2023 Pulai by-election

2023 Pulai by-election
← 2022 9 September 2023 Next →
P161 Pulai seat in the Dewan Rakyat
  First party Second party
  PH PN
Candidate Suhaizan Kayat Zulkifli Jaafar
Party AMANAH BERSATU
Alliance PH PN
Popular vote 48,293 29,642
Percentage 61.54% 37.78%
MP before election

Salahuddin Ayub (died)
Pakatan Harapan (AMANAH)

Elected MP

Suhaizan Kayat
Pakatan Harapan (AMANAH)

The 2023 Pulai by-election was a by-election held on 9 September 2023 for the Dewan Rakyat seat of Pulai.[1] It was called following the death of incumbent, Salahuddin Ayub on 23 July 2023 of brain haemorrhage.[2] The by-election was held on the same day as the Simpang Jeram by-election.

Background

Pulai is a federal constituency in Johor. The state constituencies of Perling and Kempas are within Pulai. Pulai has a total of 165,313 electors, of which 44.5% are Malays, 40.2% Chinese, 12.2% Indians and 3.1% of other ethnicities.

Salahuddin was a 2-term Member of Parliament for Pulai since 2018 and Member of Johor State Assembly for Simpang Jeram since 2018. He was a member and Deputy Chairman (2015-2023) of the National Trust Party (AMANAH), a component party of the Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition. He was the Minister of Agriculture and Agro-Based Industry from 2018 until the collapse of the Pakatan Harapan government in 2020. After the 2022 elections, he was appointed as Minister of Domestic Trade and Costs of Living until his death. By his death in 2023, he became the fourth federal minister to died in office after Tun Dr. Ismail (Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Home Affairs and Minister of Trade and Industry in 1973), Tun Abdul Razak (Prime Minister and Minister of Defence in 1976) and Ali Ahmad (Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development in 1977). This also the first elections with incumbent death still hold both parlimantary and state constituencies since Fadzil Noor in 2002.

Nomination and campaign

Nomination day were announced by Election Commission to be on 26 August 2023.[3] On the nomination day, 3 candidates were accepted: Suhaizan Kayat from PH, Zulkifli Jaafar from Perikatan Nasional (PN), and Samsudin Fauzi as an independent.[4]

Suhaizan were announced as PH candidate in a media conference by AMANAH President, Mohamad Sabu on 19 August.[5][6] A former political secretary to the late Salahuddin, he also had served as Speaker for the Johor Legislative Assembly from 2018 to 2022 under 3 different Menteri Besar (Osman Sapian, Hasni Mohammad and Onn Hafiz Ghazi), including when PH is in opposition from 2020 to 2022. He also is the current AMANAH Johor deputy chairman.[7] This is Suhaizan's seventh election as a candidate, having lost his previous six attempts.[7] Suhaizan's campaign includes introducing more 'Rahmah Sales' affordable necessities locations, a project initiated by his mentor Salahuddin.[8] His campaign also targets increasing job opportunities, and providing more recreational and sports facilities in the area if he wins the election.[8]

Zulkifli, from Malaysian United Indigenous Party (BERSATU), were announced as PN's candidate by PN chairman Muhyiddin Yassin on 23 August.[9] An entrepreneur based in Tampoi by trade who were listed in directorship at six different companies, he is the BERSATU deputy chief for Pulai branch.[10] In his maiden campaign as candidate, Zulkifli is focused on helping to restore economic balance.[11]

Samsudin announced his candidacy as independent on 22 August.[12] He is the president of the Kuala Lumpur Consumer Safety Association (PKPKL), a non governmental organization (NGO) based in Kuala Lumpur, and aims to bring the voice of NGO to Parliament if elected.[12] Samsudin has contested before in the Putrajaya federal seat at the last general election in 2022, losing his deposit. Samsudin claims most people see him as an outsider as he was based in Kuala Lumpur, even though he were born in the state, at Kluang.[13] For his campaign, Samsudin has been assisted by a group of NGOs based in Johor Bahru, and introduced his manifesto to tackle poverty in the area.[14]

Notably, this was the first federal election in Johor without candidates from Barisan Nasional (BN), traditionally the dominant party in the state and the current Johor government party. After formation of federal government consisting of the alliance between PH and BN in the aftermath of the general election in November 2022, both Pulai and Simpang Jeram by-election saw the first collaboration between BN and PH at Johor state level, as BN acceded to PH to put its candidate there,[15] as well as campaigning together.[16]

Think tank Nusantara Academy for Strategic Research data analyst Azlan Musyabri suggests that PN could win both seats, if the voter turnout trend is the same as the 2022 state election, but also suggested PH would retain both seats if BN voters support the PH candidate as well as increase of support from non-Malay voters from the 2022 election.[17] Bridget Welsh, another political analyst based in Kuala Lumpur, predicted the result will hinge on either voters respect for Salahuddin legacy, or voters response to BN and UMNO president Zahid Hamidi discharge not amounting to an acquittal (DNAA) of his 47 court cases just days before the election.[18] Other analysts, such as Dr Azmi Hassan also from Nusantara Academy, and Dr Ainul Adzellie Hasnul, believe that Zahid's DNAA, and also another UMNO leader Bung Mokhtar Radin acquittal of his own court case a day after, will not affect PH-BN negatively in the by-elections.[19]

Timeline

The key dates are listed below.

Date Event
3 August 2023 Issue of the Writ of Election
26 August 2023 Nomination Day
26 August–8 September 2023 Campaigning Period
5–8 September 2023 Early Polling Day For Postal and Advance Voters
9 September 2023 Polling Day

Results

Malaysian general by-election, 9 September 2023: Pulai
Upon the death of incumbent, Salahuddin Ayub
Party Candidate Votes % ∆%
PH Suhaizan Kayat 48,283 61.55 +6.22
PN Zulkifli Jaafar 29,642 37.78 +20.15
Independent Samsudin Mohamad Fauzi 528 0.67 +0.67
Total valid votes 78,453
Total rejected ballots 363
Unreturned ballots 66
Turnout 78,882 47.33
Registered electors 166,653
Majority 18,641
PH hold Swing
Source(s)
https://lom.agc.gov.my/ilims/upload/portal/akta/outputp/1857937/PUB%20401%20(2023).pdf

Previous results

Malaysian general election, 2022: Pulai
Party Candidate Votes % ∆%
PH Salahuddin Ayub 64,900 55.33 -8.48
BN Nur Jazlan Mohamed 31,726 27.05 -3.47
PN Loh Kah Yong 20,677 17.63 +17.63
Total valid votes 117,303 100.00
Total rejected ballots 763
Unreturned ballots 348
Turnout 118,414 70.96
Registered electors 165,313
Majority 33,174 28.28
PH hold Swing
Source(s)
https://lom.agc.gov.my/ilims/upload/portal/akta/outputp/1753254/PUB%20617%20PARLIMEN%20JOHOR.pdf

Aftermath

Suhaizan, the winner of the by-election, were sworn in as the new MP for Pulai on 19 September before the resumption of the debate session of the 12th Malaysia Plan Mid-Term Review at the Parliament of Malaysia.[20]

References

  1. ^ "PRK Parlimen Pulai, Dun Simpang Jeram ditetapkan 9 September - SPR". Harian Metro. 2023-08-03. Retrieved 2023-08-03.
  2. ^ "Salahuddin Ayub meninggal dunia". Harian Metro. 2023-07-23. Retrieved 2023-08-03.
  3. ^ Bernama (25 August 2023). "Pulai, Simpang Jeram by-elections begin with nomination tomorrow". www.astroawani.com. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  4. ^ SHADIQE, JASSMINE (26 August 2023). "3-cornered fight in Pulai, Simpang Jeram by-elections [Updated]". nst.com.my. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  5. ^ Amin, Manzaidi Mohd (19 August 2023). "Suhaizan, Ir. Nazri calon Amanah PRK Parlimen Pulai, DUN Simpang Jeram". MalaysiaGazette (in Malay). Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  6. ^ Bernama (19 August 2023). "Amanah names Suhaizan, Nazri candidates for Pulai, Simpang Jeram". nst.com.my. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  7. ^ a b Alhadjri, Alyaa (1 September 2023). "Suhaizan yakin menang di Pulai, tapi bimbang majoriti merosot". Malaysiakini (in Malay). Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  8. ^ a b Bernama (7 September 2023). "By-election: Suhaizan proposes more Rahmah sales locations". The Edge Malaysia. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  9. ^ Xiang Yun, Yee (23 August 2023). "Perikatan to field Zulkifli Jaafar for Pulai by-election, Dr Mohd Mazri Yahya for Simpang Jeram". The Star. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  10. ^ Mohamed Farid Noh; Omar Ahmad (26 August 2023). "Kelebihan Zulkifli calon anak jati di Parlimen Pulai". Berita Harian (in Malay). Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  11. ^ Tan, Ben (29 August 2023). "Pulai's Perikatan candidate says won't promise 'the moon and the stars' but will prioritise economic balance". Malay Mail. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  12. ^ a b Bernama (22 August 2023). "Pulai by-election: Samsudin to stand as independent candidate". The Star. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  13. ^ Tan, Ben (29 August 2023). "Independent in Pulai says being outsider not hurdle to representing constituents". Malay Mail via Yahoo News. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  14. ^ Nordin, Remar (4 September 2023). "Independent Samsudin Mohamad ropes in NGOs to help win Pulai by-election". The Star. Retrieved 9 September 2023.
  15. ^ Abu Yamin, Essa (3 August 2023). "BN beri laluan AMANAH tanding di Parlimen Pulai, DUN Simpang Jeram". Berita Harian (in Malay). Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  16. ^ Bernama (26 August 2023). "Pulai, Simpang Jeram by-elections, test for PH-BN pact". Malay Mail. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  17. ^ Kasinathan, Shathana (5 September 2023). "Analysis suggests Perikatan has chance to win Pulai, Simpang Jeram by-elections if voter turnout same as Johor state polls". Malay Mail. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  18. ^ Welsh, Bridget (6 September 2023). "Changing tide? A look at Pulai and Simpang Jeram - Bridget Welsh". Bridget Welsh | Educator, Scholar and Political Analyst. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  19. ^ Qistina Sallehuddin; Mandy Leong; Hazween Hassan (8 September 2023). "Zahid's DNAA will not affect outcome of Pulai, Simpang Jeram by-election [UPDATED]". nst.com.my. Retrieved 8 September 2023.
  20. ^ Bernama (19 September 2023). "Suhaizan sworn in as Pulai MP, Nik Abduh as senator". www.astroawani.com. Retrieved 22 September 2023.

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