2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

← 1998 November 5, 2002 2006 →
 
Nominee Ed Rendell Mike Fisher
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Catherine Baker Knoll Jane Earll
Popular vote 1,913,235 1,589,408
Percentage 53.40% 44.40%

Fisher:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Rendell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data

Governor before election

Mark Schweiker
Republican

Elected Governor

Ed Rendell
Democratic

The 2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania. Incumbent Republican governor Mark Schweiker, who took office in 2001 when Tom Ridge resigned to become Homeland Security Advisor, was eligible to run for a full term, but did not do so. Democrat Ed Rendell, the former mayor of Philadelphia and Chairman of the Democratic National Committee, emerged from a competitive primary to win the general election against Republican Pennsylvania Attorney General Mike Fisher.

Rendell won the election, with commentators attributing his victory to "endless retail politicking" and a hard-working campaign.[1] The political website PoliticsPA praised Rendell's campaign team of David L. Cohen, David W. Sweet, and Sandi Vito.[1] Fisher's strategy backfired; Rendell performed well in much of Eastern Pennsylvania and he was able to win by huge margins in even many traditionally Republican suburbs.[2]

Rendell was the first official from Philadelphia to win the governorship since 1914.[2] This was the first time since 1826 that a Democrat won all four of Philadelphia's suburban counties and the first time since 1970 that a Democrat won Montgomery County in a gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Attorney General Mike Fisher ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. Although incumbent Governor Mark Schweiker was eligible to run for election to a full term (he had served only a partial term after Tom Ridge resigned to become Homeland Security Advisor), he chose not to seek his party's nomination. Despite polls showing that Schweiker polled well among the same groups that backed Ridge, the Republican establishment considered Schweiker to be a weak candidate and stood steadfast behind Fisher.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

In the Democratic primary, former mayor of Philadelphia Ed Rendell defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Bob Casey Jr., bucking the "myth that a Philadelphian could never win" a statewide election. Despite strong support from organized labor for Casey, lackluster campaigning combined with Rendell's ability to cast himself as a strong executive allowed him to pull out a primary win.[3]

Results

Democratic primary results
  Rendell
  •   50%-60%
  •   60%-70%
  •   70%-80%
  •   80%-90%
  Casey
  •   50%-60%
  •   60%-70%
  •   70%-80%
  •   80%-90%
Pennsylvania gubernatorial primary election, 2002[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Rendell 702,442 56.55%
Democratic Bob Casey Jr. 539,794 43.45%
Total votes 1,242,236 100.00%

General election

Campaign

Fisher emphasized Rendell's Philadelphia roots continuously during his campaign and described the mayor as an urban liberal whose programs would require huge tax increases.[2]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Rendell (D)
Mike
Fisher (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[5] October 26–28, 2002 668 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 37% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Lean D (flip) October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2002

Results

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2002[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Rendell 1,913,235 53.40
Republican Mike Fisher 1,589,408 44.40
Libertarian Ken V. Krawchuk 40,923 1.14
Green Mike Morrill 38,423 1.07
Total votes 3,581,989 100.00
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county

County[9] Ed Rendell
Democratic
Mike Fisher
Republican
Ken Krawchuk
Libertarian
Michael Morrill
Green
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # %
Adams 7,732 31.99% 15,950 65.98% 199 0.82% 292 1.21% -8,218 -33.99% 24,173
Allegheny 209,708 53.66% 169,414 43.35% 6,673 1.71% 4,991 1.28% 40,294 8.31% 390,786
Armstrong 7,965 39.11% 11,898 58.43% 288 1.41% 213 1.05% -3,933 -19.32% 20,364
Beaver 27,322 52.05% 23,744 45.23% 791 1.51% 636 1.21% 3,578 6.82% 52,493
Bedford 4,516 30.24% 10,190 68.23% 98 0.66% 130 0.87% -5,674 -37.99% 14,934
Berks 56,592 55.20% 43,790 42.71% 1,027 1.00% 1,119 1.09% 12,802 12.49% 102,528
Blair 10,356 29.99% 23,530 68.15% 307 0.89% 336 0.97% -13,174 -38.16% 34,529
Bradford 4,947 30.83% 10,815 67.40% 130 0.81% 155 0.97% -5,868 -36.57% 16,047
Bucks 127,850 63.28% 70,000 34.64% 2,685 1.33% 1,516 0.75% 57,850 28.64% 202,051
Butler 18,145 34.91% 32,400 62.34% 768 1.48% 659 1.27% -14,255 -27.43% 51,972
Cambria 20,305 43.39% 25,556 54.61% 480 1.03% 455 0.97% -5,251 -11.22% 46,796
Cameron 571 35.07% 1,032 63.39% 10 0.61% 15 0.92% -461 -28.32% 1,628
Carbon 8,598 54.79% 6,600 42.05% 288 1.84% 208 1.33% 1,998 12.74% 15,692
Centre 14,557 41.71% 19,027 54.52% 397 1.14% 918 2.63% -4,470 -12.81% 34,899
Chester 81,996 57.41% 58,669 41.08% 1,159 0.81% 990 0.69% 23,327 16.33% 142,814
Clarion 3,934 34.08% 7,397 64.08% 103 0.89% 109 0.94% -3,463 -30.00% 11,543
Clearfield 10,221 41.64% 13,822 56.32% 232 0.95% 269 1.10% -3,601 -14.68% 24,544
Clinton 4,341 47.79% 4,434 48.81% 115 1.27% 194 2.14% -93 -1.02% 9,084
Columbia 7,004 41.89% 9,304 55.65% 147 0.88% 263 1.57% -2,300 -13.76% 16,718
Crawford 9,155 35.74% 15,551 60.71% 498 1.94% 411 1.60% -6,396 -24.97% 25,615
Cumberland 24,237 36.31% 40,966 61.37% 761 1.14% 788 1.18% -16,729 -25.06% 66,752
Dauphin 33,537 42.05% 44,231 55.45% 1,016 1.27% 980 1.23% -10,694 -13.40% 79,764
Delaware 123,117 65.12% 62,649 33.14% 2,044 1.08% 1,260 0.67% 60,468 31.98% 189,070
Elk 3,917 40.87% 5,468 57.05% 105 1.10% 95 0.99% -1,551 -16.18% 9,585
Erie 32,774 41.72% 43,095 54.85% 1,071 1.36% 1,623 2.07% -10,321 -13.13% 78,563
Fayette 19,082 56.56% 13,878 41.14% 497 1.47% 279 0.83% 5,204 15.42% 33,736
Forest 613 33.76% 1,170 64.43% 14 0.77% 19 1.05% -557 -30.67% 1,816
Franklin 10,335 29.93% 23,689 68.61% 222 0.64% 279 0.81% -13,354 -38.68% 34,525
Fulton 1,138 29.47% 2,681 69.42% 33 0.85% 10 0.26% -1,543 -39.95% 3,862
Greene 5,013 53.02% 4,209 44.52% 89 0.94% 144 1.52% 804 8.50% 9,455
Huntingdon 3,697 31.18% 7,842 66.13% 77 0.65% 242 2.04% -4,145 -34.95% 11,858
Indiana 9,897 41.26% 13,462 56.12% 203 0.85% 424 1.77% -3,565 -14.86% 23,986
Jefferson 3,879 30.02% 8,745 67.67% 150 1.16% 149 1.15% -4,866 -37.65% 12,923
Juniata 2,187 29.76% 5,027 68.40% 62 0.84% 73 0.99% -2,840 -38.64% 7,349
Lackawanna 40,206 58.22% 26,099 37.79% 1,888 2.73% 868 1.26% 14,107 20.43% 69,061
Lancaster 40,791 32.23% 83,607 66.07% 871 0.69% 1,280 1.01% -42,816 -33.84% 126,549
Lawrence 14,628 52.01% 13,010 46.25% 244 0.87% 245 0.87% 1,618 5.76% 28,127
Lebanon 12,712 35.17% 22,659 62.69% 452 1.25% 323 0.89% -9,947 -27.52% 36,146
Lehigh 48,150 56.72% 34,738 40.92% 1,074 1.27% 934 1.10% 13,412 15.80% 84,896
Luzerne 45,641 52.61% 38,760 44.68% 891 1.03% 1,454 1.68% 6,881 7.93% 86,746
Lycoming 9,937 31.47% 20,751 65.72% 357 1.13% 532 1.68% -10,814 -34.25% 31,577
McKean 3,215 32.76% 6,373 64.94% 131 1.33% 94 0.96% -3,158 -32.18% 9,813
Mercer 14,161 45.13% 16,429 52.36% 343 1.09% 444 1.42% -2,268 -7.23% 31,377
Mifflin 3,362 31.32% 7,122 66.35% 161 1.50% 89 0.83% -3,760 -35.03% 10,734
Monroe 14,570 47.34% 15,258 49.57% 447 1.45% 503 1.63% -688 -2.23% 30,778
Montgomery 175,157 67.16% 81,835 31.38% 2,121 0.81% 1,690 0.65% 93,322 35.78% 260,803
Montour 1,847 38.00% 2,873 59.10% 57 1.17% 84 1.73% -1,026 -21.10% 4,861
Northampton 42,554 58.52% 28,228 38.82% 1,088 1.50% 846 1.16% 14,326 19.70% 72,716
Northumberland 10,774 41.52% 14,479 55.80% 382 1.47% 313 1.21% -3,705 -14.28% 25,948
Perry 3,426 26.28% 9,286 71.22% 165 1.27% 161 1.23% -5,860 -44.94% 13,038
Philadelphia 339,697 84.08% 59,223 14.66% 1,976 0.49% 3,129 0.77% 280,474 69.42% 404,025
Pike 4,049 37.46% 6,482 59.97% 124 1.15% 154 1.42% -2,433 -22.51% 10,809
Potter 1,357 27.67% 3,471 70.76% 38 0.77% 39 0.80% -2,114 -43.09% 4,905
Schuylkill 25,233 51.47% 22,692 46.29% 515 1.05% 585 1.19% 2,541 5.18% 49,025
Snyder 2,599 27.59% 6,623 70.32% 67 0.71% 130 1.38% -4,024 -42.73% 9,419
Somerset 8,088 32.64% 16,244 65.56% 189 0.76% 257 1.04% -8,156 -32.92% 24,778
Sullivan 856 36.27% 1,441 61.06% 31 1.31% 32 1.36% -585 -24.79% 2,360
Susquehanna 4,244 33.35% 8,175 64.25% 104 0.82% 201 1.58% -3,931 -30.90% 12,724
Tioga 3,275 29.41% 7,696 69.12% 62 0.56% 101 0.91% -4,421 -39.71% 11,134
Union 3,153 33.27% 6,058 63.93% 74 0.78% 191 2.02% -2,905 -30.66% 9,476
Venango 5,551 36.54% 9,188 60.48% 238 1.57% 214 1.41% -3,637 -23.94% 15,191
Warren 4,823 40.45% 6,823 57.22% 125 1.05% 153 1.28% -2,000 -16.77% 11,924
Washington 30,368 50.67% 28,368 47.33% 642 1.07% 560 0.93% 2,000 3.34% 59,938
Wayne 4,395 33.87% 8,118 62.56% 119 0.92% 344 2.65% -3,723 -28.69% 12,976
Westmoreland 48,992 44.77% 58,018 53.01% 1,447 1.32% 980 0.90% -9,026 -8.24% 109,437
Wyoming 2,938 35.31% 5,152 61.92% 70 0.84% 161 1.93% -2,214 -26.61% 8,321
York 33,248 33.27% 63,894 63.94% 1,691 1.69% 1,088 1.09% -30,646 -30.67% 99,921
Totals 1,913,235 53.41% 1,589,408 44.37% 40,923 1.14% 38,423 1.07% 323,827 9.04% 3,581,989

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ a b "The Best and Worst Campaigns'02". PoliticsPA. The Publius Group. 2002.[dead link]
  2. ^ a b c d Kennedy, John J. (2006). Pennsylvania Elections: Statewide Contests From 1950–2004. University Press of America. ISBN 9780761832799.
  3. ^ "The Best and Worst of Primary '02". PoliticsPA. The Publius Group. 2002.[dead link]
  4. ^ "Governor, 2002 General Primary". Commonwealth of PA – Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2004. Archived from the original on September 28, 2011. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  5. ^ SurveyUSA
  6. ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  7. ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  8. ^ "Governor, 2002 General Election". Commonwealth of PA – Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2004. Retrieved May 16, 2008.
  9. ^ "2002 General Election (Official Returns)". Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Retrieved January 11, 2025.

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