Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election
This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election .
Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia , OCTA Research , and other pollsters.
Those who win outright are in bold . Those that are within the margin of error are in italics .
Polling for Senate elections
Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews with respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark his or her choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."
Aside from publishing preferences per candidate, pollsters also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included in their preferences.
Calendar
Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2024
Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: October 8, 2024
Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 11 to May 10, 2025
Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 28 to May 10, 2025
Election day: May 12, 2025
Survey details
Date/s administered
Pollster
Sample size
Margin of error
Major issues when poll was administered
Dec 7–9, 2024[ 1]
DZRH
7,510
±1.13%
Oct 29–31, 2024[ 2]
Peers Agency
1,800
±2.5%
Oct 16–17, 2024[ 3]
Publicus Asia
1,500
±3%
Sep 14–23, 2024[ 4]
SWS
1,500
±2.5%
Sep 15–19, 2024[ 5]
Publicus Asia
1,500
–
Sep 6–13, 2024[ 6]
Pulse Asia
–
–
Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024[ 7]
OCTA
1,200
±3.0%
Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024[ 8]
OCTA
1,200
±3.0%
Jun 17–24, 2024[ 9]
Pulse Asia
–
–
Mar 14–19, 2024[ 10]
Publicus Asia
1,500
–
Mar 11–14, 2024[ 11]
OCTA
1,200
±3.0%
Mar 6–10, 2024[ 12]
Pulse Asia
–
–
Feb 21–29, 2024[ 13]
Oculum
3,000
±2.0%
Dec 10–14, 2023[ 14]
OCTA
1,200
±3.0%
Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023[ 15]
OCTA
1,200
±3.0%
Sep 20–30, 2023[ 16]
RP-MDF
10,000
±1.0%
Apr 15–18, 2023[ 17]
SWS
1,200
±3.0%
Per candidate
By voter preferences
After COC filing
Before COC filing
Candidate
Party
Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[ 17]
Sep 20–30, 2023 RP-MDF[ 16]
Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023 OCTA[ 15]
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA[ 14]
Feb 21–29, 2024 Oculum[ 13]
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[ 12]
Mar 11–14, 2024 OCTA[ 11]
Mar 14–19, 2024 Publicus Asia[ 10]
Jun 17–24, 2024 Pulse Asia[ 9]
Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024 OCTA[ 8]
Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024 OCTA[ 7]
Sep 6–13, 2024 Pulse Asia[ 6]
Sep 15–19, 2024 Publicus Asia[ 5]
Sep 14–23, 2024 SWS[ 4]
Benhur Abalos
PFP
8%
40.3%
15%
18%
–
12.9%
21%
–
10.2%
27%
28%
14.9%
18%
14%
Ernesto Abella
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.6%
–
–
0.5%
1%
–
–
–
–
Persida Acosta
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
8.9%
–
–
6.3%
7%
–
4.4%
–
–
Jerome Adonis
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.2%
–
1%
Pantaleon Alvarez
Reporma
2%
–
–
–
–
3.3%
–
–
2.0%
–
–
–
–
–
Jocelyn Andamo
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.2%
–
1%
Bam Aquino
KNP
7%
–
13%
12%
–
17.3%
7.3%
–
12.5%
10%
14%
19.0%
23%
14%
Ronnel Arambulo
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.2%
–
1%
Gloria Macapagal Arroyo
Lakas
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
14%
–
Lorraine Badoy-Partosa
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.5%
–
–
0.3%
–
–
0.6%
–
–
Teddy Baguilat
Liberal
2%
–
–
–
–
0.3%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Carl Balita
Aksyon
0.5%
–
–
–
–
2.5%
2.6%
–
1.9%
–
–
1.4%
–
–
Ace Barbers
Nacionalista
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2%
4%
–
–
–
Herbert Bautista
NPC
8%
17.1%
10%
12%
–
11.0%
11.7%
–
13.2%
12%
–
10.8%
–
7%
Greco Belgica
PDDS
1%
–
–
–
–
1.4%
–
–
0.8%
1%
–
0.6%
–
–
Abigail Binay
NPC
–
–
10%
11%
–
29.1%
14.1%
–
18.9%
23%
22%
37.5%
15%
20%
Jejomar Binay
UNA
15%
–
–
25%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Jimmy Bondoc
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.8%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Arlene Brosas
Gabriela
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1%
Jose Calida
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.7%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Teodoro Casiño
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
1%
France Castro
ACT Teachers
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2.0%
1%
2%
1.4%
–
3%
Pia Cayetano
Nacionalista
23%
39.6%
36%
30%
35%
37.7%
26%
23%
42.7%
39%
35%
41.3%
27%
26%
Neri Colmenares
Makabayan
4%
–
6%
8%
–
4.4%
5.4%
–
5.9%
4%
6%
4.2%
–
2%
Dakila Cua
PFP
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.3%
–
–
–
–
Dingdong Dantes
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
10.4%
–
–
8.1%
11%
10%
9.6%
–
–
Rafaela David
Akbayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.3%
–
–
0.7%
–
–
Noli de Castro
Aksyon
9%
20.2%
19%
12%
–
–
13.7%
–
–
12%
–
–
–
–
Leila de Lima
Liberal
5%
–
6%
7%
–
9.3%
8.6%
–
–
9%
8%
–
–
–
Arthur Defensor Jr.
PFP
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3%
–
–
–
–
Lorenz Defensor
NUP
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
5.5%
–
–
–
–
–
Mike Defensor
PFP
–
–
14%
7%
–
8.9%
11.3%
–
–
9%
–
–
–
–
Ronald dela Rosa
PDP
9%
51.7%
39%
47%
41%
33.2%
33%
28%
31.3%
36%
29%
26.2%
26%
18%
Fernando Diaz
PPP
1%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.6%
–
–
–
–
–
Chel Diokno
Akbayan
7%
–
12%
7%
–
11.2%
7.3%
–
–
6%
7%
7.0%
28%
7%
Mimi Doringo
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.1%
–
1%
Franklin Drilon
Liberal
8%
–
13%
12%
–
16.1%
14.5%
–
15.3%
17%
18%
15.8%
–
12%
Paolo Duterte
HNP
–
–
13%
14%
–
13.1%
15.1%
–
13.8%
15%
20%
16.3%
18%
–
Rodrigo Duterte
PDP
25%
–
–
–
53%
47.7%
38%
38%
38.7%
33%
33%
38.0%
36%
25%
Sebastian Duterte
PDP
–
–
–
–
–
13.5%
16.8%
–
14.9%
18%
22%
19.1%
18%
–
Guillermo Eleazar
Reporma
7%
–
8%
–
–
10.4%
4.8%
–
9.8%
4%
–
5.4%
–
–
Luke Espiritu
PLM
1%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.4%
–
–
Ted Failon
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
14.6%
–
–
18.8%
13%
–
12.2%
23%
–
Mody Floranda
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.4%
–
0.2%
Christina Frasco
Lakas
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2.8%
2%
–
1.6%
–
–
Duke Frasco
NUP
–
–
–
–
–
1.4%
–
–
2.8%
–
–
1.0%
–
–
Larry Gadon
KBL
5%
–
4%
–
–
4.6%
3.4%
–
3.5%
1%
–
1.9%
–
–
George Garcia
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.9%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Gwendolyn Garcia
One Cebu
4%
–
5%
–
–
5.2%
5.9%
–
–
3%
–
–
–
–
Rex Gatchalian
NPC
10%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Bong Go
PDP
20%
68.7%
49%
53%
40%
44.2%
50%
32%
36.6%
45%
49%
40.3%
33%
18%
Ferdinand Golez
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.6%
–
–
–
1%
–
–
–
–
Richard Gomez
PFP
7%
–
14%
11%
–
11.6%
12.7%
–
9.9%
8%
9%
9.5%
–
–
Aurelio Gonzales Jr.
Lakas
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.9%
–
–
–
–
–
Dick Gordon
Bagumbayan
6%
–
16%
14%
–
14.8%
17.6%
–
12.0%
15%
18%
17.3%
–
10%
Samira Gutoc
Aksyon
1%
–
–
–
–
–
2.1%
–
–
2%
–
–
–
–
Barry Gutierrez
Akbayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.9%
–
–
1.5%
–
–
Gregorio Honasan
Reform PH
10%
–
19%
18%
23%
17.5%
17.6%
–
18.6%
17%
23%
21.5%
–
13%
Edwin Jubahib
PFP
0.5%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Lorna Kapunan
Aksyon
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3.4%
–
–
2.9%
–
–
Panfilo Lacson
Independent
16%
36.9%
32%
32%
32%
28.6%
34%
32%
32.2%
34%
44%
35.5%
29%
24%
Rey Langit
PDP
1%
–
–
–
–
1.3%
1.7%
–
–
1%
–
–
–
–
Lito Lapid
NPC
17%
25.3%
26%
20%
30%
25.4%
22%
–
21.4%
28%
33%
24.7%
16%
20%
Wilbert Lee
Aksyon
–
–
–
–
–
0.4%
–
–
1.4%
–
14%
1.1%
–
–
Ronald Llamas
Akbayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.6%
–
–
0.1%
–
–
Benjamin Magalong
NPC
–
–
–
–
–
3.1%
–
–
2.1%
–
–
2.4%
–
–
Hermilando Mandanas
PDP
–
–
2%
–
–
0.6%
2.1%
–
1.2%
–
–
0.6%
–
–
Rodante Marcoleta
PDP
3%
–
8%
–
–
2.4%
2.2%
–
4.3%
3%
6%
3.3%
15%
–
Liza Araneta Marcos
PFP
–
–
–
–
–
6.0%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Imee Marcos
Nacionalista
18%
55.8%
39%
42%
35%
32.1%
29%
27%
33.8%
28%
33%
29.8%
29%
25%
Eric Martinez
PDP
–
–
–
–
–
0.8%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Richard Mata
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.4%
–
–
–
1%
–
–
–
–
Sonny Matula
WPP
1%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Liza Maza
Gabriela
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.1%
–
1%
Cesar Montano
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
8.4%
–
–
7.1%
6%
7%
5.2%
–
–
Isko Moreno
Aksyon
14%
36.5%
35%
32%
45%
31.5%
27%
27%
31.7%
23%
–
–
–
–
Ariel Nepomuceno
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.3%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Victor Neri
Independent
–
–
3%
–
–
2.2%
3.8%
–
2.9%
2%
3%
2.3%
–
–
Willie Ong
Aksyon
–
24.7%
21%
17%
35%
24.6%
21%
41%
18.3%
20%
28%
19.8%
–
–
Serge Osmeña
Independent
6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Manny Pacquiao
PROMDI
19%
37.2%
26%
28%
43%
33.7%
32%
–
33.5%
32%
34%
31.9%
29%
18%
Salvador Panelo
PDP
2%
–
3%
–
–
0.8%
2.5%
–
2.4%
–
–
2.5%
–
–
Francis Pangilinan
Liberal
8%
19.8%
19%
15%
–
22.2%
14.9%
–
19.2%
17%
17%
20.5%
30%
15%
Prospero Pichay Jr.
Lakas
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.9%
–
–
0.9%
–
–
Kathryna Pimentel
PDP
–
–
4%
–
–
5.7%
4.1%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Emmanuel Piñol
NPC
2%
–
–
–
–
3.5%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Ariel Querubin
Nacionalista
–
–
–
–
–
1.0%
–
–
2.8%
3%
5%
2.7%
–
3%
Apollo Quiboloy
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.2%
–
–
0.6%
–
–
1.0%
–
–
Danilo Ramos
Makabayan
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.6%
–
2%
Ralph Recto
Nacionalista
7%
–
14%
15%
–
18.8%
13.9%
–
15.8%
14%
–
12.5%
–
–
Jesus Crispin Remulla
NUP
1%
–
–
–
–
3.6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Bong Revilla
Lakas
13%
63.8%
32%
35%
32%
29.6%
30%
–
29.9%
38%
44%
35.9%
14%
24%
Willie Revillame
Independent
–
19.4%
13%
18%
–
25.9%
14.3%
–
–
15%
19%
–
–
–
Leni Robredo
Liberal
10%
50.9%
15%
17%
23%
13.6%
11.7%
27%
–
–
–
–
–
8%
Rufus Rodriguez
CDP
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3%
3%
–
–
–
Vic Rodriguez
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
0.9%
–
–
0.4%
1%
2%
1.0%
–
–
Martin Romualdez
Lakas
5%
53.4%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Yedda Marie Romualdez
Lakas
–
–
–
–
–
1.5%
–
–
2.4%
–
–
4.0%
–
–
Harry Roque
PRP
4%
–
8%
7%
–
5.0%
5.8%
–
5.9%
2%
5%
3.6%
–
4%
Mar Roxas
Liberal
10%
–
11%
15%
–
13.6%
11.7%
–
15.9%
13%
–
9.8%
–
–
Phillip Salvador
PDP
–
–
6%
–
–
3.9%
3.6%
–
5.4%
4%
6%
8.1%
–
7%
Korina Sanchez
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
11.5%
–
–
8.1%
–
–
Vilma Santos
Nacionalista
3%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23.6%
–
–
12.1%
–
–
Allen Singson
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.7%
–
–
0.6%
–
–
Chavit Singson
NPC
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
6%
6.1%
–
5%
Tito Sotto
NPC
18%
68.9%
42%
48%
53%
51.8%
52%
32%
50.4%
44%
50%
48.0%
37%
34%
Vico Sotto
Independent
18%
–
–
–
35%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Anthony Taberna
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
–
3.7%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Gilbert Teodoro
PRP
5%
–
18%
19%
–
15.2%
12.6%
26%
16.8%
14%
–
12.7%
–
7%
Francis Tolentino
Independent
6%
63.6%
28%
33%
–
16.7%
22%
–
17.6%
34%
34%
13.5%
29%
14%
Antonio Trillanes
Aksyon
6%
–
10%
11%
–
13.0%
10.2%
–
–
12%
–
–
–
–
Ben Tulfo
Independent
–
–
–
–
–
30.5%
43%
–
40.9%
45%
57%
46.6%
26%
–
Erwin Tulfo
Lakas
32%
64.5%
60%
76%
52%
57.1%
58%
37%
58.0%
58%
60%
60.8%
42%
54%
Luis Raymund Villafuerte
NUP
–
–
2%
–
–
2.8%
2.8%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Camille Villar
Nacionalista
6%
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17%
21.0%
13%
21%
Don't know
3%
1%
3.5%
2.6%
2.4%
7%
Refused
4%
3%
1.7%
2.1%
1.5%
None
7%
1.0%
1.9%
3.2%
Invalid votes (13 or more names)
Per party
Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.
Seats won
Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
Date
Pollster
2024
Aug 28–Sep 2
OCTA[ 7]
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
Jun 26–Jul 1
OCTA[ 8]
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
Jun 17–24
Pulse Asia[ 9]
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0
0
1
0
2
Mar 14–19
Publicus Asia[ 10]
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
Mar 11–14
OCTA[ 11]
1
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
Mar 6–10
Pulse Asia[ 12]
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
3
0
0
1
0
3
Feb 21–29
Oculum[ 13]
1
2
0
1
1
2
2
3
0
0
1
0
3
2023
Dec 10–14
OCTA[ 14]
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
Sep 30–Oct 4
OCTA[ 15]
1
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
Sep 20–30
RP-MDF[ 16]
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
Apr 15–18
SWS[ 17]
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
Seats after the election
Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
Date
Pollster
2024
Aug 28–Sep 2
OCTA[ 7]
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
6
4
1
0
1
1
0
7
Jun 26–Jul 1
OCTA[ 8]
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
7
4
1
0
1
1
0
7
Jun 17–24
Pulse Asia[ 9]
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
5
4
0
0
1
1
0
6
Mar 14–19
Publicus Asia[ 10]
1
1
2
0
0
1
3
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
Mar 11–14
OCTA[ 11]
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
6
4
1
0
1
1
0
7
Mar 6–10
Pulse Asia[ 12]
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
7
4
0
0
1
1
0
7
Feb 21–29
Oculum[ 13]
1
1
2
0
1
1
3
6
4
0
0
1
1
0
7
2023
Dec 10–14
OCTA[ 14]
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
6
Sep 30–Oct 4
OCTA[ 15]
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
6
3
0
0
1
1
0
6
Sep 20–30
RP-MDF[ 16]
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
6
3
1
0
1
1
0
6
Apr 15–18
SWS[ 17]
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
6
3
0
0
1
1
1
6
References
^ a b Antalan, Mary (December 13, 2024). "DESISYON 2025: First wave of MBC-DZRH pre-election survey" . DZRH . Retrieved December 13, 2024 .
^ a b "People's PEERSpective: Results of October-November 2024 PEERS Survey on Filipino Senatorial and Party-List Preferences" (PDF) . www.peersph.org . Retrieved November 16, 2024 .
^ a b PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc. "PAHAYAG Senate Preference Survey: Bong Go Leads, But Nearly Half of Voters Open to Change" . Retrieved October 21, 2024 .
^ a b "Social Weather Stations | SWS confirms survey item for Stratbase Consultancy on voting preferences for Senators in the 2025 elections" . www.sws.org.ph . Retrieved October 1, 2024 .
^ a b PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc. [@publicusasia] (September 30, 2024). "PAHAYAG 2024 Third Quarter" (Tweet ) – via Twitter .
^ a b "September 2024 Ulat ng Bayan Senatorial Pre-Election Preference probe" . Pulse Asia Research Inc . Retrieved October 1, 2024 .
^ a b c d "Tulfo brothers, Sotto, Go top latest OCTA senatorial survey" . GMANetwork.com . September 19, 2024. Retrieved September 19, 2024 .
^ a b c d Casilao, Joahna Lei (June 18, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo keeps lead in OCTA's senatorial survey" . GMANetwork.com . Retrieved June 19, 2024 .
^ a b c d "June 2024 Ulat ng Bayan Senatorial Pre-Election Preference probe" . Pulse Asia . Retrieved July 15, 2024 .
^ a b c d "Former President Duterte slips from top spot in 2025 Senatorial race - PAHAYAG Survey" . www.publicusasia.com . Archived from the original on June 30, 2024. Retrieved June 30, 2024 .
^ a b c d "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA Research senatorial survey" . GMANetwork.com . April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024 .
^ a b c d "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election" . Pulse Asia . Retrieved April 4, 2024 .
^ a b c d Untalan, Sherylin (April 30, 2024). "Ex-president Duterte, Sotto, Tulfo top potential senatorial bets in survey" . GMA News Online . Retrieved July 1, 2024 .
^ a b c d Pelonia, Ada (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo leads OCTA's 2025 senatorial survey anew" . DZRH . Retrieved April 4, 2024 .
^ a b c d De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (October 23, 2023). "Erwin Tulfo still most preferred bet for 2025 senatorial race — survey" . Manila Bulletin . Retrieved April 4, 2024 .
^ a b c d
"Sotto, Go lead 2025 senatorial survey — RPMD" . Manila Standard . October 16, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2024 .
^ a b c d "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)" . SWS . June 13, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023 .