Opinion polling for the next Maltese general election

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In the run up to the next Maltese general election, expected by 2027, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.

Party polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.

It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.

Expressing a Preference

The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding.

Dates Conducted Polling firm Sample
size 		PL PN AD+PD Others Lead Not
voting[nb 1] 		Don't
know[nb 2] 		No
reply[nb 3]
5–13 Nov 2024 MaltaToday 707 45.3 46.3 4.1 4.2 1.0 29.4 – –
11–19 Sep 2024 MaltaToday 712 43.8 48.2 4.5 3.5 4.4 24.3 – –
8 June 2024 2024 EP Election[nb 4] – 45.3 42.0 1.2 11.2 3.3 27 – –
28-29 May Senior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal.[1][2]
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 650 47.3 43.1 9.6 4.2 30.2 – –
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 637 49.0 45.4 5.6 3.6 31.0
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 50.0 44.8 5.2 5.0 27.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 657 43.8 45.8 10.4 2.0 31
9–16 Mar 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 51.6 42.9 5.5 8.7 27.4
29 Feb Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[3][4]
26 March 2022 2022 general election – 45.8 34.7 1.3 1.3 11.1 14.4 – –

Complete Data

Dates Conducted Polling firm Sample
size 		PL PN AD+PD Others Lead Not
voting 		Don't
know 		No
reply[nb 5]
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 1600 34.9 35.3 4.9 4.6 0.4 15.9 4.4 –
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 749 29.6 30.2 1.2 1.2 0.6 22.6 13.9
10–19 May 2023 MaltaToday 574 33.1 28.7 0.4 0.7 4.4 20.8 14.7
3–10 Mar 2023 MaltaToday 574 30.8 28.4 2.1 2.6 2.4 24.8 10.0
29 Feb Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[5][6]
24 Jan–1 Feb 2023 MaltaToday 646 38.7 22.8 0.7 2.0 15.9 23.9 10.5 –
22 Nov–1 Dec 2022 MaltaToday 650 36.4 24.2 2.3 0.8 12.2 22.2 13.2
13–30 Sep 2022 MaltaToday 647 39.4 19.9 3.2 0.9 19.5 22.5 14.9
6–14 Jul 2022 MaltaToday 656 42.0 25.8 2.0 0.9 16.2 14.5 14.1
16–25 May 2022 MaltaToday 656 43.9 28.8 2.8 0.6 15.1 11.2 11.4
26 March 2022 2022 general election – 45.8 34.7 1.3 1.3 11.1 14.4 – –

Leader trust

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample
size 		Robert Abela Bernard Grech Sandra Gauci Neither Lead[nb 6] Don't
know
7–21 Mar 2024 MaltaToday 657 45.9 21.7 – 34.2 11.7 –
26 Jan–5 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 647 41.1 16.7 42.2 1.1
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 650 37.5 21.1 41.3 3.8
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 637 38.0 23.6 38.04 0.4
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 45.7 36.9 – 8.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 657 39.2 20 40.9 1.7
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 1600 36 27.1 7.8 29.1 6.9
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 749 36 26.8 – 33.3 5.9 0.7

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  2. ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  3. ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  4. ^ Although it is important that EP Elections are treated differently to General Elections, this is still an important reference point.
  5. ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  6. ^ Lead over other leader or non-voters

References

  1. ^ Agius, Matthew. "Blow-by-blow: Joseph Muscat's first day in court". MaltaToday. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  2. ^ Galea, Albert; Camilleri, Kyle Patrick; Caruana, Andrea. "How the second hospitals case ran an 11-hour marathon, before grinding to a halt". Malta Independent. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  3. ^ "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  4. ^ Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  6. ^ Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.