2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky

2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky

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Turnout59.7% Increase
 
Nominee Mitch McConnell Amy McGrath
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,233,315 816,257
Percentage 57.76% 38.23%

McConnell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%      >90%
McGrath:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40-50%      50%      No data

U.S. senator before election

Mitch McConnell
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mitch McConnell
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron.

The Democratic and Republican primaries took place on June 23, 2020. As the primaries neared, the president of the National Bar Association accused officials of carrying out voter suppression. Compared to typical numbers of 3,700, the number of polling stations was reduced to 200 with only one in Louisville.[1] Because a large number of voters voted by mail, absentee ballots were not counted until June 30. In the primary, over 937,000 people requested absentee ballots or voted early, a far greater number than usual.[2]

Despite much speculation about this race being potentially competitive and large amounts of money being poured in to try to defeat McConnell, he wound up winning a seventh term with his largest margin of victory since 2002, defeating McGrath by nearly 20 percentage points. He also won Elliott and Wolfe Counties for the first time, solidifying rural Kentucky's hard swing towards the GOP. This was the first election in which McConnell attained more than 1 million votes.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Wendell K. Crow, businessman and entrepreneur[5][8] (remained on ballot)
  • Karl Das[9][8]

Results

Results by county:
  McConnell—>90%
  McConnell—80–90%
  McConnell—70–80%
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mitch McConnell (incumbent) 342,660 82.80%
Republican Wesley Morgan 25,588 6.18%
Republican Louis Grider 13,771 3.33%
Republican Paul John Frangedakis 11,957 2.89%
Republican Neren James 10,693 2.58%
Republican Kenneth Lowndes 5,548 1.34%
Republican Nicholas Alsager 3,603 0.87%
Total votes 413,820 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Representative Charles Booker placed second in the Democratic primary.

Withdrawn

  • Jimmy Ausbrooks, mental health counselor[19] (endorsed Mike Broihier)[20] (remained on ballot)
  • Steven Cox, registered pharmacy technician[21] (endorsed Charles Booker)[22]
  • Joshua Paul Edwards[23][8]
  • Kevin Elliott, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Murray State University[9][8]
  • Dr. Loretta Babalmoradi Noble[24][8]

Declined

Campaign

There were debates on March 5, 2020[33][34] and June 1, 2020.[35][36]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charles
Booker
Amy
McGrath
Other Undecided
Data for Progress[37][A] June 10–22, 2020 556 (LV) 43% 46% 10%
Garin-Hart-Yang[38][B] June 16–18, 2020 32% 42%
Civiqs/Data for Progress[39] June 13–15, 2020 421 (LV) ± 5.5% 44% 36% 9%[b] 11%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications[40][C] June 8–12, 2020 313 (RV) ± 7.0% 39% 49% 6%[c] 3%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications[41][C] May 2020 [d] 13% 62%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications[41][C] April 2020 [d] 11% 62%
YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications[41][C] January 2020 [d] 7% 65%

Endorsements

Charles Booker

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Newspapers

Unions

Organizations and political parties

Individuals

Mike Broihier

State and local officials from other states

  • Richard Ojeda, West Virginia State Senator for the 7th district (2016–2019); 2020 presidential and U.S. Senate candidate[54]

Individuals

Organizations

Results

Results by county:
  McGrath—60–70%
  McGrath—50–60%
  McGrath—40–50%
  Booker—40–50%
  Booker—50–60%
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amy McGrath 247,037 45.41%
Democratic Charles Booker 231,888 42.62%
Democratic Mike Broihier 27,175 4.99%
Democratic Mary Ann Tobin 11,108 2.04%
Democratic Maggie Joe Hilliard 6,224 1.14%
Democratic Andrew Maynard 5,974 1.10%
Democratic Bennie J. Smith 5,040 0.93%
Democratic Jimmy Ausbrooks (withdrawn) 3,629 0.67%
Democratic Eric Rothmuller 2,995 0.55%
Democratic John R. Sharpensteen 2,992 0.55%
Total votes 544,062 100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party of Kentucky did not qualify to nominate through the taxpayer-funded primary and held its own privately operated primary on March 8, 2020. Anyone registered Libertarian in the state of Kentucky as of January 1, 2020, could participate.[64][65] All candidates of the Libertarian Party of Kentucky must defeat None Of The Above (NOTA) to obtain the nomination.[66]

Nominee

  • Brad Barron, farmer and entrepreneur[67]

Reform Party

Withdrawn

Independents

Declared

  • Daniel Cobble (as a write-in candidate)[6]
  • Harold H. Fitzpatrick (as a write-in candidate)[6]
  • Paul John Frangedakis (as a write-in candidate) (switched from Republican candidacy after losing primary)[6]
  • Randall Lee Teegarden (as a write-in candidate)[6]
  • Demetra Wysinger (as a write-in candidate)[6]

Withdrawn

General election

Despite record breaking fundraising from McGrath and speculation that the race could be competitive, McConnell was handily re-elected. Throughout the general election, McConnell portrayed McGrath as an overly liberal "rioter apologist" and made use of a comment from 2018 where McGrath compared her reaction to Trump being elected in 2016 to how she felt during the September 11 attacks.[70]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[71] Likely R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[72] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[73] Likely R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[74] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[75] Likely R November 2, 2020
RCP[76] Likely R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[77] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[78] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[79] Likely R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Amy McGrath (D)

Polling

Graphical summary

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mitch
McConnell (R)
Amy
McGrath (D)
Brad
Barron (L)
Other /
Undecided
Swayable[92] October 23 – November 1, 2020 365 (LV) ± 7.9% 49% 46% 5%
Morning Consult[93] October 22–31, 2020 911 (LV) ± 3% 51% 40%
Bluegrass Community & Technical College[94] October 12–28, 2020 250 (RV) 50% 40% 10%[e]
Cygnal[95] October 19–20, 2020 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 40% 5% 5%[f]
Mason-Dixon[96] October 12–15, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 51% 42% 4% 3%[g]
Morning Consult[97] September 11–20, 2020 746 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 52% 37%
Data for Progress (D)[98] September 14–19, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 46%[h] 39% 3% 12%[i]
48%[j] 41% 11%[k]
Quinnipiac University[99] September 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 41% 5%[l]
Quinnipiac University[100] July 30 – August 3, 2020 909 (RV) ± 3.3% 49% 44% 7%[m]
Bluegrass Data (D)[101][D] July 25–29, 2020 3,020 (RV) ± 2.0% 49% 46% 4%
Morning Consult[102] July 24 – August 2, 2020 793 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 36% 12%[n]
Spry Strategies (R)[103][E] July 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 33% 12%[i]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[104][B] July 7–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 41% 7% 7%[o]
Civiqs/Data for Progress[39] June 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 53% 33% 4% 11%[p]
RMG Research[105][F] May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 41% 19%[q]
Bluegrass Data (D)[106][D] April 7–12, 2020[r] 4,000 (RV) 40% 38% 7%
Change Research (D)[107][B] January 17–21, 2020 1,281 (LV) ± 2.8% 41% 41% 18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[108][B] January 8–13, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 40% 17%
Fabrizio Ward[109][G] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 6%
Change Research (D)[110][B] June 15–16, 2019 1,629 (LV) 47% 45% 8%
Hypothetical polling

with Charles Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mitch
McConnell (R)
Charles
Booker (D)
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs/Data for Progress[39] June 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 52% 38% 9%[s]

with Jim Gray

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mitch
McConnell (R)
Jim
Gray (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[111] June 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 41% 10%

with Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mitch
McConnell (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[112] May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) 47% 44% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[113][H] Feb 11–12, 2019 748 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[114][I] Aug 15–16, 2017 645 (V) 37% 44% 19%

on whether Mitch McConnell deserves to be re-elected

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Yes No Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[115] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 62% 8%[t]
Public Policy Polling (D)[116][H] Feb 11–12, 2019 748 (RV) ± 3.6% 32% 61% 8%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal[95] October 19–20, 2020 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 39% 6%[u]
Quinnipiac University[99] September 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 54% 38% 8%[v]
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[117] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 42% 13%[w]

Results

McConnell was announced as the winner on November 3.[118] When pressed for a potential recount of the election amid legal disputes regarding the general, McConnell dismissed the idea, since, "at the risk of bragging, it wasn't very close."[119][120]

2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky[121]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mitch McConnell (incumbent) 1,233,315 57.76% +1.57%
Democratic Amy McGrath 816,257 38.23% −2.49%
Libertarian Brad Barron 85,386 4.00% +0.92%
Write-in 99 0.01% -0.00%
Total votes 2,135,057 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

McConnell won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[122]

District McConnell McGrath Representative
1st 67% 28% James Comer
2nd 62% 33% Brett Guthrie
3rd 37% 61% John Yarmuth
4th 60% 36% Thomas Massie
5th 74% 22% Hal Rogers
6th 51% 46% Andy Barr

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll released after the primary in July
  2. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by McGrath's campaign
  3. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Booker's campaign
  4. ^ a b This poll's sponsor, Ditch Mitch Fund, supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
  5. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits, a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  8. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Ditch Mitch Fund
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line

Voter samples

  1. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Broihier and "someone else" with 4%; Tobin with 1%
  3. ^ Broihier with 5%; other with 1%
  4. ^ a b c Not yet released
  5. ^ Undecided with 10%
  6. ^ Undecided with 5%
  7. ^ Undecided with 3%
  8. ^ Standard VI response
  9. ^ a b Undecided with 12%
  10. ^ If only McConnell and McGrath were candidates
  11. ^ Undecided with 11%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  13. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  14. ^ "Someone else" and Undecided with 6%
  15. ^ Undecided with 7%
  16. ^ "someone else" with 8%; undecided with 3%
  17. ^ Undecided with 10%; "Some other candidate" with 9%
  18. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  19. ^ Barron (L) with 4%; "someone else" with 2%; undecided with 3%
  20. ^ Undecided with 7%; "refused" with 1%
  21. ^ Undecided with 6%
  22. ^ Undecided with 8%
  23. ^ Undecided with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 3%

References

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  40. ^ YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
  41. ^ a b c YouGov Blue/MVMT Communications
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  94. ^ Bluegrass Community & Technical College Archived October 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  95. ^ a b Cygnal
  96. ^ Mason-Dixon
  97. ^ Morning Consult
  98. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  99. ^ a b Quinnipiac University
  100. ^ Quinnipiac University
  101. ^ Bluegrass Data (D) Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  102. ^ Morning Consult
  103. ^ Spry Strategies (R)
  104. ^ Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) Archived July 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  105. ^ RMG Research
  106. ^ Bluegrass Data (D) Archived August 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  107. ^ Change Research (D)
  108. ^ Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
  109. ^ Fabrizio Ward
  110. ^ Change Research (D)
  111. ^ Gravis Marketing
  112. ^ Public Policy Polling
  113. ^ Public Policy Polling (D) Archived February 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  114. ^ Public Policy Polling (D) Archived December 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  115. ^ Fabrizio Ward/AARP
  116. ^ Public Policy Polling (D) Archived February 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  117. ^ Fabrizio Ward/AARP
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Palm adalah Personal Digital Assistant (PDA) yang menjalankan Palm OS. Palm TX menawarkan kemampuan untuk browsing Internet nirkabel Model awal—PalmPilot Personal Berkas:Palm 3xe with portable keyboard on top of original manual handbook etc with custom franklin dictionary case (promotional) and go-vox voice recorder fliplid.jpgUnit Palm IIIxe dengan Aksesoris. Palm IIIc adalah versi pertama Palm dengan layar berwarna Palm m100 monokrom PalmOne Tungsten, versi T5 yang terkenal sebagai sukses...

 

 

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Ashish NandaDirector Indian Institute of Management, AhmedabadIn officeSeptember 2013 – April 2017 Personal detailsNationalityAmericanAlma materIndian Institute of Technology DelhiIndian Institute of Management AhmedabadHarvard UniversityOccupationProfessor Ashish Nanda is a business economist and professor who is the former Director of the Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA).[1] Nanda joined IIMA as Director on 2 Sept 2013.[2] Upon taking charge, Nanda...

1946 (I) 1951 Élections législatives de 1946 dans le Bas-Rhin le 10 novembre 1946 Type d’élection Élection législative Postes à élire 9 (+1) députés Corps électoral et résultats Inscrits 435 269 Votants 309 693   71,15 %  5,2 Votes exprimés 303 464 Mouvement républicain populaire Voix 135 918 44,79 %   4,9 Sièges obtenus 4  1 Rassemblement des gauches républicaines Voix 93 469 30,80 %  ...

 

 

جامعة شيراز دانِشگاه شیراز معلومات التأسيس 1946 المنحة المالية 67.72 مليون $ (2014) النوع جامعة عامة الموقع الجغرافي إحداثيات 29°38′23″N 52°31′36″E / 29.639741666667°N 52.52675°E / 29.639741666667; 52.52675   المدينة شيراز المكان شيراز  البلد  إيران إحصاءات الأساتذة 700 عدد الطلاب 11,839 (سنة ...

 

 

1939 class of battleships of the Royal Navy Not to be confused with King George V-class battleship (1911). HMS King George V in 1945 Class overview NameKing George V-class battleship Operators Royal Navy Preceded byNelson class Succeeded by Lion class (planned) HMS Vanguard (actual) Built1937–1940 In commission1940–1951 Completed5 Lost1 Scrapped4 General characteristics TypeBattleship Displacement36,727–40,000 long tons (37,316–40,642 t) (standard) Length 745&...

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Computer network operating system Operating system NetWareLogo of NetWare, this variant introduced with NetWare 4.x. The symbol is a tilted rendition of Novell's teeth logo used until 1996.DeveloperNovell, Inc.Working stateDiscontinuedSource modelClosed sourceInitial release1983Final release6.5 SP8 (last) / 6 May 2009; 15 years ago (2009-05-06)Available inEnglishPlatformsx86, MIPS, DEC Alpha, SPARC, PowerPC[1]Kernel typeHybrid kernelDefaultuser interfaceCommand-line ...

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