2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

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50 Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count 47 3
Popular vote 452,496 299,084
Percentage 59.79% 39.52%

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.[2]

Held following the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada primary and caucuses, and the United States Virgin Islands caucuses, the South Carolina primary was the fifth Republican contest in which delegates were awarded to take place this election.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]

Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He suspended his campaign on November 12, 2023[6] and endorsed Trump on January 19, 2024.[7]

Immediately after polls closed at 7:00pm EST, multiple media outlets called the primary for Trump.[8][9] Trump received the highest number of votes of any candidate for either party in the history of the South Carolina primaries, breaking the record previously held by George W. Bush in 2000.[8][9]

Background

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[10] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[11]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[12]

Procedure

29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.

Candidates

The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and secured ballot access.[13]

Endorsements

Nikki Haley

U.S. Representatives

State senators

State representatives

Mayors

Former party official

Donald Trump

Former federal executive officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governor

State executive officials

State senator

State representatives

Notable individuals

Withdrawn candidates

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

Former federal executive official

State senators

State representatives

Tim Scott (withdrawn)

Former U.S. Representative

Former governor

State senators

State representatives

Mayor

Maps

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (17)
  Non-Republicans (36)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (13)
  Non-Republicans (16)

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
270toWin[50] February 16–20, 2024 February 21, 2024 34.6% 61.6% 3.8% Trump +27.0
FiveThirtyEight[51] through February 23, 2024 February 24, 2024 34.0% 61.6% 4.4% Trump +27.6
RealClearPolling[52] February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 February 23, 2024 37.5% 60.8% 1.7% Trump +23.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group[53] Feb 21–23, 2024 1093 (LV) ± 2.9% 37.5% 58.9% 3.6%[c]
Suffolk University/USA Today[54] Feb 15–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 35% 63% 2%[d]
Emerson College/The Hill[55] Feb 15–17, 2024 1197 (LV) ± 2.8% 35.4% 57.9% 6.7%
Insider Advantage[56] Feb 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Trafalgar Group[57] Feb 13–15, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 33.6% 63.3% 3%
The Citadel[58] Feb 5–11, 2024 505 (LV) ± 5.7% 31% 64% 3% 2%
Winthrop University[59] Feb 2–10, 2024 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 28.7% 64.9% 3.3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University[60] Jan 26–30, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.9% 32% 58% 2% 8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[61] Jan 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 66% 4%
The Tyson Group/The American Promise[62] Jan 24–26, 2024 543 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 58% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[61] Jan 17–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 68% 4%
Emerson College[63] Jan 2–3, 2024 584 (LV) ± 4.0% 4.8% 6.6% 25.1% 0.2% 3.1% 54.4% 1.9%
Trafalgar Group[64] Dec 6–8, 2023 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 5.8% 14.4% 22.8% 0.3% 6.1% 48.7% 1.9%
Morning Consult[65] Nov 1–30, 2023 856 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 19% 3% 7% 57%
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research[66] Nov 4–12, 2023 780 (RV) ± 3.51% 0.3% 1.6% 12.5% 18.7% 0.4% 3.4% 10.6% 47.6% 2.1%[e] 2.7%
Morning Consult[65] Oct 1–31, 2023 927 (LV) 0% 1% 11% 15% 0% 3% 6% 7% 58%
CNN/SSRS[67] Oct 18–25, 2023 738 (LV) ± 4.8% 0% 2% 11% 22% 0%[f] 2% 1% 6% 53% 0%[g] 1%
Morning Consult[65] Sep 1–30, 2023 854 (LV) 1% 10% 13% 0% 3% 6% 7% 59% 0%[h] 1%
Fox Business[68] Sep 14–18, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 4% 10% 18% 1% 4% 5% 9% 46% 1%[i] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University[69] Sep 6–11, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 5% 9% 18% 2% 3% 3% 10% 46% 1%[j] 4%
Morning Consult[65] Aug 1–31, 2023 910 (LV) 1% 14% 11% 0% 4% 8% 7% 55% 0%[h]
Trafalgar Group (R)[70] Aug 17–19, 2023 1,054 (LV) ± 2.9% 0% 2% 14% 8% 0% 2% 6% 14% 48% 0%[k] 1%
Morning Consult[65] July 1–31, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 15% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% 54% 0%[l] 1%
Fox Business[71] Jul 15–19, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 2% 13% 14% 1% 4% 3% 10% 48% [m] 4%
Morning Consult[65] June 1–30, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 20% 12% 0% 4% 3% 10% 48% 1%[n] 1%
National Public Affairs[72] Jun 20–21, 2023 809 (LV) 1% 5% 18% 12% 2% 2% 2% 10% 41% 6%
Morning Consult[65] May 1–31, 2023 875 (LV) 19% 13% 0% 4% 3% 7% 52% 1%[o] 1%
National Research[73][A] May 24–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 18% 10% 1% 1% 1% 12% 43% 1%[p] 13%
National Public Affairs[74] May 15–17, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 10% 38% 8%
Morning Consult[65] Apr 1–30, 2023 810 (LV) 17% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% 52% 3%[q] 1%
National Public Affairs[75] Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% 43% 1%[r] 6%
Winthrop University[76] Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% 20% 18% 0% 5% 7% 41% 5%[s] 4%
Morning Consult[65] Mar 1–31, 2023 806 (LV) 22% 15% 5% 0% 4% 49% 3%[t] 2%
Morning Consult[65] Feb 1–28, 2023 689 (LV) 24% 18% 5% 7% 43% 4%[u]
Neighbourhood Research and Media[77][B] Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% 22% 16% 2% 2% 35% 23%
Morning Consult[65] Jan 1–31, 2023 974 (LV) 31% 14% 2% 5% 45% 2%[v] 1%
Trafalgar Group[78] Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 33% 6% 52% 9%[w]
21% 3% 23% 48% 5%[x]
29% 22% 4% 43% 2%[y]
28% 12% 2% 14% 43% 1%[z]
Moore Information[79] Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% 31% 12% 4% 5% 41% 7%
29% 62% 9%
42% 49% 15%
Spry Strategies[80] Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) 52% 33% 15%
Morning Consult[65] Dec 1–31, 2022 530 (LV) 28% 13% 4% 5% 44% 6%[aa]
Winthrop University[81] Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 1,298 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 45% 19%
Echelon Insights[82] Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.1% 33% 58% 9%
Trafalgar Group[83] Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 64% 11%[ab] 25%[ac]

Results

South Carolina Republican primary, February 24, 2024[84]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 452,496 59.79% 47 47
Nikki Haley 299,084 39.52% 3 3
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,953 0.39%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 726 0.10%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 658 0.09%
Ryan Binkley 528 0.07%
David Stuckenberg 361 0.05%
Total: 756,806 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: [85]

Results by congressional district

Trump won 6 of the 7 congressional districts.

District Trump Haley
1st 46.8% 52.5%
2nd 55.5% 43.8%
3rd 67.5% 31.8%
4th 59.6% 39.5%
5th 65.5% 33.9%
6th 53.7% 45.6%
7th 67.8% 31.7%
Source: "Election Night Reporting". Retrieved February 25, 2024.

Results by county

County Donald Trump Nikki Haley Others Margin Total

votes

% # % # % # % #
Abbeville 76.35% 2,857 23.01% 861 0.64% 24 53.34% 1,996 3,742
Aiken 60.79% 15,179 38.66% 9,653 0.55% 137 22.13% 5,526 24,969
Allendale 71.26% 238 28.74% 96 0.00% 0 42.51% 142 334
Anderson 68.69% 23,735 30.60% 10,572 0.71% 245 38.10% 13,163 34,552
Bamberg 64.60% 637 34.89% 344 0.51% 5 29.72% 293 986
Barnwell 77.15% 1,604 22.37% 465 0.48% 10 54.79% 1,139 2,079
Beaufort 43.87% 17,083 55.44% 21,591 0.69% 269 -11.58% -4,508 38,943
Berkeley 59.43% 17,976 39.83% 12,046 0.74% 223 19.61% 5,930 30,245
Calhoun 70.24% 1,397 29.26% 582 0.50% 10 40.98% 815 1,989
Charleston 37.72% 23,881 61.71% 39,072 0.57% 364 -23.99% -15,191 63,317
Cherokee 85.26% 7,034 14.13% 1,166 0.61% 50 71.13% 5,868 8,250
Chester 78.15% 2,930 21.37% 801 0.48% 18 56.79% 2,129 3,749
Chesterfield 78.57% 3,440 20.76% 909 0.66% 29 57.81% 2,531 4,378
Clarendon 72.09% 2,846 27.51% 1,086 0.41% 16 44.58% 1,760 3,948
Colleton 70.05% 3,134 29.50% 1,320 0.45% 20 40.55% 1,814 4,474
Darlington 73.56% 5,608 25.91% 1,975 0.54% 41 47.65% 3,633 7,624
Dillon 84.61% 2,018 15.18% 362 0.21% 5 69.43% 1,656 2,385
Dorchester 57.11% 11,725 42.03% 8,629 0.86% 177 15.08% 3,096 20,531
Edgefield 73.92% 2,882 25.24% 984 0.85% 33 48.68% 1,898 3,899
Fairfield 65.63% 1,577 33.71% 810 0.67% 16 31.92% 767 2,403
Florence 70.42% 10,401 28.98% 4,280 0.60% 89 41.44% 6,121 14,770
Georgetown 57.14% 7,617 42.34% 5,644 0.52% 69 14.80% 1,973 13,330
Greenville 56.97% 54,123 42.06% 39,952 0.97% 923 14.92% 14,171 94,998
Greenwood 63.77% 6,427 35.66% 3,594 0.57% 57 28.11% 2,833 10,078
Hampton 72.43% 993 26.84% 368 0.73% 10 45.59% 625 1,371
Horry 66.81% 47,986 32.70% 23,489 0.48% 348 34.11% 24,497 71,823
Jasper 57.06% 3,174 42.35% 2,356 0.59% 33 14.70% 818 5,563
Kershaw 65.89% 6,182 33.58% 3,151 0.53% 50 32.30% 3,031 9,383
Lancaster 60.55% 9,485 38.78% 6,075 0.67% 105 21.77% 3,410 15,665
Laurens 76.22% 7,838 23.13% 2,379 0.65% 67 53.08% 5,459 10,284
Lee 78.89% 994 20.24% 255 0.87% 11 58.65% 739 1,260
Lexington 58.11% 27,460 41.21% 19,475 0.68% 323 16.90% 7,985 47,258
Marion 77.07% 1,906 22.40% 554 0.53% 13 54.67% 1,352 2,473
Marlboro 81.92% 1,405 17.43% 299 0.64% 11 64.49% 1,106 1,715
McCormick 62.36% 1,433 36.51% 839 1.13% 26 25.85% 594 2,298
Newberry 64.89% 3,819 34.43% 2,026 0.68% 40 30.47% 1,793 5,885
Oconee 60.19% 10,230 39.21% 6,664 0.61% 103 20.98% 3,566 16,997
Orangeburg 67.26% 3,815 32.18% 1,825 0.56% 32 35.08% 1,990 5,672
Pickens 67.58% 15,613 31.76% 7,337 0.66% 152 35.82% 8,276 23,102
Richland 41.40% 13,697 57.72% 19,098 0.88% 292 -16.32% -5,401 33,087
Saluda 72.31% 2,309 27.00% 862 0.69% 22 45.32% 1,447 3,193
Spartanburg 69.75% 33,039 29.44% 13,946 0.80% 381 40.31% 19,093 47,366
Sumter 64.85% 5,556 34.44% 2,951 0.71% 61 30.40% 2,605 8,568
Union 84.18% 3,193 15.45% 586 0.37% 14 68.73% 2,607 3,793
Williamsburg 80.01% 1,789 19.54% 437 0.45% 10 60.47% 1,352 2,236
York 57.91% 24,231 41.39% 17,318 0.70% 292 16.52% 6,913 41,841

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Listed as undecided and other
  4. ^ Listed as undecided/other
  5. ^ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  6. ^ No voters
  7. ^ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  8. ^ a b Will Hurd with 0%
  9. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  12. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  13. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  14. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  15. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  16. ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
  17. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  18. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  19. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  20. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  21. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  22. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  23. ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  24. ^ Mike Pompeo with 5%
  25. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  26. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  27. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  28. ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  29. ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

References

  1. ^ Lopez, Ashley (February 24, 2024). "Voting in South Carolina's all-important Republican presidential primary ends today". NPR. Retrieved February 24, 2024.
  2. ^ "South Carolina Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  3. ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  4. ^ "5 Things to Watch in South Carolina's Republican Primary". ABC News. February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  5. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (February 19, 2023). "South Carolina's Nikki Haley and Tim Scott on collision course in 2024 presidential race". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  6. ^ Kinnard, Meg (November 14, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott abruptly ends 2024 presidential bid, shocking even his campaign staff". Associated Press. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  7. ^ Holmes, Kristen; Atwood, Kylie; Zanona, Melanie; Sullivan, Kate (January 20, 2024). "Sen. Tim Scott endorses Trump in New Hampshire amid full-court press against Haley". CNN. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
  8. ^ a b "Trump is projected to win South Carolina". abcnews.go.com. ABC News. Retrieved February 25, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "South Carolina Presidential Primary Results". Associated Press. Retrieved February 24, 2024.
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  11. ^ Rutenberg, Jim (January 22, 2012). "Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
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  38. ^ Wingfield, Mark (December 8, 2022). "While many evangelical leaders are wary of Trump's 2024 run, this Oklahoma pastor has launched a fan club". Baptist News Global. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
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  42. ^ "DeSantis Is the 'Only' Candidate That Combatted the Weaponization of Government: Sen. Josh Kimbrell". Fox News. June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  43. ^ Christian, Matthew (June 8, 2023). "North Augusta's Rep. Bill Hixon Endorses Ron DeSantis". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
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  50. ^ 270toWin
  51. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  52. ^ RealClearPolling
  53. ^ Trafalgar Group
  54. ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
  55. ^ Emerson College/The Hill
  56. ^ Insider Advantage
  57. ^ Trafalgar Group
  58. ^ The Citadel
  59. ^ Winthrop University
  60. ^ Washington Post/Monmouth University
  61. ^ a b Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  62. ^ The Tyson Group/The American Promise
  63. ^ Emerson College
  64. ^ Trafalgar Group
  65. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
  66. ^ Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research
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