Udunuwara Polling Division

Udunuwara
Polling Division
Location of Udunuwara
Coordinates: 7°13′08″N 80°33′28″E / 7.218960°N 80.557775°E / 7.218960; 80.557775
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total
68.0 km2 (26.3 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
110,905
 • Density1,631/km2 (4,220/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04K

The Udunuwara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Udunuwara has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Udunuwara is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Udunuwara Kandy Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF SLPP 2.85% SLPP 4.90%
2015 NDF NDF 4.08% NDF 7.35%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.23% UPFA 6.88%
2005 UNP UNP 2.52% UPFA 8.40%
1999 PA PA 2.21% PA 3.68%
1994 PA PA 0.47% PA 5.12%
1988 UNP UNP 5.60% UNP 8.40%
1982 UNP UNP 3.94% UNP 8.37%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 3.11% 8/8 6.64%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 33,131 47.60% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 33,003 47.41% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NMPP 1,913 2.75% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,560 2.24% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 69,607 99.20% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 563 0.80% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 70,170 84.70% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 82,842 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 38,018 58.71% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 25,984 40.13% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 752 1.16% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 64,754 98.84% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 763 1.16% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 65,517 79.61% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 82,298 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,235 50.88% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,123 47.21% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,096 1.91% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 57,454 98.91% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 631 1.09% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 58,085 75.62% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 76,812 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,979 56.90% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 22,733 41.75% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 733 1.35% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 54,445 98.68% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 726 1.32% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 55,171 76.80% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 71,840 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,192 47.86% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,920 47.27% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,199 2.59% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,061 2.29% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 46,372 97.47% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,204 2.53% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 47,576 76.13% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 62,497 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,199 57.07% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,442 41.14% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 758 1.79% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 42,399 97.82% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 945 2.18% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 43,344 76.48% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,671 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,582 60.70% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 10,420 38.14% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 315 1.15% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 27,317 98.03% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 550 1.97% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 27,867 55.49% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 50,223 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Udunuwara[11] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,440 64.02% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,100 33.05% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 852 2.33% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 224 0.61% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 36,616 99.33% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 246 0.67% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 36,862 85.28% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,223 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Udunuwara has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Udunuwara is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Udunuwara Kandy Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 3.97% UNP 9.70%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.06% UPFA 2.30%
2004 UNP UNP 1.88% UPFA 4.50%
2001 UNP UNP 5.48% UNP 7.70%
2000 PA PA 2.83% PA 2.26%
1994 PA UNP 2.99% PA 2.38%
1989 UNP UNP 5.25% UNP 8.05%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 3.35% 7/7 5.27%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,580 59.99% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 20,808 35.08% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,307 3.89% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 618 1.04% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 59,313 96.10% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,365 3.83% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 61,722 75.00% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 82,298 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,154 59.69% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,590 35.58% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,949 4.45% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 120 0.27% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 43,813 91.50% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,043 8.44% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 47,882 62.34% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 76,812 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,413 47.63% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 21,739 44.23% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 3,678 7.48% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 325 0.66% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 49,155 94.25% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,999 5.75% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 52,154 74.67% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 69,844 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,101 58.86% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 15,990 33.49% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,859 5.99% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 793 1.66% 10,496 1.76% 129,347 1.44%
Valid Votes 47,743 93.96% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,068 6.04% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 50,811 77.15% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 65,863 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,988 41.93% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 19,591 41.10% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
NUA 4,990 10.47% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
JVP 1,698 3.56% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
SU 731 1.53% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 674 1.41% 14,436 2.39% 161,809 1.88%
Valid Votes 47,672 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,635 49.23% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,586 49.12% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 725 1.65% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 43,946 95.15% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,238 4.85% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 46,184 81.49% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,671 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Udunuwara[20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 9,012 59.27% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 3,352 22.05% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 2,682 17.64% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 158 1.04% 6,462 1.95% 209,706 3.75%
Valid Votes 15,204 93.55% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,048 6.45% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 16,252 33.22% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 48,915 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Udunuwara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (72.7%) and a significant Moor population (24.4%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Udunuwara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Udunuwara[1]

  Sinhalese (72.7%)
  Moor (24.4%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.9%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Udunuwara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (72.0%) and a significant Muslim population (24.5%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Udunuwara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Udunuwara[1]

  Buddhist (72.0%)
  Muslim (24.5%)
  Hindu (2.3%)
  Other (1.2%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Udunuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Udunuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Udunuwara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Udunuwara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.