PROFILPELAJAR.COM

Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

Opinion polls

2024

First round

Publisher/Pollster	Polling period	Sample size	Lula PT	Haddad PT	Freitas Republicanos	J. Bolsonaro^[a] PL	Marçal PRTB	M. Bolsonaro PL	Gomes PDT	Zema NOVO	Ratinho PSD	Moro UNIÃO	Caiado UNIÃO	Leite PSDB	Barbalho MDB	Tebet MDB	Cristina PP	Blank/Null/ Undec.	Lead
Publisher/Pollster	Polling period	Sample size																Blank/Null/ Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas^[1]	21–25 Nov 2024	2,014	33.6%	—	—	37.6%	—	—	7.9%	—	—	—	3.7%	—	—	7.7%	—	9.6%	4%
			34.2%	—	—	—	—	27.5%	10.2%	—	—	—	6.4%	—	—	8.2%	—	13.5%	6.7%
			34.7%	—	24.1%	—	—	—	11.5%	—	—	—	5.3%	—	—	8.4%	—	16.1%	10.6%
			34.4%	—	—	—	—	—	12.8%	—	15.3%	—	8.9%	—	—	8.7%	—	19.9%	19.1%
			34.7%	—	—	—	—	—	13.4%	12.2%	—	—	8%	—	—	9.5%	—	22.2%	21.3%
			—	14.5%	—	38.3%	—	—	14.2%	—	—	—	4.4%	—	—	13%	—	15.6%	23.8%
			—	14.9%	—	—	—	27.6%	17%	—	—	—	7.1%	—	—	13.5%	—	19.9%	10.6%
CNT/MDA^[2]	7–10 Nov 2024	2,002	35.2%	—	—	32.2%	8.4%	—	6.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	8%	—	10%	3%
			34.1%	—	—	—	14.1%	20.5%	9.3%	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.2%	—	12.8%	13.6%
			35.2%	—	15%	—	16.9%	—	9.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.5%	—	14%	18.3%
Paraná Pesquisas^[3]	18–22 Jul 2024	2,026	38.3%	—	—	36.9%	—	—	7.9%	—	—	—	3%	1.9%	0.5%	—	—	11.6%	1.4%
			38.7%	—	—	—	—	30.3%	9.1%	—	—	—	4.5%	2.3%	0.6%	—	—	14.5%	8.4%
			38.9%	—	24.4%	—	—	—	11.8%	—	—	—	4%	2.7%	0.6%	—	—	17.6%	14.5%
			39%	—	—	—	—	—	12.4%	—	14.2%	—	7.5%	3.3%	0.7%	—	—	22.8%	24.8%
			38.8%	—	—	—	—	—	13.3%	13.1%	—	—	6.7%	3.5%	0.8%	—	—	23.9%	25.5%
Genial/Quaest^[4]	2–6 May 2024	2,045	46%	—	40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14%	6%
Paraná Pesquisas^[5]	27 Apr–1 May 2024	2,020	36%	—	—	38.8%	—	—	8.4%	—	—	—	—	3.4%	1.0%	—	—	12.3%	2.8%
			36.6%	—	—	—	—	33%	10.1%	—	—	—	—	3.8%	1.4%	—	—	15.0%	3.6%
			36.9%	—	25.6%	—	—	—	11.8%	—	—	—	—	3.8%	1.3%	—	—	20.7%	11.3%
			37.2%	—	—	—	—	—	14.7%	—	—	—	10.9%	5.6%	1.7%	—	—	29.8%	22.5%
			36.9%	—	—	—	—	—	15.2%	—	—	—	—	6.5%	1.9%	—	15.2%	31.0%	21.7%
			36.3%	—	—	—	—	—	13.8%	—	17.6%	—	—	4.9%	1.6%	—	—	25.9%	18.7%
			37.2%	—	—	—	—	—	14.8%	14.9%	—	—	—	5.1%	1.8%	—	—	26.3%	22.3%
Paraná Pesquisas^[6]	24–28 Jan 2024	2,026	37.6%	—	—	—	—	23%	9.3%	6.5%	5.1%	—	1.9%	—	0.9%	—	—	15.6%	14.6%
			37.4%	—	17.4%	—	—	—	10.3%	5.8%	6.2%	—	2.1%	—	1.1%	—	—	19.6%	20%
			36.9%	—	—	33.8%	—	—	7.8%	3.9%	3.9%	—	1.2%	—	0.8%	—	—	11.7%	3.1%
Paraná Pesquisas^[7]	29 Sep – 3 Oct 2023	2,020	36.6%	—	12.7%	—	—	—	6.3%	5.7%	4.6%	6.7%	1.2%	2.1%	—	7.4%	1.9%	14.9%	23.9%
			37.6%	—	18.9%	—	—	—	8.7%	—	—	—	—	3.7%	—	9.0%	—	22.2%	18.7%
			37.6%	—	—	—	—	—	8.8%	15.3%	—	—	—	4.0%	—	8.8%	—	25.5%	22.3%
			37.7%	—	—	—	—	—	9.2%	—	12.8%	—	—	4.1%	—	8.7%	—	27.4%	24.9%

Second round

Publisher/Pollster	Polling period	Sample size	Lula PT	Freitas Republicanos	J. Bolsonaro^[b] PL	Marçal PRTB	Caiado UNIÃO	Blank/Null/ Undec.	Lead
Publisher/Pollster	Polling period	Sample size						Blank/Null/ Undec.	Lead
Genial/Quaest^[8]	4–9 Dec 2024	8,598	51%	—	35%	—	—	14%	16%
			52%	26%	—	—	—	22%	26%
			52%	—	—	27%	—	22%	25%
			54%	—	—	—	20%	26%	34%