2020 Pennsylvania Auditor General election

2020 Pennsylvania Auditor General election

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Nominee Timothy DeFoor Nina Ahmad
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 3,338,009 3,129,131
Percentage 49.4% 46.3%

DeFoor:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Ahmad:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No data

Auditor General before election

Eugene DePasquale
Democratic

Elected Auditor General

Timothy DeFoor
Republican

The Pennsylvania Auditor General election of 2020 took place on November 3, 2020. Primary elections were originally due to take place on April 28, 2020. However, following concerns regarding the coronavirus pandemic the primaries were delayed until June 2, 2020.[1] Under the Pennsylvania Constitution incumbent Democratic Auditor General Eugene DePasquale was ineligible to seek a third consecutive term.[2]

The Democratic Party nominated Nina Ahmad, a Bangladeshi American, while the Republicans nominated Timothy DeFoor, an African American, meaning that the victor would be the first person of color to be elected to statewide executive office in Pennsylvania.[a][3]

On November 6, the Associated Press declared Timothy DeFoor the winner.[4] DeFoor became the first Republican to win the office of Auditor General in 28 years,[3] the first African American and person of color to win election to statewide office in Pennsylvania, and became the second African American to hold statewide office in Pennsylvania upon taking office.

Background

Historically, the Democratic Party has controlled the Auditor General's office in the modern era. Between 1960 and 2016, the Democratic nominee for Auditor General has prevailed in all but two elections.[5][6] The last Republican to serve as Auditor General was Barbara Hafer, who was elected in 1988 and 1992.[7]

Between 2000 and 2016, the nominee of the Democratic Party ran unopposed in their party's primary.[8][9][10][11][12] However, between October 2019[13] and January 2020,[14] six candidates entered the Democratic primary, becoming the largest primary field since 1996,[15] when Bob Casey Jr. defeated three other candidates to advance to the general election.

In contrast to similar offices in other states, the Pennsylvania Auditor General's office is seen as a potential stepping stone to higher office.[16] Bob Casey Sr. and Bob Casey Jr. held the office prior to becoming governor and U.S. Senator, respectively, and auditors general Donald A. Bailey and Jack Wagner attempted gubernatorial campaigns during or after their tenure.[16] Hafer was the Republican nominee for governor in 1990, while still serving as auditor general. Outgoing auditor general Eugene DePasquale was also seen as having successfully used the office to raise his profile in the state,[16] and was seen as a potential candidate for governor or U.S. Senate in 2022[17] prior to announcing he would run for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district.[18]

In 2019, the Pennsylvania General Assembly voted to reduce the budget of the auditor general's office by 10%.[19] The cuts were seen by observers as a response to DePasquale's political activity.[16][19][20]

Impact of COVID-19

Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, on March 25 the Pennsylvania General Assembly voted to delay the state's primary elections from April 28 to June 2.[1] The same act of legislation which delayed the primary also permitted counties to temporarily consolidate polling places for the primary election.[21] In October 2019, prior to the pandemic, Governor Tom Wolf signed into law an election reform bill which allowed for postal voting.[22] In April, it was announced that Pennsylvania residents would be able to request a postal ballot over the internet, with an application deadline of May 26.[23]

The government encouraged postal voting in order to combat the spread of COVID-19 and maintain social distancing.[24] Postal ballots were originally due to be received by election officials by 8 p.m. EDT on June 2. However, on June 1, Governor Wolf signed an executive order extending the deadline to June 9 for six counties, provided the ballots in question were postmarked no later than June 2.[25] The counties impacted by the executive order were Philadelphia, Allegheny, Erie, Dauphin, Montgomery, and Delaware.[25] In issuing the executive order, Governor Wolf's office cited both the pandemic and the ongoing protests in response to the murder of George Floyd as motivation for the extension.[26] On June 2, a judge granted Bucks County a postal ballot extension, bringing the total number of counties granted an extension to seven.[27]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Defeated in primary

Withdrew

  • Alan Butkovitz, former Philadelphia city controller (2006–2018) and former state representative (1991–2005)[32]

Endorsements

Nina Ahmad
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
H. Scott Conklin
State legislators
Local
Organizations
Tracie Fountain
Organizations
Christina Hartman
State executives
State legislators
County officials
Organizations
  • Lancaster County Democratic Committee[38]
  • Chester County Democratic Committee[38]
  • Chester County Young Democrats[38]
  • Montgomery County Democratic Committee[38]
  • Middletown Democratic Party[38]
Michael Lamb
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • Philadelphia City Democratic Committee[39]
  • Laborers District Council of Western Pennsylvania[39]
  • Plumbers Union Local 27[39]
  • Pittsburgh Fire Fighters IAFF Local 1[39]
  • Fraternal Order of Police Fort Pitt Lodge No. 1[39]

Campaign

Christina Hartman became the first Democrat to officially enter the field in October 2019.[13] She was joined later in that month by Nina Ahmad.[41] Tracie Fountain, a longtime employee of the auditor general's office, resigned in order to mount a campaign.[42] By January, the size of the field had swelled to seven candidates when Alan Butkovitz, the former Philadelphia City Controller, announced he was entering the race on January 23.[43] Just eleven days later, however, Butkovitz withdrew from the race citing an intent to help Democrats win Pennsylvania in the 2020 United States presidential election.[44]

Hartman received the endorsement of former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell in December 2019.[45] In January, Pittsburgh Controller Michael Lamb secured the endorsement of Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney,[46] which Lamb later touted in an advertisement in the closing days of the campaign.[47]

Both Lamb and Ahmad sought to portray themselves as progressives. Ahmad pledged to use the auditor general's office to tackle issues such as gun violence[48] and cited healthcare and prescription drug costs as "a big concern".[49] Following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Ahmad also called for a pandemic preparedness audit.[16] Lamb was described as "a vocal critic of Wall Street,"[50] and stated that his first action would be to conduct an audit of the auditor general's office itself in the name of increased transparency.[51] Lamb also supported legalizing recreational marijuana in Pennsylvania,[50] and highlighted his track record as Pittsburgh's top auditor.[51]

Tracie Fountain[52] and H. Scott Conklin[16] highlighted the department's budget cuts in discussing their plans for the office. Fountain's campaign focused on optimizing the work of the auditor general's office in the face of those cuts, while Conklin called for programs to support independent farms and small businesses.[50] Rose Davis highlighted her more than three decades of experience conducting audits and stated her priority would be to audit third-party contractors, particularly in the field of eldercare.[51] Hartman expressed a desire to focus on criminal justice and school spending.[51] Each of the candidates promised greater oversight of COVID-19 relief spending.[16][51]

On March 28 and March 29, 2020, virtual meetings conducted over the Zoom teleconferencing service with Ahmad, Davis, and Fountain (all women of color) were targeted by hackers who deployed racial epithets.[53] As of May 29, Ahmad and Lamb reportedly had the highest spending on television advertising, while Conklin, Fountain, and Hartman had no television spending.[54] Similarly, according to reports filed with the Pennsylvania Department of State in 2020, Ahmad led the field in campaign contributions with around $428,000, followed by Lamb with approximately $158,000.[55] Rose Davis reported the lowest value of contributions, with only around $5,000 in total receipts.[55] Ahmad, Lamb, and Conklin were also believed to have the highest name recognition in the race.[54] On May 30, Hartman attended a demonstration in Lancaster to protest the murder of George Floyd.[56]

Results

Results by county
  Ahmad
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Lamb
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Hartman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Fountain
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   60–70%
  Conklin
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Davis
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   70–80%
  Tie
  •   20–30%

As results came in on election night, Michael Lamb appeared to be in the lead. However, as a result of the implementation of postal voting and extensions granted to seven counties the race was deemed too early to call.[57][58] A majority of outstanding votes were from the southeastern portion of the state, where Nina Ahmad was expected to be strongest.[57] Ahmad pulled ahead of Lamb in the days following the election and by June 8 was perceived as the likely victor, but the race remained too close to call.[59] Nina Ahmad claimed victory on June 11 and Michael Lamb conceded the race.[60][61]

Democratic primary results[62]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nina Ahmad 551,144 36.44%
Democratic Michael Lamb 410,556 27.14%
Democratic Christina Hartman 211,281 13.97%
Democratic Tracie Fountain 136,130 9.00%
Democratic H. Scott Conklin 112,952 7.47%
Democratic Rose Davis 90,558 5.99%
Total votes 1,512,621 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Campaign

Lancaster County Commissioner Dennis Stuckey, whose term expired in 2020, became the first Republican to enter the primary in November 2019.[68] Stuckey highlighted his record as a county official and his past experience in accounting and finance.[68] Dauphin County Controller Timothy DeFoor became the second Republican to join the field in December,[63] followed by Cris Dush, a state legislator from Jefferson County, in January 2020.[69] However, later in January the Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania voted to officially endorse DeFoor for the position with 199 votes, compared to 96 for Stuckey and 11 for Dush.[67] Stuckey had previously indicated that he would not mount a campaign without party support,[67][70] and subsequently withdrew from the race on January 30.[65] On February 13, 2020, Dush withdrew from the race in order to seek a seat in the Pennsylvania State Senate,[64] leaving DeFoor the presumptive nominee.

Results

Republican primary results[62]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Timothy DeFoor Unopposed
Total votes 1,042,092 100.0%

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Nina
Ahmad (D)
Timothy
Defoor (R)
Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 23–26, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 3% 48% 41% 5%[c] 6%
Monmouth University September 28 – October 4, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 3%[d] 12%
500 (LV) 46%[e] 42%
45%[f] 44%
CPEC September 15–17 830 (LV) ± 2.3% 21% 20% 1% 59%
Monmouth University August 28–31, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 43% 41% 4%[g] 12%
400 (LV) 45%[h] 42% 3% 11%
45%[i] 42% 2% 12%

Endorsements

Nina Ahmad
U.S. presidents
U.S. vice presidents
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
  • Andrew Yang, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 Democratic candidate for President[75]
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Timothy DeFoor
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Results

Pennsylvania Auditor General election, 2020[81]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Timothy DeFoor 3,338,009 49.44% +4.36%
Democratic Nina Ahmad 3,129,131 46.35% −3.66%
Libertarian Jennifer Moore 205,929 3.05% +0.82%
Green Olivia Faison 78,588 1.16% −1.53%
Total votes 6,751,657 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

DeFoor won 11 of 18 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[82]

District Ahmad DeFoor Representative
1st 47% 49% Brian Fitzpatrick
2nd 69% 28% Brendan Boyle
3rd 88% 9% Dwight Evans
4th 56% 40% Madeleine Dean
5th 60% 37% Mary Gay Scanlon
6th 51% 45% Chrissy Houlahan
7th 48% 47% Susan Wild
8th 46% 49% Matt Cartwright
9th 32% 63% Dan Meuser
10th 42% 53% Scott Perry
11th 34% 62% Lloyd Smucker
12th 28% 67% Fred Keller
13th 24% 71% John Joyce
14th 35% 61% Guy Reschenthaler
15th 26% 70% Glenn Thompson
16th 37% 58% Mike Kelly
17th 47% 48% Conor Lamb
18th 62% 34% Mike Doyle

References

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Notes

  1. ^ Tim Reese, who is African American, was the first person of color to hold statewide executive office when he served as Pennsylvania Treasurer from 2015 to 2017, but was appointed to the position by Governor Tom Wolf following the resignation of Rob McCord.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Moore (L) with 3%; Faison (G) with 2%
  4. ^ Faison (G), Moore (L) and "No one" with 1%
  5. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  6. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  7. ^ Moore (L) with 2%; Faison (G) and "No one" with 1%
  8. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  9. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election