2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota . Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Republican state House of Representatives member Jim Newberger. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections , a gubernatorial election , State House elections , and other elections were also held.
The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[ 1]
This is the last time that a Democratic candidate won a majority of Minnesota's counties in a statewide election.
Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary
Candidates
Nominated
Eliminated in primary
Steve Carlson[ 3]
Stephen A. Emery[ 3]
David R. Groves[ 3]
Leonard J. Richards[ 3]
Endorsements
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
Eliminated in primary
Merrill Anderson,[ 3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
Rae Hart Anderson[ 3]
Rocky De La Fuente , 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[ 3]
Declined
Endorsements
Jim Newberger
State legislators
Representative Tony Albright , 55B, Vice Chair of the Health and Human Services Finance Committee
Senator Bruce Anderson , SD 29
Representative Paul Anderson , 12B, Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee
Representative Jeff Backer , 12A, Vice Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee
Representative Cal Bahr , 31B.
Representative Peggy Bennett , 27A, Vice Chair of the Education Finance Committee
Senator Dave Brown , SD15, retired
Representative Drew Christensen , 56A
Representative Steve Drazkowski , 21B, Chair of the Property Tax Committee
Representative Sondra Erickson , 15A, Chair of the Education Innovation Policy Committee
Representative Dan Fabian , 1A, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee
Representative Patrick Garofalo , 58B, Chair of the Growth and Energy Affordibility Committee
Representative Steve Green , 2B
Representative Glenn Gruenhagen , 18B
Representative Bob Gunther , 23A, Chair of the Legacy Committee
Senator Dan Hall , SD 56, Chair of the Local Government Finance Committee
Representative Josh Heintzeman , 10A, Vice Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee
Representative Jerry Hertaus , 33A, Vice Chair of the Property Tax Committee
Representative Jeff Howe , 13A
Senator Bill Ingebrigtsen , SD 8, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Finance Committee
Representative Tony Jurgens , 54B.
Representative Ron Kresha , 9B, Majority Whip
Representative Sandy Layman , 5B
Representative Kathy Lohmer , 39B
Representative Bob Loonan , 55A
Representative Eric Lucero , 30B
Representative Dale Lueck , 10B, Vice Chair of the Mining, Forestry and Tourism SubCommittee
Senator Andrew Mathews , SD15, Vice Chair, Energy and Utilities Committee.
Representative Anne Neu , 32B
Representative Marion O'Neill , 29B, Chair of Employee Relations Sub Committee
Representative Joyce Peppin , 34A, Majority Leader
Representative Roz Peterson , 56B
Representative John Poston , 9A.
Representative Cindy Pugh , 33B, Vice Chair of the Government Operations and Elections Committee
Representative Duane Quam , 25A
Senator Julie Rosen , SD23, Finance Committee Chair
Representative Dennis Smith , 34B, Vice Chair of the Civil Law and Data Practices Committee
Representative Mark Uglem , 36A, Vice Chair of the Capital Investment Committee
Representative Nick Zerwas , 30A
Individuals
Organizations
Chinese American Alliance Action[ 19]
Newspapers
Results
Results by county
Newberger—80–90%
Newberger—70–80%
Newberger—60–70%
Newberger—50–60%
Results by congressional district
Newberger—70–80%
Newberger—60–70%
Minor parties and independents
Candidates
General election
Predictions
Debates
On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair .[ 29]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)
Total receipts
Total disbursements
Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)
$10,139,499
$7,700,359
$5,086,325
Jim Newberger (R)
$210,846
$191,815
$19,030
Source: Federal Election Commission[ 30]
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)
Jim Newberger (R)
Paula Overby (G)
Dennis Schuller (LMN)
Other
Undecided
Change Research [ 31]
November 2–4, 2018
953
–
55%
40%
2%
3%
–
–
Research Co. [ 32]
November 1–3, 2018
450
± 4.6%
53%
33%
–
–
2%
12%
SurveyUSA [ 33]
October 29–31, 2018
600
± 5.3%
57%
34%
–
–
1%
7%
St. Cloud State University [ 34]
October 15–30, 2018
420
–
54%
28%
–
–
–
Mason-Dixon [ 35]
October 15–17, 2018
800
± 3.5%
56%
33%
2%
2%
–
8%
Change Research [ 36]
October 12–13, 2018
1,413
–
50%
41%
2%
5%
–
2%
Marist College [ 37]
September 30 – October 4, 2018
637 LV
± 4.9%
60%
32%
4%
–
<1%
4%
63%
33%
–
–
<1%
4%
860 RV
± 4.2%
59%
32%
5%
–
<1%
5%
62%
33%
–
–
<1%
5%
Mason-Dixon [ 38]
September 10–12, 2018
800
± 3.5%
60%
30%
1%
3%
–
6%
SurveyUSA [ 39]
September 6–8, 2018
574
± 4.9%
53%
38%
–
–
2%
8%
Suffolk University [ 40]
August 17–20, 2018
500
± 4.4%
54%
34%
1%
1%
–
11%
Emerson College [ 41]
August 8–11, 2018
500
± 4.6%
50%
26%
–
–
–
24%
BK Strategies [ 42]
June 24–25, 2018
1,574
± 2.5%
57%
37%
–
–
–
6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Generic Democrat
Generic Republican
Undecided
BK Strategies (R) [ 43]
June 24–25, 2018
1,574
± 2.5%
49%
42%
9%
Results
Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, won every congressional district, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis -St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory , she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by county
Democratic — +10-15%
Democratic — +5-10%
Democratic — +0-5%
Republican — +0-5%
Republican — +5-10%
Republican — +10-15%
Republican — +15-20%
Republican — +20-25%
Republican — +25-30%
Republican — +>30%
Trend by county
Democratic — +10-15%
Democratic — +5-10%
Democratic — +0-5%
Republican — +0-5%
Republican — +5-10%
Republican — +10-15%
Republican — +15-20%
Republican — +20-25%
Republican — +25-30%
Republican — +>30%
By congressional district
Klobuchar won all 8 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans.[ 45]
Voter demographics
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup
Klobuchar
Newberger
No Answer
% of Voters
Gender
Men
54
45
1
46
Women
67
32
1
54
Age
18–24 years old
79
19
2
6
25–29 years old
60
39
1
5
30–39 years old
63
35
2
12
40–49 years old
57
42
1
13
50–64 years old
61
38
1
29
65 and older
60
39
1
35
Race
White
59
40
1
89
Black
86
12
2
5
Latino
N/A
N/A
N/A
3
Asian
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Other
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Race by gender
White men
52
47
1
40
White women
65
34
1
49
Black men
N/A
N/A
N/A
3
Black women
N/A
N/A
N/A
2
Latino men
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Latino women
N/A
N/A
N/A
1
Others
N/A
N/A
N/A
4
Education
High school or less
59
40
1
17
Some college education
55
43
2
23
Associate degree
54
44
2
17
Bachelor's degree
66
34
N/A
26
Advanced degree
75
25
N/A
16
Education and race
White college graduates
68
31
1
38
White no college degree
53
46
1
51
Non-white college graduates
79
20
1
4
Non-white no college degree
82
17
1
7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees
74
25
1
21
White women without college degrees
59
40
1
28
White men with college degrees
61
39
N/A
17
White men without college degrees
46
53
1
23
Non-whites
80
18
2
11
Income
Under $30,000
67
28
5
14
$30,000–49,999
63
35
2
20
$50,000–99,999
55
44
1
36
$100,000–199,999
64
36
N/A
23
Over $200,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
7
Party ID
Democrats
98
2
N/A
39
Republicans
18
81
1
32
Independents
62
36
2
29
Party by gender
Democratic men
96
4
N/A
14
Democratic women
99
1
N/A
25
Republican men
16
84
N/A
15
Republican women
20
78
2
17
Independent men
56
42
2
16
Independent women
69
29
2
13
Ideology
Liberals
96
3
1
27
Moderates
76
23
1
39
Conservatives
17
82
1
33
Marital status
Married
55
44
1
67
Unmarried
69
28
3
33
Gender by marital status
Married men
51
47
2
31
Married women
58
42
N/A
36
Unmarried men
59
38
3
15
Unmarried women
79
19
2
18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes
59
40
1
13
No
64
35
1
87
Most important issue facing the country
Health care
78
20
2
50
Immigration
29
70
1
22
Economy
37
62
1
18
Gun policy
N/A
N/A
N/A
7
Area type
Urban
73
26
1
40
Suburban
58
41
1
32
Rural
49
49
2
28
Source: CNN [ 46]
See also
References
^ "United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018 - Ballotpedia" . Retrieved March 3, 2017 .
^ Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016). "Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race" . Star Tribune . Retrieved December 26, 2016 .
^ a b c d e f g "Candidate Filings" . candidates.sos.state.mn.us . Retrieved June 8, 2018 .
^ "Our Candidates - CWA Political" . CWA Political . Archived from the original on April 3, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018 .
^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018" . EMILY's List . February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017 .
^ Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Re-election" . End Citizens United.
^ "Amy Klobuchar – Feminist Majority PAC" . feministmajoritypac.org .
^ "Endorsements - League of Conservation Voters" .
^ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support" . Retrieved December 18, 2018 .
^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements" . www.nrdcactionfund.org . January 5, 2018.
^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements" . Population Connection . Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018 .
^ "Minnesota – Official UAW Endorsements" . uawendorsements.org . United Automobile Workers.
^ a b "Minnesota 2018 Primary Election Results" . Minnesota Secretary of State . Archived from the original on February 12, 2019. Retrieved May 28, 2019 .
^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (August 5, 2017). "Challenger emerges to run against U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar — GOP state Rep. Jim Newberger" . St. Paul Pioneer Press . Retrieved August 5, 2017 .
^ "GOP endorses Housley, Newberger for U.S. Senate" . June 2, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "Pawlenty won't run for Senate in Minnesota" . Politico . January 16, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ [1] [dead link ]
^ Lindell, Mike (October 31, 2018). "My friend @NewbergerJim will be one of the best US Senators ever!pic.twitter.com/gZCkRCQ1nw" . Retrieved December 18, 2018 .
^ "CAA Endorsing James Newberger For US Senate" . Jim Newberger for US Senate .
^ "Our View / Endorsement: Newberger already focused on Klobuchar" . Duluth News Tribune . July 24, 2018.
^ McMullen, Maureen (November 11, 2017). "Transgender candidate announces U.S. Senate campaign in Minn., seeking Green Party endorsement" . Duluth News Tribune . Retrieved January 25, 2018 .
^ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices" . Star Tribune . Retrieved June 17, 2018 .
^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved March 13, 2021 .
^ "2018 Senate Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved March 13, 2021 .
^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved December 7, 2017 .
^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings" . Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018 .
^ "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018 .
^ "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved August 14, 2018 .
^ Pugmire, Tim (August 22, 2018). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar and state Rep. Jim Newberger debate at the State Fair" . Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
^ "Campaign finance data" . Retrieved October 31, 2018 .
^ Change Research
^ Research Co.
^ SurveyUSA
^ St. Cloud State University
^ Mason-Dixon
^ Change Research
^ Marist College
^ Mason-Dixon
^ SurveyUSA
^ Suffolk University Archived 2018-12-08 at the Wayback Machine
^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
^ BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
^ BK Strategies (R) Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2018 General Election Results" . www.sos.state.mn.us . Archived from the original on April 10, 2020. Retrieved December 18, 2018 .
^ "Daily Kos" .
^ "Minnesota Senate election exit poll" . CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018 .
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