Bangladesh and the Indo-Pacific Strategy

Indo-Pacific biogeographic region map

The Indo-Pacific strategy is the U.S. Government's vision for a free, open, and secure Indo-Pacific region in which countries of the Indo-Pacific are empowered to tackle 21st-century challenges and seize emerging opportunities.[1] Bangladesh, strategically located in the Bay of Bengal, serves as a gateway to South and Southeast Asia. Its position makes it a key participant in the Indo-Pacific strategy of the United States, India, Japan, and Australia. Bangladesh views stability and prosperity in the Indo-Pacific as essential for becoming a modern, developed nation. The country aims for a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific to ensure long-term resilience and shared prosperity for all.[2]

Strategic Significance

As the Indo-Pacific narrative gains prominence, Bangladesh's strategic location at the apex of the Bay of Bengal— the world's largest bay, covering 2.17 million sq. km—positions it as a crucial facilitator and connector between regions and competing powers. Its role in enhancing regional connectivity is vital to the Indo-Pacific strategy, making Bangladesh an essential contributor in shaping the future of the region.[3]

The map of the Bengal Basin highlighting its geostrategic significance from historical colonization to its pivotal role in the contemporary Indo-Pacific landscape.

The U.S. strategy in the Indo-Pacific opposes the dominance of any single country, ensuring a balanced geopolitical landscape in the region.[4] Although Bangladesh is not a member of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF), it views the framework as essential for supporting a free, open, peaceful, secure, and inclusive Indo-Pacific region.[5]

Relationships with Major Powers

Bangladesh's relationship with major powers, particularly India, faces uncertainty following Sheikh Hasina's resignation, as her government had been a key ally in New Delhi's regional strategy. With the rise of an interim leadership under Muhammad Yunus, Bangladesh’s alignment within the Indo-Pacific could shift, potentially impacting trade and security ties with both India and other global powers. This political transition may also influence broader dynamics in the Indo-Pacific Strategy, as major powers reassess their engagement with Bangladesh.[6]

United States

The U.S. and Bangladesh share a vision for an inclusive, secure, and prosperous future, with substantial economic ties marked by significant U.S. investment and trade. The U.S. supports Bangladesh's development efforts, including labor rights and human capital investment, while fostering democratic governance. This partnership is crucial for advancing a free and open Indo-Pacific strategy, highlighting mutual interests in regional stability and cooperation.[7]

China

Bangladesh's relationship with China is important for its development goals and aligns with the broader Indo-Pacific strategy, focusing on mutual cooperation and economic growth. The partnership, rooted in historical ties and extensive investment through the Belt and Road Initiative, is vital for regional stability and prosperity. As both nations work together on infrastructure and trade, they strengthen their geopolitical influence in the Indo-Pacific while supporting each other's core interests.[8]

India

India and Bangladesh share a vision for enhancing connectivity, trade, and collaboration, emphasizing their interlinked progress and mutual benefits. Bangladesh, as a close neighbor with growing capabilities, is central to India’s "Neighbourhood First," "Act East policy," SAGAR doctrine, and Indo-Pacific vision, playing a crucial role in developing India’s northeastern region. This partnership aims to strengthen regional stability and integration while addressing challenges like water resource management and defense cooperation. Their commitment reflects cooperation within the broader geopolitical landscape of the Indo-Pacific region.[9] Following the student-led protests against the government in 2024, Sheikh Hasina relocated to India. This political shift has raised questions about Dhaka's potential realignment with neighboring countries. As India navigates this geopolitical change within the Indo-Pacific strategy, it must adapt its approach to maintain a constructive partnership with Bangladesh amid evolving political dynamics.[10]

On September 24, 2024, during the United Nations General Assembly in New York, President Joe Biden met with Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus of Bangladesh to congratulate him on his new role leading the Interim Government and to reaffirm the established partnership between the U.S. and Bangladesh, emphasizing the importance of economic and political stability based on democratic values.[11] This engagement comes at a critical time as Bangladesh navigates its political transition, signaling the U.S. interest into the Bengal Basin as part of its Indo-Pacific strategy, which also requires India to adapt its approach amid shifting geopolitical dynamics in the region.[12]

Diplomatic Engagements

The Bengal Basin, through the Bay of Bengal, has historically been a contested region among major Asian and European powers due to various strategic rivalries. By balancing relationships with major powers like the United States, China, and India, Bangladesh is navigating complex geopolitical dynamics while striving for economic development and national security.[13]

After Hasina's ousting, Bangladesh is undergoing a political transition, with citizens hopeful for reforms in governance.[14]The State Department reiterated its support for Bangladesh’s interim government, emphasizing its commitment to democratic principles and economic stability in the region.[15]

During the Awami League government's tenure in Bangladesh (2009–2024), India maintained strong support for Bangladesh, which raised concerns among various stakeholders regarding inclusivity in governance. This alignment influenced perceptions of the Indo-Pacific policy, subsequently increasing U.S. interest in the country.[16]

The India-Bangladesh relationship is crucial for the U.S.-led Indo-Pacific strategy, especially in the context of U.S. ally Japan's engagement with ASEAN and the Quad, as a counter to China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).[17] Chief Adviser of the Bangladesh Interim Government, Muhammad Yunus, emphasized that destabilizing Bangladesh could have regional repercussions, affecting neighboring Myanmar and India’s northeastern states.[18]

The U.S. considers interest in Bangladesh’s economic stability, especially given that Bangladesh is second only to China in U.S. reliance on the garment and textile industry. This stability can be bolstered through ongoing economic aid and humanitarian assistance, including support for Rohingya refugees. Maintaining Bangladesh as a strategic partner in the region will be crucial for U.S. interests, especially in countering Chinese and Russian influence.[19]

The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) announced a $202 million grant to enhance governance, social, human, and economic opportunities in a deal signed on September 15, 2024, in Dhaka.[20]

See also

References

  1. ^ The White House, Washington. Indo-Pacific Strategy of the United States. February 2022. Accessed 28 September, 2024.
  2. ^ Md Shariful Islam, "The Growing Importance of Bangladesh in the Indo-Pacific," The Daily Star, November 21, 2023, accessed September 28, 2024, https://www.thedailystar.net/opinion/views/news/the-growing-importance-bangladesh-the-indo-pacific-3474976
  3. ^ Tariq Karim, "Connectivity and Cooperation: The Bay of Bengal and Bangladesh in the Indo-Pacific Region," The Institute of South Asian Studies, August 3, 2023, accessed September 28, 2024, https://www.isas.nus.edu.sg/papers/connectivity-and-cooperation-the-bay-of-bengal-and-bangladesh-in-the-indo-pacific-region/
  4. ^ TBS Report, "US against dominance of any particular country in Indo-Pacific: Foreign secretary," The Business Standard, September 5, 2023, accessed September 28, 2024, https://www.tbsnews.net/bangladesh/us-does-not-want-dominance-any-particular-country-indo-pacific-region-foreign-secretary
  5. ^ Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Bangladesh, "Indo-Pacific Outlook of Bangladesh," Last updated: 24 April 2023, [1], Accessed 27 September 2024.
  6. ^ Ganguly, Sumit. "India’s Uncertain Future in Bangladesh." Foreign Policy, August 6, 2024. Accessed September 29, 2024. [2]
  7. ^ "Policy & History," U.S. Embassy in Bangladesh, accessed September 28, 2024, https://bd.usembassy.gov/policy-history/
  8. ^ "Joint Statement between the People’s Republic of China and The People’s Republic of Bangladesh on the Establishment of Comprehensive Strategic Cooperative Partnership," Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Bangladesh, July 10, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024, https://mofa.gov.bd/site/news/495fa5ae-a161-448a-8d96-90e9607e90b6
  9. ^ "India-Bangladesh Shared Vision for Future: Enhancing Connectivity, Commerce and Collaboration for Shared Prosperity," Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India, June 22, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024, https://www.mea.gov.in/bilateral-documents.htm?dtl/37897/IndiaBangladesh_Shared_Vision_for_Future_Enhancing_Connectivity_Commerce_and_Collaboration_for_Shared_Prosperity
  10. ^ Khandakar Tahmid Rejwan, "Sheikh Hasina’s Political Demise and Bangladesh’s Foreign Policy in the Yunus Era," South Asian Voices, August 14, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  11. ^ "Readout of President Joe Biden’s Meeting with Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus of Bangladesh," The White House, September 24, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  12. ^ Dr Athaulla A Rasheed and Subrata Banarjee, "Bangladesh’s Political Change: Implications for the Indo-Pacific," Australian Institute of International Affairs, August 22, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  13. ^ Md. Ali Siddiquee, "Great Power Rivalry in the Indian Ocean Region and Bangladesh: Challenges and Responses," ResearchGate, October 2022, accessed September 28, 2024.
  14. ^ Faisal Mahmud, "Bangladesh pushes 'groundbreaking' reforms after Hasina exit," Nikkei Asia, September 13, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  15. ^ Rabia Iclal Turan, "Blinken meets Bangladesh interim government head, affirms US support," Anadolu Agency, September 26, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  16. ^ Arafatul Islam, "India's influence in Bangladesh: Support or meddling?" Deutsche Welle, March 4, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  17. ^ Mostakim Bin Motaher and Md. Farhan Intisher Khaled, "Bangladesh vis-à-vis the Indo-Pacific Strategy: Exploring the Country's Priorities and Prospects," ResearchGate, May 2022, accessed September 28, 2024.
  18. ^ Zillur Rahman, "India, US both need a stable Bangladesh," The Daily Star, September 25, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  19. ^ Wilson Center, "Bangladesh in Transition: US Role in Post-Hasina Era," September 21, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.
  20. ^ Ruma Paul, "US to give Bangladesh $202 million more in aid," Reuters, September 15, 2024, accessed September 28, 2024.