2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state California Florida Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 418,488 395,523 Percentage 50.65% 47.87%

County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   90–100% Tie   40-50%   50%

President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Elections in New Hampshire
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v t e

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

New Hampshire was considered a potential battleground state due to the closeness of previous elections. In recent years, the state has shown a much more pronounced Democratic lean at the federal level, as New Hampshire's congressional delegation was held by Democrats. As such, most news organizations generally considered the state to be leaning toward Kamala Harris.

However, on election night, New Hampshire was seriously contested by both candidates, and was one of the last states called in favor of Harris.^[1] She won the state by about 2.8%, a significantly lower margin than Biden in 2020, though slightly better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Of all the states Harris won, New Hampshire ended up being her worst performance.

New Hampshire had the closest presidential race out of any state in terms of the margin of raw votes, although the state closest in difference of percentage was Wisconsin. Trump became the first Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying New Hampshire at least once.

New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date.

Primary elections for both the Democratic and Republican parties were held on January 23, 2024.^[2]

On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) approved a new 2024 primary calendar, in which the South Carolina Democratic primary would be held first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu, Democratic senators Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen, and the state legislature vowed to continue holding the "first-in-the-nation" primary (as New Hampshire state law establishes)^[3] and ultimately did set an earlier date of January 23.^[2][4][5]

Showing solidarity with the DNC, Biden declined to appear on the state's primary ballot.^[6] Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats nevertheless launched a formal write-in campaign for him, but none of the state's delegates to the Democratic National Convention will still be binding.^[7]

New Hampshire Democratic primary, January 23, 2024^[8]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage
			Joe Biden (incumbent; write-in)	79,100	63.8%
Dean Phillips	24,377	19.7%
Marianne Williamson	5,016	4.0%
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)	4,760	3.8%
Donald Trump (write-in) (Republican)	2,079	1.7%
Derek Nadeau	1,616	1.3%
"Ceasefire" (write-in)[9]	1,512	1.2%
Vermin Supreme	912	0.7%
John Vail	685	0.6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)	439	0.4%
Donald Picard	371	0.3%
Paperboy Prince	326	0.3%
Paul V. LaCava	176	0.1%
Jason Michael Palmer	142	0.1%
President R. Boddie	136	0.1%
Mark Stewart Greenstein	133	0.1%
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)	125	0.1%
Terrisa Bukovinac	101	<0.1%
Gabriel Cornejo	86	<0.1%
Stephen P. Lyons	80	<0.1%
Frankie Lozada	73	<0.1%
Tom Koos	71	<0.1%
Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato	68	<0.1%
Star Locke	59	<0.1%
Raymond Michael Moroz	52	<0.1%
Eban Cambridge	47	<0.1%
Chris Christie (write-in) (Republican)	41	<0.1%
Richard Rist	37	<0.1%
Ron DeSantis (write-in) (Republican)	33	<0.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (write-in) (Republican)	2	<0.1%
Other write-ins, reported as "scatter".	1,341	1.1%
Total:	123,996	100.00%

No delegates were awarded from the January New Hampshire primary.

The New Hampshire Republican primary was held on January 23, 2024, as the second contest of the Republican primaries, held about a week after the Iowa caucuses. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote. The primary was won by Donald Trump, defeating Nikki Haley by eleven points.

New Hampshire Republican primary, January 23, 2024^[10][11]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegate count[12]
				Donald Trump	176,391	54.35%	13
Nikki Haley	140,491	43.28%	9
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	2,241	0.69%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,493	0.46%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	833	0.26%
Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat)	497	0.15%
Mike Pence (withdrawn)	404	0.12%
Ryan Binkley	315	0.10%
Mary Maxwell	287	0.09%
Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent)	205	0.06%
Tim Scott (withdrawn)	196	0.06%
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)	180	0.06%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)	108	0.03%
Rachel Swift	105	0.03%
Scott Ayers	80	0.02%
Dean Phillips (Write-In) (Democrat)	79	0.02%
Darius Mitchell	74	0.02%
Glenn McPeters	49	0.02%
"Ceasefire" (Write-In)	34	0.01%
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)	26	0.01%
Peter Jedick	25	0.01%
David Stuckenberg	25	0.01%
Donald Kjornes	23	0.01%
Scott Merrell	21	0.01%
John Anthony Castro	19	0.01%
Robert Carney	15	<0.01%
Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat)	14	<0.01%
Hirsh Singh (withdrawn)	9	<0.01%
Sam Sloan	7	<0.01%
Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat)	3	<0.01%
Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat)	1	<0.01%
Other write-in votes	325	0.10%
Total:	324,575	100.00%	22

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report[13]	Likely D	August 27, 2024
Inside Elections[14]	Lean D	May 8, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Likely D	August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16]	Likely D	November 5, 2024
CNalysis[17]	Solid D	November 4, 2024
CNN[18]	Lean D	August 27, 2024
The Economist[19]	Likely D	October 21, 2024
538[20]	Likely D	September 12, 2024
YouGov[21]	Safe D	November 1, 2024
Split Ticket[22]	Likely D	November 1, 2024

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [a]	Margin
270ToWin[23]	October 24 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	50.5%	45.5%	4.0%	Harris +5.0%
538[24]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.3%	45.4%	4.3%	Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin[25]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.9%	46.3%	2.8%	Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ[26]	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	53.3%	42.5%	4.2%	Harris +10.8%
Average			51.3%	44.9%	3.8%	Harris +6.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Dartmouth College[27]	November 1–3, 2024	587 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[28][A]	October 24–28, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%[c]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[29]	October 24–26, 2024	622 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
CES/YouGov[30]	October 1–25, 2024	380 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		375 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Emerson College[31][B]	October 21–23, 2024	915 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%[d]
				51%[e]	47%	2%[d]
Dartmouth College[32]	October 5–18, 2024	2,211 (RV)	± 2.1%	59%	38%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[33]	August 15–19, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.2%	52%	47%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[34]	July 26–28, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	46%	4%
				52%[e]	48%	–
University of New Hampshire[35]	July 23–25, 2024	2,875 (LV)	± 1.8%	53%	46%	1%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[36]	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[37]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	2,814 (LV)	± 1.9%	51%	46%	–	0%	1%	2%[f]
Saint Anselm College[38]	October 28–29, 2024	2,791 (LV)	± 2.6%	51%	46%	0%	0%	1%	2%[g]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[39]	October 10–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	–	1%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[40]	October 2–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	41%	–	1%	1%	7%
Saint Anselm College[41]	October 1–2, 2024	2,104 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	0%	1%	1%	3%[g]
University of New Hampshire[42]	September 12–16, 2024	1,695 (LV)	± 2.4%	54%	43%	–	0%	1%	2%[f]
Saint Anselm College[43]	September 11–12, 2024	2,241 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	43%	0%	1%	1%	4%

2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire^[68]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	418,488	50.65%	−2.13%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	395,523	47.87%	+2.45%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver[q] Mike ter Maat	4,425	0.54%	−1.10%
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	3,680	0.45%	+0.42%
	Write-in		4,073	0.49%
Total votes			826,189	100.00%

County	Kamala Harris Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Belknap	17,469	42.95%	22,765	55.97%	442	1.09%	-5,296	-13.02%	40,676
Carroll	16,822	48.54%	17,426	50.28%	410	1.18%	-604	-1.74%	34,658
Cheshire	24,579	54.15%	20,083	44.25%	727	1.60%	4,496	9.90%	45,389
Coos	7,367	42.53%	9,734	56.19%	221	1.28%	-2,367	-13.66%	17,322
Grafton	32,993	59.03%	21,909	39.20%	993	1.78%	11,084	19.83%	55,895
Hillsborough	118,776	50.66%	112,057	47.80%	3,607	1.54%	6,719	2.86%	234,440
Merrimack	48,181	51.82%	43,364	46.64%	1,433	1.54%	4,817	5.18%	92,978
Rockingham	97,611	48.10%	102,539	50.53%	2,772	1.37%	-4,928	-2.43%	202,922
Strafford	42,373	55.25%	33,162	43.24%	1,153	1.50%	9,211	12.01%	76,688
Sullivan	12,317	48.84%	12,484	49.50%	420	1.67%	-167	-0.66%	25,221
Totals	418,488	50.65%	395,523	47.87%	12,178	1.47%	22,965	2.78%	826,189

• Carroll (largest city: Conway)
• Rockingham (largest city: Derry)
• Sullivan (largest city: Claremont)

Harris won both congressional districts.^{[70][user-generated source]}

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	50.27%	48.28%	Chris Pappas
2nd	51.04%	47.46%	Maggie Goodlander

A rural New England state with a libertarian streak dominated by moderate voters, New Hampshire had backed Republicans in most presidential elections since the party's formation up until 1988, except for Woodrow Wilson in 1912 and 1916; Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, 1940 and 1944; and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Since the early 1990s, however, the state has begun to lean toward the Democrats at the federal level, with Democrats carrying the state by single digits in every presidential election since 1992 with the exception of George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2000.

A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that New Hampshire is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and Alabama) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.^[71] By tradition, since 1960, all eligible voters of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their votes at midnight on Election Day.

Harris suffered a setback, earning 2.35% of the vote less than Biden did in 2020. She ceded ground in every county across the state, while Trump flipped three counties: Carroll, Rockingham and Sullivan.^[72] He nonetheless became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Richard Nixon in 1968. This is the first time since 2016 in which the state winner did not win a majority of the counties, Harris and Trump both won 5.

Notably, Republicans won the open governor race, as well as expanded their majorities in the state legislature on the same ballot.

Donald Trump flipped the following towns that voted for Joe Biden, were tied, or recorded no votes in 2020:^[73][74]

Acworth, Berlin, Claremont, Francestown, Freedom, Greenfield, Hart's Location, Jaffrey, Langdon, Littleton, Lyndeborough, Martin's Location, Nottingham, Pembroke, Shelburne, Springfield, Stratford, Sullivan, Swanzey, Tamworth, and Temple.

Kamala Harris flipped the following towns that voted for Donald Trump, were tied, or recorded no votes in 2020:^[73][74]

Success and Wolfeboro.

• United States presidential elections in New Hampshire
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 New Hampshire elections
• 2024 United States elections

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