On November 29, 1978, a moment magnitude 7.7–7.8 earthquake struck off the coast of the southern Mexican state Oaxaca.[1] The thrust-faulting event caused severe damage in Oaxaca and Mexico City.
The earthquake ruptured an area of 5,525 km3 along with the boundary interface of the Cocos and North American plates.[2] That particular segment has not produced any large earthquakes since 1928 and 1931 and thus considered a seismic gap. A major earthquake of magnitude 7.5 ± 2.5 was forecasted at that area in 1973.[3] The earthquake ruptured about 80 percent of the segment designated a seismic gap and produced slip of 1.48 m (4 ft 10 in).[4]
This earthquake is well known as one out of the two earthquakes that forecasted in advance in the West. The other was the 5.9 magnitude 1975 Oroville earthquake in California, both due to irregular seismic activities in the area before the main shock.[5]
Impact
Nine people were killed, eight of those were from Mexico City and one death occurred in Oaxaca. A few buildings in Mexico City had minor damage; this was contrary to the numerous newspaper reports that many buildings had collapsed. Eyewitness reported many buildings swaying during the earthquake. Two buildings; the Treasury Building and another owned by the Bank of Mexico suffered considerable damage to their exterior.[6] A further 100 people were injured. Falling glass and collapsing walls injured 50 people. Electricity services were cut in some areas causing major traffic jams.[7] Damage inspections by professionals led many buildings in Mexico City to close.[8]
^Gordon S. Stewart Eric P. Chael Karen C. McNally (10 June 1981). "The November 29, 1978, Oaxaca, Mexico, earthquake: A large simple event". Journal of Geophysical Research. 86 – via AGU.
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