2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
Majority party
Minority party
Party
Democratic
Republican
Last election
1
3
Seats won
3
1
Seat change
2
2
Popular vote
664,676
612,338
Percentage
50.5%
46.5%
Swing
6.05%
7.11%
Result by party gains
Election results by district
Election results by county Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold
Democratic
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
Republican
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa , one from each of the state's four congressional districts . The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election , as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate , and various state and local elections . The state congressional delegation flipped from a 3–1 Republican majority to a 3–1 Democratic majority.
This was the first time the Democrats won the majority of Iowa's seats since 2010 , and the first time they won the popular vote in the state since 2012 . As of 2024, these results were also the last time the Democrats would achieve either due to Iowa's transition into a safe red state.
Overview
Statewide
Popular vote
Democratic
50.48%
Republican
46.51%
Libertarian
2.27%
Other
0.74%
House seats
Democratic
75.00%
Republican
25.00%
By district
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district:[ 1]
District 1
2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district election
County resultsFinkenauer: 50–60%Blum: 40-50% 50–60%
Incumbent Republican Rod Blum , who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[ 2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Thomas Heckroth, former staffer for United States Senator Tom Harkin [ 4] [ 5]
George Ramsey III, former military recruiter[ 5]
Courtney Rowe, engineer and Bernie Sanders delegate at the 2016 state convention[ 6]
Declined
Endorsements
Abby Finkenauer
State legislators
Individuals
Thomas Heckroth
State legislators
Individuals
Results
2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Finkenauer—80–90%
Finkenauer—70–80%
Finkenauer—60–70%
Finkenauer—50–60%
Heckroth—50–60%
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
Gaff was only 18, meaning he would not have met the U.S. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the House of Representatives.[ 15]
General election
Debates
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Rod Blum (R)
Abby Finkenauer (D)
Troy Hageman (L)
Undecided
Emerson College [ 18]
October 29 – November 1, 2018
353
± 5.5%
41%
53%
4%
2%
NYT Upshot /Siena College [ 19]
October 28–31, 2018
452
± 4.9%
39%
46%
4%
11%
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [ 20]
October 12–13, 2018
400
± 4.9%
43%
45%
4%
6%
The Polling Company (R-Blum) [ 21]
October 3–4, 2018
400
± 4.9%
43%
44%
3%
8%
NYT Upshot /Siena College [ 22]
September 18–20, 2018
502
± 4.6%
37%
52%
–
11%
Emerson College [ 23]
September 6–8, 2018
250
± 6.4%
38%
43%
–
12%
DCCC (D) [ 24]
February 13–14, 2018
—
—
41%
47%
–
—
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 25]
February 12–13, 2018
742
± 3.6%
42%
43%
–
15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth) [ 26]
November 2–3, 2017
737
–
42%
43%
–
16%
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 27]
October 6–8, 2017
1,093
± 3.0%
40%
42%
–
18%
Predictions
Results
Finkenauer went on to flip the district; this was one of many victories in swing districts for Democrats in a blue wave election.
District 2
2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election
County resultsLoebsack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%Peters: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
Democratic representative Dave Loebsack , who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack ran for reelection.[ 37]
The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.[ 2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Loebsack—100%
Loebsack—≥90%
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Christopher Peters, thoracic surgeon and nominee for this seat in 2016 [ 38]
Eliminated in primary
Ginny Caligiuri, businesswoman (write-in)[ 39] [ 40]
Declined
Results
2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county: Peters—≥90%
Peters—80–90%
Peters—70–80%
Peters—50–60%
Independents
General election
Polling
Predictions
Results
District 3
2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election
County resultsAxne: 50–60%Young: 50–60% 60–70%
Incumbent Republican David Young , who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
The 3rd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012.[ 2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:
Democratic primary
After Greenfield's campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to make the ballot, but did not get enough signatures.[ 44]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not make ballot
Withdrew
Austin Frerick, former Treasury Department economist[ 51] [ 52]
Paul Knupp, psychiatric rehabilitation practitioner and minister,[ 53] withdrew from the Democratic primary to join the Green party[citation needed ]
Heather Ryan, nominee for KY-01 in 2008 [ 54] [ 55]
Anna Ryon, attorney with the Office of Consumer Advocate[ 56]
Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate in 2016 [ 57] [ 58]
Declined
Endorsements
Austin Frerick (withdrawn)
Pete D'Alessandro
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals
Sue Dvorsky, former Iowa Democratic Committee Chair[ 61]
Derek Eadon, former Iowa Democratic Committee Chair[ 61]
Ben Jacobs, Bernie Sanders’s 2016 campaign manager[ 65]
Polling
Poll source
Dates administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Cindy Axne
Pete D'Alessandro
Eddie Mauro
Undecided
Selzer & Co. [ 66]
May 13–16, 2018
400
± 4.9%
26%
11%
27%
36%
Results
2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Axne—70–80%
Axne—60–70%
Axne—50–60%
Mauro—40–50%
General election
Debate
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Dates administered
Sample size
Margin of error
David Young (R)
Democratic candidate
Other
Undecided
PPP /Patriot Majority USA [ 72]
October 6–8, 2017
693
± 3.7%
44%
43%
—
—
Predictions
Results
District 4
2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district election
County resultsKing: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%Scholten: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
Incumbent Republican Steve King , who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012.[ 2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Cyndi Hanson, educational administrator[ 74]
Declined
Results
2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county: King—80–90%
King—70–80%
King—60–70%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
Results
2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county: Scholten—70–80%
Scholten—60–70%
Scholten—50–60%
Scholten—40–50%
Scholten—30–40%
Jacobsen—40–50%
Jacobsen—50–60%
Jacobsen—60–70%
General election
King declined to debate Scholten during the general election campaign.[ 83] [ 84]
Endorsements
Polling
Predictions
Results
King won by the slimmest margin of victory in his congressional electoral career.[ 90]
References
^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018" . Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019 .
^ a b c d "Morning Digest: Facing reality, Pat McCrory finally concedes North Carolina governor's race" . Daily Kos Elections . December 6, 2016. Retrieved January 18, 2017 .
^ Pat Rynard (May 3, 2017). "ABBY FINKENAUER LAUNCHES CONGRESSIONAL BID ON WORKING CLASS MESSAGE" . Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved May 3, 2017 .
^ a b "Stacey Walker may run for Congress in IA-01" . Bleeding Heartland. June 13, 2017. Retrieved June 13, 2017 .
^ a b James Q. Lynch (July 10, 2017). "Thomas Heckroth joins field of candidates seeking to unseat U.S. Rep. Rod Blum" . Mason City Globe Gazette. Retrieved July 10, 2017 .
^ James Q. Lynch (May 30, 2017). "Cedar Rapids engineer Courtney Rowe joins 1st District Democratic race" . The Gazette. Retrieved May 31, 2017 .
^ a b c "Democrats set to target Blum in IA-01; GOP will go after Loebsack in IA-02" . Bleeding Heartland . February 3, 2017. Retrieved February 3, 2017 .
^ Steele, Ron (September 21, 2017). "Senator Danielson says he will not run for Congress in 2018" . KWWL . Archived from the original on September 22, 2017. Retrieved September 21, 2017 .
^ Lynch, James Q. (January 18, 2017). "Mathis rules out running for Iowa governor in 2018" . The Gazette . Retrieved January 18, 2017 .
^ a b c James Q. Lynch (July 17, 2017). "Linn County Supervisor Stacy Walker won't run for U.S. House" . Muscatine Journal . Retrieved July 27, 2017 .
^ "Steve Sodders rules out running for Congress in IA-01" . Bleeding Heartland. April 17, 2017. Retrieved May 3, 2017 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j "Team Abby is Growing!" . Abby Finkenauer for Congress. May 12, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2017 .[permanent dead link ]
^ a b c d e "Join Team Heckroth" . Thomas Heckroth for Congress. Archived from the original on July 24, 2017. Retrieved July 27, 2017 .
^ "Primary election 2018 canvass summary" (PDF) . sos.iowa.gov . Retrieved March 6, 2023 .
^ a b Crippes, Christinia. "Green Party candidate announces 1st District bid" . Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier . Retrieved September 14, 2017 .
^ C-SPAN
^ C-SPAN
^ a b c d Emerson College
^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
^ The Polling Company (R-Blum)
^ The Polling Company (R-Blum)
^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
^ a b c d Emerson College
^ DCCC (D)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth)
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ a b c d "2018 House Race Ratings" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 30, 2018 .
^ a b c d "2018 House Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ a b c d "2018 House" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ a b c d "Battle for the House 2018" . RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings" . Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018 .[permanent dead link ]
^ a b c d Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 6, 2018 .
^ a b c d "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings" . cnn.com . Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023 .
^ a b c d "Fox News Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ" . Fox News . Retrieved August 18, 2018 .
^ a b c d "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election" . POLITICO . Retrieved September 7, 2018 .
^ Dolmage, David (August 3, 2017). "Loebsack lays out plan for 2018" . Newton Daily News . Retrieved August 3, 2017 .
^ Christopher Peters announces run for U.S. Congress , daily-iowan.Com, 2017/07/19.
^ "Ginny Caligiuri announces bid for Congress in Iowa's 2nd District" . Des Moines Register .
^ "Iowa Starting Line on Twitter" . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "danielclarkforcongress.com" . danielclarkforcongress . Archived from the original on October 5, 2017. Retrieved October 5, 2017 .
^ Gravis Marketing (R-Peters)
^ Daniel Clark (I) with 2%, Mark Strauss (L) with 1%
^ "Democratic Candidate Theresa Greenfield Fails to Make it on Primary Ballot" . whotv.com . March 19, 2018. Retrieved March 19, 2018 .
^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (June 2, 2017). "Cynthia Axne announces candidacy challenging David Young" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved June 2, 2017 .
^ a b c "Candidate List" (PDF) . sos.iowa.gov . Retrieved March 6, 2023 .
^ "Democrat Pete D'Alessando exploring congressional run in Iowa's 3rd District" . The Des Moines Register . April 25, 2017. Retrieved August 26, 2017 .
^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne; Ufheil, Angela (August 26, 2017). "Democrat Pete D'Alessandro will challenge David Young for Congress" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 27, 2017 .
^ Noble, Jason (July 27, 2017). "Eddie Mauro exploring run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd District" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 28, 2017 .
^ Noble, Jason (July 5, 2017). "Real estate executive Theresa Greenfield joins 3rd District race for Congress" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 5, 2017 .
^ a b Noble, Jason (August 4, 2017). "Democrat Austin Frerick is running for Congress in Iowa's 3rd" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 8, 2017 .
^ "Iowa Congressional Candidate Drops Out of Race" . whotv.com . March 17, 2018.
^ "Background on Paul Knupp, another Democratic candidate in IA-03" . Bleeding Heartland . June 12, 2017. Retrieved June 13, 2017 .
^ "Heather Ryan launches untraditional Democratic campaign in IA-03" . Bleeding Heartland . June 7, 2017. Retrieved June 7, 2017 .
^ Rynard, Pat (July 5, 2017). "3rd District Candidate Heather Ryan's Disturbing Past Comments, Videos" . Iowa Starting Line . Retrieved June 7, 2017 .
^ "IA-03: Democrat Anna Ryon is thinking about it" . Bleeding Heartland . February 1, 2017. Retrieved February 2, 2017 .
^ Obradovich, Katie (March 1, 2017). "Democrat Mike Sherzan to run for Congress in Iowa's 3rd District" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved March 1, 2017 .
^ a b "IA-03: Mike Sherzan is out, Pete D'Alessandro to decide soon" . Bleeding Heartland . April 13, 2017. Retrieved June 16, 2017 .
^ "Bernie Sanders endorses Pete D'Alessandro in Iowa's 3rd District race" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "Bernie's with Pete: Add your name" . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ a b c d "Who's endorsed the seven Democrats running for Congress in IA-03 - Bleeding Heartland" . January 11, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "National Nurses United Endorses Cathy Glasson for Governor and Pete D'Alessandro for Congress" . National Nurses United . December 8, 2017. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "Pete D'Alessandro" . Our Revolution . Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "The People For Bernie Sanders" . www.facebook.com . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "Ben Jacobs on Twitter" . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ Selzer & Co.
^ C-SPAN
^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
^ DCCC (D)
^ ALG Research (D-Axne)
^ PPP/Patriot Majority USA
^ Koss, Emily (June 2, 2017). "Steve King Running for Another Term in Congress" . WHO-DT . Retrieved June 2, 2017 .
^ Katie Copple (December 6, 2017). "Longtime Sioux Citian Dr. Cyndi Hanson announces House run against incumbent Steve King" . siouxlandnews.com . Siouxland News. Retrieved August 10, 2023 .
^ Hayworth, Bret (June 18, 2016). "Content with primary outcome, Bertrand could challenge King again" . Sioux City Journal . Retrieved January 18, 2017 .
^ Noble, Jason (July 25, 2017). "Former Sioux City baseball player J.D. Scholten to run for Congress in Iowa's 4th" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 25, 2017 .
^ Cauthron, Randy M. (August 10, 2017). " 'Anybody with a strong vision can win here' " . Spencer Daily Reporter . Archived from the original on August 10, 2017. Retrieved August 10, 2017 .
^ Cannon, Austin (September 18, 2017). "Ames physician to run for Congress" . Ames Tribune . Archived from the original on September 22, 2017. Retrieved September 21, 2017 .
^ Petroski, William (August 21, 2017). "Dahl to seek Democratic nomination for Iowa's 4th District Congress seat" . The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 21, 2017 .
^ "Kim Weaver withdraws her candidacy in Iowa's 4th District race for Congress" . Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 17, 2017 .
^ Rynard, Pat (April 26, 2017). "Dirk Deam Passes On 4th District, Fred Hubbell Rumors Heat Up" . Iowa Starting Line . Retrieved August 17, 2017 .
^ Hayworth, Bret (May 1, 2017). "Sioux City's Hall mulls run for governor" . Sioux City Journal . Retrieved May 12, 2017 .
^ "Is Steve King in trouble? Democrat J.D. Scholten bets hustle and grit are keys to upset" . Des Moines Register . Retrieved October 28, 2018 .
^ "No King versus Scholten debate in Iowa's fourth district - Radio Iowa" . Radio Iowa . October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018 .
^ "Why Jeff Flake is backing an Iowa Democrat over Republican Steve King" .
^ NYT Upshot/Siena College
^ Change Research (D)
^ WPA Intelligence (R-King) Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
^ Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten)
^ "Steve King, scourge of immigrants, squeaks out a win" . www.yahoo.com . November 7, 2018.
External links
Official campaign websites for first district candidates
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates
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