2020 Missouri elections

Missouri elections, 2020
← 2018 November 6, 2020 2022 →

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Missouri state elections in 2020 were held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Aside from its presidential primaries held on March 10, its primary elections were held on August 4, 2020.[1]

In addition to the U.S. presidential race, Missouri voters will elect the Governor of Missouri, four of Missouri's other executive officers, all of its seats to the House of Representatives, all of the seats of the Missouri House of Representatives, and 17 of 34 seats in the Missouri State Senate. Neither of the state's two U.S. Senate seats are up for election this year, but there are also two ballot measures which will be voted on, in addition to one voted on in the August 4 primaries.[1]

To vote by mail, registered Missouri voters had to request a ballot by October 21, 2020.[2]

Federal offices

President of the United States

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election in Missouri
See also: 2020 Missouri Democratic primary and 2020 Missouri Republican primary

Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

United States House of Representatives

Main article: 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

There are 7 U.S. Representatives in Missouri that will be up for election. Another seat is open after the incumbent, Lacy Clay, lost renomination in its Democratic primary.[3]

Governor

Main article: 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

Lieutenant governor

Main article: 2020 Missouri lieutenant gubernatorial election

Attorney general

Main article: 2020 Missouri Attorney General election

Secretary of state

Main article: 2020 Missouri Secretary of State election

Treasurer

Main article: 2020 Missouri State Treasurer election

State legislature

All 163 seats of the Missouri House of Representatives and 17 of 34 seats of the Missouri State Senate are up for election. Before the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:

After the election, the composition of the Missouri State Legislature was:

Primary election

Senate District 3 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Joshua
Barrett 		Elaine Freeman
Gannon 		Kent
Scism 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[4] June 24–25, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 24% 23% 19% 34%

Senate District 5 - Democratic

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jeremiah
Church 		McFarlane
Duncan 		Megan Elliya
Green 		William
"Bill" Haas 		Peter
Merideth 		Steve
Roberts 		Michelle
Sherod 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[5] April 1–2, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.6% 7% 1% 16% 14% – 18% 9% 35%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[6] December 4–5, 2019 464 (LV) ± 4.6% – 3% 24% – – 24% 4% 45%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[7] August 21–22, 2019 501 (LV) ± 4.5% –[d] – – – 20% 24% 13% 43%
–[e] – 32% – – 23% 11% 34%
–[f] – – – – 24% 21% 55%

Senate District 13 - Democratic

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Alan
Green 		Angela
Mosley 		Tommie
Pierson Jr. 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[8] June 3–4, 2020 545 (LV) ± 4.2% 15% 21% 19% 45%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[9] October 16–17, 2019 421 (LV) ± 4.9% 15% 18% 19% 48%

Senate District 23 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Bill
Eigel 		Dan
O'Connell 		Eric
Wulff 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[10] July 8–9, 2020 436 (LV) ± 4.8% 33% 8% 7% 52%

Senate District 25 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jason
Bean 		Stephen Carroll
Cookson 		Eddy
Justice 		Jeff
Shawan 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[11] July 8–9, 2020 436 (LV) ± 4.8% 26% 11% 23% 17% 23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[12] July 30–31, 2019 438 (LV) ± 4.7% – – 17% 16% 67%

Senate District 27 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Holly
Rehder 		Kathy
Swan 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[13] July 16–17, 2020 414 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 29% 20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[14] August 7–8, 2019 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 26% 27% 48%

Senate District 29 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		David
Cole 		Mike
Moon 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[15] July 25–26, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.5% 34% 37% 29%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[16] April 21–23, 2020 536 (LV) ± 4.2% 15% 25% 60%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[17] July 17–18, 2019 532 (LV) ± 4.3% 14% 21% 65%

Senate District 31 - Republican

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jack
Bondon 		Rick
Brattin 		Bill
Yarberry 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[18] July 21–23, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 34% 6% 20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[19] April 15–16, 2020 419 (LV) ± 4.76% 16% 18% 5% 60%

Senate District 33 - Republican

Nominee

  • Karla Eslinger, state representative for District 155[20]

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Karla
Eslinger 		Van
Kelly 		Robert
Ross 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[21] July 27–29, 2020 503 (LV) ± 4.5% 20% 17% 39% 24%
Missouri Scout[22] July 12–13, 2020 456 (LV) ± 4.5% 31% 12% 36% 31%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[23] May 6–7, 2020 568 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 12% 16% 57%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[24] July 24–25, 2019 510 (LV) ± 4.5% – 16% 15% 69%

Senate District 33 - Democratic

Nominee

General election

Senate District 1

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Beck (D) 		David
Lenihan (R) 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[26] September 9–10, 2020 646 (LV) ± 3.8% 43% 36% 21%

Results

Missouri state senate district 1 election, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Doug Beck
Republican David Lenihan

Senate District 15

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Koenig (R) 		Deb
Lavender (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[27] October 7–8, 2020 644 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 49% 6%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[28] August 19–20, 2020 585 (LV) ± 4% 43% 43% 14%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[29] May 29–30, 2019 648 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 35% 15%
Hypothetical polling in District 15

with Mark Osmack

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Koenig (R) 		Mark
Osmack (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[29] May 29–30, 2019 648 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 33% 15%

Results

Missouri state senate district 15 election, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Andrew Koenig
Democratic Deb Lavender

Senate District 19

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Caleb
Rowden (R) 		Judy
Baker (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[30] October 20–22, 2020 489 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48% 4%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[31] August 26–27, 2020 536 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 42% 11%
Hypothetical polling in District 19

with Michela Skelton

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Caleb
Rowden (R) 		Michela
Skelton (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[32] September 25–27, 2019 446 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 44% 6%

Results

Missouri state senate district 19 election, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Caleb Rowden
Democratic Judy Baker

Senate District 33

Missouri state senate district 33 election, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Karla Eslinger
Democratic Tammy Harty

Ballot measures

Missouri Amendment 2, Medicaid Expansion passed in the August 4 primary.[33]

Missouri Amendment 3, Redistricting Process and Criteria, Lobbying, and Campaign Finance Amendment is to amend the state constitution to lower thresholds for lobbyists' gifts, lower campaign contribution limits for state senate campaigns and reverse changes to the redistricting process brought about by the passage of 2018's Missouri Amendment 1, known as "Clean Missouri". That amendment (aimed to prevent gerrymandering[34]) delegated redistricting to a nonpartisan state demographer and citizens' commission as opposed to the status quo ante of it being left to a bipartisan commission appointed by the governor.

Polling

Primary election

Amendment 2

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		For Missouri Amendment 1 Against Missouri Amendment 1 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[35] April 28–29, 2020 1,356 (LV) ± 2.6% 54% 32% 14%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[36] December 20–24, 2019 415 (RV) ± 5% 46% 33% 21%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[37][38] November 17–20, 2020 400 (RV) ± 5% 41% 29% 29%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39] November 12–13, 2019 1,641 (LV) ± 2.4% 57% 25% 18%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout[40] September 16–18, 2019 825 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 25% 33%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[41] September 4–5, 2019 910 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 33% 23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[42] June 12–13, 2019 986 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 37% 23%

General election

Amendment 1

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		For Missouri Amendment 1 Against Missouri Amendment 1 Undecided
YouGov/SLU[43] September 24 – October 7, 2020 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 29% 20%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44] September 20–21, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% 60% 26% 14%

Amendment 3

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		For Missouri Amendment 3 Against Missouri Amendment 3 Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[45] October 28–29, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% 29% 56% 15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[46] October 14–15, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% 28% 50% 22%
YouGov/SLU[43] September 24 – October 7, 2020 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 35% 43% 23%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44] September 20–21, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% 44% 30% 26%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[47] August 12–13, 2020 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 19% 35%

Notes

  1. ^ Including 2 vacancies
  2. ^ Including 2 vacancies
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ With Peter Meredith, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
  5. ^ With Megan Green, Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod
  6. ^ With Steve Roberts and Michelle Sherod

Partisan clients

References

  1. ^ a b "Missouri elections, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  2. ^ Lily Hay Newman (August 27, 2020), "How to Vote by Mail and Make Sure It Counts", Wired.com, archived from the original on October 6, 2020
  3. ^ Wiegel, Dave (August 5, 2020). "Longtime Rep. William Lacy Clay loses Democratic primary in Missouri". The Washington Post. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
  4. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  5. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  6. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  7. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  8. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  9. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  10. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  11. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  12. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  13. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  14. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  15. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  16. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  17. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  18. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  19. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  20. ^ a b c "Eslinger wins Republican nomination for Missouri 33rd Senate District". Ozark County Times. August 5, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
  21. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  22. ^ Missouri Scout
  23. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  24. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  25. ^ "Certified Candidate List". Missouri Secretary of State. May 7, 2020. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  26. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  27. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  28. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  29. ^ a b Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  30. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  31. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  32. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  33. ^ Smith, Alex (August 5, 2020). "Missouri Voters Approve Medicaid Expansion Despite Resistance From Republican Leaders". NPR. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
  34. ^ Peters, Benjamin (November 3, 2017). "What is the Clean Missouri Initiative?". Retrieved August 20, 2020.
  35. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  36. ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
  37. ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
  38. ^ "MOScout Daily Update: Schmitt to Start Testing Kits - New HA Poll - Bates for School Board - G-Men in I-City and more..." Missouri Scout.
  39. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  40. ^ Human Agency/Missouri Scout
  41. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  42. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  43. ^ a b YouGov/SLU
  44. ^ a b Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  45. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  46. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  47. ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout

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