The large size of Canada's north, which is currently not arable, and thus cannot support large human populations, significantly lowers the country's carrying capacity. In 2021, the population density of Canada was 4.2 people per square kilometre.[5]
The historical growth of Canada's population is complex and has been influenced in many different ways, such as Indigenous populations, expansion of territory, and human migration. Immigration has been, and remains, the most important factor in Canada's population growth.[6] The 2021 Canadian census counted a total population of 36,991,981, an increase of around 5.2 per cent over the 2016 figure.[7][8] Between 1990 and 2008, the population increased by 5.6 million, equivalent to 20.4 per cent overall growth.[9]
A variety of estimations have been postulated for the Indigenous population in what is now Canada prior to European contact.[11] Estimates of this population during the late 15th century range between 200,000[12] and two million,[13] with a figure of 500,000 currently accepted by Canada's Royal Commission on Aboriginal Peoples.[14] Although not without conflict, European Canadians' early interactions with First Nations and Inuit populations were relatively peaceful.[15] However repeated outbreaks of European infectious diseases such as influenza, measles and smallpox (to which they had no natural immunity),[16] combined with other effects of European contact, resulted in a twenty-five per cent to eighty per cent Indigenous population decrease post-contact.[12] Roland G Robertson suggests that during the late 1630s, smallpox killed over half of the Wyandot (Huron), who controlled most of the early North American fur trade in the area of New France.[17] In 1822 the Indigenous Canadian population, excluding the Métis, was estimated as 283,500 people.[18] In 1871 there was an enumeration of the Indigenous population within the limits of Canada at the time, showing a total of only 102,358 individuals.[19] In 1885 the number of Indigenous people in Canada was reported as 131,952 individuals.[20] From 2006 to 2016, the Indigenous population has grown by 42.5 per cent, four times the national rate.[21] The Indigenous population representing 5 percent or 1.8 million individuals, grew by 9.4 percent compared to the non-Indigenous population, which grew by 5.3 percent from 2016 to 2021.[22] The 2021 Census data reveals that there are over 1. 8 million Indigenous people in Canada, comprising 5. 0% of the overall Canadian population, a slight increase from 4. 9% in 2016,[23]
The European population grew slowly under French rule,[24] thus remained relatively low as growth was largely achieved through natural births, rather than by immigration.[25] Most of the French were farmers, and the rate of natural increase among the settlers themselves was very high.[26] The women had about 30 per cent more children than comparable women who remained in France.[27] Demographer Yves Landry says, "Canadians had an exceptional diet for their time."[27] The 1666 census of New France was the first census conducted in North America.[28] It was organized by Jean Talon, the first Intendant of New France, between 1665 and 1666.[28] According to Talon's census there were 3,215 people in New France, comprising 538 separate families.[29] The census showed a great difference in the number of men at 2,034 versus 1,181 women.[29] By the early 1700s the New France settlers were well established along the Saint Lawrence River and Acadian Peninsula with a population around 15,000 to 16,000.[30] Mainly due to natural increase and modest immigration from Northwest France (Brittany, Normandy, Île-de-France, Poitou-Charentes and Pays de la Loire) the population of New France increased to 55,000 according to the last French census of 1754.[31] This was an increase from 42,701 in 1730.[32]
British Canada
During the late 18th and early 19th century Canada under British rule experienced strong population growth. In the wake of the 1775 invasion of Canada by the newly formed Continental Army during the American Revolutionary War, approximately 60,000 of the 80,000 Americans loyal to the Crown, designated later as United Empire Loyalists fled to British North America, a large portion of whom migrated to Nova Scotia and New Brunswick (separated from Nova Scotia) in 1784.[33] Although the exact numbers cannot be certain because of unregistered migration[34] At least 20,000 went to Nova Scotia, 14,000 to New Brunswick; 1,500 to PEI and 6,000 to Ontario(13,000 including 5,000 blacks went to England and 5,500 to the Caribbean). For the rest of the 1780s additional immigrants arrived from the south. From 1791 An additional 30,000 Americans, called "Late Loyalists", were lured into Ontario in the 1790s by the promise of land and swearing loyalty to the Crown.[35] As a result of the period known as the Great Migration by 1831, Lower Canada's population had reached approximately 553,000, with Upper Canada reaching about 237,000 individuals.[36] The Great Famine of Ireland of the 1840s had significantly increased the pace of Irish immigration to Prince Edward Island and the Province of Canada, peaking in 1847 with 100,000 distressed individuals.[37] By 1851, the population of the Maritime colonies also reached roughly 533,000 (277,000 in Nova Scotia, 194,000 in New Brunswick and 62,000 in Prince Edward Island).[38] To the west British Columbia had about 55,000 individuals by 1851.[38] Beginning in the late 1850s, the immigration of Chinese into the Colony of Vancouver Island and Colony of British Columbia peaked with the onset of the Fraser Canyon Gold Rush.[39] By 1861, as a result of natural births and the Great Migration of Canada from the British Isles, the Province of Canada population increased to 3.1 million inhabitants.[38]Newfoundland's population by 1861 reached approximately 125,000 individuals.[38]
Post-confederation
The population has increased every year since the establishment of the Dominion of Canada in 1867; however, the population of Newfoundland was not included prior to its entry into confederation as Canada's tenth province in 1949.[40][41] The first national census of the country was taken in 1871, with a population count around 3,689,000.[42] The year with the least population growth (in real terms) was 1882–1883, when only 30,000 new individuals were enumerated.[41]
The 1911 census was a detailed enumeration of the population showing a count of 7,206,643 individuals.[43] This was an increase of 34% over the 1901 census of 5,371,315.[44] The year with the most population growth was during the peak of the Post-World War II baby boom in 1956–1957, when the population grew by over 529,000, in a single twelve-month period.[41] The Canadian baby boom, defined as the period from 1947 to 1966, saw more than 400,000 babies born annually.[45] The 1996 census recorded a total population of 28,846,761.[46] This was a 5.7% increase over the 1991 census of 27,296,859.[46] The 2001 census had a total population count of 30,007,094.[47] In contrast, the official Statistics Canada population estimate for 2001 was 31,021,300.[48]
Canada's total population enumerated by the 2006 census was 31,612,897.[49] This count was lower than the official 1 July 2006 population estimate of 32,623,490 people.[49] Ninety per cent of the population growth between 2001 and 2006 was concentrated in the main metropolitan areas.[50] The 2011 census was the fifteenth decennial census with a total population count of 33,476,688 up 5.9% from 2006. On average, censuses have been taken every five years since 1905. Censuses are required to be taken at least every ten years as mandated in section 8 of the Constitution Act, 1867.[51]
Components of population growth
A population estimate for 2022 put the total number of people in Canada at 38,232,593.[52]
Demographic statistics according to the World Population Review in 2022.[53]
One birth every 1 minute
One death every 2 minutes
One net migrant every 2 minutes
Net gain of one person every 2 minutes
In 2010, Canada's annual population growth rate was 1.238%, or a daily increase of 1,137 individuals.[41] Between 1867 and 2009 Canada's population grew by 979%.[41] Canada had the highest net migration rate (0.61%) of all G-8 member countries between 1994 and 2004.[41] Natural growth accounts for an annual increase of 137,626 persons, at a yearly rate of 0.413%.[41] Between 2001 and 2006, there were 1,446,080 immigrants and 237,418 emigrants, resulting in a net migration of just over 1.2 million people.[41] Since 2001 until 2010, immigration has ranged between 221,352 and 262,236 immigrants per annum.[54]
In 2023, Canada's population jumped by over 1 million people for the first time in the country's history. The population now stands at 39.5 million and is set to pass the 40 million mark later this year. The population growth has largely been fuelled by migrants who have been brought into the country to ease labour shortages.[55]
Archaeological evidence of a short-lived Norse settlement was found at L'Anse aux Meadows, on the northernmost tip of the island of Newfoundland (carbon dating estimate 990–1050 AD.[58]) There is no record of how many men and women lived at the site at any given time, however archaeological evidence of the dwellings suggest it had the capacity of supporting 30 to 160 individuals.[59]
Jacques Cartier established Charlesbourg-Royal at Cap-Rouge on his third voyage. Even though scurvy was cured through the Indigenous remedy (Thuja occidentalis infusion), the impression left is of a general misery with the effort being abandoned.[60] During the winter 35 of Cartier's men perished.[60]
1543
Cap-Rouge (Quebec City)
200
In 1542, Jean-François Roberval tried to re-invigorate the Charlesbourg-Royal colony at Cap-Rouge which Roberval renamed France-Roy, however after a set of disastrous winters the effort was abandoned.[61] En route to Charlesbourg-Royal, Roberval had abandoned his near-relative Marguerite de La Rocque with her lover on the "Isle of Demons" (now called Harrington Island), in the Gulf of Saint Lawrence, as punishment for their affair.[62] The young man, their servant and baby died, but Marguerite survived to be rescued by fishermen and returned to France two years later.[62]
Humphrey Gilbert with 260 men planned a settlement; however, during exploration of the coast line a ship was lost containing many of the prospective colonists and their provisions.[63]
Marquis de La Roche-Mesgouez and 40 convicts (peasants and beggars) with 10 soldiers settled on Sable Island, but this colonization attempt failed, culminating in a revolt with only 11 survivors evacuated.[64][65]
François Gravé Du Pont with 16 men built a fur trading post at Tadoussac; however, only five of the men survived the winter before returning to France.[65]
The first in date of the Colonies which became successful, and which consequently marked the starting point of European settlements on what would be Canada , was the foundation of Port Royal, Acadia.[68]
List of censuses.[69][70]
The 44 colonists are surviving members of 79 from the now abandoned St. Croix settlement of Maine.[65] However, the habitation at Port-Royal was also abandoned and left in the care of the local Mi'kmaq.[67] The settlement was later moved upstream and to the south bank of the Annapolis River, keeping the name Port-Royal and becoming the capital of Acadia.[74]
Samuel de Champlain establishes the colony with 28 settlers.[65] Half of the men that winter the first year die of scurvy or starvation.[75] Nevertheless, new settlers arrive resulting in Quebec being the first permanent settlement, and also the capital of, the French colony of Canada.
The Newfoundland Colony is established by John Guy his brother Phillip and his brother-in-law William Colston with 39 colonists who spend the winter of 1610–1611 at Cuper's Cove.[76] By the fall of 1613 sixteen structures are completed by about 60 settlers on the site.[77][78] As England tried to create a foothold in the north, other settlements were established at Bristol's Hope, Renews, New Cambriol, South Falkland and Avalon, an area that became known as the English Shore. However the majority of the population did not stay year round returning in the spring of each year. Over the next 100 years the English colonies of Newfoundland grew very slowly, and had only 3,000 permanent residents by the 1720s.[79]
1629
Quebec city
117
*90 wintering belonged to Kirke's English Expedition that had captured the city.[80] Under brief British control the city begins to grow and be fortified.[81] Prior to 1632 only eight births were recorded among the 60 to 70 permanent European settlers.[81][82] The first European child born in Quebec had been Hélène Desportes, in 1620.[83]
New colony with the majority of immigrants coming directly from France led by Paul de Chomedey and Jeanne Mance, a lay woman.[84]
1666
Canada (New France)
3,215
The 1660s marked the only real "wave" of French settlers arriving until the Treaty of Utrecht in 1713.[85] Following the initial wave of French settlers natural growth was the main contributing factor to population growth.[81] Quebec city 2,100, Trois-Rivières 455, Montreal 655. (Comprising 528 families with 2,034 men and 1,181 women. Professionals included 3 notaries, 3 schoolmasters, 3 locksmiths, 4 bailiffs, 5 surgeons, 5 bakers, 8 barrel makers, 9 millers, 18 official merchants, 27 joiners, and 36 carpenters.)[56]
New France sees new settlements develop as residents leave Quebec City (population 1,345) and Trois-Rivières (150) with Montreal gaining influence (population 1,418).[56]
Prince Edward Island 323 – Nova Scotia 1,666 – New Brunswick 1,403 – Quebec 6,988 – Ontario 12,978 – British Columbia 23,000 – Rupert's Land 33,500 – Manitoba 500 and Labrador and the Arctic Watersheds 22,000
1885
Indigenous population
131,952
Prince Edward Island 292 - Nova Scotia 2,197 - New Brunswick 1,524 - Quebec 12,023 - Ontario 16,892 - British Columbia 39,011 - Eastern Rupert's Land 4,016 - Manitoba and Northwest Territories 33,959 - Peace River district 2,038 - Athabaska district 8,000 - McKenzie district 7,000 - Labrador (Canadian interior) 1,000 - Arctic coast 4,000
In 2006, Statistics Canada projected for the decade 2021 to 2031 the population to grow by more than 5 million, or more than 10%.[112] Between 1990 and 2008, the population increased by 5.6 million, equivalent to 20.4 per cent overall growth.[9] The 2016 Canadian census counted a total population of 35.1 million,[7] or 1.5 million under the 2006 projection.
In October 2020, the Trudeau government announced its plans to bring in more than 1.2 million immigrants over the subsequent three years, to catch up to the high-growth scenario.[113]
^ abYves Landry (1993). "Fertility in France and New France: The Distinguishing Characteristics of Canadian Behavior in the Seventeenth and Eighteenth Centuries". Social Science History. 17 (4). Université de Montréal: 577–592, quote p 586. doi:10.1017/S0145553200016928. JSTOR1171305. S2CID147651557.
^ abHarald E. L. Prins (1996). The Miʼkmaq: resistance, accommodation, and cultural survival. Harcourt Brace College Pub. p. 61. ISBN978-0-03-053427-0.
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