Ōtaki (New Zealand electorate)

Ōtaki
Single-member constituency
for the New Zealand House of Representatives
Outline map
Location of Ōtaki within Manawatū-Whanganui and Wellington
RegionManawatū-Whanganui and Wellington
Current constituency
Current MPTim Costley
PartyNational

Ōtaki (previously Otaki) is a New Zealand Parliamentary electorate, spanning part of the west coast of the lower North Island. The bulk of its population comes from the Horowhenua District, but it also takes in part of the northern Kāpiti Coast, including the towns of Ōtaki and Waikanae, and part of Paraparaumu. The current MP for Ōtaki is Tim Costley of the New Zealand National Party. He has held this position since the 2023 election.

History

In the 1892 electoral redistribution, population shift to the North Island required the transfer of one seat from the South Island to the north. The resulting ripple effect saw every electorate established in 1890 have its boundaries altered, and eight electorates were established for the first time, including Otaki.[1] Otaki was first contested in the 1893 election, and the first member for Otaki was James Wilson, who held the seat for one term until 1896. It was then won by Henry Augustus Field and then, after Henry's death, by his brother William Hughes Field. William Field, a Liberal-turn-independent-turn-Reform, held it for a total of 32 years, from 1900 to 1935. Field lost the electorate in 1911 to John Robertson of the Social Democratic Party (who had been nominated by the flax-workers union), but won it back in 1914.

The seat was abolished in 1972, and Allan McCready, who was the incumbent, instead stood for and won the Manawatu electorate.

Otaki was recreated ahead of the change to mixed-member proportional (MMP) voting in 1996, by combining two bellwether seats: the northern half of Kapiti with the entire Horowhenua seat. Since its recreation the boundaries have been left largely unaltered, though after the 2007 boundary review a macron was added to the name and it is now spelled Ōtaki. The first MP for Otaki since its recreation was Judy Keall, who won by less than a thousand votes in 1996 before a more decisive victory in 1999.[2] In 2002, her former electorate assistant Darren Hughes won the seat, becoming the youngest member of the House of Representatives. His 2002 majority was slashed to just 382 at the 2005 election by former Horowhenua District councillor Nathan Guy. In a 2008 rematch, Guy tipped out Hughes by 1,354 votes; Hughes returned to Parliament off the Labour Party list.

Nathan Guy won Ōtaki for National at every election since 2008; at the 2017 election Guy won 50.3% of the vote compared with the second-place Rob McCann getting 35.4%. Guy announced he would be resigning at the 2020 election,[3] and National have selected Tim Costley as its replacement candidate.[4]

In the 2020 election, Terisa Ngobi returned the seat to Labour in a tight contest, winning 17,953 of the votes compared to Tim Costley's 16,683 votes based on preliminary results.[5][6]

Members of Parliament

Unless otherwise stated, all MPs' terms began and ended at general elections.

Key

  Independent   Liberal   Reform   Labour   Labour   National

Election Winner
1893 election James Wilson
1896 election Henry Augustus Field
1899 election
1900 by-election William Hughes Field
1902 election
1905 election
1908 election
1911 election John Robertson
1914 election William Hughes Field
1919 election
1922 election
1925 election
1928 election
1931 election
1935 election Leonard Lowry
1938 election
1943 election
1946 election Jimmy Maher
1949 election
1951 election
1954 election
1957 election
1960 election Allan McCready
1963 election
1966 election
1969 election
(electorate abolished 1972–1996, see Kapiti and Manawatu)
1996 election Judy Keall
1999 election
2002 election Darren Hughes
2005 election
2008 election Nathan Guy
2011 election
2014 election
2017 election
2020 election Terisa Ngobi
2023 election Tim Costley

List MPs

Members of Parliament elected from party lists in elections where that person also unsuccessfully contested the electorate. Unless otherwise stated, all MPs' terms began and ended at general elections.

Election Winner
1996 election Roger Sowry
1999 election
2002 election
2005 election Nathan Guy
2008 election Darren Hughes[a]

Election results

2023 election

2023 general election: Otaki[7]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Tim Costley 22,145 50.23 +8.96 16,520 37.08 +10.65
Labour Red XN Terisa Ngobi 15,874 36.01 -11.80 13,709 30.77 -19.54
Green Ali Muhammad 2,946 6.68 +2.01 4,703 10.56 +4.15
ACT Sean Rush 1,327 3.01 +1.00 3,306 7.42 +0.28
NZ Loyal Bryan Ten-Have 1,078 2.45 — 637 1.43 —
Not A Party Bob Wessex 75 0.17 —
NZ First   3,437 7.72 +5.07
Opportunities   692 1.55 +0.49
Te Pāti Māori   510 1.14 +0.83
NewZeal   210 0.47 +0.16 [b]
Legalise Cannabis   158 0.35 +0.04
Freedoms NZ   137 0.31 —
Animal Justice   89 0.20 —
New Conservative   52 0.12 −1.26
DemocracyNZ   48 0.11 —
Women's Rights   34 0.08 —
Leighton Baker Party   17 0.04 —
Informal votes 640 270
Total valid votes 44,085 44,549
National gain from Labour Majority 6,271 14.22 +7.79

2020 election

2020 general election: Ōtaki[8]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
Labour Terisa Ngobi 21,867 47.81 +12.44 24,023 52.22 +17.28
National Tim Costley 18,879 41.27 -9.04 12,159 26.43 -19.59
Green Bernard Long 2,135 4.67 -0.59 2,947 6.41 +0.76
ACT Wayne Desmond Grattan 918 2.01 +1.76 3,284 7.14 +6.75
New Conservative Martin Frauenstein 496 1.08 — 633 1.38 +1.22
Attica Michael Kay 241 0.53 —
Social Credit Amanda Vickers 192 0.42 — 60 0.13 +0.12
ONE Pisa Seala 163 0.36 — 144 0.31 —
NZ First   1,218 2.65 -5.55
Opportunities   485 1.06 -1.13
Advance NZ   372 0.81 —
Māori Party   141 0.31 -0.06
Legalise Cannabis   141 0.31 +0.13
Outdoors   41 0.09 +0.05
Vision NZ   30 0.07 —
Sustainable NZ   21 0.05 —
TEA   6 0.01 —
Heartland   2 0.00 —
Informal votes 850 300
Total valid votes 45,741 46,007
Turnout 46,007
Labour gain from National Majority 2,988 6.43 —

2017 election

2017 general election: Otaki[9]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Green tickY Nathan Guy 20,725 50.31 −4.49 19,187 46.02 −2.69
Labour Rob McCann 14,569 35.37 +0.90 15,014 34.94 +10.29
Green Sam Ferguson 2,167 5.26 −1.17 2,358 5.65 −3.74
NZ First Romuald Edward Rudzki 1,680 4.07 — 3,421 8.20 −1.69
Opportunities Piri-Hira Tukapua 1,051 2.55 — 910 2.18 —
Independent Sam Jennings 504 1.22 —
ACT Wayne Desmond Grattan 105 0.25 — 163 0.39 +0.10
Māori Party   156 0.37 −0.07
Legalise Cannabis   79 0.18 −0.18
Conservative   69 0.16 −4.22
Ban 1080   44 0.10 −0.06
United Future   25 0.05 —
People's Party   24 0.05 —
Outdoors   19 0.04 —
Mana   9 0.02 −0.62[c]
Democrats   7 0.01 −0.04
Internet   3 0.007 −0.633[d]
Informal votes 386 198
Total valid votes 41,187 41,686
National hold Majority 6,156 14.95 -5.38

2014 election

2014 general election: Ōtaki[10]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Green tickY Nathan Guy 20,980 54.80 +3.23 18,854 48.71 +1.92
Labour Rob McCann 13,198 34.47 −3.01 9,543 24.65 −4.94
Green Maddy Drew 2,462 6.43 +1.72 3,635 9.39 +0.21
Conservative Anne Lovelock 913 2.38 +0.65 1,695 4.38 +1.19
Independent Amanda Vickers 203 0.53 +0.53
Independent Frederick Macdonald 118 0.31 +0.31
NZ First   3,827 9.89 +1.77
Internet Mana   249 0.64 +0.43[e]
Māori Party   169 0.44 −0.12
Legalise Cannabis   138 0.36 −0.07
ACT   111 0.29 −0.38
United Future   74 0.19 −0.52
Ban 1080   61 0.16 +0.16
Democrats   19 0.05 +0.01
Independent Coalition   19 0.05 +0.05
Civilian   12 0.03 +0.03
Focus   6 0.02 +0.02
Informal votes 412 298
Total valid votes 38,286 38,710
Turnout 38,710 82.49 +3.23
National hold Majority 7,782 20.33 +6.24

2011 election

2011 general election: Ōtaki[11]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Green tickY Nathan Guy 19,151 51.57 +2.90 17,609 46.79 +2.02
Labour Peter Foster 13,920 37.48 -7.70 11,137 29.59 -7.36
Green Michael Gilchrist 1,750 4.71 +2.06 3,612 9.60 +3.96
NZ First David Scott 1,122 3.02 +1.02 3,057 8.12 +2.63
Conservative John Stephen Ryersson 644 1.73 +1.73 1,202 3.19 +3.19
Legalise Cannabis Fred MacDonald 253 0.68 +0.68 162 0.43 +0.14
ACT Peter McCaffrey 115 0.31 -0.23 253 0.67 -1.92
United Future Diane Brown 110 0.30 -0.09 266 0.71 -0.31
Independent Philip Dean Taueki 73 0.20 +0.20
Māori Party   210 0.56 -0.26
Mana   80 0.21 +0.21
Libertarianz   19 0.05 +0.02
Democrats   15 0.04 +0.01
Alliance   11 0.03 -0.04
Informal votes 573 292
Total valid votes 37,138 37,633
National hold Majority 5,231 14.09 +10.60

Electorate (as at 26 November 2011): 47,483[12]

2008 election

2008 general election: Ōtaki[13]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
National Nathan Guy 18,885 48.67 +3.91 17,534 44.77 +3.10
Labour Red XN Darren Hughes 17,531 45.18 -0.58 14,472 36.95 +4.72
Green Jim Kebbell 1,029 2.65 2,207 5.64 1.09
NZ First David John Scott 778 2.01 2,153 5.50 -1.29
Progressive Josie Pagani 221 0.57 453 1.16 -0.43
ACT Peter McCaffrey 210 0.54 1,014 2.59 +1.60
United Future Diane Brown 148 0.38 -1.25 397 1.01 -2.34
Māori Party   321 0.82 +0.08
Bill and Ben   177 0.45
Kiwi   165 0.42
Legalise Cannabis   115 0.29 +0.06
Family Party   84 0.21
Alliance   28 0.07 -0.13
Libertarianz   12 0.03 +0.01
Democrats   10 0.03 -0.02
Pacific   9 0.02
Workers Party   6 0.02
RONZ   5 0.01 ±0.00
RAM   0 0.00
Informal votes 186 111
Total valid votes 38,802 39,162
National gain from Labour Majority 1,354 3.49

2005 election

2005 general election: Otaki[14]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green tickY or Red XN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

Party Candidate Votes % ±% Party votes % ±%
Labour Green tickY Darren Hughes 17,556 45.76 -7.27 16,131 41.67
National Nathan Guy 17,174 44.76 +13.79 15,174 39.20
NZ First Chris Perry 1,043 2.72 2,630 6.79
Green Nick Fisher 1,022 2.66 1,761 4.55
United Future Diane Brown 611 1.59 1,297 3.35
Māori Party Richard Orzecki 353 0.92 286 0.74
Progressive Russell Franklin 303 0.79 614 1.59
ACT Simon Ewing-Jarvie 163 0.42 383 0.99
Alliance Margaret Jeune 97 0.25 78 0.20
Direct Democracy Robert Atack 47 0.12 7 0.02
Destiny   154 0.40
Legalise Cannabis   88 0.23
Family Rights   54 0.14
Christian Heritage   37 0.10
Democrats   21 0.05
99 MP   14 0.04
One NZ   14 0.04
Libertarianz   9 0.02
RONZ   5 0.01
Informal votes 242 134
Total valid votes 38,369 38,707
Labour hold Majority 382 1.00 -21.07

1999 election

Refer to Candidates in the New Zealand general election 1999 by electorate#Otaki for a list of candidates.

1943 election

1943 general election: Otaki[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Leonard Lowry 5,151 46.56 −9.76
National Bert Cooksley 4,960 44.83
Democratic Labour Robert James Barnett 454 4.10
People's Movement William Jonathan Crawford 413 3.73
Informal votes 84 0.75 +0.41
Majority 191 1.72 −11.27
Turnout 11,062 92.16 −1.97
Registered electors 12,003

1938 election

1938 general election: Otaki[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Leonard Lowry 5,926 56.32 +6.35
National George Alexander Monk 4,559 43.33 +12.41
Informal votes 36 0.34
Majority 1,367 12.99 −6.06
Turnout 10,521 94.13 +10.87
Registered electors 11,177

1935 election

1935 general election: Otaki[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Leonard Lowry 4,511 49.97
United/Reform George Alexander Monk[18] 2,791 30.92
Independent Will Appleton[19] 975 10.80
Democrat Robert Westley Bothamley[20] 750 8.31
Majority 1,720 19.05 +3.28
Turnout 9,027 83.26 −0.73
Registered electors 10,842

1931 election

1931 general election: Otaki[21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Reform William Hughes Field 4,848 57.89
Labour Jim Thorn 3,527 42.11
Majority 1,321 15.77
Informal votes 92 1.09
Turnout 8,467 83.99
Registered electors 10,081

1928 election

1928 general election: Otaki[22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Reform William Hughes Field 3,407 44.54
United Archibald Burnett Sievwright 2,594 33.91
Labour Harold Dyson 1,400 18.30
Independent James Purchase 249 3.25
Majority 813 10.63
Informal votes 106 1.37
Turnout 7,756 88.29
Registered electors 8,785

1900 by-election

1900 Otaki by-election[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal William Hughes Field 1,755 52.44
Conservative Charles Morison 1,592 47.56 +2.09
Majority 163 4.87 −4.18
Turnout 3,347 62.35 −0.45
Registered electors 5,368

Footnotes

  1. ^ Hughes resigned from Parliament on 1 April 2011.
  2. ^ Compared to ONE Party
  3. ^ 2017 Mana Party swing is relative to the votes for Internet-Mana in 2014; it shared a party list with the Internet Party in the 2014 election
  4. ^ 2017 Internet Party swing is relative to the votes for Internet-Mana in 2014; it shared a party list with Mana Party in the 2014 election
  5. ^ 2014 Internet Mana swing is relative to the votes for Mana in 2011; it shared a party list with Internet in the 2014 election.

References

  1. ^ McRobie 1989, pp. 59f.
  2. ^ Counsell, Gerard (31 October 2008). "Swing seats: All eyes on Otaki". One News. Retrieved 8 October 2014.
  3. ^ "National party reshuffle after Nathan Guy announces retirement from politics". Newshub. Archived from the original on 30 July 2019. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
  4. ^ Walls, Jason (17 November 2019). "Former Air Force pilot Tim Costley has been selected to run in the National safe seat of Ōtaki". The New Zealand Herald. ISSN 1170-0777. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
  5. ^ "Ōtaki – Preliminary Count". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 October 2020.
  6. ^ Willis, Rosalie (19 October 2020). "Terisa Ngobi wins Ōtaki seat in election night thriller". The New Zealand Herald. Archived from the original on 28 October 2020. Retrieved 29 October 2020.
  7. ^ "Official Count Results – Otaki". New Zealand Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 November 2023.
  8. ^ "Ōtaki – Official Result". Electoral Commission. 6 November 2020. Retrieved 14 September 2021.
  9. ^ "Official Count Results – Otaki". Wellington: New Zealand Electoral Commission. Retrieved 21 December 2017.
  10. ^ "Official Count Results – Ōtaki (2014)". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 14 April 2016.
  11. ^ "2011 election results".
  12. ^ "Enrolment statistics". Electoral Commission. 26 November 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.
  13. ^ "2008 Official Count Results – Ōtaki".
  14. ^ "2005 Official Count Results – Otaki".
  15. ^ "The General Election, 1943". National Library. 1944. p. 11. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  16. ^ "The General Election, 1938". National Library. 1939. pp. 1–6. Retrieved 8 February 2012.
  17. ^ "How the votes were cast". The Evening Post. Vol. CXX, no. 130. 28 November 1935. p. 8. Retrieved 16 November 2013.
  18. ^ "Otaki Seat". The Evening Post. Vol. CXX, no. 55. 2 September 1935. p. 10. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  19. ^ "Mr. Appleton's Candidature". The Evening Post. Vol. CXX, no. 97. 21 October 1935. p. 11. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  20. ^ "Election Notices". The Evening Post. Vol. CXIX, no. 99. 29 April 1935. p. 2. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  21. ^ The General Election, 1931. Government Printer. 1932. p. 4. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
  22. ^ Skinner, W. A. G. (1929). The General Election, 1928. Government Printer. p. 4. Retrieved 19 February 2020.
  23. ^ "The Otaki Seat". The New Zealand Herald. Vol. XXXVII, no. 11265. 8 January 1900. p. 5. Retrieved 5 February 2015.

Sources

  • McRobie, Alan (1989). Electoral Atlas of New Zealand. Wellington: GP Books. ISBN 0-477-01384-8.
  • Wilson, James Oakley (1985) [First published in 1913]. New Zealand Parliamentary Record, 1840–1984 (4th ed.). Wellington: V.R. Ward, Govt. Printer. OCLC 154283103.