2007 Navarrese regional election

2007 Navarrese regional election
← 2003 27 May 2007 2011 →
All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered471,653 Green arrow up1.5%
Turnout348,039 (73.8%)
Green arrow up3.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Miguel Sanz Patxi Zabaleta Fernando Puras
Party UPN NaBai PSN–PSOE
Leader since 17 January 1995 16 September 2006 30 September 2006
Last election 23 seats, 41.5% 8 seats, 17.8%[a] 11 seats, 22.5%
Seats won 22 12 12
Seat change Red arrow down1 Green arrow up4 Green arrow up1
Popular vote 139,132 77,872 74,158
Percentage 42.2% 23.6% 22.5%
Swing Green arrow up0.7 pp Green arrow up5.8 pp Green arrow up1.3 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Juan Cruz Alli Jon Erro
Party CDN IUN/NEB
Leader since 10 April 1995 February 2004
Last election 4 seats, 7.7% 4 seats, 8.8%
Seats won 2 2
Seat change Red arrow down2 Red arrow down2
Popular vote 14,412 14,337
Percentage 4.4% 4.3%
Swing Red arrow down3.3 pp Red arrow down4.5 pp
President before election

Miguel Sanz
UPN

Elected President

Miguel Sanz
UPN

The 2007 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election saw the ruling coalition formed by the Navarrese People's Union (UPN) and Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) losing the absolute majority it had enjoyed in the previous legislature, with the newly-formed Navarre Yes (NaBai) alliance—formed by Aralar, Basque Solidarity (EA), the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) and Assembly (Batzarre)—emerging as the second political force in the region, with the Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) coming in a close third place with its best result since 1991. Negotiations for a coalition government between NaBai, PSN–PSOE and United Left (IUN) ensued, with PSN's candidate Fernando Puras being expected to head the cabinet, but the talks were thwarted by decision from the PSOE's national leadership. As a result, Miguel Sanz was able to be re-elected as president of Navarre for a fourth term thanks to the PSN not opposing his investiture.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.[2]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Parliament being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1][2][3]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a thirty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Navarre was officially dissolved on 3 April 2007, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of Navarre.[4] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.

Parliamentary composition in April 2007[5]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group UPN 23 23
Socialists of the Parliament of Navarre
Parliamentary Group 		PSN–PSOE 11 11
United Left of Navarre Parliamentary Group IU 4 4
Aralar Parliamentary Group Aralar 4 4
Convergence of Democrats of Navarre
Parliamentary Group 		CDN 4 4
Basque Solidarity Parliamentary Group EA 3 3
Mixed Group EAJ/PNV 1 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
UPN
List
 Miguel Sanz Conservatism
Christian democracy
Regionalism 		41.48% 23 checkY
PSN–PSOE
List
 Fernando Puras Social democracy 21.15% 11 ☒N
NaBai
List
 Patxi Zabaleta Basque nationalism
Progressivism 		17.82%[a] 8 ☒N
IUN/NEB
List
 Jon Erro Socialism
Communism 		8.77% 4 ☒N
CDN
List
 Juan Cruz Alli Christian democracy
Regionalism 		7.65% 4 checkY

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre.

Results

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of Navarre election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Navarrese People's Union (UPN) 139,132 42.19 +0.71 22 –1
Navarre Yes (NaBai)1 77,872 23.62 +5.80 12 +4
Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) 74,158 22.49 +1.34 12 +1
Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) 14,412 4.37 –3.28 2 –2
United Left of Navarre (IUN/NEB) 14,337 4.35 –4.43 2 –2
Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN/NOK) 4,705 1.43 New 0 ±0
Carlist Party (EKA) 541 0.16 –0.17 0 ±0
Blank ballots 4,581 1.39 –0.99
Total 329,738 50 ±0
Valid votes 329,738 94.74 +1.22
Invalid votes 18,301 5.26 –1.22
Votes cast / turnout 348,039 73.79 +3.09
Abstentions 123,614 26.21 –3.09
Registered voters 471,653
Sources[6][7][8]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
UPN
 
 42.19%
NaBai
 
 23.62%
PSN–PSOE
 
 22.49%
CDN
 
 4.37%
IUN/NEB
 
 4.35%
RCN/NOK
 
 1.43%
EKA
 
 0.16%
Blank ballots
 
 1.39%
Seats
UPN
 
 44.00%
NaBai
 
 24.00%
PSN–PSOE
 
 24.00%
CDN
 
 4.00%
IUN/NEB
 
 4.00%

Aftermath

Further information: Fourth government of Miguel Sanz

Investiture processes to elect the president of the Government of Navarre required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If such majorities were not achieved, successive candidate proposals would be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a thirty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Investiture
Miguel Sanz (UPN)
Ballot → 10 August 2007[d] 11 August 2007[d]
Required majority → 26 out of 50 ☒N Simple checkY
Yes
24 / 50
24 / 50
No
25 / 50
14 / 50
Abstentions
  • • PSN (1) (on 12 Aug)
0 / 50
1 / 50
Absentees
0 / 50
0 / 50
Sources[8]

Notes

  1. ^ a b Results for Aralar (7.83%, 4 seats), EA–PNV (7.43%, 4 seats) and Batzarre (2.56%, 0 seats) in the 2003 election.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn Within NaBai.
  3. ^ a b c Within EA.
  4. ^ a b 1 PSN MP cast an invalid ballot in the 10 August vote; 11 PSN MPs cast blank ballots on 12 August.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno". Expansión (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. ^ "Sondeo de EiTB". Auzolan (in Spanish). 27 May 2007. Archived from the original on 27 September 2007.
  3. ^ a b c d e f ""Elecciones 2007: Análisis en caliente"" (PDF). Auzolan (in Spanish). 11 June 2007.
  4. ^ "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  5. ^ "UPN se tambalea en Navarra por el ascenso de PSN y Nafarroa Bai". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. ^ "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  7. ^ "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  8. ^ "UPN-CDN tienen difícil repetir la mayoría y hay casi un empate técnico con la oposición". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 19 May 2007. Archived from the original on 27 September 2007.
  9. ^ "Sondeos electorales CIES" (PDF). CIES (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
  10. ^ "El PP navarro, UPN, perderá la mayoría absoluta". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  11. ^ a b c "Informe Navarra. Mayo 2007". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 May 2007. Archived from the original on 26 May 2007.
  12. ^ "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  13. ^ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  14. ^ ""Sigma-dos" otorga hasta 24 escaños a UPN y "Opina" los reduce a 21". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 13 May 2007. Archived from the original on 27 September 2007.
  15. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad Foral de Navarra (Estudio nº 2698. Abril-Mayo 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  16. ^ "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  17. ^ "UPN y CDN perderían la mayoría absoluta en Navarra por un solo escaño". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 8 May 2007.
  18. ^ "UPN y CDN perderían la mayoría absoluta en el Gobierno navarro". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  19. ^ "Primera encuesta electora: mayoría absoluta UPN-CDN". Navarra Confidencial (in Spanish). 23 March 2007.
  20. ^ "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  21. ^ "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  22. ^ "UPN y CDN pierden la mayoría absoluta (24) y el PSN continúa en su suelo electoral (11)". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 12 November 2006. Archived from the original on 2 April 2015.
  23. ^ "Estudio sobre la actualidad de Navarra 2006" (PDF). CIES (in Spanish). 12 June 2006.
  24. ^ "UPN y CDN perderían la mayoría si hoy hubiera elecciones forales". Foro Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 9 October 2005. Archived from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 28 February 2015.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra (Organic Law 13) (in Spanish). 10 August 1982. Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  2. ^ a b c Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Law 16) (in Spanish). 17 December 1986. Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  3. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  4. ^ "Decreto Foral 4/2007, de 2 de abril, del Presidente del Gobierno de Navarra, por el que se convocan elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (80): 14497. 3 April 2007. ISSN 0212-033X.
  5. ^ "Memoir 2006–2007" (PDF). www.parlamentodenavarra.es (in Spanish). Parliament of Navarre. Retrieved 23 July 2020.
  6. ^ "VII Legislature (2007-2011)". parlamentodenavarra.es (in Spanish). Parliament of Navarre. Retrieved 29 September 2017.
  7. ^ "Parliament of Navarre election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Navarre. 1 August 2007. Retrieved 29 September 2017.
  8. ^ a b "Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (1979 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 September 2017.