2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1
Seats won 3 1
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 775,898 557,258
Percentage 57.10% 41.01%
Swing Increase 3.15% Decrease 2.88%
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 208,229 71.16% 84,393 28.84% 0 0.00% 292,622 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 185,464 55.15% 136,650 40.63% 14,201 4.22% 336,315 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 178,773 43.56% 220,049 53.62% 11,596 2.83% 410,418 100.0% Democratic hold
District 4 203,432 63.65% 116,166 36.35% 0 0.00% 319,598 100.0% Republican hold
Total 775,898 57.10% 557,258 41.01% 25,797 1.89% 1,358,953 100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
 
 57.10%
Democratic
 
 41.01%
Other
 
 1.89%
House seats
Republican
 
 75.00%
Democratic
 
 25.00%

District 1

2020 Kansas's 1st congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Tracey Mann Kali Barnett
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 208,229 84,393
Percentage 71.2% 28.8%
County results
Mann:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Barnett:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Roger Marshall
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tracey Mann
Republican

See also: Kansas's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in over half of Kansas, encompassing rural western and northern Kansas, including Manhattan, Salina, Dodge City, Emporia, Garden City, Hays and Hutchinson. The incumbent was Republican Roger Marshall, who was reelected with 68.1% of the vote in 2018.[1] Marshall announced on September 7, 2019, that he would not be running for re-election, opting to run for the open U.S. Senate seat in Kansas instead.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Bill Clifford

State officials

  • Gary Harshberger, former Kansas Water Authority chairman[11]

Organizations

Tracey Mann

Federal officials

  • Bob Dole, former U.S. senator (R-KS) and 1996 Republican presidential nominee[13]
  • Tom Osborne, former U.S. representative (NE-03) (2001–2007)[14]

Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann 65,373 54.2
Republican Bill Clifford 39,914 33.1
Republican Jerry Molstad 9,545 7.9
Republican Michael Soetaert 5,756 4.8
Total votes 120,588 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kali Barnett, author and teacher[21]
Eliminated in primary
  • Christy Davis, concert director[22]
Withdrew

Primary results

Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kali Barnett 16,671 62.6
Democratic Christy Davis 9,962 37.4
Total votes 26,633 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[28] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[29] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[30] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[31] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Tracey
Mann (R) 		Kali
Barnett (D) 		Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[32] September 29–30, 2020 761 (LV) ± 3.5% 61% 25% –

Results

Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2020[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann 208,229 71.2
Democratic Kali Barnett 84,393 28.8
Total votes 292,622 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Kansas's 2nd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Jake LaTurner Michelle De La Isla
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 185,464 136,650
Percentage 55.2% 40.6%
County results
LaTurner:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
De La Isla:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Steve Watkins
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jake LaTurner
Republican

See also: Kansas's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses most of eastern Kansas from Nebraska to Oklahoma save the Kansas City metropolitan area, including both the cities of Topeka and Lawrence. The incumbent is Republican Steve Watkins, who was elected with 47.6% of the vote in 2018.[1] In August 2019, Watkins evaded questions about his political future coming from reporters who encountered him at a Fort Scott constituent meeting in Southeast Kansas where he had been talking about aiding veterans.[34] Kansas State Treasurer Jake LaTurner had declared his intention to run for the seat of retiring U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, but was persuaded by Republican party officials to instead run against Watkins.[35]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Jake LaTurner

State officials

Organizations

Dennis Taylor

Newspapers

Steve Watkins

Executive officials

Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner 47,898 49.1
Republican Steve Watkins (incumbent) 33,053 33.9
Republican Dennis Taylor 16,512 17.0
Total votes 97,463 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Michelle De La Isla

U.S. presidents

Organizations

Individuals

Primary results

Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle De La Isla 41,050 75.0
Democratic James K. Windholz 13,662 25.0
Total votes 54,712 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Likely R August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[28] Lean R September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[29] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[30] Lean R October 24, 2020
Niskanen[31] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jake
LaTurner (R) 		Michelle
De La Isla (D) 		Other/
Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[32] September 29–30, 2020 739 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 36% –
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[64][A] July 29–30, 2020 488 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 41% –
Battleground Connect (R)[65][B] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 (LV) – 42% 41% 16%[b]
Hypothetical polling

with Steve Watkins and Michelle De La Isla

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Watkins (R) 		Michelle
De La Isla (D) 		Other/
Undecided
Battleground Connect (R)[65][B] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 (LV) – 37% 50% 13%[c]

Results

Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2020[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner 185,464 55.2
Democratic Michelle De La Isla 136,650 40.6
Libertarian Robert Garrard 14,201 4.2
Total votes 336,315 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Kansas's 3rd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Sharice Davids Amanda Adkins
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 220,049 178,773
Percentage 53.6% 43.6%
County results
Davids:      50–60%      60–70%
Adkins:      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Sharice Davids
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Sharice Davids
Democratic

See also: Kansas's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses the Kansas City metropolitan area, including Kansas City, Overland Park, Lenexa, Shawnee, Spring Hill, DeSoto and Olathe. The incumbent is Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018, unseating four-term Republican incumbent Kevin Yoder.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Endorsements
Sharice Davids

U.S. presidents

Local officials

Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent) 74,437 100.0
Total votes 74,437 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Amanda Adkins

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

Individuals

Mike Beehler

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Adrienne Vallejo Foster, and Sara Hart Weir)[43]
Adrienne Foster

Federal officials

  • Todd Tiahrt, 2014 and 2017 Republican candidate in KS-04, former U.S. Representative (R-KS-04) (1995–2011), and Republican candidate in 2010 U.S. Senate election in Kansas[74]

State officials

  • Bill Sutton, state representative[77]
  • Jene Vickrey, state representative and former state House majority leader and speaker pro tempore[74]

Newspapers

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Mike Beehler, and Sara Hart Weir)[43]
Sara Hart Weir

Federal officials

Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Amanda Adkins 29,082 30.6
Republican Sara Hart Weir 21,833 23.0
Republican Adrienne Foster 19,057 20.1
Republican Mike Beehler 18,399 19.4
Republican Tom Love 6,533 6.9
Total votes 94,904 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Safe D October 21, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D October 15, 2020
Politico[28] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[29] Safe D October 26, 2020
RCP[30] Likely D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[31] Likely D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Sharice
Davids (D) 		Amanda
Adkins (R) 		Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[32] September 29–30, 2020 712 (LV) ± 3.6% 56% 36% –

Results

Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2020[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent) 220,049 53.6
Republican Amanda Adkins 178,773 43.6
Libertarian Steven Hohe 11,596 2.8
Total votes 410,418 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2020 Kansas's 4th congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Ron Estes Laura Lombard
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 203,432 116,166
Percentage 63.7% 36.3%
County results
Estes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Ron Estes
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Estes
Republican

See also: Kansas's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in south-central Kansas, taking in Wichita and the surrounding suburbs, including Derby and Newton. The incumbent is Republican Ron Estes, who won the 2017 special election for the seat vacated by Mike Pompeo and was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 87,877 100.0
Total votes 87,877 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Laura Lombard, business consultant and candidate for Kansas's 4th congressional district in 2018[80]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Laura Lombard 35,437 100.0
Total votes 35,437 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[28] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[29] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[30] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[31] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
Estes (R) 		Laura
Lombard (D) 		Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[32] September 29–30, 2020 842 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 37% –

Results

Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2020[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 203,432 63.7
Democratic Laura Lombard 116,166 36.3
Total votes 319,598 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Undecided with 16%
  3. ^ Undecided with 13%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll conducted for the DCCC.
  2. ^ a b Poll conducted for the LaTurner campaign.

References

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  2. ^ a b Shorman, Jonathan (September 7, 2019). "Western Kansas congressman launches Senate campaign, hoping to follow path of past senators". The Wichita Eagle. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  3. ^ "Former Kansas Lt. Gov. announces candidacy for Congress". KWCH. September 9, 2019. Retrieved September 10, 2019.
  4. ^ Hawks, John (September 12, 2019). "Clifford joins 1st district race, expresses support for Trump". Salina Journal. Retrieved September 12, 2019.[permanent dead link]
  5. ^ "Jerry Molstad announces run for Big First district". The Hutchinson News. May 12, 2020.
  6. ^ Clarkin, Mary (October 23, 2019). "Council Grove man running for city offices, Congress". Salina Journal. Retrieved January 12, 2020.
  7. ^ Russell, Kan (October 15, 2019). "State lawmaker running for western Kansas seat in Congress". The Kansas City Star. Archived from the original on October 15, 2019. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  8. ^ "Waymaster's exit narrows GOP field in 1st District race for Congress". The Morning Sun. May 25, 2020. Archived from the original on June 27, 2020. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  9. ^ Cooper, Brad (August 12, 2019). "Huelskamp discusses political future". Sunflower State Journal. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  10. ^ "Kansas 2020 Primary Candidate List". Archived from the original on April 15, 2020.
  11. ^ Motter, Sarah (May 14, 2020). "Kansas agricultural leaders named co-chairs of Clifford agricultural team". WIBW.
  12. ^ Mannette, Alice. "Physician vies for Big First". The Hutchinson News.
  13. ^ "Endorsement". krsl.com. Archived from the original on August 30, 2020. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  14. ^ "Former Congressman and Legendary Coach Tom Osborne Endorses Tracey Mann for Congress". archive.constantcontact.com.
  15. ^ "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tracey Mann for Kansas's 1st Congressional District". AFP Action. July 16, 2020.
  16. ^ Summers, Mitchel (May 2020). "The Kansas Farm Bureau endorsed political candidates". WIBW.
  17. ^ a b "Kansas Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  18. ^ "National Rifle Association endorses Tracey Mann for Congress". Great Bend Post. July 2, 2020.
  19. ^ Mannette, Alice. "Former Lt. Gov. Mann seeking role in Big First". The Leavenworth Times – Leavenworth, KS. Archived from the original on July 17, 2020. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
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  21. ^ Friend, Amber (August 9, 2019). "Garden City native Kali Barnett launches congressional campaign". The Garden City Telegram. Archived from the original on August 13, 2019. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
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  24. ^ "Brandon Williams". Ballotpedia.
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  29. ^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  30. ^ a b c d "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates