2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 8 9
Seats won 10 7
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 3,481,113 3,338,371
Percentage 51.05% 48.95%

     Republican gain
     Republican hold      Democratic hold

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the seventeen U.S. representatives from the State of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on April 23, 2024.

District 1

2024 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Ashley Ehasz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 261,390 202,042
Percentage 56.40% 43.60%

County results
Fitzpatrick:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Mark Houck, nonprofit ministry founder[4]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) $5,037,243 $2,632,212 $3,864,945.
Mark Houck (R) $169,985 $173,998 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Fitzpatrick—60–70%
  Fitzpatrick—50–60%
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 45,052 61.52
Republican Mark Houck 28,180 38.48
Total votes 73,232 100.00

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Ashley Ehasz, government affairs consultant and nominee for this district in 2022[16]

Endorsements

Ashley Ehasz

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ashley Ehasz (D) $2,144,767 $819,009 $1,331,906
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ashley Ehasz 68,489 100.00
Total votes 68,489 100.00

Libertarian Party

Failed to Qualify

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Likely R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Likely R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Very Likely R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Ashley
Ehasz (D)
Undecided
Upswing Research & Strategy (D)[37][A] September 4–10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 45% 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[38][B] September 7–9, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% 6%
Upswing Research & Strategy (D)[39][A] June 12–16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45% 8%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[40][B] May 14–20, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 51% 36% 13%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Grassroots Targeting (R)[40][B] May 14–20, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 49% 44% 7%

Results

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 261,390 56.40
Democratic Ashley Ehasz 202,042 43.60
Total votes 463,432 100.00

District 2

2024 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Brendan Boyle Haroon Bashir
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 193,691 77,355
Percentage 71.5% 28.5%

U.S. Representative before election

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brendan Boyle
Democratic

The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+20 and voted for Joe Biden by 43% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Brendan Boyle, who was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Salem Snow

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brandon Boyle (D) $1,203,945 $332,305 $3,216,580
Salem Snow (D) $2,215 $1,163 $2,427
Source: Federal Election Commission[45]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 43,997 100.0
Total votes 43,997 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Haroon Bashir, accountant and nominee for this district in 2022[46]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Haroon Bashir 9,748 100.0
Total votes 9,748 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 193,691 71.5
Republican Haroon Bashir 77,355 28.5
Total votes 271,046 100.0

District 3

2024 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Dwight Evans
Party Democratic
Popular vote 340,223
Percentage 100.0%

U.S. Representative before election

Dwight Evans
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dwight Evans
Democratic

The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+40 and voted for Joe Biden by 81% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 95.1% of the vote against a third-party candidate in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dwight Evans (D) $551,026 $401,481 $283,160
Source: Federal Election Commission[52]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 93,974 87.7
Democratic Tracey Gordon 13,169 12.3
Total votes 107,143 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 340,223 100.0
Total votes 340,223 100.0

District 4

2024 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Madeleine Dean David Winkler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 269,066 186,457
Percentage 59.1% 40.9%

County results
Dean:      60–70%
Winkler:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madeleine Dean (D) $773,111 $613,820 $864,186
Source: Federal Election Commission[58]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 78,235 100.0
Total votes 78,235 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • David Winkler, storage facility manager[59]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Winkler (R) $17,975[b] $5,993 $4,750
Source: Federal Election Commission[58]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Winkler 43,625 100.0
Total votes 43,625 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 269,066 59.1
Republican David Winkler 186,457 40.9
Total votes 455,523 100.0

District 5

2024 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 267,754 142,355
Percentage 65.3% 34.7%

County results
Scanlon:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The incumbent is Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) $638,473 $528,852 $412,202
Source: Federal Election Commission[62]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 70,068 100.0
Total votes 70,068 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin, retired police officer[63]

Disqualifed

  • Dasha Pruett, administrative assistant and nominee for this district in 2020[63][64]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin 37,361 100.0
Total votes 37,361 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 267,754 65.3
Republican Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin 142,355 34.7
Total votes 410,109 100.0

District 6

2024 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Neil Young Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 235,625 183,638
Percentage 56.2% 43.8%

County results
Houlahan:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who was re-elected with 58.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chrissy Houlahan (D) $1,172,325 $489,737 $3,640,282
Source: Federal Election Commission[68]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 58,552 100.0
Total votes 58,552 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Neil Young Jr., teacher[46]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neil Young Jr. 45,072 100.0
Total votes 45,072 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 235,625 56.2
Republican Neil Young Jr. 183,638 43.8
Total votes 419,263 100.0

District 7

2024 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Ryan Mackenzie Susan Wild
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 203,688 199,626
Percentage 50.5% 49.5%

County results
Mackenzie:      60-70%
Wild:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Susan Wild
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Mackenzie
Republican

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County.[1] It has a PVI of R+2 and voted for Joe Biden by 0.6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Susan Wild, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2022.[2] Wild conceded the 2024 race to Mackenzie at 10:00pm on election day, despite the race being considered "too close to call" by some media sources.[69]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Susan Wild (D) $5,065,280 $1,263,749 $3,855,492
Source: Federal Election Commission[86]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 55,259 100.0
Total votes 55,259 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Allen Issa, law student and former intern for U.S. Representative Darrell Issa (endorsed Montero)[90]

Declined

Endorsements

Kevin Dellicker

U.S. Representatives

Ryan Mackenzie
Maria Montero

Individuals

Debates and forums

2024 PA-7 Republican primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Dellicker Mackenzie Montero
1[99] February 28, 2024 Business Matters Tony Iannelli Part 1
Part 2
P P P
2 March 4, 2024 Leighton 912 Project Kim Bell YouTube P P P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Dellicker (R) $524,286 $514,550 $11,248
Ryan Mackenzie (R) $746,824 $373,568 $373,255
Maria Montero (R) $251,490 $250,741 $748
Source: Federal Election Commission[86]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Mackenzie—50–60%
  Mackenzie—40–50%
  Mackenzie—30–40%
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Mackenzie 23,557 42.6
Republican Kevin Dellicker 18,835 34.0
Republican Maria Montero 12,952 23.4
Total votes 55,344 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D October 24, 2024
Elections Daily[35] Lean D November 4, 2024
CNalysis[36] Tilt D August 18, 2024

Debates

2024 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mackenzie Wild
1 September 15, 2024 Blue Ridge Cable Kim Bell YouTube P P
2 September 16, 2024 Business Matters Tony Iannelli Part 1
Part 2
P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wild (D)
Ryan
Mackenzie (R)
Undecided
Muhlenberg College[100][C] September 30 – October 3, 2024 459 (LV) ± 6.0% 51% 45% 4%[c]
Change Research (D)[101][D] September 16–23, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 43% 9%
Change Research (D)[102][D] August 10–17, 2024 406 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 43% 9%
Tarrance Group (R)[103][E] July 21–24, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45% 8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Mackenzie 203,688 50.5
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 199,626 49.5
Total votes 403,314 100.0

District 8

2024 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Rob Bresnahan Matt Cartwright
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 195,663 189,411
Percentage 50.8% 49.2%

county results
Bresnahan:      50-60%      60-70%
Cartwright:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Bresnahan
Republican

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties.[1] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Cartwright (D) $5,655,991 $1,169,837 $4,538,773
Source: Federal Election Commission[107]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 58,573 100.0
Total votes 58,573 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Rob Bresnahan Jr

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Bresnahan (R) $2,561,590 $1,336,326 $1,225,264
Source: Federal Election Commission[107]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Bresnahan Jr. 42,365 100.0
Total votes 42,365 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D November 4, 2024
Elections Daily[35] Lean D November 4, 2024
CNalysis[36] Tilt D November 16, 2023
2024 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Bresnahan Cartwright
1 October 22, 2024 WVIA-TV Tracey Matisak C-SPAN P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Rob
Bresnahan Jr. (R)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[116][F] October 23–25, 2024 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 43% 7%
Hypothetical polling

Matt Carwright vs. different candidate

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Different
candidate
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[117][G] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 39% 51% 10%

Matt Cartwright vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[117][G] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 44.6% 44.6% 10.8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Bresnahan Jr. 195,663 50.8
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 189,411 49.2
Total votes 385,074 100.0

District 9

2024 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Dan Meuser Amanda Waldman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 276,212 115,523
Percentage 70.5% 29.5%

County results
Meuser:      60-70%      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Meuser
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Meuser
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Dan Meuser who was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Meuser (R) $1,259,787 $1,190,016 $173,621
Source: Federal Election Commission[118]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 77,943 100.0
Total votes 77,943 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative and nominee for this district in 2022[119]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amanda Waldman 34,851 100.0
Total votes 34,851 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 276,212 70.5
Democratic Amanda Waldman 115,523 29.5
Total votes 391,735 100.0

District 10

2024 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Scott Perry Janelle Stelson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 205,567 200,434
Percentage 50.6% 49.4%

County results
Perry:      50–60%
Stelson:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Scott Perry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Perry
Republican

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 53.8% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Perry (R) $3,545,992 $3,002,273 $716,837
Source: Federal Election Commission[122]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 61,596 100.0
Total votes 61,596 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Janelle Stelson, former WGAL news anchor[123]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Failed to qualify

  • William Lillich, former truck driver[130]

Endorsements

Blake Lynch
Mike O'Brien
Janelle Stelson

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Labor unions

Debates and forums

2022 PA-10 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Broadhurst Coplen Daniels Forbes Lillich Lynch O'Brien Stelson
1[140][141] January 13, 2024 Dauphin County Democratic Party P P P P P P P P
2[142] March 6, 2024 WHTM abc27 Dennis Owens abc27 P P P W N P P P
3[143] March 10, 2024 Capital Region Stands Up Dennis Owens & Cate Barron P P P W N P P A
4[144] March 25, 2024 PennLive Berwood Yost P P P W N P P P
5 April 9, 2024 WGAL-TV Tom Lehman & Katelyn Smith WGAL P P P W N P P P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike O'Brien (D) $791,228 $789,322 $1,906
Janelle Stelson (D) $4,773,496 $3,399,353 $1,374,142
Rick Coplen (D) $63,196 $54,859 $8,336
Blake Lynch (D) $54,483 $32,593 $21,889
Shamaine Daniels (D) $81,033 $81,113 $1,518
John Broadhurst (D) $10,615 $1,451 $9,163
Source: Federal Election Commission[122]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Rick
Coplen
Shamaine
Daniels
Blake
Lynch
Mike
O'Brien
Janelle
Stelson
Undecided
Normington Petts[145][H] February 26–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 3% 16% 5% 9% 36% 31%
Public Policy Polling (D)[146][H] October 16–17, 2023 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 3% 20% 3% 3% 33% 38%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Stelson—30–40%
  Stelson—40–50%
  Stelson—50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Janelle Stelson 26,591 43.8
Democratic Mike O'Brien 14,103 23.3
Democratic Shamaine Daniels 8,773 14.5
Democratic Rick Coplen 5,464 9.0
Democratic Blake Lynch 3,388 5.6
Democratic John Broadhurst 2,322 3.8
Total votes 60,641 100.0

General election

Debate

2024 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Scott Perry Janelle Stelson
1 Oct. 8, 2024 WHTM-TV Dennis Owens WHTM-TV P P

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[147] Tossup October 18, 2024
Inside Elections[33] Tilt R September 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2024
CNalysis[36] Tilt D (flip) November 4, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Janelle Stelson (D)

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Scott
Perry
Janelle
Stelson
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[153] October 4–7, 2024 300 (LV) ± 5.0% 39% 48% 13%
Upswing Research (D)[154][I] July 30 – August 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College[155] May 28 – June 2, 2024 397 (RV) ± 6.1% 45% 44% 11%
Normington Petts (D)[156][H] May 21–23, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 48% 1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[157][H] April 24–25, 2024 532 (V) ± 4.3% 45% 43% 12%

Results

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 205,567 50.6
Democratic Janelle Stelson 200,434 49.4
Total votes 406,001 100.0

District 11

2024 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Lloyd Smucker Jim Atkinson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 253,672 149,641
Percentage 62.9% 37.1%

County results
Smucker:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lloyd Smucker (R) $1,372,075 $749,344 $1,502,555
Source: Federal Election Commission[158]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 68,039 100.0
Total votes 68,039 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Baker (D) $7,230 $7,011 $219
James Atkinson (D) $8,566 $7,081 $1,485
Source: Federal Election Commission[158]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Atkinson 38,559 100.0
Total votes 38,559 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 253,672 62.9
Democratic Jim Atkinson 149,641 37.1
Total votes 403,313 100.0

District 12

2024 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Summer Lee James Hayes
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 234,802 181,426
Percentage 56.4% 43.6%

County results
Lee:      60–70%
Hayes:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Summer Lee
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Summer Lee
Democratic

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Summer Lee, who was elected with 56.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Bhavini Patel, Edgewood borough councilor and candidate for this district in 2022[161]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Summer Lee

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Debates and forums

2024 PA-12 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Lee MacDonald Patel
1[187] January 28, 2024 Carnegie Mellon University Chris Potter, Avalon Sueiro, Heidi Norman P P P
2[188] April 4, 2024 WPXI-TV Lisa Sylvester P W P

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Summer Lee (D) $2,695,289 $1,760,654 $959,001
Bhavini Patel (D) $700,471 $667,405 $53,645
Source: Federal Election Commission[189]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee (incumbent) 64,594 60.65
Democratic Bhavini Patel 41,902 39.35
Total votes 106,496 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • James Hayes, manufacturing executive[190]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Hayes (R) $85,846 $69,739 $16,106
Source: Federal Election Commission[189]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Hayes 34,759 100.0
Total votes 34,759 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee (incumbent) 234,802 56.4
Republican James Hayes 181,426 43.6
Total votes 416,228 100.0

District 13

2024 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee John Joyce Beth Farnham
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 301,460 104,823
Percentage 74.2% 25.8%

County results
Joyce:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

John Joyce
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Joyce
Republican

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg.[1] It has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican John Joyce, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Joyce (R) $1,786,992 $978,413 $2,620,748
Source: Federal Election Commission[192]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 82,675 100.0
Total votes 82,675 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Beth Farnham

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beth Farnham 32,568 100.0
Total votes 32,568 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 301,460 74.2
Democratic Beth Farnham 104,823 25.8
Total votes 406,283 100.0

District 14

2024 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Guy Reschenthaler Chris Dziados
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 268,380 134,755
Percentage 66.6% 33.4%

County results
Reschenthaler:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County.[1] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsement

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Guy Reschenthaler (R) $2,619,183 $2,238,03 $885,645
Source: Federal Election Commission[195]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 63,162 100.0
Total votes 63,162 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Chris Dziados, defense policy advisor[196]

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Ken Bach

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ken Bach (D) $2,020 $0 $2,020
Source: Federal Election Commission[195]

Results

Primary results by county:
  Dziados—90–100%
  Dziados—80–90%
  Bach—50–60%
  Bach—60–70%
  Bach—70–80%

Dziados won the western part of the district, securing landslide results in the Washington and Greene counties. In contrast, Bach performed well in the eastern part, recording his best performance in the portion of Westmoreland County.

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Dziados 29,268 51.8
Democratic Ken Bach 27,193 48.2
Total votes 56,461 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 268,380 66.6
Democratic Chris Dziados 134,755 33.4
Total votes 403,135 100.0

District 15

2024 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Glenn Thompson Zacheray Womer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 279,027 111,408
Percentage 71.5% 28.5%

County results
Thompson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 69.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Glenn Thompson (R) $2,334,055 $1,810,637 $877,193
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 75,645 100.0
Total votes 75,645 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Zacheray Womer, law student[199]

Endorsements

Zacheray Womer

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Zacheray Womer 35,574 100.0
Total votes 35,574 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 279,027 71.5
Democratic Zacheray Womer 111,408 28.5
Total votes 390,435 100.0

District 16

2024 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Mike Kelly Preston Nouri
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 256,923 146,709
Percentage 63.7% 36.3%

County results
Kelly:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

The 16th district is located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, and contains all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence and Butler counties, and part of Venango County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 18% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Tim Kramer, tax preparation nonprofit executive[201]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Kelly (R) $1,164,674 $647,760 $1,416,120
Tim Kramer (R)[d] $14,250 $14,162 $87
Source: Federal Election Commission[202]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 60,255 100.0
Total votes 60,255 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Preston Nouri, legislative analyst and former congressional aide[203]

Endorsements

Preston Nouri

Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Preston Nouri (D) $411,927[e] $324,603 $87,323
Source: Federal Election Commission[202]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Preston Nouri 49,283 100.0
Total votes 49,283 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 256,923 63.7
Democratic Preston Nouri 146,709 36.3
Total votes 403,632 100.0

District 17

2024 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Chris Deluzio Rob Mercuri
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 242,838 207,900
Percentage 53.9% 46.1%

County results
Deluzio:      50–60%
Mercuri:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Deluzio
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Deluzio
Democratic

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Deluzio, who was elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Deluzio (D) $2,990,955 $1,141,546 $1,871,536
Source: Federal Election Commission[206]

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio (incumbent) 85,265 100.0
Total votes 85,265 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Mercuri (R) $1,095,445 $294,186 $801,258
Jim Nelson (R)[d] $46,085 $46,085 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[206]

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Mercuri 46,974 100.0
Total votes 46,974 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Lean D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Likely D September 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Likely D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[36] Likely D November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Deluzio (D)
Rob
Mercuri (R)
Undecided
Change Research (D)[101][D] September 16–23, 2024 495 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
Change Research (D)[102][D] August 10–17, 2024 543 (LV) ± 2.2% 48% 40% 12%

Results

Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, 2024[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio (incumbent) 242,838 53.9
Republican Rob Mercuri 207,900 46.1
Total votes 450,738 100.0

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $13,600 of this total was self-funded by Winkler
  3. ^ "Neither/Other" with 1%
  4. ^ a b Withdrawn candidate
  5. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Nouri

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Ehasz's campaign
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Fitzpatrick's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Morning Call
  4. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Future Majority PAC
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Mackenzie's campaign
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Inside Elections
  7. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates
  8. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Stelson's campaign
  9. ^ Poll conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

References

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  154. ^ Upswing Research (D)
  155. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
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  157. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
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