Kalmunai Polling Division

Kalmunai
Polling Division
Location of Kalmunai
Coordinates: 7°22′11″N 81°49′51″E / 7.369741°N 81.830838°E / 7.369741; 81.830838
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAmpara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
53.26 km2 (20.56 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
143,093
 • Density2,687/km2 (6,960/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-13C

The Kalmunai Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalmunai has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kalmunai is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kalmunai Ampara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 19.19% SLPP 37.93%
2015 NDF NDF 24.35% NDF 37.99%
2010 NDF NDF 25.32% UPFA 35.07%
2005 UNP UNP 19.54% UPFA 26.84%
1999 PA PA 0.97% PA 2.40%
1994 PA PA 13.70% PA 23.85%
1988 UNP UNP 10.84% UNP 11.67%
1982 UNP UNP 5.98% UNP 10.07%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 5/8 14.99% 8/8 23.23%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 47,309 83.08% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 7,286 12.79% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.75% 7,165 1.74% 306,638 2.31%
NMPP 709 1.25% 7,460 1.81% 418,553 3.16%
IND11 644 1.13% 2,214 0.54% 38,814 0.29%
Valid Votes 56,945 99.03% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 555 0.97% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 57,500 77.63% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 74,068 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 45,411 89.81% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 4,683 9.26% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 467 0.92% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 50,561 99.33% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 342 0.67% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 50,903 71.44% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,254 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,946 75.76% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 9,564 21.99% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 976 2.24% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 43,486 98.76% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 544 1.24% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 44,030 66.58% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 66,135 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,316 75.60% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 8,951 23.08% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 512 1.32% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 38,779 98.84% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 456 1.16% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 39,235 63.03% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 62,251 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,773 55.38% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,390 42.84% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 761 1.77% 9,456 3.51% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 42,924 98.38% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 707 1.62% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 43,631 78.77% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 55,387 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,511 86.31% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 4,092 11.21% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 701 1.92% 3,677 1.58% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.56% 1,541 0.66% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 36,510 99.05% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 352 0.95% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 36,862 73.36% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 50,248 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,746 62.03% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,708 32.12% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,766 5.84% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 30,220 98.14% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 573 1.86% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 30,793 69.86% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,077 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kalmunai[11] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,347 64.15% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 8,197 28.66% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 926 3.24% 8,079 5.02% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 861 3.01% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 268 0.94% 1,344 0.83% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 28,599 98.45% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 449 1.55% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,048 77.44% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 37,509 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kalmunai has matched the final country result 2 out of 7 times.

Year Kalmunai Ampara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 13.46% UNP 22.85%
2010 UNP UPFA 23.22% UPFA 31.30%
2004 SLMC UPFA 16.60% UPFA 28.14%
2001 SLMC SLMC 14.74% UNP 30.12%
2000 PA PA 5.47% PA 8.80%
1994 SLMC UNP 18.26% PA 35.14%
1989 SLMC UNP 12.83% UNP 26.90%
Matches/Mean MAE 2/7 5/7 14.94% 7/7 26.18%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,992 55.15% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
ITAK 10,847 23.94% 45,421 13.94% 515,963 4.63%
ACMC 8,549 18.87% 33,102 10.16% 33,102 0.30%
UPFA 726 1.60% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 200 0.44% 6,978 2.14% 676,586 6.07%
Valid Votes 45,314 95.53% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,051 4.32% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 47,434 66.57% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,254 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,457 55.15% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPFA 8,332 22.46% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
ITAK 7,947 21.42% 26,895 10.52% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 360 0.97% 5,926 2.32% 485,562 6.05%
Valid Votes 37,096 1854800.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1 50.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 2 200.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 1 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,978 47.26% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 13,842 29.77% 55,533 19.16% 633,203 6.85%
UPFA 9,189 19.76% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 971 2.09% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 524 1.13% 3,865 1.33% 639,878 6.92%
Valid Votes 46,504 94.46% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,506 5.09% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 49,231 81.43% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 60,456 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 22,765 51.64% 75,257 26.86% 105,346 1.18%
TULF 11,558 26.22% 48,789 17.41% 348,164 3.89%
UNP 4,411 10.01% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 2,700 6.12% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
EPDP 1,346 3.05% 5,901 2.11% 72,783 0.81%
IND9 1,051 2.38% 14,808 5.28% 14,848 0.17%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 251 0.57% 11,721 4.18% 934,107 10.43%
Valid Votes 44,082 95.80% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,930 4.19% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,016 79.82% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 57,653 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,459 54.88% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 12,300 30.06% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
IG2 5,480 13.39% 19,812 7.43% 31,443 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 684 1.67% 8,937 3.35% 712,394 8.28%
Valid Votes 40,923 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 22,653 59.09% 75,092 31.19% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 7,631 19.91% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 6,294 16.42% 24,526 10.19% 132,461 1.67%
TELO 789 2.06% 4,192 1.74% 24,974 0.31%
PA 584 1.52% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 384 1.00% 4,039 1.68% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 38,335 96.35% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,454 3.65% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 39,789 79.19% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 50,248 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kalmunai[20] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 15,144 42.89% 61,325 28.69% 202,016 3.61%
TULF 11,369 32.20% 43,424 20.32% 188,594 3.37%
UNP 6,513 18.44% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 2,241 6.35% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 45 0.13% 965 0.45% 965 0.02%
Valid Votes 35,312 96.15% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,413 3.85% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,725 84.27% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 43,579 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kalmunai Polling Division has a Moor majority (72.8%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (26.2%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Kalmunai Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kalmunai[1]

  Moor (72.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (26.2%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Kalmunai Polling Division has a Muslim majority (72.8%) and a significant Hindu population (24.4%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Kalmunai Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [1]

Religion in Kalmunai[1]

  Muslim (72.8%)
  Hindu (24.4%)
  Roman Catholic (1.4%)
  Other Christian (1.0%)
  Other (0.3%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalmunai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.