James Annan

For the photographer, see James Craig Annan.

James Douglas Annan[1] is a scientist involved in climate prediction. He was a member of the Global Warming Research Program at Frontier Research Centre for Global Change which is associated with the Earth Simulator in Japan. In 2014 he left Japan, returning to the United Kingdom as a co-founder of Blue Skies Research.[2]

Education

Annan was awarded a DPhil degree in graph theory by the Mathematical and Physical Sciences Division of the University of Oxford in 1994. His doctoral thesis was entitled The complexity of counting problems.[3]

Climatology

Annan has made several bets against those who believe the scientific consensus on climate change to be incorrect. The November 10, 2004 online version of Reason magazine reported that Lindzen is "willing to take bets that global average temperatures in 20 years will in fact be lower than they are now."[4] Annan contacted Lindzen to arrange a bet and they exchanged proposals for bets, but were unable to agree on terms. The final proposal was a bet that if the temperature change were less than 0.2 °C (0.36 °F), Lindzen would win. If the temperature change were between 0.2 °C and 0.4 °C the bet would be off, and if the temperature change were 0.4 °C or greater, Annan would win. Lindzen would take 20 to 1 odds.[5]

In 2005, another bet for $10,000 was arranged with a pair of Russian solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev.[6] The bet ended in 2017 with a win to Annan. Mashnich and Bashkirtsev did not honour the bet.[7]

A third bet in 2007 between Annan and David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation was arranged by the BBC Radio program, More or Less in 2007. Annan and Whitehouse bet £100 on whether the Met Office temperature would set a new annual record by the end of 2011. Annan was declared to have lost in the program in January 2012.[8]

In 2011, James Annan made a bet with climate economist Chris Hope. Hope had bet Ian Plimer and Sir Alan Rudge £1000 each that 2015 would be hotter than 2008. Hope hedged his bet by betting James Annan that 2015 would be cooler than 2008. Annan offered odds so he would pay Hope £3333 if 2015 were cooler than 2008 and Hope would pay Annan £666 if it were warmer. 2015 was warmer than 2008, so Plimer and Rudge each lost £1000, Hope gained £1334 and Annan gained £666.[9]

He considers that climate sensitivity uncertainty is less than has often been portrayed. Papers on this include "Using multiple observationally-based constraints to estimate climate sensitivity".[10]

References

  1. ^ "Blue Skies Research Ltd". Dun & Bradstreet. Retrieved 3 February 2021.
  2. ^ Hargreaves, Julia; James Annan. "Blue Skies Research". Retrieved 6 February 2014.
  3. ^ "Thesis: The complexity of counting problems". Oxford University Research Archive. University of Oxford. Retrieved 3 February 2021.
  4. ^ Bailey, Ronald (10 November 2005). "Two Sides to Global Warming". Reason Magazine. Archived from the original on 27 October 2006. Retrieved 5 April 2007.
  5. ^ Bailey, Ronald (8 June 2005). "Betting on Climate Change". Reason Magazine. Archived from the original on 24 October 2006. Retrieved 5 April 2007.
  6. ^ David Adam (19 August 2005). "Climate change sceptics bet $10,000 on cooler world". Guardian Unlimited. Retrieved 10 September 2007.
  7. ^ Mark Kaufman (19 October 2018). "This scientist keeps winning money from people who bet against climate change". Yahoo. Retrieved 9 July 2019.
  8. ^ "More or Less, High Speed 2 and Executive Pay". BBC. 13 January 2011. Retrieved 13 January 2012. Tim Harford ... resolves a four year-old bet on climate change between climate scientist James Annan and astrophysicist David Whitehouse
  9. ^ Nuccitelli, Dana (1 August 2016). "A climate scientist and economist made big bucks betting on global warming". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 8 May 2023.
  10. ^ Annan, J. D.; Hargreaves, J. C. (18 March 2006). "Using multiple observationally-based constraints to estimate climate sensitivity". Geophysical Research Letters. 33 (6): L06704. Bibcode:2006GeoRL..33.6704A. doi:10.1029/2005GL025259.

Read other articles:

Burson Cohn & Wolfe

Burson Cohn & WolfeJenisSwastaIndustriHubungan MasyarakatPemasaranKomunikasiDidirikan1953; 71 tahun lalu (1953)(Burson-Marsteller)1970; 54 tahun lalu (1970)(Cohn & Wolfe)Merged in 2018; 6 tahun lalu (2018)(Burson Cohn & Wolfe)PendiriHarold Burson & Bill MarstellerBob Cohn & Norman WolfeKantorpusat200 Fifth Avenue, Kota New York, Amerika SerikatTokohkunciDonna Imperato (CEO)[1][2]Karyawan4,000 (2018[1])IndukWPP plcSitus webbcw-glo...

 

Mauretania Caesariensis

Provincia Mauretania CaesariensisProvinsi di Imperium Romawi42 M–Abad ketujuhProvinsi Mauretania Caesariensis di Kekaisaran Romawi sekitar tahun 125Ibu kotaCaesareaSejarahEra sejarahZaman Kuno• Pembentukan provinsi 42 M• Ditaklukan Muslim Abad ketujuh Didahului oleh Digantikan oleh Afrika (provinsi Romawi) klfKekhalifahan Umayyah Sekarang bagian dari Aljazair Mauretania Caesariensis adalah sebuah provinsi Romawi yang terletak di wilayah Aljazair modern. Nama lengkap provi...

 

Holden Commodore (VZ)

For a complete overview of all Commodore models, see Holden Commodore. Motor vehicle Holden Commodore (VZ)2006 Holden Commodore (VZ) Acclaim WagonOverviewManufacturerHolden (General Motors)Also calledHolden Adventra (VZ)Holden Berlina (VZ)Holden Calais (VZ)Holden Crewman (VZ)Holden Monaro (VZ)Holden One Tonner (VZ)Holden Ute (VZ)Chevrolet LuminaChevrolet OmegaProductionAugust 2004 – July 2006 (sedan)August 2004 – August 2007 (wagon, utility)AssemblyAustralia: Elizabeth, South Austral...

Secret Time

Secret TimeAlbum mini karya SecretDirilis 1 April 2010Direkam2009-2010GenreK-pop, electropop, dance-popLabelTS EntertainmentKronologi Secret Secret Time (2010) Madonna (2010)Madonna2010 Singel dalam album Secret Time I Want You BackDirilis: 13 Oktober 2009 (2009-10-13) MagicDirilis: 1 April 2010 (2010-04-01) Secret Time adalah album mini pertama oleh girlband Korea Selatan, Secret. Album mini dirilis pada 1 April 2010 dan berisi 6 track.[1] Magic digunakan sebagai singel...

 

Igor Frolov

Russian cyclist Igor FrolovFrolov at the 2013 Tour de BretagnePersonal informationFull nameIgor Igorevich FrolovBorn (1990-01-23) 23 January 1990 (age 34)Tula, Russian SFSR, Soviet Union(now Russia)Team informationCurrent teamTP Ho Chi Minh New GroupDisciplineRoadRoleRiderAmateur teams2016–2022Moscow Region2023Hồ Chí Minh Vinama2024–TP Ho Chi Minh New Group Professional team2011–2015Itera–Katusha Igor Igorevich Frolov (Russian: И́горь И́горевич Фро�...

 

Ram Jaane

Ram JaaneSampul DVDNama lainराम जानेSutradaraRajiv MehraProduserParvesh C. MehraDitulis olehVinay ShuklaPemeranShah Rukh KhanJuhi ChawlaVivek MushranPankaj KapurPuneet IssarTinnu AnandDeven VermaGulshan GroverPenata musikAnu MalikSinematograferS. PappuPenyuntingM.S. ShindeDistributorEagle FilmsTanggal rilis30 November 1995 (India)Durasi168 menitNegaraIndiaBahasaHindiAnggaran₹3,75 crore (US$530,000)[1]Pendapatankotor₹15,19 crore (US$2,1 juta)[1 ...

Jinan Safa

Jinan SafaLahirJinan Safa Safira8 Juni 1999 (umur 24)Jakarta, IndonesiaKebangsaanIndonesiaPekerjaanPenyanyiaktrispenariTahun aktif2015—sekarangKarier musikGenrePopInstrumenVokalLabelHITS (2015-2019)dentsuX (sebagai agensi) (2015-2022)Indonesia Musik Nusantara (2022-2023)Artis terkaitJKT48 Valkyrie48Mantan anggota JKT48 (2015—2023) Valkyrie48 (2018—2023) Situs webJKT48Tanda tangan Jinan Safa Safira (lahir 8 Juni 1999) adalah penyanyi, aktris, dan penari Indonesia. Ia merupakan...

 

David Wexler (director)

American film director This article has multiple issues. Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page. (Learn how and when to remove these template messages) The topic of this article may not meet Wikipedia's notability guideline for biographies. Please help to demonstrate the notability of the topic by citing reliable secondary sources that are independent of the topic and provide significant coverage of it beyond a mere trivial mention. If notability cannot be shown, the ...

 

Alcidion

Alcidion Alcidion dominicum Klasifikasi ilmiah Kerajaan: Animalia Filum: Arthropoda Kelas: Insecta Ordo: Coleoptera Famili: Cerambycidae Genus: Alcidion Alcidion adalah genus kumbang tanduk panjang yang tergolong famili Cerambycidae. Genus ini juga merupakan bagian dari ordo Coleoptera, kelas Insecta, filum Arthropoda, dan kingdom Animalia. Larva kumbang dalam genus ini biasanya mengebor ke dalam kayu dan dapat menyebabkan kerusakan pada batang kayu hidup atau kayu yang telah ditebang. Refer...

Na Ying

Na YingLahir27 November 1967 (umur 56)Shenyang, Liaoning, TiongkokPekerjaanPenyanyiTahun aktif1988[1]–kiniSuami/istriGao Feng ​ ​(m. 2004; bercerai 2005)​ Meng Tong ​(m. 2006)​AnakMeng Xiaotong (putri), Gao Xing (putra) Na Ying Hanzi: 那英 Alih aksara Mandarin - Hanyu Pinyin: Nā Yīng Karier musikNama lainNatasha NaAsalTiongkokGenreMandopop, Musik Romansa TiongkokDalam nama Tionghoa ini, nama ...

 

Повітряні сили Збройних сил України

Ця стаття потребує додаткових посилань на джерела для поліпшення її перевірності. Будь ласка, допоможіть удосконалити цю статтю, додавши посилання на надійні (авторитетні) джерела. Зверніться на сторінку обговорення за поясненнями та допоможіть виправити недоліки. Мат...

 

Iglesia de la condena e imposición de la Cruz

Iglesia de la condena e imposición de la Cruz קפלת ההרשעה וכפיית הצלב heritage site in Israel Vista de la iglesiaLocalizaciónPaís IsraelDivisión JerusalénDirección JerusalénCoordenadas 31°46′49″N 35°14′01″E / 31.78035, 35.233711111111Información religiosaCulto Iglesia católicaDiócesis patriarcado latino de JerusalénOrden Orden FranciscanaAdvocación Pasión de CristoHistoria del edificioFundación 1904Arquitecto Wendelin HinterkeuserDat...

Kesetimbangan kelarutan

Kesetimbangan kelarutan adalah sejenis kesetimbangan dinamis yang ada bila senyawa kimia dalam keadaan padat berada dalam kesetimbangan kimia dengan larutannya. Padatan dapat larut tanpa perubahan, disertai disosiasi, atau disertai reaksi kimia dengan konstituen lain, seperti asam atau basa. Setiap jenis kesetimbangan dicirikan oleh konstanta kesetimbangan yang bergantung pada suhu. Kesetimbangan kelarutan penting dalam skenario farmasi, lingkungan dan banyak lainnya. Definisi Suatu kesetimba...

 

Daxi culture

Daxi cultureGeographical rangemiddle YangtzePeriodNeolithicDatesc. 5000 – c. 3300 BCFollowed byQujialing cultureChinese nameChinese大溪文化TranscriptionsStandard MandarinHanyu PinyinDàxī wénhuà The Daxi culture (5000–3300 BC) was a Neolithic culture centered in the Three Gorges region around the middle Yangtze, China. The culture ranged from western Hubei to eastern Sichuan and the Pearl River Delta. The site at Daxi, located in the Qutang Gorge around Wushan, Chongqing, was disco...

 

خوسيه خوسيه

خوسيه خوسيه   معلومات شخصية اسم الولادة (بالإسبانية: José Rómulo Sosa Ortiz)‏  الميلاد 17 فبراير 1948 [1]  الوفاة 28 سبتمبر 2019 (71 سنة) [2]  هومستيد  سبب الوفاة سرطان البنكرياس  مواطنة المكسيك  الزوجة آنيل (1974–1992)  الأولاد خوسيه جويل  [لغات أخرى]‏  عدد ال...

Billboard Brasil

Billboard BrasilKategoriIndustri hiburanFrekuensiBulananTerbitan pertama14 Oktober 2009; 14 tahun lalu (2009-10-14) (launch pertama) 13 Oktober 2023; 8 bulan lalu (2023-10-13) (relaunch)PerusahaanMynd8NegaraBrasilBerpusat diSão PauloBahasaPortugisSitus webbillboard.com.br ISSN2176-0543 Billboard Brasil adalah majalah Amerika Serikat Billboard versi Brasil. Majalah ini menyediakan tangga lagu musik, berita, foto dan video yang berkaitan dengan industri musik. Tangga lagunya mencakup...

 

شتات أرمني

خارطة الانتشار الأرمني. الانتشار الأرمني (بالأرمنية Հայկական Սփիւռք ويلفظ هايغاغان سبيورك) هو الوجود الأرمني خارج أرمينيا، ومنها الوجود الأرمني في العالم العربي.[1][2][3] ويُقدّر عدد الأرمن في أرمينيا بثلاثة ملايين ومن 6 إلى 8 ملايين خارج أرمينيا، أي في الشتات. جا...

 

Contrapposto

Sculptural disposition of human figure A marble copy of Polykleitos' Doryphoros, an early example of classical contrapposto. Contrapposto (Italian pronunciation: [kontrapˈposto]) is an Italian term that means counterpoise. It is used in the visual arts to describe a human figure standing with most of its weight on one foot, so that its shoulders and arms twist off-axis from the hips and legs in the axial plane. First appearing in Ancient Greece in the early 5th century BCE, contrappo...

Kate Upton

American model and actress (born 1992) Not to be confused with Australian actress Cate Blanchett, whose marital name is Upton. Kate UptonUpton in 2021BornKatherine Elizabeth Upton (1992-06-10) June 10, 1992 (age 32)St. Joseph, Michigan, U.S.EducationHoly Trinity Episcopal AcademyOccupations Model actress Years active2008–presentSpouse Justin Verlander ​(m. 2017)​Children1ParentsJeff Upton (father)Shelley Davis Upton (mother)RelativesFred Upton (uncle)...

 

50セント硬貨 (アメリカ合衆国)

50セント硬貨 アメリカ合衆国価値 0.5 アメリカドル質量 11.340 g (0.365 troy oz)直径 30.61 mm (1.205 in)厚さ 2.15 mm (0.085 in)縁 150個の溝構成 銅91.66%ニッケル8.33%鋳造年 1794年–現在カタログ番号 -表面 デザイン ジョン・F・ケネディデザイナー ギルロイ・ロバーツデザイン時期 1964年裏面 デザイン アメリカ大統領の紋章デザイナー フランク・ガスパッロデ�...