The Small Arms Survey (SAS) is an independent research project located at the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva, Switzerland. It provides information on all aspects of small arms and armed violence, as a resource for governments, policy-makers, researchers, and activists, as well as research on small arms issues.
The survey monitors national and international initiatives (governmental and non-governmental), and acts as a forum and clearinghouse for the sharing of information. It also disseminates best practice measures and initiatives dealing with small arms issues.
SAS's mandate is to look at all aspects of small arms and armed violence. It provides research and analysis by which to support governments to reduce the incidence of armed violence and illicit trafficking through evidence-based analysis.
The project's staff includes international experts in security studies, political science, law, international public policy, development studies, economics, conflict resolution, and sociology. The staff works closely with a worldwide network of researchers and partners.[1][2][3]
History
The Small Arms Survey was established in 1999 "on the initiative" of Switzerland's Federal Department of Foreign Affairs (FDFA)[4] and "in conjunction with other interested governments".[5] They placed the project under the tutelage of the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID).[4]
In July 1999, Keith Krause (born 1960) became the founder and programme director. The Canadianpolitical scientist, who wrote his PhD thesis at Oxford University on the issue of international arms transfers and has been a professor of international politics at the IHEID since 1994, remained in that position until December 2015.[6]
The Small Arms Survey's Human Security Baseline Assessment for Sudan and South Sudan project supports violence reduction initiatives, including disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration programmes, incentive schemes for civilian arms collections and security sector reform, and arms control interventions across Sudan.[8][9]
The Security Assessment in North Africa project supports efforts to build a more secure environment in North Africa and the Sahel-Sahara region. The project produces evidence-based research and analysis on the availability and circulation of small arms, the dynamics of emerging armed groups, and related insecurity. The research stresses the effects of the recent uprisings and armed conflicts in the region on community safety.[10]
2018 report
In 2018, Small Arms Survey reported that there are over one billion small arms distributed globally, of which 857 million (about 85 percent) are in civilian hands.[11][12] According to Small Arms Survey's estimates, U.S. civilians alone account for 393 million (about 46 percent) of the worldwide total of civilian held firearms.[13][12] This amounts to "120.5 firearms for every 100 residents."[12]
According to the report, the world's armed forces control about 133 million (about 13 percent) of the global total of small arms, of which over 43 percent belong to two countries: the Russian Federation (30.3 million) and China (27.5 million).[11] And, the world's law enforcement agencies control about 23 million (about 2 percent) of the global total of small arms.[11]
Global distribution of firearms
Small Arms Survey estimates of worldwide firearms holdings, 2017[14][15][16][17]
Location
Civilian held firearms
Population 2017
Civilian held firearms per 100 persons
Military held firearms
Law enforcement held firearms
Total firearms = approximately 1,013,000,000
857,000,000
-
-
133,000,000
23,000,000
Afghanistan
4,270,000
34,169,000
12.5
331,170
239,000
Albania
350,000
2,911,000
12.0
21,750
19,000
Algeria
877,000
41,064,000
2.1
637,720
363,000
American Samoa
400
56,000
0.7
-
90
Andorra
10,000
69,000
14.1
-
976
Angola
2,982,000
26,656,000
11.2
203,300
60,000
Antigua and Barbuda
5,000
94,000
5.4
438
800
Argentina
3,256,000
44,272,000
7.4
679,770
391,000
Armenia
186,000
3,032,000
6.1
509,240
18,000
Aruba
3,000
105,000
2.6
-
700
Australia
3,573,000
24,642,000
14.5
214,520
69,000
Austria
2,577,000
8,592,000
30.0
240,880
37,900
Azerbaijan
362,000
9,974,000
3.6
537,920
18,000
Bahamas
74,000
397,000
18.8
2,470
5,000
Bahrain
181,000
1,419,000
12.8
25,796
20,000
Bangladesh
659,000
164,828,000
0.4
410,305
333,000
Barbados
10,000
286,000
3.5
1,675
2,000
Belarus
581,000
9,459,000
6.1
780,600
165,000
Belgium
1,451,000
11,444,000
12.7
80,880
78,000
Belize
37,000
375,000
10.0
3,690
2,000
Benin
33,000
11,459,000
0.3
8,700
26,000
Bermuda
3,000
61,000
4.6
-
500
Bhutan
6,000
793,000
0.8
15,200
4,000
Bolivia
218,000
11,053,000
2.0
87,590
42,000
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1,185,000
3,793,000
31.2
27,300
29,000
Botswana
97,000
2,344,000
4.1
17,100
11,000
Brazil
17,510,000
211,243,000
8.3
1,316,300
803,000
Brunei Darussalam
6,000
434,000
1.4
20,220
4,000
Bulgaria
590,000
7,045,000
8.4
176,640
59,400
Burkina Faso
175,000
19,173,000
0.9
43,780
43,000
Burundi
238,000
11,936,000
2.0
75,960
24,278
Cabo Verde (Cape Verde)
31,000
533,000
5.7
2,280
19,000
Cambodia
717,000
16,076,000
4.5
258,670
64,000
Cameroon
510,000
24,514,000
2.1
27,360
15,000
Canada
12,708,000
36,626,000
34.7
233,949
103,000
Cayman Islands
6,000
62,000
9.2
-
400
Central African Republic
94,000
5,099,000
1.8
8,580
10,000
Chad
151,000
14,965,000
1.0
25,020
34,000
Channel Islands
23,000
165,000
14.0
-
500
Chile
2,220,000
18,313,000
12.1
311,900
66,000
China
49,735,000
1,388,233,000
3.6
27,466,400
1,971,000
China, Macao SAR
22,000
606,000
3.6
-
4,000
Christmas Island
0
2,000
0.0
-
50
Colombia
4,971,000
49,068,000
10.1
350,689
283,000
Comoros
12,000
826,000
1.5
600
2,000
Congo, Republic of
119,000
4,866,000
2.4
12,000
11,000
Costa Rica
493,000
4,906,000
10.0
-
17,000
Côte d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)
1,049,000
23,816,000
4.4
33,045
15,000
Croatia
576,000
4,210,000
13.7
75,120
39,000
Cuba
234,000
11,390,000
2.1
958,100
42,000
Curaçao
4,000
160,000
2.6
-
600
Cyprus, North
61,000
349,000
17.4
-
2,000
Cyprus, Rep. of
285,000
839,000
34.0
99,000
11,000
Czech Republic
1,323,000
10,555,000
12.5
157,233
76,000
Democratic Republic of Congo
946,000
82,243,000
1.2
161,100
46,000
Denmark
567,000
5,712,000
9.9
124,120
20,000
Djibouti
28,000
911,000
3.1
19,855
5,000
Dominica
5,000
73,000
6.2
-
600
Dominican Republic
795,000
10,767,000
7.4
106,495
46,000
Ecuador
402,000
16,626,000
2.4
253,668
41,000
Egypt
3,931,000
95,215,000
4.1
1,544,750
1,530,000
El Salvador
737,000
6,167,000
12.0
127,840
30,000
England and Wales
2,731,000
58,877,000
4.6
-
28,000
Equatorial Guinea
112,000
894,000
12.5
2,760
2,000
Eritrea
23,000
5,482,000
0.4
668,550
12,000
Estonia
65,000
1,306,000
5.0
38,760
18,000
Ethiopia
377,000
104,345,000
0.4
525,600
79,000
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)
2,000
3,000
62.1
-
30
Faroe Islands
5,000
49,000
9.9
-
200
Fiji
5,000
903,000
0.5
16,700
2,000
Finland
1,793,000
5,541,000
32.4
475,030
14,000
France
12,732,000
64,939,000
19.6
566,430
497,000
French Guiana
55,000
283,000
19.6
–
2,000
French Polynesia
7,000
289,000
2.5
-
400
Gabon
61,000
1,801,000
3.4
5,640
4,000
Gambia
137,000
2,120,000
6.5
1,080
5,000
Georgia
402,000
3,973,000
10.1
63,950
41,000
Germany
15,822,000
80,636,000
19.6
483,016
466,000
Ghana
2,280,000
28,657,000
8.0
18,600
28,000
Gibraltar
1,000
32,000
4.1
-
600
Greece
1,920,000
10,893,000
17.6
642,510
99,000
Greenland
13,000
56,000
22.3
–
300
Grenada
5,000
108,000
4.6
–
1,000
Guadeloupe
40,000
472,000
8.5
-
2,000
Guam
20,000
174,000
11.5
-
500
Guatemala
2,062,000
17,005,000
12.1
160,600
43,000
Guinea
130,000
13,291,000
1.0
23,080
13,000
Guinea-Bissau
29,000
1,933,000
1.5
10,260
4,000
Guyana
122,000
774,000
15.8
10,890
4,000
Haiti
291,000
10,983,000
2.6
380
15,000
Holy See
0
1,000
0.0
-
200
Honduras
1,171,000
8,305,000
14.1
107,720
29,000
Hong Kong SAR, China
265,000
7,402,000
3.6
-
28,000
Hungary
1,023,000
9,788,000
10.5
147,880
17,000
Iceland
106,000
334,000
31.7
650
590
India
71,101,000
1,342,513,000
5.3
3,900,000
1,700,000
Indonesia
82,000
263,510,000
0.0
1,711,450
429,000
Iran, Islamic Republic of
5,890,000
80,946,000
7.3
3,333,550
98,000
Iraq
7,588,000
38,654,000
19.6
611,000
56,000
Ireland
342,000
4,749,000
7.2
26,636
3,000
Israel
557,000
8,323,000
6.7
1,016,900
41,000
Italy
8,609,000
59,798,000
14.4
502,960
273,000
Jamaica
246,000
2,813,000
8.8
8,681
12,000
Japan
377,000
126,045,000
0.3
745,514
252,000
Jordan
1,473,000
7,877,000
18.7
286,450
60,000
Kazakhstan
504,000
18,064,000
2.8
375,690
65,000
Kenya
750,000
48,467,000
1.5
45,790
51,527
Kiribati
900
116,000
0.8
-
200
Korea, DPR (North)
76,000
25,405,000
0.3
8,363,100
76,000
Korea, Republic of (South)
79,000
50,705,000
0.2
2,688,020
115,000
Kosovo
436,000
1,831,000
23.8
9,500
21,000
Kuwait
685,000
4,100,000
16.7
82,580
11,000
Kyrgyzstan
171,000
6,125,000
2.8
145,010
18,000
Lao, People's Democratic Republic
215,000
7,038,000
3.0
224,690
21,000
Latvia
205,000
1,945,000
10.5
27,936
17,000
Lebanon
1,927,000
6,039,000
31.9
130,150
41,000
Lesotho
105,000
2,185,000
4.8
2,400
5,000
Liberia
97,000
4,730,000
2.1
2,520
5,000
Libya
851,000
6,409,000
13.3
-
-
Liechtenstein
11,000
38,000
28.8
-
200
Lithuania
385,000
2,831,000
13.6
81,240
17,000
Luxembourg
110,000
584,000
18.9
2,340
5,000
Macedonia, Former Yugoslav Republic of
621,000
2,083,000
29.8
29,530
21,000
Madagascar
168,000
25,613,000
0.7
25,320
20,000
Malawi
47,000
18,299,000
0.3
24,480
8,400
Malaysia
217,000
31,164,000
0.7
428,170
102,000
Maldives
23,000
376,000
6.2
9,500
3,000
Mali
206,000
18,690,000
1.1
15,800
3,000
Malta
119,000
421,000
28.3
5,547
1,637
Marshall Islands
300
53,000
0.5
-
80
Martinique
34,000
396,000
8.5
-
1,000
Mauritania
120,000
4,266,000
2.8
22,820
10,000
Mauritius
106,000
1,281,000
8.3
4,845
11,000
Mexico
16,809,000
130,223,000
12.9
895,285
591,000
Micronesia, Fed. Sts.
700
106,000
0.7
-
200
Moldova, Republic of
121,000
4,055,000
3.0
98,600
21,000
Monaco
7,000
38,000
19.6
-
1,000
Mongolia
242,000
3,052,000
7.9
323,400
7,000
Montenegro
245,000
626,000
39.1
5,396
8,000
Montserrat
300
5,000
5.4
-
90
Morocco
1,690,000
35,241,000
4.8
588,020
91,000
Mozambique
1,337,000
29,538,000
4.5
60,000
24,000
Myanmar
877,000
54,836,000
1.6
788,900
76,000
Namibia
396,000
2,569,000
15.4
11,880
15,000
Nauru
0
10,000
0.0
-
60
Nepal
444,000
29,187,000
1.5
183,540
62,000
Netherlands
442,000
17,033,000
2.6
108,676
96,000
New Caledonia
115,000
270,000
42.5
-
700
New Zealand
1,212,000
4,605,000
26.3
38,280
13,000
Nicaragua
323,000
6,218,000
5.2
261,800
8,590
Niger
117,000
21,564,000
0.5
11,110
10,000
Nigeria
6,154,000
191,836,000
3.2
224,200
362,400
Northern Ireland
206,000
1,873,000
11.0
-
13,000
Northern Mariana Islands
1,000
56,000
2.6
-
80
Norway
1,537,000
5,331,000
28.8
188,646
13,000
Oman
792,000
4,741,000
16.7
118,360
31,000
Pakistan
43,917,000
196,744,000
22.3
2,315,480
944,000
Palau
100
22,000
0.5
-
30
Palestinian Territories
56,000
4,952,000
1.1
44,410
33,000
Panama
436,000
4,051,000
10.8
-
30,000
Papua New Guinea
79,000
7,934,000
1.0
7,200
4,800
Paraguay
1,140,000
6,812,000
16.7
235,780
21,000
Peru
633,000
32,166,000
2.0
473,400
142,000
Philippines
3,776,000
103,797,000
3.6
454,700
139,043
Poland
968,000
38,564,000
2.5
307,200
188,000
Portugal
2,186,000
10,265,000
21.3
333,640
89,000
Puerto Rico
422,000
3,679,000
11.5
-
26,000
Puntland
246,000
1,995,000
12.3
3,600
8,000
Qatar
390,000
2,338,000
16.7
30,680
5,000
Réunion
171,000
873,000
19.6
-
2,000
Romania
506,000
19,238,000
2.6
240,180
251,000
Russian Federation
17,620,000
143,375,000
12.3
30,272,900
2,432,000
Rwanda
66,000
12,160,000
0.5
66,500
14,000
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2,000
57,000
3.4
-
600
Saint Lucia
6,000
188,000
3.4
-
1,000
Saint Martin (France)
3,000
32,000
8.5
-
100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4,000
110,000
3.4
-
1,000
Samoa
20,000
196,000
10.1
-
400
San Marino
5,000
32,000
14.4
-
300
São Tomé and Principe
7,000
198,000
3.4
570
100
Saudi Arabia
5,468,000
32,743,000
16.7
481,350
214,000
Scotland
305,000
5,436,000
5.6
-
2,000
Senegal
323,000
16,054,000
2.0
16,320
6,000
Serbia
2,719,000
6,946,000
39.1
384,422
53,100
Seychelles
4,000
98,000
4.1
798
200
Sierra Leone
35,000
6,733,000
0.5
10,200
12,000
Singapore
20,000
5,785,000
0.3
574,140
9,000
Sint Maarten (Netherlands)
2,000
40,000
4.2
-
300
Slovakia
355,000
5,432,000
6.5
33,150
43,000
Slovenia
324,000
2,071,000
15.6
131,686
13,000
Solomon Islands
1,000
606,000
0.2
-
70
Somalia
1,145,000
9,225,000
12.4
37,620
8,000
Somaliland
456,000
3,823,000
11.9
23,750
4,000
South Africa
5,351,000
55,436,000
9.7
350,636
250,481
South Sudan
1,255,000
13,096,000
9.6
351,500
42,000
Spain
3,464,000
46,070,000
7.5
333,660
264,196
Sri Lanka
494,000
20,905,000
2.4
509,700
134,000
Sudan
2,768,000
42,166,000
6.6
590,170
129,000
Suriname
88,000
552,000
15.9
5,985
2,000
Swaziland
64,000
1,320,000
4.8
5,700
4,000
Sweden
2,296,000
9,921,000
23.1
139,180
38,000
Switzerland
2,332,000
8,454,000
27.6
324,484
34,000
Syrian Arab Republic
1,547,000
18,907,000
8.2
655,500
124,000
Taiwan (Republic of China)
10,000
23,405,000
0.0
2,022,150
76,000
Tajikistan
37,000
8,858,000
0.4
56,490
9,000
Tanzania, United Republic of Africa
427,000
56,878,000
0.8
190,050
37,000
Thailand
10,342,000
68,298,000
15.1
1,052,815
230,000
Timor-Leste (East Timor)
3,000
1,237,000
0.3
2,527
4,000
Togo
58,000
7,692,000
0.8
12,850
5,000
Tonga
9,000
108,000
8.0
-
200
Trinidad and Tobago
43,000
1,369,000
3.2
7,695
9,000
Tunisia
123,000
11,495,000
1.1
68,020
73,000
Turkey
13,249,000
80,418,000
16.5
1,390,180
620,000
Turkmenistan
23,000
5,503,000
0.4
184,700
27,000
Turks and Caicos Islands
1,000
35,000
3.3
-
100
Tuvalu
100
10,000
1.2
-
26
Uganda
331,000
41,653,000
0.8
116,660
54,000
Ukraine
4,396,000
44,405,000
9.9
6,600,000
289,000
United Arab Emirates
1,569,000
9,398,000
16.7
163,800
41,000
United Kingdom Combined civilian, military and law enforcement numbers for (England and Wales), (Northern Ireland) & (Scotland).
3,242,000
66,186,000
4.9
539,680
43,000
United States of America
393,347,000
326,474,000
120.5
4,535,380
1,016,000
Uruguay
1,198,000
3,457,000
34.7
62,130
30,000
Uzbekistan
127,000
30,691,000
0.4
268,400
150,000
Vanuatu
11,000
276,000
3.9
-
350
Venezuela
5,895,000
31,926,000
18.5
353,300
173,000
Vietnam
1,562,000
95,415,000
1.6
3,829,200
285,000
Virgin Islands (U.K.)
300
31,000
0.8
-
500
Virgin Islands (U.S.)
18,000
107,000
16.6
-
300
Yemen
14,859,000
28,120,000
52.8
28,500
-
Zambia
158,000
17,238,000
0.9
41,040
16,000
Zimbabwe
455,000
16,338,000
2.8
91,580
23,000
American gun ownership
American civilians own over 393 million guns. "Americans made up 4 percent of the world's population but owned about 46 percent of the entire global stock of 857 million civilian firearms."[18] That is three times as many guns as the combined stockpile of the world's armed forces.[19] American civilians own more guns "than those held by civilians in the other top 25 countries combined."[20]
Reception
The Small Arms Survey's reports are widely used and considered to be accurate, though all of the figures involve "some degree of estimation", and estimates for certain countries are highly uncertain.[21][22]
In response to a report about the number of firearms in Finland, the Finnish Ministry of the Interior issued a statement saying that the number was inflated and completely wrong.[23][24]
Publications
The project's flagship publication is the Small Arms Survey, an annual review of global small arms issues such as production, stockpiles, brokering, legal and illicit arms transfers, the effects of small arms, and national, bilateral, and multilateral measures to deal with the problems associated with small arms.[25] Published by Cambridge University Press, it is recognized as the principal international source of impartial and reliable information on all aspects of small arms. It is widely used by policy-makers, government officials and non-governmental organizations.[26]
The Small Arms Survey 2007, titled Guns in the City.[27]
The Small Arms Survey 2009, titled Shadows of War.[28]
The Small Arms Survey 2010, titled Gangs, Groups, and Guns.[29]
The Small Arms Survey 2011, titled States of Security.[30]
The Small Arms Survey 2012, titled Moving Targets[31]
The Small Arms Survey 2013, titled Everyday Dangers[32]
The Small Arms Survey 2014, titled Women and Guns.[33]
The Small Arms Survey 2015, titled Weapons and the World.[34]
The Small Arms Survey 2018, titled Small Arms Survey reveals: More than one billion firearms in the world.[11]
The Small Arms Survey 2018, titled Estimating Global Civilian Held Firearms Numbers.[35][15]
The Small Arms Survey 2018, titled Estimating Global Military Owned Firearms Numbers.[36][16]
The Small Arms Survey 2018, titled Estimating Global Law Enforcement Firearms Numbers.[37][17]
In addition to its annual yearbook, the Small Arms Survey publishes a wide range of periodical research findings. These include a Book Series, Occasional Papers, Special Reports, Working Papers, and short Issue Briefs and Research Notes.[34] These publications present substantial research findings on data, methodological, and conceptual issues related to small arms or detailed country and regional case studies. Most of these are published in hard copy and are also accessible on the project's web site.[2]