Pasukan Tindak Cepat COVID-19 Kolej Imperial

Pasukan Tindak Cepat COVID-19 Kolej Imperial (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team - ICCRT) ialah pasukan penasihat dan sains yang dibuat oleh Imperial College London untuk mempelajari penyakit koronavirus 2019 dan menasihati pemerintah United Kingdom.[1] Laporan pertamanya diterbitkan pada 17 Januari 2020. Pasukan ini diketuai oleh Neil Ferguson.[2]

Laporan

Nombor Tarikh Tajuk
16 2020-04-23 Role of testing in COVID-19 control
The report estimates COVID-19 testing's impact as reducing transmission by 25~33% from populations tested, but also allowing early release from quarantines and creation of Immunity passport based on antibody tests. Tests face technical, legal, and ethical challenges. Tests while helping are complementary to other more potent actions such as self-isolation when symptoms arises, contact tracing and quarantines.
15 2020-04-17 Strengthening hospital capacity for the COVID-19 pandemic
Reports presents the J-IDEA pandemic planner "a hospital planning tool to calculate how much capacity in terms of beds, staff and ventilators is obtained by implementing healthcare provision interventions affecting the management of patient care in hospitals".
14 2020-04-03 Online Community Involvement in COVID-19 Research & Outbreak Response: Early Insights from a UK Perspective
13 2020-03-30 Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries
12 2020-03-26 The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression
11 2020-03-24 Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment
10 2020-03-20 Public response to UK Government recommendations on COVID-19: population survey, 17-18 March 2020
9 2020-03-16 Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
8 2020-03-11 Symptom progression of COVID-19
7 2020-03-09 Estimating infection prevalence in Wuhan City from repatriation flights
6 2020-02-21 Relative sensitivity of international surveillance
5 2020-02-15 Phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2
4 2020-02-10 Severity of 2019 novel coronavirus (nCoV)
3 2020-01-25 Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV
2 2020-01-22 Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China
1 2020-01-17 Estimating the potential total number of novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in Wuhan City, China

Anggaran

Anggaran untuk 11 negara Eropah setakat 28 Mac 2020

Jumlah populasi yang dijangkiti
Ramalan ICCRT[3] Perhitungan WHO setakat 29 Mac
Negara Penduduk[perlu rujukan] Dijangkiti

(julat 95%)

Dijangkiti

(rerata %)

Kess

(ang.)

Kes Dikesan

(% pop.)

Austria 8,999,973 0.36%-3.1% 1.1% 99000 8291 0.09%
Belgium 11,579,502 1.3%-9.7% 3.7% 428400 9134 0.08%
Denmark 5,785,741 0.40%-3.1% 1.1% 63600 2201 0.04%
Perancis 65,227,357 1.1%-7.4% 3.0% 1956800 37145 0.06%
Jerman 83,792,987 0.28%-1.8% 0.72% 603300 52547 0.06%
Itali 60,496,082 3.2%-26% 9.8% 5928600 92472 0.15%
Norway 5,407,670 0.09%-1.2% 0.41% 22200 3845 0.07%
Sepanyol 46,767,543 3.7%-41% 15% 7015100 72248 0.15%
Sweden 10,081,948 0.85%-8.4% 3.1% 312500 3447 0.03%
Switzerland 8,637,694 1.3%-7.6% 3.2% 276400 13152 0.15%
United Kingdom 67,803,450 1.2%-5.4% 2.7% 1830700 17093 0.03%

Anggaran untuk dunia

Anggaran kesan strategi pengendalian selama 250 hari dengan 3 peristiwa berbeza.[4]

Peristiwa #1 Peristiwa #2 Peristiwa #3
Jangkitan Kematian Jangkitan Kematian Jangkitan Kematian
Asia Timur & Tenggara 2.117.131.000 15.303.000 92.544.000 442.000 632.619.000 3.315.000
Asia Selatan 1.737.766.000 7.687.000 111.703.000 475.000 629.164.000 2.693.000
Eropa & Asia Tengah 801.770.000 7.276.000 61.578.000 279.000 257.706.000 1.397.000
Amerika Utara 326.079.000 2.981.000 17.730.000 92.000 90.529.000 520.000
Amerika Selatan & Karibia 566.993.000 3.194.000 45.346.000 158.000 186.595.000 729.000
Timur Tengah & Afrika Utara 419.138.000 1.700.000 30.459.000 113.000 152.262.000 594.000
Afrika 1.044.858.000 2.483.000 110.164.000 298.000 454.968.000 1.204.000
Jumlah 7.013.734.000 40.624.000 469.523.000 1.858.000 2.403.843.000 10.452.000

Lihat juga

Rujukan

  1. ^ Landler, Mark; Castle, Stephen (2020-03-17). "Behind the Virus Report That Jarred the U.S. and the U.K. to Action". The New York Times (dalam bahasa Inggeris). ISSN 0362-4331. Dicapai pada 2020-03-30.
  2. ^ Adam, David (2020). "Special report: The simulations driving the world's response to COVID-19". Nature. 580 (7803): 316–318. doi:10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6. PMID 32242115.
  3. ^ Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team (2020-03-30). "Estimating the number of infections and the impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries" (PDF). m/s. 35.
  4. ^ "Report 12 - The global impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression". Imperial College London (dalam bahasa Inggeris). Dicapai pada 2020-04-04.

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