2027 Guatemalan general election

2027 Guatemalan general election

← 2023 June and August 2027 (presumptive) 2031 →

Incumbent President

Bernardo Arévalo
Semilla



Legislative election

All 160 seats in Congress
81 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 39
UNE Adim Maldonado 28
Semilla Samuel Pérez 23
Cabal Luis Aguirre 18
VIVA Jorge Romeo Castro 11
Valor Elmer Palencia 10
Todos Felipe Alejos 6
VOS Orlando Blanco 4
BIEN Fidel Reyes Lee 4
PPN Nadia de León Torres 3
Victoria Juan Carlos Rivera 3
CREO Cristian Álvarez 3
Blue Jorge Villagrán 2
Elephant Rodrigo Pellecer 2
Unionist Álvaro Arzú Escobar 2
Winaq Sonia Gutiérrez 1
Change Esduin Javier Javier 1
Incumbent President of the Congress
Nery Ramos
Blue

General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 Guatemalan members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term.[1][2]

It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law.[3]

Electoral system

President

The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[4]

Congress

The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[4]

District Seats
Alta Verapaz 9
Baja Verapaz 2
Chimaltenango 5
Chiquimula 3
El Progreso 2
Escuintla 6
Guatemala 19
Guatemala City 11
Huehuetenango 10
Izabal 3
Jalapa 3
Jutiapa 4
National List 32
Petén 4
Quetzaltenango 7
Quiché 8
Retalhuleu 3
Sacatepéquez 3
San Marcos 9
Santa Rosa 3
Sololá 3
Suchitepéquez 5
Totonicapán 4
Zacapa 2
Total 160

Potential presidential candidates

Congress

Party Current legislative leader 2023 result
Image Name Votes (%) Seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 15.06%
39 / 160
National Unity of Hope Adim Maldonado 12.90%
28 / 160
Movimiento Semilla Samuel Pérez 11.72%
23 / 160
Cabal Luis Aguirre 8.90%
18 / 160
Vision with Values Jorge Romeo Castro 6.92%
11 / 160
Valor Elmer Palencia 5.51%
10 / 160
Unionist Party Álvaro Arzú Escobar
2 / 160
Todos Felipe Alejos 4.05%
6 / 160
Will, Opportunity and Solidarity Orlando Blanco 4.47%
4 / 160
Bienestar Nacional Fidel Reyes Lee 2.70%
4 / 160
Nosotros Nadia de León Torres 3.15%
3 / 160
Victory Juan Carlos Rivera 3.00%
3 / 160
Commitment, Renewal and Order Cristian Álvarez 2.03%
3 / 160
Blue Party Jorge Mario Villagrán 2.36%
2 / 160
Elephant Community Rodrigo Pellecer 2.29%
2 / 160
Winaq | Sonia Gutiérrez 3.21%
1 / 160
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity
Change Esduin Javier 1.26%
1 / 160

References

  1. ^ Oliva, William (7 March 2018). "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período" [Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term]. Prensa Libre (Guatemala) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  2. ^ González, Marcos (23 June 2023). "Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia" [Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy]. BBC News (in Spanish).
  3. ^ Cuevas, Douglas (17 January 2024). "Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso" [Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish).
  4. ^ a b Congress of the Republic Archived 18 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine IFES
  5. ^ Gramajo, Jessica (14 June 2023). "El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023" [The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections]. Soy502 (in Spanish).
  6. ^ "Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia" [Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency]. La Hora (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.
  7. ^ "🔵 A pesar de la tercera derrota, Sandra Torres no tiraría la toalla política" [🔵 Despite the third defeat, Sandra Torres would not throw in the political towel]. República (in Spanish). 21 August 2023.

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