2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

← 2016

November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)

2020 →

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives

	Majority party	Minority party

Party	Republican	Democratic
Last election	4	0
Seats won	4	0
Seat change
Popular vote	556,339	312,978
Percentage	62.56%	35.19%
Swing	8.60%	24.77%

Republican

50–60%

60–70%

Federal government

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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Arkansas; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries were held on May 22, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices. Polls were open from 7:30 AM to 7:30 PM CST.^[1] This election marked the first time in eight years where the Democrats contested every seat.

Overview

Popular vote

Republican			62.56%
Democratic			35.19%
Libertarian			2.21%
Other			0.04%

House seats

Republican			100%
Democratic			0%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:^[2]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result

	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	138,757	68.95%	57,907	28.77%	4,581	2.28%	201,245	100.0%	Republican Hold
District 2	132,125	52.13%	116,135	45.82%	5,193	2.05%	253,453	100.0%	Republican Hold
District 3	148,717	64.78%	74,952	32.65%	6,039	2.57%	229,568	100.0%	Republican Hold
District 4	136,740	66.74%	63,984	31.23%	4,168	2.03%	204,892	100.0%	Republican Hold
Total	556,339	62.56%	312,978	35.19%	19,981	2.25%	889,298	100.0%

District 1

2018 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election

← 2016

2020 →


Nominee	Rick Crawford	Chintan Desai
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	138,757	57,907
Percentage	68.9%	28.8%

Results by county
Crawford: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Desai: 50–60% 60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Crawford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Crawford
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 206. The district had a PVI of R+16.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. Representative^[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Chintan Desai, project manager for KIPP: Delta Public Schools and former Teach for America member^[4]

Withdrawn

Robert Butler

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Elvis D. Presley, Elvis impersonator, auto-mechanic, nominee for Arkansas Commissioner of State Lands in 2014 and for state senate in 2016

General election

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rick Crawford (R)	Chintan Desai (D)	Elvis Presley (L)	Undecided
Hendrix College^[5]	September 5–7, 2018	422	± 4.7%	57%	22%	3%	18%

Results

Arkansas' 1st congressional district, 2018^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rick Crawford (incumbent)	138,757	68.9
	Democratic	Chintan Desai	57,907	28.8
	Libertarian	Elvis Presley	4,581	2.3
Total votes			201,245	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

2018 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016

2020 →


Nominee	French Hill	Clarke Tucker
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	132,125	116,135
Percentage	52.1%	45.8%

Results by county
Hill: 60–70% 70–80%
Tucker: 50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

French Hill
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

French Hill
Republican

Incumbent Republican French Hill, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

French Hill, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Little Rock)^[7]

Democratic primary

The 2nd district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[8]

Candidates

Nominee

Clarke Tucker, state representative (D-Little Rock)^[9]

Eliminated in primary

Gwendolynn Millen Combs, teacher and businesswoman^[10]
Jonathan Dunkley^[11]
Paul Spencer, teacher and activist^[12]

Declined

Win Thompson, former University of Central Arkansas President^[13]

Primary results

Democratic primary results^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Clarke Tucker	23,325	57.8
	Democratic	Gwen Combs	8,188	20.3
	Democratic	Paul Spencer	5,063	12.6
	Democratic	Johnathan Dunkley	3,768	9.3
Total votes			40,344	100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Joe Swafford, residential appraiser

General election

Endorsements

Clarke Tucker (D)

Organizations

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program^[15]

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 8, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	French Hill (R)	Clarke Tucker (D)	Joe Swafford (L)	Undecided
Hendrix College^[16]	October 17–18, 2018	590	± 4.0%	51%	40%	2%	7%
Hendrix College^[5]	September 5–7, 2018	428	± 4.7%	50%	40%	2%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[17]	April 16–17, 2018	610	± 4.0%	47%	42%	—	11%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[18]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections^[19]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[20]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP^[21]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos^[22]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538^[23]	Likely R	November 7, 2018
CNN^[24]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
Politico^[25]	Lean R	November 2, 2018

Results

Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, 2018^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	French Hill (incumbent)	132,125	52.1
	Democratic	Clarke Tucker	116,135	45.8
	Libertarian	Joe Swafford	5,193	2.1
Total votes			253,453	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2018 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016

2020 →


Nominee	Steve Womack	Joshua Mahony
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	148,717	74,952
Percentage	64.7%	32.6%

Results by county
Womack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Womack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Womack
Republican

Incumbent Republican Steve Womack, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Rogers)^[26]

Eliminated in primary

Robb Ryerse, pastor and a "progressive Republican"^[27]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Womack (incumbent)	47,757	84.2
	Republican	Robb Ryerse	8,988	15.8
Total votes			56,745	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Joshua Mahony, president of the Arkansas Single Parent Scholarship Fund and former chairman of the Fayetteville Airport Commission (D-Fayetteville)^[28]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Michael Kalagias, retired teacher and volunteer firefighter (L-Rogers)

General election

Campaign

This was the first time since he was first elected in 2010 that Womack had faced a Democrat in the general election, having only had opposition from minor parties since.

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve Womack (R)	Josh Mahony (D)	Michael Kalagias (L)	Undecided
Hendrix College^[5]	September 5–7, 2018	428	± 4.7%	53%	31%	5%	11%

Results

Arkansas' 3rd congressional district, 2018^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve Womack (incumbent)	148,717	64.7
	Democratic	Joshua Mahony	74,952	32.6
	Libertarian	Michael Kalagias	5,899	2.6
	Write-in		140	0.1
Total votes			229,708	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2018 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election

← 2016

2020 →


Nominee	Bruce Westerman	Hayden Shamel
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	136,740	63,984
Percentage	66.7%	31.2%

Results by county
Westerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Shamel: 50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. Representative (R-Hot Springs)^[29]

Eliminated in primary

Randy Caldwell, preacher^[30]

Primary results

Republican primary results^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bruce Westerman (incumbent)	40,201	79.8
	Republican	Randy Caldwell	10,151	20.2
Total votes			50,352	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Hayden Shamel, teacher (D-Hot Springs)^[31]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Tom Canada, manufacturing lead

General election

Debate

2018 Arkansas's 4th congressional district debate
No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn
					Bruce Westerman	Hayden Shamel	Tom Canada
1	Oct. 8, 2018	AETN	Steve Barnes	^[32]	P	P	A

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bruce Westerman (R)	Hayden Shamel (D)	Tom Canada (L)	Undecided
Hendrix College^[5]	September 5–7, 2018	423	± 4.7%	54%	24%	5%	17%

Results

Arkansas' 4th congressional district, 2018^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bruce Westerman (incumbent)	136,740	66.8
	Democratic	Hayden Shamel	63,984	31.2
	Libertarian	Tom Canada	3,952	1.9
	Write-in		216	0.1
Total votes			204,892	100.0
	Republican hold

References

^ "2016 Arkansas Code: Title 7, Chapter 5, Subchapter 3; § 7-5-304 - Opening and closing polls -- Time". Justia; US law. Archived from the original on March 9, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ "Chintan Desai Announces Race for AR 1st District Congress Seat". ARKANSASMATTERS. November 17, 2017. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Hendrix College
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "2018 Arkansas general election results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 9, 2019.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2017.
^ Brantley, Max. "Rep. Clarke Tucker announces race for French Hill's 2nd District congressional seat". Arkansas Times. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ Brantley, Max. "A 4th Democratic candidate for 2nd District Congress". Arkansas Times. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
^ THV11 Digital Team (July 13, 2017). "Paul Spencer officially announces campaign to challenge Rep. French Hill". Retrieved July 13, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
^ Max Brantley (April 28, 2017). "Political speculation: A Democrat to run for 2nd District Congress". arktimes.com. Arkansas Times. Archived from the original on August 10, 2019. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
^ ^a ^b ^c "2018 Arkansas primary election results". Retrieved June 9, 2019.
^ "Red to Blue". dccc.org/. DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
^ Hendrix College
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
^ "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
^ "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
^ "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ Jilani, Zaid (May 19, 2017). "MEET THE PASTOR RUNNING AS A PROGRESSIVE REPUBLICAN TO GET BIG MONEY OUT OF POLITICS". The Intercept. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
^ DeMillo, Andrew (May 8, 2017). "Arkansas Scholarship Fund Head Says He'll Run for Congress". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved May 8, 2017.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ "Forms lacking for 2 Arkansas congressional candidates, FEC says". NWADG.com. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
^ "FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved July 1, 2019.
^ YouTube

External links

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

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Related	Russian interference in the 2018 United States elections