2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout59.40% Decrease
 
Nominee Kristi Noem Jamie Smith
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Larry Rhoden Jennifer Healy Keintz
Popular vote 217,035 123,148
Percentage 61.98% 35.17%
County results
Noem:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Smith:      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Kristi Noem
Republican

Elected Governor

Kristi Noem
Republican

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The 2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, electing the governor of South Dakota. Incumbent Republican governor Kristi Noem defeated Democratic nominee Jamie Smith to win a second term.[1]

Despite speculation about this race potentially being competitive, Noem improved on her 2018 performance by 11 percentage points and flipped 17 counties that had been won by Billie Sutton. She also received over 44,000 more raw votes than she did in the previous election, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate for governor in South Dakota.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former state house speaker Steven Haugaard challenged Noem in the primary but lost.

Declined

Endorsements

Kristi Noem

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Steven
Haugaard 		Kristi
Noem 		Undecided
South Dakota State University[10] May 2–15, 2022 – (LV) ± 3.0% 17% 61% 22%

Results

Results by county
  Noem
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kristi Noem (incumbent) 91,661 76.4
Republican Steven Haugaard 28,315 23.6
Total votes 119,976 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tracey Quint, coordinator[21]
    • Running mate: Ashley Strand[22]

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[24] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[26] Likely R October 3, 2022
RCP[27] Likely R September 25, 2022
Fox News[28] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[29] Solid R October 5, 2022
Elections Daily[30] Safe R November 7, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kristi
Noem (R) 		Jamie
Smith (D) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[31] October 19–21, 2022 1,500 (LV) ± 2.4% 56% 37% 3%[b] 4%
57% 39% 4%[c] –
South Dakota State University[32] September 28 – October 10, 2022 565 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% – 14%

Endorsements

Kristi Noem (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Organizations

Results

2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election[37]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
217,035 61.98% +11.01%
Democratic
123,148 35.17% −12.43%
Libertarian
  • Tracey Quint
  • Ashley Strand
 9,983 2.85% +1.42%
Total votes 350,166 100.00% N/A
Turnout 350,166 59.40%
Registered electors 597,073
Republican hold

By county

By county
County Kristi Noem

Republican

Jamie Smith

Democratic

Tracey Quint

Libertarian

Total

votes

% # % # % #
Aurora 73.64% 894 23.39% 284 2.97% 36 1,214
Beadle 66.84% 3,901 29.40% 1,716 3.75% 219 5,836
Bennett 60.39% 619 35.90% 368 3.71% 38 1,025
Bon Homme 72.52% 1,858 25.37% 650 2.11% 54 2,562
Brookings 56.12% 6,974 41.01% 5,096 2.87% 357 12,427
Brown 60.56% 8,456 37.00% 5,167 2.44% 341 13,964
Brule 69.37% 1,463 27.93% 589 2.70% 57 2,109
Buffalo 36.27% 144 58.94% 234 4.79% 19 397
Butte 76.71% 3,211 19.66% 823 3.63% 152 4,186
Campbell 84.11% 561 13.94% 93 1.95% 13 667
Charles Mix 70.75% 2,187 27.47% 849 1.78% 55 3,091
Clark 76.44% 1,223 21.31% 341 2.25% 36 1,600
Clay 43.29% 2,054 54.39% 2,581 2.32% 110 4,745
Codington 67.87% 7,520 29.36% 3,253 2.77% 307 11,080
Corson 56.25% 522 40.84% 379 2.91% 27 928
Custer 71.56% 3,633 25.47% 1,293 2.97% 151 5,077
Davison 67.51% 4,887 30.10% 2,179 2.39% 173 7,239
Day 63.43% 1,599 34.75% 876 1.82% 46 2,521
Deuel 74.28% 1,479 23.00% 458 2.71% 54 1,991
Dewey 42.06% 662 54.76% 862 3.18% 50 1,574
Douglas 85.71% 1,272 12.67% 188 1.62% 24 1,484
Edmunds 77.66% 1,321 20.34% 346 2.00% 34 1,701
Fall River 73.04% 2,679 23.42% 859 3.54% 130 3,668
Faulk 80.73% 771 17.49% 167 1.78% 17 955
Grant 72.41% 2,328 25.82% 830 1.77% 57 3,215
Gregory 78.77% 1,618 19.13% 393 2.09% 43 2,054
Haakon 90.37% 892 8.31% 82 1.32% 13 987
Hamlin 77.58% 2,118 20.07% 548 2.34% 64 2,730
Hand 78.36% 1,177 19.31% 290 2.33% 35 1,502
Hanson 77.63% 1,267 20.59% 336 1.78% 29 1,632
Harding 93.35% 632 4.87% 33 1.77% 12 677
Hughes 61.38% 4,571 35.61% 2,652 3.01% 224 7,447
Hutchinson 78.99% 2,507 19.03% 604 1.98% 63 3,174
Hyde 80.00% 460 18.43% 106 1.57% 9 575
Jackson 67.79% 623 30.47% 280 1.74% 16 919
Jerauld 69.75% 604 27.48% 238 2.77% 24 866
Jones 83.69% 395 13.56% 64 2.75% 13 472
Kingsbury 70.25% 1,792 27.13% 692 2.63% 67 2,551
Lake 63.05% 3,131 34.64% 1,720 2.31% 115 4,966
Lawrence 63.27% 7,749 33.00% 4,041 3.72% 456 12,247
Lincoln 59.76% 16,828 38.09% 10,727 2.15% 606 28,161
Lyman 66.69% 879 30.73% 405 2.58 34 1,318
Marshall 59.42% 1,123 38.99% 737 1.59% 30 1,890
McCook 72.67% 1,851 24.54% 625 2.79% 71 2,547
McPherson 82.82% 911 15.18% 167 2.00% 22 1,100
Meade 71.46% 8,482 24.32% 2,887 4.22% 501 11,870
Mellette 61.27% 386 33.97% 214 4.76% 30 630
Miner 72.69% 732 24.63% 248 2.68% 27 1,007
Minnehaha 52.53% 39,234 44.69% 33,376 2.77% 2,072 74,682
Moody 62.97% 1,668 34.35% 910 2.68% 71 2,649
Oglala Lakota 8.91% 221 87.58% 2,172 3.51% 87 2,480
Pennington 60.78% 27,586 35.73% 16,215 3.49% 1,587 45,388
Perkins 83.24% 1,142 12.90% 177 3.86% 53 1,372
Potter 81.16% 892 17.02% 187 1.82% 20 1,099
Roberts 60.70% 2,164 36.89% 1,315 2.41% 86 3,565
Sanborn 75.40% 757 22.51% 226 2.09% 21 1,004
Spink 68.61% 1,832 28.65% 765 2.73% 73 2,670
Stanley 69.04% 999 28.13% 407 2.83% 41 1,447
Sully 75.76% 597 21.45% 169 2.79% 22 788
Todd 20.87% 402 74.97% 1,444 4.15% 80 1,926
Tripp 82.58% 1,873 16.05% 364 1.37% 31 2,268
Turner 73.32% 2,834 23.78% 919 2.90% 112 3,865
Union 70.07% 4,723 27.42% 1,848 2.51% 169 6,740
Walworth 76.62% 1,573 20.94% 430 2.44% 50 2,053
Yankton 58.89% 5,247 37.60% 3,350 3.51% 313 8,910
Ziebach 50.51% 345 44.51% 304 4.98% 34 683
Total 61.98% 217,035 35.17% 123,148 2.85% 9,983 350,166

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Quint (L) with 3%
  3. ^ Quint (L) with 4%

References

  1. ^ Mueller, Julia (November 8, 2022). "Noem wins reelection in South Dakota governor's race". The Hill. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  2. ^ Todd, Annie (November 12, 2021). "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem announces re-election campaign for 2022 election". Argus Leader. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  3. ^ Ellis, Jonathan (May 24, 2022) [May 23, 2022]. "Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign says it has raised $15 million". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. ^ King, Ryan (November 17, 2021). "Gov. Kristi Noem gets primary challenge from the Right in former state speaker". Washington Examiner. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  5. ^ a b "Former state Rep. Lora Hubbel running for governor again".
  6. ^ Lawrence, Tom (February 15, 2021). "Can Noem be defeated in 2022? History says not a chance ... but her actions as governor could change things". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  7. ^ a b Sneve, Joe. "South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem gets endorsement from Donald Trump". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  8. ^ a b "Governor Kristi Noem and Congressman Dusty Johnson hitting door-to-door this weekend". dakotawarcollege.com. June 4, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Former political rivals Noem & Jackley endorse each other for upcoming elections". www.dakotanewsnow.com. February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
  10. ^ South Dakota State University
  11. ^ "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Sneve, Joe. "Democrat Jamie Smith to run for governor in 2022 election". www.argusleader.com. Argus Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  13. ^ Sneve, Joe (July 7, 2022). "Jamie Smith taps Aberdeen-area lawmaker as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor". Argus Leader. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  14. ^ a b c d Sneve, Joe (June 9, 2021). "Analysis: Who will challenge Gov. Kristi Noem in South Dakota's 2022 election? Here are potential candidates". Argus Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  15. ^ a b Vondracek, Christopher (June 9, 2021). "A party waits for Billie Sutton: South Dakota Democrats mull if former legislator will force a '22 rematch with Gov. Noem". www.thedickinsonpress.com. The Dickinson Press. Retrieved November 26, 2021.
  16. ^ Mercer, Bob (June 18, 2018). "Democrats favor Seiler over Means". Capitol Journal. Retrieved January 11, 2021.
  17. ^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  18. ^ a b Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  19. ^ Lawrence, Tom (January 29, 2022). "Democrats set to announce gubernatorial candidate". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  20. ^ Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  21. ^ "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  22. ^ a b "2022 General Election". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  23. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  24. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  25. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ^ "South Dakota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  31. ^ Emerson College
  32. ^ South Dakota State University
  33. ^ "Glenn Youngkin, Tulsi Gabbard to campaign for South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem". October 28, 2022.
  34. ^ "Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin to stump for Gov. Kristi Noem's reelection campaign in Sioux Falls".
  35. ^ "South Dakota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  36. ^ a b "Kristi Noem's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  37. ^ "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). sdsos.gov.

Official campaign websites