2020 Utah gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2020 United States gubernatorial elections.
2020 Utah gubernatorial election
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout69.17% Increase
 
Nominee Spencer Cox Christopher Peterson
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Deidre Henderson Karina Brown
Popular vote 918,754 442,754
Percentage 62.98% 30.35%
Cox:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Peterson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Governor before election

Gary Herbert
Republican

Elected Governor

Spencer Cox
Republican

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The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah. Incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert declined running for re-election to a third full term.

Background

Although incumbent Republican governor Gary Herbert was eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his lieutenant governor, Spencer Cox.[1][2][3] Utah had not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which had not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979.[4][5]

The primaries took place on June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.

Description

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The winner of the election was the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004, who ran in this election before he was eliminated in the primaries.

Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox won the general election by defeating the Democratic nominee, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official Christopher Peterson. This election was the first open-seat gubernatorial election in Utah since 1992.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Eliminated at the convention

Declined

Endorsements

Spencer Cox

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election[37]

Organizations

Individuals

Jon Huntsman Jr.

Federal officials

Individuals

Thomas Wright

Federal officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Rob
Bishop 		Jeff
Burningham 		Jason
Chaffetz 		Spencer
Cox 		Jan
Garbett 		Greg
Hughes 		Jon
Huntsman Jr. 		Greg
Miller 		Aimee
Winder Newton 		Sean
Reyes 		Thomas
Wright 		Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[45][46] June 17–24, 2020 1,247 (LV) ± 2.77% — — — 30% — 15% 29% — — — 6% 19%[a]
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[47] June 9–17, 2020 797 (LV)[b] — — — — 32% — 23% 36% — — — 9% —
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor[48][A] June 13–16, 2020 691 (LV) ± 3.72% — — — 34% — 20% 28% — — — 9% 9%[c]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[49] June 1–10, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.77% — — — 32%[d] — 10% 37% — — — 5% 4%[e]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune[50] June 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% — — — 32% — 10% 30% — — — 8% 17%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute[51] May 25–31, 2020 643 (LV) — — — — 28% — 18% 24% — — — 4% 26%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[52][53] May 9–15, 2020 610 (LV)[f] — — — — 40% — 18% 34% — — — 8% —
April 25, 2020 All remaining candidates except Cox, Hughes, Huntsman Jr. and Wright eliminated at convention
Y2 Analytics[54][55] March 21–30, 2020 738 (LV)[g] – — 5% — 39% < 1% 17% 33% — 4% — 1% < 1%[h]
Hinckley Institute[56] March 23–28, 2020 326 (LV) ± 5.4% — 7% — 24% 1% 7% 26% — 2% — 2% 32%
Dan Jones & Associates[57] February 28 – March 11, 2020 338 (V) ± 5.3% — 6% — 30% 2% 12% 27% — 4% — 6% 15%
Hinckley Institute[58] February 24 – March 1, 2020 312 (LV) ± 5.5% — 7% — 20% 1% 7% 32% — 2% — 1% 30%
February 21, 2020 Garbett announces her candidacy[59]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune[60] January 18–22, 2020 246 (LV) ± 6.3% — 1% — 18% – 7% 26% — 1% — 1% 46%
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News[61] January 15–22, 2020 424 (LV) ± 4.8% — 6% — 25% – 3% 35% — 3% — 3% 25%
January 17, 2020 Reyes announces he will not run
January 13, 2020 Bishop announces he will not run
January 8, 2020 Hughes announces his candidacy[62]
January 2, 2020 Wright announces his candidacy[63]
Y2 Analytics[64] November 19 – December 7, 2019 457 (V) ± 4.6% 9% 5% — 41% – 5% 29% – 5% 5% 1% —
November 14, 2019 Huntsman Jr. announces his candidacy[65]
October 23, 2019 Newton announces her candidacy[66]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce[67] 		October 3–10, 2019 271 (V) – — 2% — 34% – 2% 30% — — – 7% 25%
October 2, 2019 Miller announces he will not run[68]
September 10, 2019 Burningham announces his candidacy[69]
June 3, 2019 Chaffetz announces he will not run
May 14, 2019 Cox announces his candidacy[70]
University of Utah[71] January 15–24, 2019 311 (RV) ± 5.6% 10% – 27% 28% – 4% – 2% — 4% – 24%
University of Utah[72] October 3–9, 2018 291 (RV) ± 6.0% 11% – 25% 16% – 3% – 2% — 7% – 36%
Hinckley Institute/Salt Lake Tribune[73] June 11–18, 2018 510 (V) ± 4.3% 9% – 25% 16% – 3% – – — 9% – 37%

Convention results

Republican convention results[74]
Candidate/running mate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Spencer Cox/Deidre Henderson 1081 30.2% 1082 30.2% 1223 34.3% 1287 36.3% 1488 42.4% 1884 55.0%
Greg Hughes/Victor Iverson 663 18.5% 674 18.8% 719 20.2% 901 25.4% 1107 31.5% 1544 45.0%
Aimee Winder Newton/John 'Frugal' Dougall 500 14.0% 508 14.2% 540 15.1% 703 19.8% 918 26.1% Eliminated
Thomas Wright/Rob Bishop 489 13.7% 494 13.8% 553 15.5% 658 18.5% Eliminated
Jeff Burningham/Dan McCay 487 13.6% 504 14.1% 530 14.9% Eliminated
Jon Huntsman Jr./Michelle Kaufusi 315 8.8% 315 8.8% Eliminated
Jason Christensen/Drew Chamberlain 44 1.2% Eliminated
Inactive ballots 0 ballots 2 ballots 14 ballots 30 ballots 66 ballots 151 ballots

Debate

2020 Utah gubernatorial election republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Spencer Cox Greg Hughes Jon Huntsman Jr. Thomas Wright
1 Jun. 1, 2020 Utah Debate Commission Bruce Lindsay [75] P P P P

Primary results

Results by county:
Cox
  •   Cox—60–70%
  •   Cox—50–60%
  •   Cox—40–50%
  •   Cox—30–40%
Huntsman
  •   Huntsman—30–40%
  •   Huntsman—40–50%
  •   Huntsman—50–60%
Hughes
  •   Hughes—30–40%
  •   Hughes—40–50%
Republican primary results[76]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Cox 190,565 36.15%
Republican Jon Huntsman Jr. 184,246 34.95%
Republican Greg Hughes 110,835 21.02%
Republican Thomas Wright 41,532 7.88%
Total votes 527,178 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at the convention

  • Neil Hansen, former state representative[20]
    • Running mate: Brandy Farmer, candidate for Utah House of Representatives
  • Ryan Jackson[20]
  • Zachary Moses, CEO of HeTravel.com[80]
    • Running mate: Nate Kizerian, community activist[81]
  • Nikki Pino Jr., youth counselor[82]
    • Running mate: Nikki Pino Sr., retired Army lieutenant colonel and father to Nikki Pino Jr.[81]
  • Archie A Williams, 2014 Democratic candidate for District 60 of the Utah House of Representatives III[83]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Neil
Hansen 		Ryan
Jackson 		Zachary
Moses 		Christopher
Peterson 		Nikki
Pino 		Archie
Williams III 		Other /
Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[87] March 21–30, 2020 167 (LV) ± 7.6% 11% 11% 7% 38% 28% 5% 10%

Convention results

Democratic convention results[88]
Candidate Pct.
Christopher Peterson 88.4%
Zachary Moses 4.7%
Neil Hansen 4.0%
Nikki Ray Pino 1.4%
Ryan Jackson 1.4%
Archie Williams III 0.1%

Other candidates

Independent American Party

Nominee

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Republican write-in

  • Madeline Kazantzis ran for election for Governor of Utah as a write-in in the general election on November 3, 2020. She received 18,988 votes.

Declined

General election

Campaign

An advertisement that featured both major-party candidates, calling for civility in politics, drew significant media coverage and praise.[94][95]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[96] Safe R October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[97] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[98] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[99] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[100] Safe R October 28, 2020
RCP[101] Safe R November 2, 2020
270towin[102] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Spencer Cox (R)

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election[37]

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Spencer
Cox (R) 		Christopher
Peterson (D) 		Daniel
Cottam (L) 		Gregory
Duerden (IAP) 		Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[103] October 15–24, 2020 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 58% 33% – – – –
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[104] October 12–17, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 26% 6% 3% – 16%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[105] September 26 – October 4, 2020 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 57% 29% – – 14% –
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[106] September 7–12, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 19% 4% 3% – 22%
Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune[107][108] August 31 – September 12, 2020 2,000 (RV) ± 4.38% 55% 20% 5% 3% 3% 15%
RMG Research[109] July 27 – August 1, 2020 1000 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 17% 3% 3% – 29%
Hypothetical polling

with Spencer Eccles

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Burningham 		Spencer
Cox 		Spencer
Eccles 		Greg
Hughes 		Jon
Huntsman Jr. 		Thomas
Wright 		Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce[67] 		Oct 3–10, 2019 599 (LV) ± 4% 2% 26% 5% 2% 33% 4% 21%

with only Spencer Cox, Greg Hughes and Jon Huntsman

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Spencer
Cox 		Greg
Hughes 		Jon
Huntsman Jr. 		Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce[110] 		Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 37% 8% 43% 12%

with Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Spencer
Cox 		Greg
Hughes 		Jon
Huntsman Jr. 		Aimee
Winder-Newton 		Thomas
Wright 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce[110] 		Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 33% 5% 32% 2% 5% 11% 13%

with Bishop, Chaffetz, Cox, Dougall, Hughes, Miller, Newton, Reyes and Generic Democrat (D)

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Rob
Bishop 		Jason
Chaffetz 		Spencer
Cox 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/UtahPolicy[111] Jan 3–15, 2019 822 (RV) ± 3.4% 7% 18% 24% 11% 39%[j]

with Jason Chaffetz, Spencer Cox, Spencer Eccles, Greg Hughes, Ben McAdams, Greg Miller and Josh Romney

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[i] 		Margin
of error 		Jason
Chaffetz 		Spencer
Cox 		Ben
McAdams 		Josh
Romney 		Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune/Hinkley Institute[112] Oct 10–13, 2017 605 (RV) ± 3.98% 24% 11% 20% 9% 11%[k] 26%

Results

2020 Utah gubernatorial election[113]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
918,754 62.98% −3.76%
Democratic
442,754 30.35% +1.61%
Libertarian
  • Daniel Cottam
  • Barry Short
 51,393 3.52% +0.42%
Independent American
  • Gregory Duerden
  • Wayne Hill
 25,810 1.77% +0.36%
Write-in 20,167 1.38% +1.37%
Total votes 1,458,878 100%
Turnout 1,515,845 69.17%
Registered electors 1,682,512
Republican hold

By county

By county
County Spencer Cox
Republican 		Chris Peterson
Democratic 		Daniel Cottam
Libertarian 		Greg Duerden
Ind. American 		Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Beaver 2,468 83.27 291 9.82 102 3.44 48 1.62 55 1.86 2,177 73.45 2,964
Box Elder 20,642 77.75 3,507 13.21 1,038 3.91 553 2.08 809 3.05 17,135 64.54 26,549
Cache 39,952 70.64 12,943 22.88 1,948 3.44 835 1.48 882 1.56 27,009 47.75 56,560
Carbon 6,506 72.10 2,091 23.17 271 3.00 155 1.72 0 0.00 4,415 48.93 9,023
Daggett 469 79.36 91 15.40 10 1.69 15 2.54 6 1.02 378 63.96 591
Davis 115,501 68.61 41,101 24.41 6,018 3.57 4,374 2.60 1,359 0.81 74,400 44.19 168,353
Duchesne 6,096 73.93 739 8.96 308 3.74 210 2.55 893 10.83 5,357 64.96 8,246
Emery 3,918 82.82 489 10.34 105 2.22 88 1.86 131 2.77 3,429 72.48 4,731
Garfield 2,123 80.26 428 16.18 73 2.76 21 0.79 0 0.00 1,695 64.08 2,645
Grand 2,303 45.59 2,499 49.47 158 3.13 56 1.11 36 0.71 -196 -3.88 5,052
Iron 17,650 73.19 3,854 15.98 1,425 5.91 644 2.67 543 2.25 13,796 57.21 24,116
Juab 4,606 80.30 470 8.19 211 3.68 219 3.82 230 4.01 4,136 72.11 5,736
Kane 2,802 69.70 918 22.84 140 3.48 71 1.77 89 2.21 1,884 46.87 4,020
Millard 4,528 75.57 519 8.66 183 3.05 168 2.80 594 9.91 4,009 66.91 5,992
Morgan 5,190 81.09 770 12.03 229 3.58 122 1.91 89 1.39 4,420 69.06 6,400
Piute 672 80.96 65 7.83 36 4.34 27 3.25 30 3.61 607 73.13 830
Rich 1,081 81.03 158 11.84 28 2.10 16 1.20 51 3.82 923 69.19 1,334
Salt Lake 266,177 50.32 238,249 45.04 16,001 3.02 6,137 1.16 2,402 0.45 27,928 5.28 528,966
San Juan 3,477 52.84 2,642 40.15 258 3.92 135 2.05 68 1.03 835 12.69 6,580
Sanpete 10,326 82.91 1,012 8.13 363 2.91 388 3.12 365 2.93 9,314 74.79 12,454
Sevier 8,364 82.43 882 8.69 288 2.84 271 2.67 342 3.37 7,482 73.74 10,147
Summit 11,290 44.62 13,066 51.64 587 2.32 205 0.81 153 0.60 -1,776 -7.02 25,301
Tooele 21,293 69.47 7,058 23.03 1,383 4.51 662 2.16 253 0.83 14,235 46.45 30,649
Uintah 10,290 69.35 1,482 9.99 509 3.43 367 2.47 2,190 14.76 8,808 59.36 14,838
Utah 208,514 74.07 52,524 18.66 10,798 3.84 5,355 1.90 4,307 1.53 155,990 55.41 281,498
Wasatch 11,472 66.34 4,911 28.40 509 2.94 202 1.17 199 1.15 6,561 37.94 17,293
Washington 61,125 69.57 16,698 19.00 4,432 5.04 2,520 2.87 3,087 3.51 44,427 50.56 87,862
Wayne 1,115 70.52 321 20.30 55 3.48 46 2.91 44 2.76 794 50.22 1,581
Weber 68,804 63.37 32,976 30.37 3,927 3.62 1,900 1.75 960 0.88 35,828 33.00 108,567
Totals 918,754 62.98 442,754 30.35 51,393 3.52 25,810 1.77 20,167 1.38 476,000 32.63 1,458,878

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Cox won all 4 congressional districts.[114]

District Cox Peterson Representative
1st 66% 25% Rob Bishop
Blake Moore
2nd 57% 33% Chris Stewart
3rd 67% 27% John Curtis
4th 59% 35% Ben McAdams
Burgess Owens

Notes

Additional candidates

  1. ^ "Prefer not to answer" with 19%
  2. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  3. ^ "Don't know/refused" with 9%
  4. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ Undecided with 4%
  6. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  7. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  8. ^ Christensen with <1%
  9. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. ^ Undecided with 26%, Reyes with 5%; "Other" with 3%; Miller and Winder-Newton with 2%; Hughes with 1%; Dougall with 0%
  11. ^ Eccles, Hughes and "Other" with 3%; Miller with 2%

General

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cox's campaign

References

  1. ^ Gehrke, Robert (November 8, 2016). "Herbert wins his 3rd election as Utah governor". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved November 21, 2016.
  2. ^ a b O'Donoghue, Amy Joi (January 29, 2019). "About face? Utah Gov. Gary Herbert says 'never say never' about possible re-election bid". Deseret News. Archived from the original on January 30, 2019. Retrieved January 30, 2019.
  3. ^ a b O'Donoghue, Amy Joi (May 14, 2019). "Here are the reasons Utah Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox says he's running for governor in 2020". Deseret News. Archived from the original on May 15, 2019. Retrieved May 15, 2019.
  4. ^ Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. ^ Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  6. ^ "Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox announces he is running for Utah governor, vows a 'different,' positive campaign". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
  7. ^ "Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox announces run for Utah governor in 2020". fox13now.com. May 14, 2019. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
  8. ^ "Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox tweets that he's running for governor". ksl.com. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
  9. ^ Rodgers, Bethany (March 19, 2020). "Spencer Cox picks his running mate in Utah's race for governor — state Sen. Deidre Henderson". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  10. ^ Schott, Bryan (January 8, 2020). "Hughes says he won't gather signatures to get on the Republican primary ballot". utahpolicy.com. Retrieved January 8, 2020.
  11. ^ "Former House Speaker Greg Hughes jumps into Utah gubernatorial race". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 8, 2020.
  12. ^ a b Roche, Lisa Riley (April 14, 2020). "Gubernatorial candidate Greg Hughes names southern Utah commissioner as running mate". Deseret News.
  13. ^ Rodgers, Bethany (November 13, 2019). "Jon Huntsman to launch his 2020 run for Utah governor". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  14. ^ Stevens, Taylor; Wood, Benjamin (February 8, 2020). "Jon Huntsman names Provo Mayor Michelle Kaufusi as running mate in 2020 governor's race". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  15. ^ Wood, Benjamin (January 2, 2020). "Former Utah GOP Chairman Thomas Wright is running for governor. Greg Hughes to announce bid next week". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 3, 2020.
  16. ^ Wood, Benjamin (January 16, 2020). "Congressman Rob Bishop will be Thomas Wright's running mate in 2020 governor's race". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  17. ^ "Thomas Wright adds US Rep. Rob Bishop to his governor ticket". Cache Valley Daily. Associated Press. January 17, 2020.
  18. ^ Wood, Benjamin. "Jeff Burningham declares his candidacy for Utah governor". sltrib.com. Retrieved September 28, 2019.
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  29. ^ Schott, Bryan (January 6, 2019). "Utah Republicans believe Sen. Mike Lee may be preparing to run for governor in 2020". Utah Policy. Retrieved January 7, 2019.
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  31. ^ "Latest poll of potential Utah Republican candidates for 2020 governor's race shows Chaffetz, Cox remain leading contenders". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved November 23, 2018.
  32. ^ Winslow, Ben (January 18, 2020). "Utah Attorney General Sean Reyes won't run for governor, but will seek re-election". FOX 13. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
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  41. ^ Huntsman got 'wrong results' for COVID-19 test so he is still waiting, Deseret News, 9 June 2020. Retrieved 9 June 2020
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  43. ^ Roche, Lisa Riley (June 11, 2020). "Huntsman endorsed by more than 100 business, community leaders". Deseret News.
  44. ^ Davidson, Lee (January 13, 2020). "Rob Bishop says he will not run for governor; endorses Thomas Wright". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
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