Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.
The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 . The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.
Graphical summary
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.
Most recent polling by pollster
This section collates the most recent opinion poll from each pollster.[ 1]
Pollster
Dates conducted
Lab
Con
Ref
LD
Green
Lead
Techne
15–16 Jan
26%
25%
23%
12%
7%
Lab +1 over Con
Find Out Now
15 Jan
24%
25%
25%
12%
10%
Con-Ref tie
YouGov
12–13 Jan
26%
22%
25%
14%
8%
Lab +1 over Ref
More In Common
10–13 Jan
24%
25%
24%
12%
8%
Con +1 over Lab & Ref
Opinium
8–10 Jan
29%
23%
24%
10%
9%
Lab +5 over Ref
Deltapoll
30 Dec – 3 Jan
30%
23%
22%
12%
9%
Lab +7 over Con
Survation
12–16 Dec
30%
25%
20%
11%
7%
Lab +5 over Con
Stonehaven
6–9 Dec
28%
24%
21%
13%
8%
Lab +4 over Con
BMG Research
26–27 Nov
29%
27%
20%
12%
7%
Lab +2 over Con
JL Partners
13–14 Nov
27%
26%
20%
12%
9%
Lab +1 over Con
We Think
7–8 Aug
33%
20%
21%
11%
8%
Lab +12 over Ref
General election (GB)
4 Jul 2024
34.7%
24.4%
14.7%
12.5%
6.9%
Lab +10.3 over Con
National poll results
Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland , which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom . Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party only stand candidates in Scotland . Due to rounding total figures might not add up to 100%.
2025
Dates conducted
Pollster
Client
Area
Sample size
Lab
Con
Reform
Lib Dems
Green
Others
Lead
15–16 Jan
Techne
N/A
UK
1,624
26%
25%
23%
12%
7%
1
15 Jan
Find Out Now
N/A
GB
2,386
24%
25%
25%
12%
10%
Tie
12–13 Jan
YouGov
The Times
GB
2,279
26%
22%
25%
14%
8%
1
10–13 Jan
More in Common
N/A
GB
1,587
24%
25%
24%
12%
8%
1
8–10 Jan
Opinium
The Observer
GB
2,050
29%
23%
24%
10%
9%
5
8 Jan
Find Out Now
N/A
GB
2,076
25%
20%
25%
11%
11%
Tie
6–8 Jan
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,011
26%
26%
22%
12%
7%
Tie
30 Dec – 3 Jan
Deltapoll
Mail on Sunday
GB
1,532
30%
23%
22%
12%
9%
7
2024
Dates conducted
Pollster
Client
Area
Sample size
Lab
Con
Reform
Lib Dems
Green
Others
Lead
19–23 Dec
Deltapoll
The Mirror
GB
1,552
29%
25%
21%
12%
8%
5%
SNP on 4%
PC on 0%
Other on 1%
4
18–20 Dec
Opinium
The Observer
GB
1,472
29%
23%
22%
11%
10%
7%
SNP on 3%
PC on 1%
Other on 2%
6
18–19 Dec
Techne
N/A
UK
1,642
27%
26%
21%
12%
7%
1
12–16 Dec
Survation
N/A
UK
2,030
30%
25%
20%
11%
7%
5
31 Oct–16 Dec
More in Common (MRP)
N/A
GB
11,024
25%
26%
21%
14%
8%
1
11–12 Dec
Techne
N/A
UK
1,634
27%
25%
22%
11%
7%
2
11 Dec
Find Out Now
N/A
GB
2,659
26%
23%
25%
11%
9%
1
6–10 Dec
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,432
26%
26%
19%
13%
8%
Tie
6–9 Dec
Stonehaven (MRP)
N/A
GB
2,072
28%
24%
21%
13%
8%
4
5–6 Dec
Techne
N/A
UK
1,644
27%
25%
21%
12%
7%
2
4 Dec
Find Out Now
N/A
GB
2,607
23%
26%
24%
11%
9%
2
29 Nov – 2 Dec
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,002
26%
28%
21%
13%
7%
2
27–29 Nov
Opinium
The Observer
GB
2,050
29%
25%
21%
10%
9%
4
27–28 Nov
Techne
N/A
UK
1,648
28%
27%
18%
13%
6%
1
27 Nov
Find Out Now
N/A
GB
2,316
25%
27%
22%
12%
9%
2
26–27 Nov
BMG Research
The i
GB
1,531
29%
27%
20%
12%
7%
2
26–27 Nov
More in Common
N/A
GB
1,972
27%
30%
18%
12%
8%
3
20–21 Nov
Techne
N/A
UK
1,632
29%
27%
17%
12%
7%
2
19–21 Nov
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,002
25%
28%
19%
13%
8%
3
14–18 Nov
Deltapoll
N/A
GB
1,749
29%
27%
18%
12%
8%
2
13–14 Nov
JL Partners
The Sun / Politico
GB
2,024
27%
26%
20%
12%
9%
1
13–14 Nov
Techne
N/A
GB
1,643
28%
27%
17%
13%
7%
1
11–13 Nov
Opinium
The Observer
GB
1,646
30%
24%
21%
12%
8%
6
8–11 Nov
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,007
27%
29%
19%
11%
8%
2
6–7 Nov
Techne
N/A
UK
1,636
29%
25%
18%
13%
7%
4
2 Nov
Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
30 Oct – 1 Nov
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,007
28%
26%
18%
14%
8%
2
30–31 Oct
Opinium
The Observer
GB
1,548
31%
24%
20%
10%
10%
7
30–31 Oct
BMG Research
The i
GB
1,511
28%
29%
17%
13%
8%
1
30–31 Oct
Techne
N/A
UK
1,632
30%
24%
18%
14%
7%
6
23–24 Oct
Techne
N/A
UK
1,644
29%
24%
19%
13%
7%
5
16–18 Oct
Opinium
The Observer
GB
1,565
31%
24%
20%
12%
8%
7
16–17 Oct
Techne
N/A
UK
1,636
28%
25%
19%
13%
7%
3
11–13 Oct
JL Partners
The Telegraph
GB
2,000
29%
25%
19%
14%
7%
4
9–10 Oct
Techne
N/A
UK
1,651
29%
24%
19%
12%
7%
5
9–10 Oct
More in Common
The Times
GB
2,000
27%
27%
21%
13%
7%
Tie
5–7 Oct
More in Common
Politico
GB
2,023
29%
28%
19%
11%
7%
1
4–7 Oct
Deltapoll
N/A
GB
2,108
29%
25%
18%
14%
8%
4
2–4 Oct
Opinium
The Observer
GB
1,491
31%
24%
20%
11%
8%
7
2–3 Oct
BMG Research
i
GB
1,562
30%
25%
20%
13%
7%
5
2–3 Oct
Techne
N/A
UK
1,643
31%
23%
18%
13%
7%
8
25–26 Sep
Techne
N/A
UK
1,638
32%
22%
18%
13%
7%
10
24–25 Sep
More in Common
N/A
GB
2,080
30%
26%
18%
13%
8%
4
18–19 Sep
Techne
The Independent
UK
1,641
33%
21%
18%
13%
7%
12
10–12 Sep
More in Common
Politico
GB
1,542
29%
25%
18%
14%
8%
4
29 Aug
BMG Research
i
GB
1,560
30%
26%
19%
12%
8%
4
7–8 Aug
We Think
N/A
GB
1,278
33%
20%
21%
11%
8%
12
5–7 Aug
BMG Research
i
GB
1,523
33%
24%
18%
12%
8%
4%
9
30 Jul – 5 Aug
Stonehaven
N/A
GB
2,048
34%
22%
17%
12%
9%
6%
12
25–26 Jul
We Think
N/A
GB
2,012
36%
22%
17%
11%
7%
14
11–12 Jul
We Think
N/A
GB
2,005
39%
20%
16%
11%
9%
5%
19
4 Jul 2024
2024 general election
–
UK
–
33.7%
23.7%
14.3%
12.2%
6.8%
9.3%
10.0
GB
34.7%
24.4%
14.7%
12.5%
6.9%
6.8%
10.3
Seat projections
MRP polls
POLARIS projections
Political Analysis through Regional and Local Insights System (POLARIS) is a novel model created by J.L. Partners, using council by-elections to predict election outcomes.[ 2]
Sub-national poll results
Northern Ireland
Scotland
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Wales
English mayoral regions
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough
Greater Lincolnshire
Hull and East Yorkshire
London
100 most rural constituencies
In November 2024, Survation conducted a survey of the 100 "most rural" constituencies.
Approval polling
Leadership approval
Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Dates conducted
Pollster
Sample size
Keir Starmer
Kemi Badenoch
Nigel Farage
Ed Davey
Carla Denyer
Adrian Ramsay
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
10–13 Jan 2025
More in Common
2,102
19%
58%
–39
14%
32%
–18
25%
42%
–17
–
–
–
8–10 Jan 2025
Opinium
2,050
22%
55%
–33
21%
34%
–13
30%
39%
–9
22%
20%
+2
–
–
30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025
Deltapoll
1,532
26%
68%
–42
25%
46%
–21
–
–
–
–
19–23 Dec 2024
Deltapoll
1,552
28%
64%
–36
34%
38%
–4
–
–
–
–
18–20 Dec 2024
Opinium
2,010
22%
54%
–32
21%
32%
–12
29%
38%
–9
23%
20%
+3
–
–
12–13 Dec 2024
YouGov
2,215
25%
66%
–41
18%
49%
–31
28%
62%
–34
–
–
–
6–10 Dec 2024
More in Common
2,432
19%
55%
–36
18%
27%
–9
27%
38%
–11
17%
25%
–8
–
–
27 Nov – 4 Dec 2024
Ipsos
1,028
27%
61%
–34
19%
34%
–15
–
30%
27%
+3
–
–
27–29 Nov 2024
Opinium
2,020
22%
54%
–32
22%
28%
–6
29%
38%
–9
22%
21%
+1
–
–
26–27 Nov 2024
BMG Research
1,531
25%
53%
–28
23%
16%
+7
27%
34%
–7
23%
18%
+5
–
–
26–27 Nov 2024
More in Common
1,749
24%
53%
–29
20%
26%
–6
25%
41%
–16
–
–
–
14–18 Nov 2024
Deltapoll
1,749
29%
61%
–32
24%
38%
–14
–
–
–
–
13–14 Nov 2024
JL Partners
2,024
25%
48%
–23
22%
23%
–1
31%
41%
–10
20%
21%
–1
12%
12%
-
11%
10%
+1
11–13 Nov 2024
Opinium
2,068
25%
50%
–25
20%
25%
–5
29%
37%
–8
23%
19%
+3
–
–
8–11 Nov 2024
Ipsos
1,139
23%
52%
–29
21%
39%
–18
28%
48%
–20
21%
31%
–10
17%
26%
–9
16%
26%
–10
8–11 Nov 2024
More In Common
2,111
24%
48%
–24
17%
19%
–2
–
16%
21%
–5
–
–
8–10 Nov 2024
YouGov
2,099
28%
61%
–33
21%
41%
–20
30%
61%
–31
24%
31%
–7
7%
14%
–7
4%
12%
–8
2 Nov
Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Dates conducted
Pollster
Sample size
Keir Starmer
Rishi Sunak
Nigel Farage
Ed Davey
Carla Denyer
Adrian Ramsay
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
30–31 Oct 2024
BMG Research
1,511
23%
49%
–26
28%
33%
–5
28%
35%
–7
19%
19%
-
–
–
30–31 Oct 2024
Opinium
2,016
26%
50%
–24
23%
45%
–22
28%
40%
–12
23%
19%
+4
–
–
18–20 Oct 2024
Savanta
2,135
30%
48%
–18
28%
49%
–21
31%
46%
–14
22%
28%
–5
15%
20%
–5
13%
20%
–7
16–18 Oct 2024
Opinium
2,007
21%
53%
–32
20%
45%
–25
25%
39%
–14
22%
20%
+2
–
–
9–10 Oct 2024
More In Common
2,073
18%
56%
–38
18%
49%
–31
–
–
–
–
5–7 Oct 2024
More In Common
2,023
21%
54%
–33
19%
51%
–32
–
–
–
–
4–7 Oct 2024
Deltapoll
2,108
30%
61%
–31
27%
65%
–38
–
–
–
–
4–6 Oct 2024
YouGov
2,121
27%
63%
–36
24%
66%
–42
28%
63%
–35
25%
32%
–7
–
–
2–4 Oct 2024
Opinium
2,055
24%
52%
–28
18%
47%
–29
26%
42%
–16
21%
21%
-
–
–
2–3 Oct 2024
BMG Research
1,562
25%
50%
–25
23%
41%
–18
29%
32%
–4
21%
20%
+1
–
–
25–27 Sep 2024
Opinium
2,003
23%
53%
–30
20%
46%
–26
29%
40%
–11
22%
23%
–1
–
–
24–25 Sep 2024
More In Common
2,080
21%
48%
–27
17%
52%
–35
–
–
–
–
20–22 Sep 2024
YouGov
2,137
30%
60%
–30
24%
68%
–44
28%
63%
–35
27%
36%
–9
–
–
18–20 Sep 2024
Opinium
2,050
24%
50%
–26
21%
46%
–25
27%
39%
–12
24%
21%
+3
–
–
9 Sep 2024
More In Common
2,024
25%
45%
–20
–
–
–
–
–
29 Aug 2024
BMG Research
1,560
28%
44%
–16
22%
46%
–24
28%
37%
–9
19%
21%
–2
–
–
24–27 Aug 2024
More In Common
2,015
27%
43%
–16
17%
58%
–41
–
–
–
–
14–16 Aug 2024
Opinium
2,000
32%
38%
–6
20%
50%
–30
24%
43%
–19
21%
21%
-
–
–
7–8 Aug 2024
We Think
1,278
33%
42%
–9
22%
57%
–35
29%
44%
–15
18%
36%
–18
14%
28%
–14
10%
26%
–16
5–7 Aug 2024
BMG Research
1,523
30%
33%
–3
19%
42%
–23
23%
37%
–14
21%
16%
+5
–
–
5–6 Aug 2024
YouGov
2,163
37%
53%
–16
23%
71%
–48
25%
67%
–42
–
–
–
5 Aug
2024 United Kingdom riots end
31 Jul – 2 Aug 2024
Opinium
2,063
35%
32%
+3
18%
48%
–30
25%
40%
–15
24%
19%
+5
19%
17%
+2
19%
17%
+2
30–31 Jul 2024
YouGov
2,233
40%
49%
–9
23%
70%
–47
27%
62%
–35
27%
33%
–6
9%
12%
–3
3%
10%
–7
25–26 Jul 2024
We Think
2,012
42%
37%
+5
25%
61%
–36
30%
50%
–20
21%
36%
–15
16%
34%
–18
12%
32%
–20
17–19 Jul 2024
Opinium
2,010
38%
20%
+18
20%
42%
–22
–
25%
18%
+7
21%
15%
+6
21%
15%
+6
11–12 Jul 2024
We Think
2,005
38%
15%
+23
21%
31%
–10
–
–
–
–
5–8 Jul 2024
YouGov [ 10]
2,102
44%
47%
–3
23%
70%
–47
27%
65%
–38
34%
29%
+5
13%
16%
–3
7%
14%
–7
5–6 Jul 2024
Ipsos [ 11]
1,141
40%
33%
+7
21%
57%
–36
26%
52%
–26
29%
26%
+3
–
–
Party approval
Dates conducted
Pollster
Sample size
Labour
Conservative
Reform
Lib Dems
Green
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
Pos.
Neg.
Net
12–13 Dec 2024
YouGov
2,215
28%
63%
–35
24%
67%
–43
27%
59%
–32
–
–
6–10 Dec 2024
More In Common
2,432
20%
56%
–36
18%
46%
–28
–
–
–
8–11 Nov 2024
More In Common
2,011
21%
47%
–26
16%
43%
–27
–
17%
23%
–6
–
8–10 Nov 2024
YouGov
2,099
30%
61%
–31
25%
67%
–42
26%
59%
–33
38%
42%
–4
41%
39%
+2
2 Nov 2024
Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
9–10 Oct 2024
More In Common
2,072
24%
51%
–27
15%
52%
–36
–
–
–
5–7 Oct 2024
More In Common
2,023[ b]
24%
51%
–27
15%
53%
–38
–
–
–
20–22 Sep 2024
YouGov
2,132
32%
59%
–27
24%
67%
–43
26%
62%
–36
37%
45%
–8
40%
42%
–2
24–27 Aug 2024
More In Common
2,015
25%
45%
–20
15%
57%
–42
–
–
–
5–6 Aug 2024
YouGov
2,163
39%
53%
–14
23%
70%
–47
–
–
–
5–8 Jul 2024
YouGov [ 10]
2,102
47%
46%
+1
21%
72%
–51
28%
62%
–34
45%
37%
+8
46%
38%
+8
5–6 Jul 2024
Ipsos [ 11]
1,141
40%
34%
+6
20%
59%
–39
25%
51%
–26
29%
28%
+1
33%
28%
+6
Preferred prime minister
Some pollsters ask voters which of the party leaders they would prefer as prime minister.
Dates conducted
Pollster
Sample size
Keir Starmer
Kemi Badenoch
Nigel Farage
Ed Davey
Carla Denyer
Adrian Ramsay
None
Don't know
Lead
10–13 Jan 2025
More in Common
TBD
21%
12%
20%
–
–
–
47%
–
1
8–10 Jan 2025
Opinium
2,050
26%
16%
–
–
–
–
42%
16%
10
18–20 Dec 2024
Opinium
2,010
25%
16%
–
–
–
–
41%
17%
9
13–17 Dec 2024
Ipsos
1,137
32%
18%
–
–
–
–
27%
–
14
37%
–
25%
–
–
–
21%
–
12
–
16%
23%
–
–
–
40%
–
7
12–16 Dec 2024
Survation
2,030
35%
30%
–
–
–
–
–
35%
5
6–10 Dec 2024
More in Common
2,432
28%
23%
–
–
–
–
49%
–
5
26–27 Nov 2024
YouGov
2,203
27%
22%
–
–
–
–
4%
47%
5
2 Nov 2024
Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Dates conducted
Pollster
Sample size
Keir Starmer
Rishi Sunak
Nigel Farage
Ed Davey
Carla Denyer
Adrian Ramsay
None
Don't know
Lead
18–20 Oct 2024
Savanta
2,135
39%
32%
–
–
–
–
45%
11%
7
2–4 Oct 2024
Opinium
2,003
25%
19%
–
–
–
–
45%
–
6
25–27 Sep 2024
Opinium
2,049
27%
18%
–
–
–
–
46%
10%
9
18–20 Sep 2024
Opinium
2,050
28%
18%
–
–
–
–
44%
10%
10
28–30 Aug 2024
Opinium
2,040
34%
15%
–
–
–
–
40%
11%
19
14–16 Aug 2024
Opinium
1,996
36%
16%
–
–
–
–
37%
12%
20
7–8 Aug 2024
We Think
1,278
26%
10%
20%
5%
2%
2%
20%
15%
6
31 Jul – 2 Aug 2024
Opinium
2,063
38%
14%
–
–
–
–
37%
11%
24
25–26 Jul 2024
We Think
2,012
30%
11%
18%
4%
3%
1%
18%
15%
12
17–19 Jul 2024
Opinium
2,010
37%
14%
–
–
–
–
34%
15%
23
11–12 Jul 2024
We Think
2,005
30%
11%
14%
5%
4%
1%
20%
13%
16
Other polling
Hypothetical polling
Different Conservative Party leaders: Voting intention and seat projection
For the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election , Electoral Calculus conducted a multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) opinion poll on behalf of Jack Lewy of the Robert Jenrick campaign, asking the general public how they would vote if respectively Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick were elected leader of the Conservatives.
Hypothetical preferred Prime Minister polling
See also
Notes
^ Polling was of GB adults only, but 18 seats were assigned to Northern Irish parties in the reporting of the outcome.
^ All of the sample was asked about their approval of the Conservative Party. Half of the sample (1,012) was asked about their approval of the Labour Party; half of the sample (1,011) were asked about their approval of the government.
References
Elections
Approval Referendums
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Issues
Africa Asia
East South and Southeast
West
Europe
Central
Eastern Northern
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Western
North America
Canada Caribbean and Central United States
Oceania
South America
Unless otherwise stated, all links are for parliamentary elections.