With an observation arc of about 1 hour,[a] the trajectory is poorly constrained and the asteroid has an uncertainty parameter of 9 making long-term predictions of the asteroids position nearly impossible. The nominal (best fit) orbit shows that 2014 LY21 passed 0.00013 AU (19,000 km; 12,000 mi)[2] from Earth on 3 June 2014 (~12,700 km from Earth's surface).[5][b] But the uncertainty region shows that the asteroid could have approached Earth as close as 0.00006 AU (9,000 km; 5,600 mi) or as far as 0.0005 AU (75,000 km; 46,000 mi).[2] Since Earth has a radius of approximately 6,400 km, the asteroid did not come any closer than about 2,600 km from Earth's surface.
Moon
The nominal orbit shows that 2014 LY21 passed 0.001 AU (150,000 km; 93,000 mi) from the Moon on 4 June 2014.[2] But the uncertainty region shows that the asteroid could have impacted the Moon or passed as far as 0.007 AU (1,000,000 km; 650,000 mi).[2] But it is very unlikely that the asteroid impacted the Moon.