0.01%
6,301
37.89%
16,631
Solano
55,130
53.15%
43,501
41.94%
2,194
2.12%
1,092
1.05%
973
0.94%
835
0.81%
1
0.00%
11,629
11.21%
103,726
Sonoma
81,608
47.03%
77,392
44.60%
8,647
4.98%
2,360
1.36%
2,099
1.21%
1,404
0.81%
4
0.00%
4,216
2.43%
173,514
Stanislaus
67,427
64.91%
31,981
30.79%
1,589
1.53%
937
0.90%
974
0.94%
954
0.92%
10
0.01%
35,446
34.12%
103,872
Sutter
17,393
72.73%
5,487
22.95%
357
1.49%
249
1.04%
209
0.87%
218
0.91%
0
0.00%
11,906
49.79%
23,913
Tehama
13,442
74.66%
3,666
20.36%
217
1.21%
248
1.38%
191
1.06%
241
1.34%
0
0.00%
9,776
54.30%
18,005
Trinity
3,819
64.61%
1,614
27.31%
243
4.11%
113
1.91%
85
1.44%
37
0.63%
0
0.00%
2,205
37.30%
5,911
Tulare
48,607
70.72%
17,571
25.57%
801
1.17%
535
0.78%
458
0.67%
757
1.10%
1
0.00%
31,036
45.16%
68,730
Tuolumne
14,836
70.18%
5,105
24.15%
569
2.69%
234
1.11%
180
0.85%
216
1.02%
1
0.00%
9,731
46.03%
21,141
Ventura
134,862
61.03%
75,790
34.30%
3,329
1.51%
3,773
1.71%
1,525
0.69%
1,680
0.76%
6
0.00%
59,072
26.73%
220,965
Yolo
29,073
53.39%
21,733
39.91%
2,602
4.78%
483
0.89%
391
0.72%
170
0.31%
6
0.01%
7,340
13.48%
54,458
Yuba
10,122
72.62%
2,973
21.33%
344
2.47%
188
1.35%
130
0.93%
181
1.30%
0
0.00%
7,149
51.29%
13,938
Total
4,850,157
55.88%
3,376,732
38.910%
205,995
2.37%
114,329
1.32%
69,934
0.81%
61,901
0.71%
368
0.00%
1,473,425
16.98%
8,679,416
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Results by congressional district
Schwarzenegger won 37 districts, including 13 held by Democrats, while Angelides won 16.[ 55]
See also
References
^ "Think it can't get any wilder?" . Los Angeles Times . Archived from the original on June 19, 2008. Retrieved October 8, 2006 .
^ "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- Governor of California – Statewide" . Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010 .
^ "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- Governor of California – Statewide" . Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010 .
^ "Special Survey on Education" (PDF) . ppic.org . Public Policy Institute of California. April 2006. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 7, 2006.
^ "RLS2193 for PDF.PDF" (PDF) . Archived from the original (PDF) on October 20, 2010. Retrieved August 14, 2010 .
^ Report, Progress (August 17, 2011). "Penny Wise Pound Foolish – Cuts in Free Flu Vaccines" . Archived from the original on May 9, 2007.
^ "Angelides Pulls Even With Westly – Los Angeles Times" . Los Angeles Times . May 28, 2006. Archived from the original on May 25, 2017. Retrieved August 14, 2010 .
^ "CA Secretary of State – Primary Election- County Status" . Primary2006.ss.ca.gov. Archived from the original on August 28, 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2010 .
^ Demovic, Nghia Nguyen (June 2, 2006). "Secretary of State Bruce McPherson Predicts 38% Turnout for California Primary Election" (PDF) . ss.ca.gov . Archived from the original (PDF) on June 28, 2006.
^ "Gubernatorial Primary Election" . vote.ss.ca.gov . Archived from the original on June 23, 2006. Retrieved June 23, 2006 .
^ Survey USA
^ Survey USA
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Field Poll
^ LA Times Poll
^ Survey USA
^ a b c Public Policy Institute of California
^ Survey USA
^ LA Times Poll
^ Public Policy Institute of California
^ a b c Public Policy Institute of California
^ a b c d e f California Secretary of State. Statement of Vote Gubernatorial Primary Election June 6, 2006 (PDF) . Sacramento, California. pp. 1–6. Retrieved July 23, 2024 .
^ "Schwarzenegger approval rating: 39 percent" . ocregister.com . April 13, 2006. Archived from the original on September 30, 2007. Retrieved April 25, 2006 .
^ Halper, Evan; Rau, Jordan (November 7, 2008). "Gov. pushes hike in sales tax, big cuts" . Los Angeles Times . Retrieved September 18, 2020 .
^ "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF) . The Cook Political Report . Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved October 1, 2006 .
^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved June 25, 2021 .
^ "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings" . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021 .
^ "Election 2006" . Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021 .
^ Field Poll
^ a b c d e f Zogby/WSJ
^ Field Poll
^ Rasmussen
^ Rasmussen
^ Public Policy Institute of California
^ Survey USA
^ Rasmussen Archived 2006-08-03 at the Wayback Machine
^ Public Policy Institute of California
^ Field Poll
^ Rasmussen
^ Survey & Policy Institute
^ a b LA Times Poll
^ Rasmussen
^ a b LA Times Poll
^ Rasmussen
^ a b Rasmussen Archived 2006-04-27 at the Wayback Machine
^ Rasmussen
^ a b Rasmussen
^ a b Rasmussen Archived 2005-12-19 at the Wayback Machine
^ Field Poll
^ Rasmussen Archived 2006-05-24 at the Wayback Machine
^ Rasmussen Archived 2006-04-21 at the Wayback Machine
^ a b c d e f Field Poll Archived 2005-08-30 at the Wayback Machine
^ Rasmussen Archived 2006-02-23 at the Wayback Machine
^ a b "Governor" (PDF) . Secretary of State of California . December 16, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008 .
^ "Registration and Participation" (PDF) . Secretary of State of California . December 18, 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2008. Retrieved July 16, 2008 .
^ "Counties by Congressional District" (PDF) . Secretary of State of California . December 18, 2006. Retrieved August 7, 2024 .
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