Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election

This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election.[1][2]

Seat projections

This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

Organisation Release
date 		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others[a] Lead
Der Föderalist 2 Dec 2024 [3] 43 131 41 83 186 73 100 27 24 12 55
Europe Elects 30 Nov 2024 [4] 53 134 36 81 183 77 100 29 24 3 49
Europe Elects 31 Oct 2024 [5] 52 137 34 82 183 76 98 28 28 2 46
Der Föderalist 7 Oct 2024 [6] 44 136 41 79 186 74 96 26 29 9 50
Europe Elects 30 Sep 2024 [7] 46 141 40 73 185 82 93 27 31 2 44
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 45 140 44 72 186 80 92 26 32 3 46
Der Föderalist 12 Aug 2024 [8] 44 137 45 77 191 73 88 25 31 9 54
2024 European Parliament election 6-9 June 2024 [9] 46 136 53 77 188 78 84 25 33 – 52

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

Organisation Release
date 		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others[b] Lead
Europe Elects 30 Nov 2024 [4] 8.7% 18.1% 6.5% 10.2% 23.7% 10.4% 11.1% 5.2% 3.6% 2.5% 5.6%
Europe Elects 31 Oct 2024 [5] 8.5% 18.3% 6.4% 10.5% 23.4% 10.2% 10.7% 5.1% 4% 2.9% 5.1%
Europe Elects 30 Sep 2024 [7] 8.1% 18.9% 7.1% 9.4% 23.6% 9.3% 9.9% 5.2% 4.4% 3.5% 4.7%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 6.7% 17.7% 6.0% 8.4% 22.8% 9.3% 9.1% 5.1% 3.9% 7.8% 5.1%
2024 European Parliament election 6-9 June 2024 [10] 6.74% 18.82% 8.88% 10.68% 20.80% 12.22% 9.36%[c] – 9.07% 3.43% 1.98%

Notes

  1. ^ Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  2. ^ Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  3. ^ As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.

References

  1. ^ "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  2. ^ a b c "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  3. ^ Müller, Manuel (5 December 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2024): Socialists in decline, far right at all-time high". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  4. ^ a b "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. 30 November 2024. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  5. ^ a b "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  6. ^ Müller, Manuel (11 October 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (October 2024): Far right makes further gains, EPP and Greens lose ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 11 October 2024.
  7. ^ a b "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  8. ^ Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  9. ^ "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
  10. ^ "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.