The map of zones of all above Mw 4.5 earthquakes near New Zealand. Earthquakes associated with Hikurangi Margin subduction have depth zones while earthquakes associated with rifting and transverse faulting are shallow at less than 70 km (43 mi). Key:
Shallow back arc earthquakes less than 70 km (43 mi) deep
Up to 70 km (43 mi) deep subduction shallow-focus earthquakes
70–300 km (43–186 mi) deep shallow-focus earthquakes
More than 300 km (190 mi) deep shallow-focus earthquakes
(blue) Active subduction trenches
back arc basins
(brown) back arc ridges
(yellow) Spreading centers or rifts
(green) Other ocean floor features
Active faults would be red lines and inactive black but are not shown usually as they tend to be smaller scale features that would add to map complexity. Mouse over shows feature names.
Earthquakes of up to Mw8.2 have been recorded on the Hikurangi Margin, generating local tsunamis, and earthquakes in the 9.0M range are thought to be possible.[6] The Ruatoria debris avalanche originated on the north part of the subduction zone and probably occurred around 170,000 years ago.[7] Multiple uplift earthquakes will have occurred in the locked areas of the fault but a good historical record does not yet exist. The Pacific Plate slab has earthquakes often associated with it under New Zealand and for example deep earthquakes at more than 300 km (190 mi) under Taranaki or more than 70 km (43 mi) under the North Island Volcanic Plateau are likely associated with the subducted slab as it goes deeper under the crust.
Slow slip events
There are well characterised now slow slip events across the Hikurangi Margin [1] Hikurangi Margin slow slip events occur up to yearly at a shallow depth of less than 10 km (6.2 mi), and last for up to 6 weeks relieving stress on much of the fault.[8] For example the series of slow slip events between 2013-2016 involved moment release of approximately Mw 7.4. [9] At least one of the well characterised events was very close to the trench.[10] On land parallel to the predicted fault line of the Hikurangi Margin are active faults which are not fully characterised and include the Parkhill Fault Zone near Cape Kidnappers, the Maraetotara Fault Zone, and the Flat Point Fault. The slow slip activity has been associated with on land a mud volcano eruption causing a significant landslip.[11]
Modelling events
Because it has been possible to examine the mechanical properties of the subducted ocean floor clays recovered by drilling into the subducted rock, it has been possible to develop a model that may explain both the slow slip events but also why large and relatively deep earthquake ruptures are propagated into the shallow areas of the subduction zone thus displacing the ocean floor and generating tsunamis.[12] The model suggests that shallow-depth subducted water-saturated clay-rich sediments, promote earthquake rupture propagation and slip.[12]
List
The Hikurangi Margin has the potential to produce notable earthquakes. Some significant earthquakes are:
The 1931 Hawke's Bay earthquake and its aftershocks remains New Zealand's deadliest natural disaster. It had a magnitude of Mw 7.4.[14] The earthquake is thought to have occurred on one of the larger thrust faults of the Hikurangi Margin, at between from 5 km depth to 25 km depth.[15]
There have been ten possible large subduction earthquakes identified over the past 7000 years before the above historic records along the Hikurangi margin.[16] The last such pre history earthquake occurred 570 ± 25[16] years ago in the southern Hikurangi margin.[17] An earthquake associated with a tsunami and at least 354 km (220 mi) of the margin rupturing, occurred between 945 and 890 years ago.[17]
References
^ abcWallace, Laura; Clark, Kate (29 November 2017). "Hikurangi subduction zone - GeoNet: News". GeoNet. GNS Science. Retrieved 29 August 2022. The Hikurangi subduction zone (sometimes referred to as the Hikurangi subduction margin) is New Zealand's largest fault
^"Slow Slip Watch:Hikurangi". GeoNet. GNS Science. 2022. Retrieved 29 August 2022. Hikurangi Margin slow slip events occur every 1-2 years at a shallow depth (<10km), and last for 2-6 weeks