2023 Nigerian presidential election in Benue State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Benue State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered2,777,727
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Benue State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Benue State is a diverse, agriculture-based state in the Middle Belt; although it is nicknamed the "Food Basket of the Nation" and has vast natural resources, Benue has faced challenges in security as inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers heavily affect the state. The overproliferation of weaponry and increased pressure for land along with failures in governance led to the worsening of these clashes in the years ahead of the election.[2]

Politically, Benue's 2019 elections were categorized as a swing back towards the PDP in the aftermath of Ortom's 2018 defection back to the party. On the federal level, PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state after Buhari had won it in 2015; legislatively, the PDP swept all three Senate seats and won seven House of Representatives seats. Statewise, PDP Governor Samuel Ortom won re-election by over 10% of the vote and the PDP won a majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 12% 49% 1% 6% – 9% 20% 2%
Nextier
(Benue crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 30.3% 46.1% – 20.2% – 3.4% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Benue crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 4% 49% – 2% 1% 43% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][3] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][4]
Tinubu: 24.44% 11 February 2023
Obi: 33.57%
Abubakar: 24.44%
Others: 17.54%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][5] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][6] Obi 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][7]
Tinubu: 20% 27 December 2022
Obi: 30%
Kwankwaso: 10%
Abubakar: 25%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[f][8][9] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Benue State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Benue North-East Senatorial District[g]
(Zone A) 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Benue North-West Senatorial District[h]
(Zone B) 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Benue South Senatorial District[i]
(Zone C) 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ado/Ogbadibo/Okpokwu Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Apa/Agatu Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Buruku Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Gboko/Tarka Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Guma/Makurdi Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Gwer East/Gwer West Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Katsina-Ala/Ukum/Logo Federal Constituency[p] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Konshisha/Vandeikya Federal Constituency[q] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kwande/Ushongo Federal Constituency[r] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Oju/Obi Federal Constituency[s] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Otukpo/Ohimini Federal Constituency[t] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ado TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Agatu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Apa TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Buruku TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gboko TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Guma TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gwer East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gwer West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Katsina-Ala TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Konshisha TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Kwande TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Logo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Makurdi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ogbadibo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ohimini TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Oju TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Okpokwu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Otukpo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Tarka TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ukum TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ushongo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Vandeikya TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Katsina-Ala, Konshisha, Kwande, Logo, Vandeikya, Ukum, and Ushongo.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Buruku, Gboko, Gwer East, Gwer West, Guma, Makurdi, and Tarka.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ado, Agatu, Apa, Obi, Ogbadibo, Ohimini, Oju, Okpokwu, and Otukpo.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ado, Ogbadibo, and Okpokwu.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Apa and Agatu.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government area of Buruku.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gboko and Tarka.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Guma and Makurdi.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gwer East and Gwer West.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Katsina-Ala, Logo. and Ukum.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Konshisha and Vandeikya.
  18. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Kwande and Ushongo.
  19. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Obi and Oju.
  20. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ohimini and Otukpo.

References

  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Ojewale, Oluwole. "What's driving violence in Nigeria's north central region". The Conversation. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  3. ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  4. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  5. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  6. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.