Wariyapola Polling Division

Wariyapola
Polling Division
Location of Wariyapola
Coordinates: 7°38′53″N 80°15′07″E / 7.648175°N 80.252002°E / 7.648175; 80.252002
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total
207.64 km2 (80.17 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
61,425
 • Density296/km2 (770/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15E

The Wariyapola Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Wariyapola has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Wariyapola is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Wariyapola Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.70% SLPP 9.69%
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.45% NDF 10.07%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.96% UPFA 9.84%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.12% UPFA 4.93%
1999 PA PA 3.11% PA 2.38%
1994 PA PA 3.00% PA 0.23%
1988 SLFP UNP 2.21% UNP 2.81%
1982 UNP UNP 0.64% UNP 2.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 3.27% 8/8 5.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 40,261 62.91% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 20,591 32.17% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,984 3.10% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,163 1.82% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 63,999 99.26% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 474 0.74% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 64,473 85.51% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 75,394 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,499 57.92% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 24,562 41.24% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 503 0.84% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 59,564 99.25% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 448 0.75% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,012 78.12% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 76,817 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,497 68.09% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 16,282 30.38% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 819 1.53% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 53,598 99.36% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 343 0.64% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 53,941 75.02% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 71,905 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,155 55.41% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,919 43.56% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 544 1.03% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 52,618 98.98% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 540 1.02% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 53,158 77.95% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 68,194 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,187 53.91% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,163 40.48% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,847 4.12% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 672 1.50% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 44,869 97.89% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 965 2.11% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,834 76.90% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,601 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,612 62.45% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,862 36.24% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 538 1.31% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 41,012 98.53% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 610 1.47% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 41,622 77.68% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 53,579 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 10,208 49.54% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 10,150 49.26% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 247 1.20% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 20,605 99.13% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 181 0.87% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 20,786 43.19% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,131 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Wariyapola[11] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,220 56.73% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,914 39.87% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,060 2.83% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 214 0.57% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 37,408 99.14% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 325 0.86% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 37,733 86.40% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,670 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Wariyapola has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Wariyapola is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Wariyapola Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.47% UNP 6.08%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.30% UPFA 6.47%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.34% UPFA 5.67%
2001 UNP UNP 2.44% UNP 2.78%
2000 PA PA 0.86% PA 2.37%
1994 PA PA 3.54% PA 3.46%
1989 UNP UNP 2.15% UNP 6.14%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.73% 7/7 4.71%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,038 53.18% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 23,217 42.52% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,152 3.94% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 196 0.36% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 54,603 95.31% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,657 4.64% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 57,289 74.58% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 76,817 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,701 69.58% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,828 26.61% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,303 3.53% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 104 0.28% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 36,936 92.17% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,118 7.78% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 40,073 55.73% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 71,905 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,886 53.93% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,554 42.38% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,569 3.40% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 136 0.29% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 46,145 94.61% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,617 5.37% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,772 74.07% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 65,847 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,525 45.67% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,009 44.53% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,960 8.81% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 444 0.99% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 44,938 94.29% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,720 5.71% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 47,658 75.29% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 63,298 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,184 47.99% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,932 42.89% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,709 6.14% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
SU 664 1.50% 6,691 0.91% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 653 1.48% 21,657 2.94% 279,248 3.25%
Valid Votes 44,142 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,974 55.57% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 18,802 43.58% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 366 0.85% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 43,142 96.04% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,777 3.96% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 44,919 83.84% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 53,579 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Wariyapola[20] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,526 57.40% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,411 40.30% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 458 1.28% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 362 1.01% 13,907 2.59% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 35,757 95.18% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,811 4.82% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 37,568 79.30% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,374 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Wariyapola Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (98.1%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Wariyapola Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Wariyapola[1]

  Sinhalese (98.1%)
  Moor (1.4%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Wariyapola Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (96.8%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Wariyapola Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [1]

Religion in Wariyapola[1]

  Buddhist (96.8%)
  Muslim (1.4%)
  Roman Catholic (1.2%)
  Other (0.5%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wariyapola and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wariyapola and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wariyapola and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Wariyapola and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.