2023 Nigerian presidential election in Taraba State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Taraba State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered2,022,374
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Taraba State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Taraba State is a diverse, agriculture-based state in the Middle Belt that has faced challenges in security as inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers heavily affect the region. The overproliferation of weaponry and increased pressure for land along with failures in governance led to the worsening of these clashes in the years ahead of the election.[2]

Politically, the 2019 elections were a mixed bag for both major parties. On the federal level, PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state by 7% but it swung slightly towards Buhari; legislatively, the parties fairly evenly split the Senate seats and House of Representatives seats. Statewise, Ishaku won re-election by a wide margin and the PDP won a majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 9% 22% 1% 30% – 28% 7% 1%
Nextier
(Taraba crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 25.5% 21.6% – 51.0% – 2.0% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Taraba crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 13% 54% 4% 28% – 1% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][3] Lean Abubakar 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][4]
Tinubu: 27.52% 11 February 2023
Obi: 27.37%
Abubakar: 33.77%
Others: 16.35%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][5] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][6] Abubakar 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][7]
Tinubu: 10% 27 December 2022
Obi: 20%
Kwankwaso: 20%
Abubakar: 40%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[f][8][9] Abubakar 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Taraba State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Taraba Central Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Taraba North Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Taraba South Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Bali/Gassol Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Jalingo/Yorro/Zing Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Karim Lamido/Lau/Ardo-Kola Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Sardauna/Gashaka/Kurmi Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Takum/Donga/Ussa Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Wukari/Ibi Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ardo Kola TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Bali TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Donga TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gashaka TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gassol TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ibi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Jalingo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Karim Lamido TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Kurmi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Lau TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Sardauna TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Takum TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ussa TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Wukari TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Yorro TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Zing TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bali, Gashaka, Gassol, Kurmi, and Sardauna.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ardo Kola, Jalingo, Karim Lamido, Lau, Yorro, and Zing.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Donga, Ibi, Takum, Ussa, and Wukari.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bali and Gassol Gassol.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Jalingo, Yorro, and Zing.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ardo Kola, Karim Lamido, and Lau.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gashaka, Kurmi, and Sardauna.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Donga, Takum, and Ussa.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ibi and Wukari.

References

  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Ojewale, Oluwole (7 July 2021). "What's driving violence in Nigeria's north central region". The Conversation. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  3. ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  4. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  5. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  6. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.