2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana


2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Candidate John Kennedy Gary Chambers Luke Mixon
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote 851,568 246,933 182,887
Percentage 61.56% 17.85% 13.22%
Kennedy:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Chambers:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Mixon:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Steib:      40–50%      50–60%
Billiot:      >90%
Tie:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

John Kennedy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Kennedy
Republican

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The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round.[1][2]

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%).[3]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

  • Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
  • John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

  • Aaron C. Sigler, neurosurgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

Nonpartisans and independents

Declared

  • Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[10]
  • Bradley McMorris, realtor
  • W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois[11]
  • Thomas Wenn

Endorsements

Gary Chambers (D)

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

John Kennedy (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Luke Mixon (D)

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Syrita Steib (D)

Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[35] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[36] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[38] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[39] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[40] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[41] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[42] Solid R
(Kennedy) 		June 30, 2022
The Economist[43] Safe R September 7, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Gary
Chambers
(D) 		John
Kennedy
(R) 		Luke
Mixon
(D) 		Syrita
Steib
(D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[44] October 10–11, 2022 633 (RV) – 8% 53% 16% 6% 2%[b] 14%
Echelon Insights[45] August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (RV) ± 6.5% 16% 51% 8% 6% – 19%
JMC Analytics (R)[46] March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 14% 53% 7% 3% – 23%
Hypothetical polling

Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
JMC Analytics (R)[46] March 21–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 33% 16%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kennedy (incumbent) 851,568 61.56%
Democratic Gary Chambers 246,933 17.85%
Democratic Luke Mixon 182,887 13.22%
Democratic Syrita Steib 31,568 2.28%
Republican Devin Lance Graham 25,275 1.83%
Democratic MV "Vinny" Mendoza 11,910 0.86%
Independent Beryl Billiot 9,378 0.68%
Democratic Salvador P. Rodriguez 7,767 0.56%
Independent Bradley McMorris 5,388 0.39%
Libertarian Aaron C. Sigler 4,865 0.35%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John 2,753 0.20%
Independent W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson 1,676 0.12%
Independent Thomas Wenn 1,322 0.10%
Total votes 1,383,290 100.00%
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 2%

References

  1. ^ a b "Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.'". Fox News. June 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  2. ^ writer, MARK BALLARD | Staff (November 8, 2022). "John Kennedy wins second term in the U.S. Senate". NOLA.com. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. ^ "Fox News Voter Analysis". Fox News. November 18, 2022.
  4. ^ "Democrats rally around new personalities".
  5. ^ "Baton Rouge community activist Gary Chambers launches campaign for U.S. Senate". January 11, 2022.
  6. ^ "Sen. John Kennedy draws a challenger: Navy veteran Luke Mixon". October 5, 2021.
  7. ^ "KALB Exclusive: Syrita Steib seeking U.S. Senate seat". May 25, 2022.
  8. ^ "Here's what 5 governors have to say on Covid, climate change and campaign plans". Politico. January 28, 2022.
  9. ^ a b c d Bridges, Tyler (March 12, 2022). "New Orleans City Council members back Gary Chambers' bid to unseat Sen. John Kennedy". The Advocate. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  10. ^ "Louisiana Senate Candidate Rips Enormous Blunt in First Campaign Ad". Rolling Stone. January 18, 2022. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  11. ^ "Who is William Olson, Democratic candidate for 8th Congressional District?". Chicago Tribune. March 6, 2020. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  12. ^ "Carter throws support behind Chambers run for Senate". www.brproud.com. September 17, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  13. ^ "Senate candidate Gary Chambers gets first endorsement from La. elected official". BRProud.com. January 27, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  14. ^ "The New Orleans Tribune Endorses the Following Candidates in the Nov. 8 Primary". The New Orleans Tribune. October 20, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  15. ^ a b c "Closer look at La. Democratic Party's controversial senatorial endorsement". www.kalb.com. August 15, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  16. ^ "Endorsements – Our Black Party". www.ourblackparty.com. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  17. ^ Barrabi, Thomas (March 6, 2021). "Trump endorses Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy in 2022 reelection bid". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  18. ^ "Sen. Kennedy, Rep. Letlow hold campaign rally in Bastrop". www.kalb.com. October 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  19. ^ "Senator John Kennedy Earns Endorsement from Animal Wellness Action in Re-Election Campaign". www.wjhl.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  20. ^ a b c "John Kennedy's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  21. ^ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. John Kennedy and Five Louisiana House Candidates". www.businesswire.com. October 13, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  22. ^ "Louisiana Small Business Community Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". www.nfib.com. September 19, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  23. ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Louisiana". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
  24. ^ "Vote Freedom First. Vote John Kennedy for U.S. Senate!". nrapvf.org. Archived from the original on March 26, 2023. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  25. ^ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Kennedy for Senate". johnkennedy.com. February 3, 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  26. ^ "Republican Party Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". August 14, 2021.
  27. ^ Bridges, Tyler (June 2, 2022). "John Bel Edwards endorses Luke Mixon in uphill Senate race against John Kennedy". The Advocate. Archived from the original on June 2, 2022. Retrieved June 12, 2022.
  28. ^ "Rep. Kenny Cox Endorses Luke Mixon for U.S. Senate". www.lukemixon.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  29. ^ "Louisiana House Democratic chairman endorses Luke Mixon in US Senate race".
  30. ^ "I'm honored to have the endorsement of Representative C. Denise Marcelle. She's a fierce advocate for the people of Baton Rouge. I'll fight for Louisiana everyday in the Senate. We've got 23 days until Election Day. Let's win this! 🗳 Vote Luke Mixon #9 on your ballot". Twitter. October 16, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  31. ^ "VOTE: November 8th - Louisiana Federation of Teachers". la.aft.org. October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  32. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates".
  33. ^ "The Steady State Endorses Luke Mixon for Senate". thesteadystate.org. July 7, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  34. ^ "VoteVets Announces Final Endorsements of the Quarter". March 30, 2022.
  35. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  36. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  37. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  38. ^ "Louisiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  39. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  40. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  41. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  42. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  43. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  44. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  45. ^ Echelon Insights
  46. ^ a b JMC Analytics (R)
  47. ^ "2022 Official Election Results". Louisiana Secretary of State.

Official campaign websites