2021 Ecuadorian general election

2021 Ecuadorian general election
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Presidential election
7 February 2021 (first round)
11 April 2021 (second round)
 
Candidate Guillermo Lasso Andrés Arauz
Party CREO Union for Hope
Alliance CREO–PSC UNES
Running mate Alfredo Borrero Vega Carlos Rabascall
Popular vote 4,656,426 4,236,515
Percentage 52.36% 47.64%
President before election

Lenín Moreno
Independent

Elected President

Guillermo Lasso
CREO

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General elections were held in Ecuador on 7 February 2021, established by the National Electoral Council (CNE) as the date for the first round of the presidential election and a vote on mining in Cuenca.[1][2] Incumbent president Lenín Moreno, who had held the office since his victory over Guillermo Lasso in 2017, did not seek reelection.[3] Although delaying the election due to the COVID-19 pandemic was discussed,[4] the CNE announced on 15 December 2020 that the electoral calendar would not shift and confirmed elections would take place in February 2021.[5]

In first round results, Andrés Arauz had a significant but not large enough lead to avoid a runoff with Lasso, who had narrowly beaten third-place finisher Yaku Pérez. Final results were delayed due to a requested[clarification needed] recount of votes in some provinces.[6][7] On 19 February, the CNE confirmed Lasso would be Arauz's rival in the second round. On 11 April,[8] Lasso defeated Arauz,[9][10][11] which some news outlets called an upset victory.[12][13] Lasso was inaugurated on 24 May.[14]

Background

The previous Ecuadorian general election, on 19 February 2017 (alongside a referendum on tax havens)[15] saw voters elect a new president and National Assembly. Incumbent President Rafael Correa, of the PAIS Alliance, had already served two terms and was ineligible for reelection. In the first round of presidential elections, PAIS Alliance candidate Lenín Moreno received 39% of the vote. Although he was more than 10% ahead of his nearest rival, Guillermo Lasso of the Creating Opportunities party, he was short of the 40% threshold required to avoid a run-off, and a second round was held on 2 April.[16] In the second round Moreno was elected president with 51.16% of the vote;[17][18] the National Electoral Council announced on 13 April that it would recount all ballots contested by both parties (accounting to about 10% of the total vote),[19] after which Moreno was awarded an additional 1,594 votes and retained his majority.[20]

Incumbent president Lenín Moreno's approval rating dropped drastically from 77% after his election in 2017 to only 7% of approval by end of 2019.[21]

Francis Fukuyama described 2020 as having brought "mostly bad news regarding the state of global democracy" in a Wall Street Journal article on 15 Dec of the same year, specifically citing Ecuador as an example of "severe crises of authority" due to the economic recession triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic.[22]

Electoral system

The president is elected using a modified two-round system, with a candidate required to get over 50% of the vote, or get over 40% of the vote and be 10% ahead of their nearest rival to be elected in the first round.[23] The president is limited to two consecutive four-year terms.[24]

Members of the National Assembly are elected by three methods. Fifteen are elected by closed list proportional representation in a nationwide constituency. Six are elected by overseas voters (two each from Canada/United States, Latin America and Asia/Europe/Oceania). The remaining 116 members are elected from multi-member constituencies by closed list proportional representation, with all seats allocated using the Webster method.[25][26] Members of the National Assembly are limited to two four-year terms, either consecutive or not. There are gender quotas for the party lists, meaning there is alternation between men and women. There are no quotas for minority representation.[24]

Alongside the presidential and legislative elections, a referendum was held in the city of Cuenca, asking voters whether to prohibit mining near five different rivers to protect the ecosystem. The voters were asked to answer yes or no to prohibit mining in each area.[2][27]

Presidential candidates

Andrés Arauz

Andrés Arauz

As ex-president Rafael Correa's Citizen Revolution Movement party (a breakaway from the ruling PAIS Alliance) was unable to register as a party, on 18 August 2020 the political coalition Unión por la Esperanza (UNES), comprising the parties Centro Democrático [es] (a Guayas-based centrist party led by Jimmy Jairala) and Fuerza Compromiso Social (a centre-left party that before 2018 had been opposed to Correa), announced that its presidential candidate would be former Correa minister Andrés Arauz with Correa as his running mate. Arauz is an economist, previously a banker (until 2015) and Minister of Knowledge and Human Talent from 2015 to 2017, and a "largely unknown" political figure.[28] However, the vice presidential position on the ticket for Correa, president of Ecuador from 2007 to 2017,[29] was rejected by Ecuador's National Electoral Council (CNE), as he had been convicted for corruption.[30] Carlos Rabascall was then selected as Arauz's running mate.[31]

Arauz has promised to scrap the current International Monetary Fund (IMF) austerity plan approved by the incumbent president, stating it will undermine Ecuadorian families and growth and that it has been overly favorable to creditors. He wants to continue making debts payments to bondholders but says that public spending would take priority. He wants to respect existing mining concessions, but would seek greater community participation and conduct reviews of compliance with environmental and investment plans.[32] Arauz has also promised to give one million families a $1,000 payment in the first week of office.[33] He has also proposed transforming the current extractivist model toward a model based on the knowledge economy and biodiversity. When asked about decriminalizing abortion, he has stated that he personally believes it should be allowed in certain circumstances, but that a debate about it should be promoted by society.[34] Electoral authorities announced on 5 February that Arauz, who then led in the polls, would not be allowed to vote because his main residency is registered in Mexico where he completed his PhD.[35]

Guillermo Lasso

Guillermo Lasso

Alianza CREO-PSC, a coalition of the centre-right/conservative Movimiento CREO and Partido Social Cristiano parties, advanced businessman and candidate in the previous two elections Guillermo Lasso as its candidate, with Alfredo Borrero Vega as vice-presidential candidate.[36][37] Lasso proposes a government plan focused on job creation, promising that through the opening of the market and relaxation of hiring, it will be possible to create 2 million new jobs in the country, promote foreign investment, economic liberalization, greater partnership between the public and private sectors, economic reactivation through the reduction of taxes, implementation of free zones, concession the management of public companies to the private sector, fight against corruption and guarantee a better public health service coordinated by its vice-presidential candidate Alfredo Borrero through the concession of these services to the private sector.[38][39] He also adopted proposals from Social Christian leader Jaime Nebot like the implementation of 40,000 free internet points throughout the country, public telemedicine application and proposed 400,000 poor families in the country receive a free computer, in addition to focusing on public policies on promotion and training in technology and use of networks for study.[40] He wants to reform and reduce taxation and provide credit for the agriculture sector.[41] He has also said that he will not disavow the agreement with the IMF and respect the debt restructuring agreed to by the previous presidency, but will not raise the VAT tax.[42] Days before the first round, Lasso proposed increasing the unified basic salary to $500.[9]

Lasso is a staunch opponent of abortion in all cases and believes in support for human life from conception to death.[43]

Yaku Pérez Guartambel

Yaku Pérez Guartambel

Indigenous activist and former prefect of Azuay Province, Yaku Pérez Guartambel is the candidate for the Pachakutik Plurinational Unity Movement – New Country (MUPP).[44] Molecular biologist Virna Cedeño Escobar decided to accept the offer to be the party's candidate for vice president after first being reluctant.[45] Pérez states that he is from "the ecological left that defends the rights of people and nature and understands indigenous communities", and positions himself as giving voters an alternative to the "authoritarian and corrupt left" of former president Correa.[46] Pérez has proposed a ban on all mining activity and to limit oil extraction, and has been critical of China's policies around extractivism and human rights.[33][46] He has promised to review the agreements with the IMF, and to not pay any "illegitimate debt", refusing to meet with IMF officials when they visited the country in Sep.[47] In an interview, he has expressed openness to a trade deal with the United States under the right conditions.[48][46] He has expressed support for allowing abortion in cases of rape or when there are serious risk to the health of the mother or fetus, suggesting a referendum on the issue.[43] His economic plan included universal basic income.[49][47]

Others

Other presidential candidates included the following:

  • On 22 August, anti-abortion activist Martha Cecilia Villafuerte announced her candidacy as vice-president alongside presidential candidate Gerson Almeida, on the Ecuatoriano Unido ticket.[50]
  • Pedro José Freile was the candidate from the AMIGO Movement party, with vice president Byron Solís Figueroa, who accepted his nomination on 24 August.[51]
  • Isidro Romero announced his run as the Avanza party candidate in Sep.[52][53]
  • On 8 Oct, María Sara Jijón announced her candidacy as vice president, on the Izquierda Democrática ticket, with the independent presidential candidate, businessman and engineer Xavier Hervas Mora.[54]
  • On 16 Oct, Carlos Sagnay de la Bastida became the candidate for Partido Fuerza Ec.[55]
  • Lucio Gutiérrez Borbúa, the former president of Ecuador, was the candidate from the Sociedad Patriótica party.[56]
  • Alianza Honestidad, the coalition of the Partido Socialista Ecuatoriano and Concertación parties, nominated César Montúfar Mancheno, with vice presidential nominee Julio Villacreses Guillém.[57]
  • The Unión Ecuatoriana candidate was Giovanny Andrade Salvador, whose running mate was Katherine Mata.[58]
  • Democracia Sí announced Gustavo Larrea Cabrera as its presidential candidate, with Alexandra Peralta Marín as vice-presidential candidate.[59]
  • SUMA's candidate was Guillermo Celi Santos, with Verónica Sevilla Ledergerber as his running mate.[60]
  • Movimiento Construye's candidate was Juan Fernando Velasco Torres, with Ana María Pesántes Salazar as his running mate.[61]
  • Juntos Podemos nominated Paúl Carrasco Carpio, with vice presidential nominee Frank Vargas Anda.[62]
  • The party of incumbent president Moreno, Alianza PAIS, nominated Ximena Peña Pacheco, with Patricio Barriga Jaramillo as her running mate.[63]

Endorsements

After the confirmation from the electoral commission that the second round would be between Arauz and Lasso, both the Pachakutik movement and CONAIE announced they would promote a null vote in the second round, stating that they did not feel represented by either Lasso or Arauz.[64][65] Meanwhile, Pérez' running mate Virna Cedeño stated that she would vote for Lasso.[66]

President of CONAIE Jaime Vargas later came out in support of Arauz in the second round during an event with Arauz.[67]

Fourth-place finisher Hervas announced he would support a vote for Lasso in the second round, stating that he did not want to support "the authoritarian model that ruled us" and that Lasso had incorporated some of his issues into his policy proposals. The party backing his run, ID, ruled out supporting either candidate.[68]

Arauz also received support from first-round candidates Ximena Peña of the PAIS Alliance and Isidro Romero, but not from Avanza movement itself who were backing Romero's campaign which did not endorse anyone.[69][70]

Lasso received the backing from first-round candidates Pedro Freile of the Amigo movement, Lucio Gutiérrez of Sociedad Patriótica, César Montúfar of Alianza Honestidad, Gustavo Larrea of Democracia Sí, Guillermo Celi of SUMA and Paúl Carrasco of Juntos Podemos.[66]

Opinion polls

First round

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Andrés Arauz Guillermo Lasso Yaku Pérez César Montúfar Isidro Romero Lucio Gutiérrez Xavier Hervas Ximena Peña Gustavo Larrea Juan Fernando Velasco Guillermo Celi Pedro José Freile Gerson Almeida Carlos Sagnay Paul Carrasco Giovanny Andrade None/
Don't Know 		Others Lead
UNES CREO-PSC MUPP HONESTIDAD AVANZA PSP ID PAIS MDS MC25 SUMA AMIGO MEU FE[a] MNJP UE[b]
Market [better source needed] 28 Jan 2021 1,520 31.53 21.34 11.91 0.58 2.20 1.27 3.92 1.54 0.11 0.89 1.10 0.86 0.53 0.07 0.53 0.15 22.08 – 10.19
Informe Confidencial 26 Jan 2021 1,600 22.0 17.0 11.0 – 1.0 1.0 4.0 – – 1.0 – – – – – – 37.0 6 5.0
Eureknow 26 Jan 2021 1,400 22.4 18.6 10.2 4.2 4.6 3.0 8.1 0.8 1.1 2.4 3.5 4.5 2.2 1.1 – 0.9 12.3 0.1 3.8
CEDATOS 25 Jan 2021 10,500 21.9 21.2 14.5 – – – – – – – – – – – – – 26.1 16.3 0.7
La Historia 24 Jan 2021 2,990 30.0 21.9 13.4 1.7 3.4 2.1 1.6 1.3 0.5 1.0 – 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 18.5 1.9 8.1
Atlas Intel 22 Jan 2021 3.202 36.0 25.5 9.4 0.9 2.3 2.2 4.1 1.2 0.3 1.1 – 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 4.8 8.4 10.5
36.5 26.7 10.8 1.5 1.5 2.4 4.5 1.5 0.2 1.1 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.2 2.8 9.8
Omar Maluk 21 Jan 2021 17.636 25.1 13.9 9.2 1.3 3.9 2.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.7 1.4 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 28.9 7.1 11.2
Comunicaliza 20 Jan 2021 2,057 37.4 18.5 19.2 1.4 2.4 3.8 4.5 1.3 0.3 1.1 2.7 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 – 4.1 18.2
Clima Social 18 Jan 2021 11,537 30.1 21.5 17.2 0.9 3.0 3.3 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.3 5.2 8.5 8.6
Market 10 Jan 2021 1,520 37.61 30.88 13.85 1.08 0.62 1.10 0.89 – – – 0.33 – – – – – 12.06 1.58 6.73
Pulso Ciudadano 9 Jan 2021 1,500 26.73 20.85 11.63 1.20 1.13 1.41 1.70 0.42 0.14 0.63 0.21 0.21 0.42 0.42 0.14 0.36 32.40 – 5.8
Atlas Intel 31 Dec 2020 3,175 34.4 26.7 8.2 1.0 0.8 0.9 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.5 11.5 7.7
ESTRATEGIA Consultores[better source needed] 29 Dec 2020 1,400 22.3 20.2 17.4 2.7 4.3 2.1 – – 2.5 1.2 – – – – – – 18.4 8.9 2.1
Perfiles de Opinión 27 Dec 2020 4,579 25.75 15.22 11.84 – – 1.47 – 1.72 – – – – – – – – – 44.00 10.53
Eureknow 23 Dec 2020 1,400 20.8 20.0 9.1 4.1 4.4 – – – – 3.2 – – – – – – 8.2 30.2 0.8
Clima Social 20 Dec 2020 3,500 23.3 13.9 12.8 1.3 2.4 2.6 1.9 3.0 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 13.1 19.3 9.4
CELAG 13 Dec 2020 3,000 36.5 13.6 21.2 – 1.4 1.0 – 1.2 1.0 – – – – – – – – 24.1 15.3
Informe Confidencial 26 Nov 2020 1,560 22.0 17.0 13.0 – – – – – – – – – – – – – 42.0 6.0 5.0
MKT Consulting Corp.[better source needed] 17 Nov 2020 3,298 16.10 23.68 18.47 – 5.49 – – – – – – – – – – – 16.25 20.01 5.21
Clima Social 15 Nov 2020 2,579 23.0 20.0 12.9 0.8 2.4 3.9 0.2 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.7 <1.0 0.3 0.5 – 0.6 14.7 14.7 3.0
CEDATOS 15 Nov 2020 1,670 11.1 18.1 6.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 – 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 – 0.1 – – – 11.3 51.4 7.0
1,800 13.0 23.0 10.7 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.2 36.6 9.1 10.0
Omar Maluk 27 Oct 2020 6,435 30.8 23.8 8.8 2.8 2.4 2.2 – 0.8 2.2 – 1.1 – 0.5 – – – – 24.6 7.0
40.1 30.9 11.5 3.6 3.1 2.8 1.0 2.9 – 1.5 – 0.6 – – – – 2.0 9.2
CEDATOS 17 Oct 2020 1,800 19.7 26.1 13.1 1.0 0.7 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 33.9 – 6.4
CEDATOS 8 Oct 2020 1,670 12.2 15.0 4.7 1.3 0.1 0.8 – 0.8 0.5 0.5 – – – – 0.3 – 11.3 52.5 2.8
Clima Social 8 Oct 2020 2,017 18.6 21.5 10.7 1.7 1.7 3.0 0.4 4.6 3.9 1.7 1.8 – – – – – 14.1 16.3 2.9
ESTRATEGIA Consultores[better source needed] 1 Oct 2020 1,400 19.6 20.3 16.8 4.1 3.4 2.0 – – – 1.5 – – – – – – – 32.3 0.7
Pulso Ciudadano[better source needed] 28 Sep 2020 1,400 21.05 19.12 6.17 6.02 4.32 1.88 1.39 1.8 4.06 – 0.97 1.18 1.25 – 0.34 – – 30.45 1.93
Informe Confidencial 27 Sep 2020 1,000 16.0 17.0 12.0 1.5 2.0 – 0.5 – 1.0 1.0 1.0 – – – – – 11.0 37 1.0
MKT Consulting Corp.[better source needed] 18 Sep 2020 8,400 21.0 26.0 9.0 – – – – – 4.0 – – – – – – – – 40.0 5.0
Atlas Intel 18 Sep 2020 3,772 45.9 32.0 4.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.2 – 0.4 – 6.1 6.6 13.9
SERVIDATOS[better source needed] 14 Sep 2020 4,800 16.72 18.67 16.23 11.98 – – – – – – – – – – – – 32.29 4.11 1.95
CEDATOS[better source needed] 14 Sep 2020 2,100 12.3 16.3 5.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 – 0.3 – – – 27.8 34.1 4.0
Eureknow 10 Sep 2020 750 22.0 23.1 20.5 9.9 6.6 – – – – – – – – – – – 7.2 10.7 1.1

Second round

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Andrés Arauz Guillermo Lasso None Blank/
Don't Know
UNES CREO-PSC
Omar Maluk 1 Apr 2021 12,104 53.8 46.2 – –
33.3 28.7 22.2 15.9
Atlas Intel 1 Apr 2021 2,191 50.9 49.1 – –
40.8 39.4 19.8
Eureknow 31 Mar 2021 1,400 50.1 49.9 – –
39.6 37.0 11.5 11.9
CEDATOS 31 Mar 2021 2,782 48.0 52.0 – –
35.2 38.2 23.09
Comunicaliza 30 Mar 2021 5,233 49.1 50.9 – –
32.7 33.9 16.2
Click Report 29 Mar 2021 750 48.51 51.49 – –
37.71 40.03 14.18 8.08
Estrategia Consultores 28 Mar 2021 1,448 51.7 48.3 – –
43.5 40.7 13.5
Pulso Ciudadano 25 Mar 2021 1,975 39.3 36.7 10.1 13.9
Perfiles de Opinión 24 Mar 2021 4,056 37.87 30.19 25.01 6.93
Clima Social 23 Mar 2021 3,738 55.7 44.3 – –
34.1 27.1 19.8 2.4
Omar Maluk 21 Mar 2021 1,400 58.7 41.3 – –
36.9 26.0 21.6 3.8
Click Report 15 Mar 2021 750 37.11 37.37 13.29
Eureknow 13 Mar 2021 1,400 53.7 46.3 – –
48.0 41.5 10.5 –
Perfiles de Opinión 24 Feb 2021 4,056 43.15 23.75 25.74 7.37

Results

President

Preliminary results indicated that Andrés Arauz had a significant lead, but his vote total did not reach the 40% required to avoid a runoff, where he will face off against the second-place candidate. While early results had Yaku Pérez narrowly ahead of Lasso in second place, he eventually slipped to third place by about twenty thousand votes, prompting him to request a recount. The final results remained pending for a week due to Pérez's requested recount of 100% of the votes in Guayas Province and 50% of the votes in 16 other provinces, which was also agreed to by Lasso.[6][7] Lasso later retracted his support for the recount.[71] Later, fourth-place finisher Xavier Hervas also called for a total recount of the presidential votes.[72]

In a press conference together with indigenous leaders on 17 February, Pérez stated that he would not support Lasso in the near future. Pérez insisted that fraud had been committed, especially in the provinces of Guayas, Manabí and Los Ríos. Pérez also claimed that the electoral authorities had colluded with other political actors. The leader of Pachakutik, Marlon Santi, also warned that if the recount request was not granted, indigenous bases would be mobilized.[73] On 18 February, a group of indigenous people started Maring from Saraguro towards Quito. The group, including Yaku Pérez, arrived in the capital 23 February, delivering a large number of documents that they claimed indicated irregularities in the National Electoral Council (CNE in Spanish).[74][75]

On 19 February, the CNE confirmed Lasso as Arauz's opponent in the second round scheduled for 11 April.[8]

The second round took place on 11 April. Shortly after 21:00 local time and after the polls closed at 17:00, with 97% of the votes counted, Guillermo Lasso was proclaimed the winner of the elections with 52.21% of the votes obtained and winning in 17 of the 24 provinces.[76] Arauz acknowledged the defeat and said he would call the winner Lasso the following day to do so personally and show him that "[his] democratic convictions of being able to continue contributing to the development of the country when it is about benefiting the majority of our people and to oppose constructively and responsibly when it seeks to simply attend to privileges."[77]

CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Andrés ArauzCarlos RabascallUnion for Hope (CD–FCS)3,033,79132.724,236,51547.64
Guillermo LassoAlfredo Borrero VegaCREO Movement–Social Christian Party1,830,17219.744,656,42652.36
Yaku PérezVirna CedeñoPachakutik1,798,05719.39
Xavier HervasMaría Sara JijónDemocratic Left1,453,91515.68
Pedro José FreileByron SolísAMIGO Movement192,7632.08
Isidro RomeroSofía MerinoAdvance172,7141.86
Lucio GutiérrezDavid NoreroPatriotic Society Party164,8001.78
Gerson AlmeidaMartha VillafuerteUnited Ecuadorian160,5721.73
Ximena PeñaPatricio BarrigaPAIS Alliance143,1601.54
Guillermo CeliVerónica SevillaSUMA Party84,6400.91
Juan Fernando VelascoAna María PesantesBuild Movement76,3490.82
César MontúfarJulio VillacresesHonesty Alliance (MC–PSE)57,6200.62
Gustavo LarreaAlexandra PeraltaDemocracy Yes36,9030.40
Carlos SagnayNarda OrtizFuerza Ecuador26,5240.29
Giovanny AndradeKatherine MataEcuadorian Union Movement20,2450.22
Paúl CarrascoFrank Vargas AndaTogether We Can National Movement19,8090.21
Total9,272,034100.008,892,941100.00
Valid votes9,272,03487.358,892,94182.13
Invalid/blank votes1,342,84012.651,935,44517.87
Total votes10,614,874100.0010,828,386100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,099,15081.0312,843,19284.31
Source: CNE, CNE

First round by province

Province Arauz Lasso Pérez Hervas Freile Romero Gutiérrez Almeida Peña Celi Velasco Montúfar Larrea Sagnay Andrade Carrasco
% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %
 Azuay 21.01 14.14 42.14 15.07 2.51 0.55 0.59 0.88 1.00 0.27 0.39 0.47 0.23 0.13 0.16 0.49
 Bolívar 14.00 13.73 47.92 12.51 1.22 0.92 4.58 0.87 0.81 0.90 0.45 0.61 0.43 0.23 0.64 0.18
 Cañar 23.23 12.02 44.05 13.41 1.36 0.55 1.25 0.77 0.94 0.28 0.36 0.50 0.67 0.14 0.33 0.14
 Carchi 20.42 16.71 20.67 28.22 6.66 0.87 1.50 0.41 1.99 0.33 0.90 0.48 0.34 0.17 0.16 0.18
 Chimborazo 16.90 14.95 41.55 15.74 2.17 0.98 2.30 1.18 1.10 0.47 0.55 0.90 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.28
 Cotopaxi 18.58 11.25 43.75 14.98 2.70 0.78 2.55 0.82 1.17 0.69 0.73 0.73 0.51 0.21 0.28 0.28
 El Oro 36.83 17.73 14.42 20.79 0.94 2.82 0.83 1.78 1.56 0.37 0.60 0.37 0.34 0.28 0.20 0.15
 Esmeraldas 44.27 20.84 12.34 9.12 0.71 1.35 1.19 2.70 2.38 0.75 1.01 0.58 1.67 0.53 0.33 0.25
 Galápagos 24.09 33.71 16.27 15.31 1.83 1.66 0.73 2.06 0.76 1.49 0.64 0.55 0.10 0.06 0.51 0.21
 Guayas 41.82 25.27 8.73 9.94 0.97 3.08 2.00 3.19 1.69 0.70 1.04 0.42 0.37 0.38 0.22 0.18
 Imbabura 29.38 17.16 22.39 18.54 4.87 0.94 1.26 0.63 1.53 0.39 0.98 0.87 0.37 0.26 0.22 0.20
 Loja 19.04 17.24 30.48 26.33 1.25 0.69 1.33 0.80 0.74 0.38 0.35 0.55 0.24 0.21 0.18 0.19
 Los Ríos 46.83 15.24 12.07 9.04 0.68 4.97 3.03 1.99 2.96 0.66 0.63 0.43 0.50 0.50 0.29 0.18
 Manabí 52.22 14.74 6.05 12.57 0.70 1.88 1.12 1.24 2.44 4.41 0.94 0.40 0.45 0.37 0.25 0.23
 Morona Santiago 16.32 9.61 52.00 15.30 0.59 0.24 2.32 0.50 0.64 0.94 0.46 0.47 0.23 0.12 0.16 0.10
 Napo 13.59 17.18 43.90 12.86 0.97 0.46 8.00 0.65 0.45 0.46 0.41 0.53 0.19 0.11 0.12 0.12
 Orellana 25.83 12.04 34.02 15.05 1.02 2.40 5.01 1.05 1.21 0.27 0.60 0.62 0.32 0.19 0.16 0.20
 Pastaza 14.38 17.33 40.68 17.78 1.40 0.55 3.61 0.94 0.76 0.81 0.46 0.50 0.30 0.09 0.23 0.18
 Pichincha 22.53 25.86 16.71 23.25 4.60 0.89 1.24 0.91 0.87 0.36 0.82 1.14 0.30 0.15 0.16 0.19
 Santa Elena 42.77 13.96 14.86 12.36 1.11 2.37 0.75 4.82 3.10 0.62 1.48 0.43 0.45 0.42 0.29 0.24
 Santo Domingo de los Tsáchilas 35.93 17.38 16.20 17.93 1.74 1.67 1.75 1.18 2.50 0.82 1.07 0.59 0.56 0.27 0.22 0.21
 Sucumbíos 34.92 8.23 37.01 11.76 0.88 0.74 2.95 0.56 1.05 0.39 0.52 0.37 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.15
 Tungurahua 12.06 18.40 32.28 23.53 3.99 1.03 3.03 1.53 0.86 0.71 0.92 0.72 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.24
 Zamora Chinchipe 16.88 12.53 40.03 24.80 0.64 0.39 1.13 0.80 0.60 0.36 0.31 0.59 0.26 0.28 0.15 0.26
Europe, Asia & Oceania 47.97 12.06 18.32 10.09 1.89 2.59 0.90 1.74 1.42 0.58 0.54 0.69 0.28 0.42 0.29 0.24
Latin America & Africa 35.41 36.18 10.03 6.33 1.40 2.20 0.79 1.50 1.39 0.71 0.80 1.44 0.97 0.33 0.34 0.18
USA & Canada 36.09 27.23 24.05 5.93 1.06 0.96 0.65 0.71 1.03 0.69 0.31 0.51 0.32 0.20 0.09 0.16
Total 32.72 19.74 19.38 15.68 2.08 1.86 1.78 1.73 1.54 0.91 0.82 0.62 0.40 0.29 0.22 0.21
Sources: CNE Archived 25 February 2021 at the Wayback Machine

Second round by province

Province Arauz Lasso[8]
% %
 Azuay 43.84 56.16
 Bolívar 30.57 69.43
 Cañar 48.11 51.89
 Carchi 36.39 63.61
 Chimborazo 34.09 65.91
 Cotopaxi 36.80 63.20
 El Oro 51.64 48.36
 Esmeraldas 55.75 44.25
 Galápagos 34.66 65.34
 Guayas 53.05 46.95
 Imbabura 45.57 54.43
 Loja 32.46 67.54
 Los Ríos 62.35 37.65
 Manabí 66.10 33.90
 Morona Santiago 30.79 69.21
 Napo 25.01 74.99
 Orellana 44.50 55.50
 Pastaza 26.63 73.37
 Pichincha 35.35 64.65
 Santa Elena 61.10 38.90
 Santo Domingo de los Tsáchilas 49.19 50.81
 Sucumbíos 56.31 43.69
 Tungurahua 24.59 75.41
 Zamora Chinchipe 30.73 69.27
Europe, Asia & Oceania 63.59 36.41
Latin America, Caribe & Africa 46.65 53.35
USA & Canada 46.73 53.27
Total 47.64 52.36
Sources: CNE Archived 12 April 2021 at the Wayback Machine

National Assembly

PartyNationalProvincialOverseasTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Union for Hope2,584,59532.2152,432,92530.374043,42143.76449New
Pachakutik Plurinational Unity Movement – New Country1,348,67916.8131,140,25714.242314,51514.63127+23
Democratic Left961,51311.982846,74510.57169,4529.53018+14
Social Christian Party780,5419.732932,62211.64169,0319.10018+3
Creating Opportunities774,2389.652736,8899.2098,8848.95112–22
Honesty Alliance (MC–PSE)301,3693.761155,9791.9511,9491.9602New
PAIS Alliance222,0922.770181,4082.2602,4232.4400–74
United Ecuadorian166,8882.080193,8402.4221,4071.4202New
Advance154,5291.930202,1492.5222,2232.2402+2
Patriotic Society Party145,3981.810157,4241.9711–1
Popular Unity139,9691.740163,1032.0401,5121.52000
SUMA Party135,0381.680177,2802.2101,1641.1700New
Democracy Yes84,2091.050155,3071.9411,2671.2801New
Fuerza Ecuador70,8540.88027,6450.3500–1
Ecuadorian Union59,0800.740110,9201.3815680.5701+1
Build Movement57,7110.72016930.7001+1
Together We Can National Movement37,4380.47048,5850.6107050.7100New
Social Justice Movement25,9700.3200New
Provincial movements (AP/Minga/AC)321,0374.01330
Total8,024,141100.00158,010,085100.0011699,214100.0061370
Valid votes8,024,14175.598,010,08577.4399,21482.75
Invalid/blank votes2,591,04124.412,335,22922.5720,67917.25
Total votes10,615,182100.0010,345,314100.00119,893100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,107,36480.9912,661,37281.71410,14629.23
Source: Mercosur Parliament, CNE

Andean Parliament

On 7 February 2021, Ecuadorian voters also elected five members of the Andean Parliament. Two of the successful candidates were current National Assembly members: Verónica Arias (CD) and Cristina Reyes (PSC).[78]

PartyVotes%Seats
Union for Hope2,588,49932.962
Pachakutik1,294,22716.481
Democratic Left1,001,58112.751
Social Christian Party962,47412.261
CREO Movement673,9958.580
PAIS Alliance238,2373.030
United Ecuadorian Movement172,5902.200
Patriotic Society Party157,9562.010
Advance157,3062.000
SUMA Party148,5081.890
Popular Unity147,4641.880
Honesty Alliance (MC–PSE)114,3101.460
Democracy Yes99,9861.270
Ecuadorian Union Movement56,9490.730
Together We Can National Movement38,8000.490
Total7,852,882100.005
Valid votes7,852,88274.78
Invalid/blank votes2,648,66925.22
Total votes10,501,551100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,099,15080.17
Source: CNE

Cuenca mining referendum

In the referendum held in Cuenca, preliminary results showed 80.9% of voters voting in favor of prohibiting mining activity in the area.[79]

Notes

  1. ^ until 1 February 2020
  2. ^ until Dec 2020

References

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