Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election polling
218
183
130
13
(270 electoral votes needed to win)
* 2 of Maine's congressional electoral votes and 2 of Nebraska's congressional electoral votes have not been polled.
Light shading indicates old polling data.
Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election , which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama , are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.
Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney
Sample size key:
LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.
Poll source key
(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008 ) 60%–38%
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 61%–35% (Republican in 2008 ) 59%–37%
No polls conducted
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 1]
November 2–3, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
53%
7
1080 LV
±3.0%
YouGov [ 2]
October 31–November 3, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
52%
8
702 LV
±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 3]
October 21, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
52%
8
500 LV
±4.5%
YouGov [ 4]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
52%
9
469 LV
±5.4%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[ 5]
October 4–10, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
42%
2
523 LV
±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [ 6]
October 1–3, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
53%
9
595 LV
±4.0%
Moore Information /HighGround (R) [ 7]
September 25–26, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
46%
4
500 LV
±4%
Rasmussen Reports [ 8]
September 25, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
52%
10
500 LV
±4.5%
Purple Strategies [ 9]
September 15–19, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
48%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 10]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
41%
Romney
51%
10
628 LV
Not reported
Public Policy Polling [ 11]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
53%
9
993
±3.1%
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008 ) 59%–39%
55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–37%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 14]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
40%
15
1,575 LV
Not reported
Field Research [ 15]
October 17–30, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
39%
15
1,566 LV
±2.6%
CBRT /Pepperdine University /M4 Strategies [ 16]
October 21–28, 2012
Obama
55.9%
Romney
33%
22.9
2,115 LV
±3%
USC Dornsife /Los Angeles Times /Greenberg Quinlan Rosner /American Viewpoint [ 17]
October 15–21, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
38%
17
1,400 LV
Not reported
Public Policy Institute of California [ 18]
October 14–21, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
41%
12
993 LV
±4.0%
Reason-Rupe Public Opinion /Princeton Survey Research Associates International [ 19]
October 11–15, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
38%
15
508 LV
±5.1%
YouGov [ 20]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
58%
Romney
39%
19
1169 LV
±3.5%
CBRT /Pepperdine University /M4 Strategies [ 21]
October 7–10, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
32.9%
21.1
830 LV
±3.4%
SurveyUSA [ 22]
October 7–9, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
39%
14
539 LV
±4.3%
Field Research Corporation /UC Berkeley (Field Poll) [ 23]
September 5 – 17, 2012
Obama
58%
Romney
34%
24
848 LV
±3.4%
Public Policy Institute of California [ 24]
September 9 – 16, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
39%
14
995 LV
±4.4%
YouGov [ 25]
September 7 – 14, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
39%
17
1,361 LV
Not reported
CBRT /Pepperdine University /M4 Strategies [ 26]
September 9–12, 2012
Obama
55.4%
Romney
33.4%
22
802 LV
±3.5%
SurveyUSA [ 27]
September 9–11, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
35%
22
524 LV
±4.3%
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–45%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Reuters /Ipsos [ 28]
November 3–5, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
774 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 29]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
1,096 LV
±3%
Keating Research /OnSight Public Affairs [ 30]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
603 LV
±4%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 31]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
676 LV
±4.3%
USAction /Lake Research Partners (D) [ 32]
October 31–November 4, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
44%
1
400 LV
±5%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 33]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
47%
2
973 LV
±3.6%
YouGov [ 34]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
752 LV
±4.1%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 35]
October 31 – November 2, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
46%
Tied
1,052 LV
±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 36]
October 31 – November 1, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
825 LV
Not reported
Reuters /Ipsos [ 37]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
47%
1
694 LV
±4.2%
Denver Post /SurveyUSA [ 38]
October 28–31, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
695 LV
±3.8%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 39]
October 26–31, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
764 LV
±3.5%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 40]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
46%
1
744 LV
±4.1%
We Ask America [ 41]
October 30, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
1,246 LV
±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 42]
October 29, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
50%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 43]
October 28–29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
American Research Group [ 44]
October 25–28, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 45]
October 23–25, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
904 LV
±3.3%
Purple Strategies [ 46]
October 23–25, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
Keating Research /OnSight Public Affairs [ 47]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
502 LV
±4.4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 48]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
1,128 LV
±2.9%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 49]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
43%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 50]
October 21, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
500 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 51]
October 16–18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
1000 LV
±3.1%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 52]
October 15–16, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
We Ask America [ 53]
October 15, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
1,206 LV
±2.9%
Gravis Marketing [ 54]
October 5–11, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
2,089 LV
±2.2%
Denver Post /SurveyUSA [ 55]
October 9–10, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
614 LV
±4.0%
New York Times /CBS News /Quinnipiac University [ 56]
October 4–9, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
1,254 LV
±3.0%
American Research Group [ 57]
October 5–8, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 58]
October 7, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
University Of Denver /Selzer & Co. [ 59]
October 4–5, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
43%
4
604 LV
±4.0%
American Conservative Union /McLaughlin & Associates (R) [ 60]
September 30 – October 2, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
300 LV
±5.7%
We Ask America [ 61]
September 25 – 27, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,273 LV
±2.8%
Public Policy Polling [ 62]
September 20–23, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
940 LV
±3.2%
Purple Strategies [ 63]
September 15 – 19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 64]
September 16–18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
971 LV
±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 65]
September 17, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
47%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
New York Times /CBS News /Quinnipiac University [ 66]
September 11–17, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,497 LV
±2.5%
American Research Group [ 67]
September 10–12, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
Project New America /Keating Research /Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) [ 68]
September 10–11, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
503 LV
±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [ 69]
August 31 – September 2, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,001 LV
±3.1%
Three way race
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–38%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 71]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
39%
15
895 LV
±3.6%
Public Policy Polling [ 72]
November 1 – 2, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
42%
13
1,220 LV
±2.8%
Quinnipiac University [ 73]
October 19–22, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
41%
14
1,412 LV
±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 74]
October 21, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
45%
7
500 LV
±4.5%
SurveyUSA [ 75]
October 19–21, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
40%
13
575 LV
±4.2%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 76]
October 15–16, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
44%
9
1,015 LV
±3.1%
University of Connecticut /Hartford Courant [ 77]
October 11–16, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
37%
14
574 LV
±4.0%
Siena College Research Institute [ 78]
October 4–14, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
38%
15
552 LV
±4.2%
YouGov [ 79]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
39%
14
434 LV
±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 80]
October 7, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
500 LV
±4.5%
Quinnipiac University [ 81]
September 28 – October 2, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
42%
12
1,696 LV
±2.4%
Public Policy Polling [ 82]
September 24 – 26, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
41%
13
801 LV
±3.5%
University of Connecticut /Hartford Courant [ 83]
September 11 – 16, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
32%
21
508 LV
±4.4%
YouGov [ 84]
September 7 – 14, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
40%
13
634 LV
Not reported
3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–37%
No polls conducted
District of Columbia
3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 89%–9% (Democratic in 2008 ) 92%–7%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 85]
October 12–14, 2012
Obama
88%
Romney
8%
80
1,222 LV
±2.8%
29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008 ) 51%–48%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Gravis Marketing [ 86]
November 4–5, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
1,060 LV
±3.1%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 87]
November 3–5, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
769 LV
±4%
Florida Times-Union /Insider Advantage [ 88]
November 4, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
52%
5
437 LV
±4.6%
Public Policy Polling [ 89]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
955 LV
±3.2%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 90]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
46%
Tied
743 LV
±4.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 91]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
525 LV
±4.3%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 92]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
946 LV
±3.6%
YouGov [ 93]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
1,621 LV
±3%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 94]
October 31 – November 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
985 LV
±3.6%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 95]
October 30 – November 2, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
800 LV
±3.4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 96]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
1,545 LV
±2.5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 97]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
51%
6
800 LV
±3.5%
We Ask America [ 98]
October 30, 2012
Obama
48.9%
Romney
49.8%
0.9
1,146 LV
±3%
Gravis Marketing [ 99]
October 30, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
50%
3
549 LV
±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 100]
October 29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
1,000 LV
±3%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 101]
October 28–29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
600 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 102]
October 26–28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
687 LV
±3.7%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 103]
October 25–28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
50%
1
770 LV
±3.5%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 104]
October 23–28, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,073 LV
±3%
WFLA-TV Tampa /SurveyUSA [ 105]
October 25–27, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
595 LV
±4.1%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 106]
October 24–27, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
800 LV
±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 107]
October 25, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
750 LV
±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [ 108]
October 24, 2012
Obama
48.8%
Romney
49.7%
0.9
1,182 LV
±2.8%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 109]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
Sunshine State News /Voter Survey Service [ 110]
October 22–24, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
51%
5
1,001 LV
±3.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
October 18–21, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
800 LV
±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 111]
October 18–20, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
51%
5
502 LV
±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 112]
October 18, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
51%
5
750 LV
±4.0%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 113]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
48%
3
1,130 LV
±3.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa /SurveyUSA [ 114]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
600 LV
±4.1%
WPTV News /Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers /Public Policy Polling [ 115]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
800 LV
±4%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 116]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 117]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
681 LV
±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [ 118]
October 13–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
617 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 119]
October 12–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
791 LV
±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 120]
October 11, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
51%
4
750 LV
±4.0%
American Research Group [ 121]
October 8–11, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
49%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 122]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,244 LV
±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 123]
October 8–10, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
51%
7
800 LV
±3.5%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 124]
October 7–9, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
988
±3.1%
University of North Florida [ 125]
October 1–9, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
653 LV
Not reported
We Ask America [ 126]
October 4, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
49%
3
1,200 LV
±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 127]
October 4, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 128]
September 30 – October 1, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
1,191 LV
±3.3%
Gravis Marketing [ 129]
September 29 – 30, 2012
Obama
49.03%
Romney
48.42%
0.61
914 LV
±3.4%
WSVN-TV Miami /Suffolk University [ 130]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
43%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
Southern Political Report /Florida Times-Union /InsiderAdvantage [ 131]
September 24, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
540 LV
±4.0%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 132]
September 18 – 24, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
44%
9
1,196 LV
±3.0%
Washington Post [ 133]
September 19–23, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
769 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 134]
September 20–23, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
861 LV
±3.3%
American Research Group [ 135]
September 20–22, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
600 LV
±4%
Miami Herald /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 136]
September 17–19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
800 LV
±3.5%
Purple Strategies [ 137]
September 15 – 19, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 138]
September 16–18, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
829 LV
±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 139]
September 15–16, 2012
Obama
47.1%
Romney
47.7%
0.6
1,728 LV
±2.5%
YouGov [ 140]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
1,415 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 141]
September 12, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
Secure America Now /Caddell Associates /Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [ 142]
September 8–12, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
48%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 143]
September 9–11, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
980 LV
±3.1%
Consensus Communications /OnSight Inc. (R) [ 144]
September 8–11, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
42%
Tied
606 LV
±4.0%
Associated Industries of Florida /McLaughlin & Associates (R) [ 145]
September 9–10, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
50%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa /SurveyUSA [ 146]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
44%
4
596 LV
±4.1%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 147]
September 2, 2012
Obama
46.7%
Romney
48%
1.3
1,288 LV
±2.7%
Public Policy Polling [ 148]
August 31 – September 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,548 LV
±2.5%
Three-way race
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Libertarian
%
Lead Margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
We Ask America [ 149]
September 18, 2012
Barack Obama
49.1%
Mitt Romney
45.5%
Gary Johnson
1.3%
3.6%
1,230 LV
±2.82%
16 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008 ) 52%–47%
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008 ) 72%–27%
4 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 68%–30% (Republican in 2008 ) 61%–36%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 158]
October 8–10, 2012
Obama
27%
Romney
63%
36
625 LV
±4%
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–37%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 159]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
38%
19
1,126 LV
±3.3%
We Ask America [ 160]
October 30, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
41%
16
1,198 LV
±2.95%
YouGov [ 161]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
58%
Romney
38%
20
850 LV
±3.9%
WGN-TV /Chicago Tribune [ 162]
October 4–8, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
36%
19
700 RV
±3.7%
YouGov [ 163]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
59%
Romney
36%
23
1,086 LV
Not reported
We Ask America [ 164]
September 5, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
37%
17
1,382 LV
±2.8%
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 60%–39% (Democratic in 2008 ) 50%–49%
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 173]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
1,122 LV
±2.9%
American Research Group [ 174]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
600 LV
±4%
YouGov [ 175]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,040 LV
±3.5%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 176]
November 1–2, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
Des Moines Register /Selzer & Co. [ 177]
October 30 – November 2, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
42%
5
800 LV
±3.5%
Gravis Marketing [ 178]
November 1, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
594 LV
±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
44%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
We Ask America [ 179]
October 30, 2012
Obama
48.8%
Romney
47.3%
1.5
1,174 LV
±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 180]
October 30, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
750 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 181]
October 29–30, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
676 LV
±3.8%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 182]
October 28–29, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
6
1,142 LV
±3%
University of Iowa [ 183]
October 18–27, 2012
Obama
44.4%
Romney
45.2%
0.8
320 LV
±5.6%
Gravis Marketing [ 184]
October 24, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
517 LV
±4.3%
Public Policy Polling [ 185]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
690 LV
±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 186]
October 21, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
500 LV
±4.5%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 187]
October 18–19, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
660 LV
±3.8%
Public Policy Polling [ 188]
October 17–19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
869 LV
±3.3%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 189]
October 15–17, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
1,137 LV
±2.9%
We Ask America [ 190]
October 15, 2012
Obama
48.7%
Romney
45.9%
2.8
1,499 LV
±2.6%
American Research Group [ 191]
October 11–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
600 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 192]
October 7, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
We Ask America [ 193]
September 25–27, 2012
Obama
47.5%
Romney
43.7%
3.8
1,064 LV
±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [ 194]
September 24–26, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
754 LV
±3.6%
American Research Group [ 195]
September 20 – 23, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
600 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 196]
September 19, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
47%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 197]
September 16–18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
42%
8
898 LV
±3.3%
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 62%–37% (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 60%–40% (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–41%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Survey USA [ 198]
September 11–13, 2012
Obama
39%
Romney
53%
14
606 LV
±4.1%
8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 57%–42% (Republican in 2008 ) 59%–40%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Magellan Strategies [ 199]
October 2 – 4, 2012
Obama
36.2%
Romney
58.8%
22.6
2,682 LV
±1.9%
Clarus Research Group [ 200]
September 5 – 7, 2012
Obama
37%
Romney
53%
16
602 LV
±4.0%
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008 ) 58%–40%
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 56%–43% (Democratic in 2008 ) 61%–38%
11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008 ) 62%–36%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
The Boston Herald /University of Massachusetts Lowell [ 212]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
37%
20
800 LV
±4.1%
YouGov [ 213]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
37%
20
811 LV
±3.6%
Public Policy Polling [ 214]
November 1 – 2, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
42%
15
1,089 LV
±3%
MassLive.com /Western New England University [ 215]
October 26 – November 1, 2012
Obama
58%
Romney
40%
18
535 LV
±4%
Suffolk University [ 216]
October 25 – 28, 2012
Obama
63%
Romney
31%
32
600 LV
±4.0%
Boston Globe /University of New Hampshire [ 217]
October 24 – 28, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
38%
14
583 LV
±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 218]
October 25, 2012
Obama
59%
Romney
40%
19
500 LV
±4.5%
WBUR /MassINC Polling Group [ 219]
October 21 – 22, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
36%
20
516 LV
±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting [ 220]
October 18 – 21, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
39%
16
761 LV
±3.48%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 221]
October 15 – 16, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
39%
18
709 LV
±3.7%
Public Policy Polling [ 222]
October 9 – 11, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
41%
14
1,051 LV
±3.0%
YouGov [ 223]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
36%
19
669 LV
±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 224]
October 10, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
42%
15
500 LV
±4.5%
University of Massachusetts Amherst /YouGov [ 225]
October 2 – 8, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
34%
21
437 LV
±5.4%
WBUR /MassINC Polling Group [ 226]
October 5 – 7, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
36%
16
501 LV
±4.4%
Western New England University [ 227]
September 28 – October 4, 2012
Obama
63%
Romney
33%
30
516 RV
±4.3%
WBUR /MassINC Polling Group [ 228]
September 26 – 28, 2012
Obama
60%
Romney
32%
28
504 LV
±4.4%
Mass Insight Global Partnerships /Opinion Dynamics Corporation [ 229]
September 25–30, 2012
Obama
60%
Romney
34%
26
405 RV
±4.6%
Boston Globe /University of New Hampshire [ 230]
September 21 – 27, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
30%
27
502 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 231]
September 24, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
40%
15
500 LV
±4.5%
The Boston Herald /University of Massachusetts Lowell [ 232]
September 13 – 17, 2012
Obama
60%
Romney
36%
24
497 LV
±5.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 233]
September 13 – 16, 2012
Obama
57%
Romney
39%
18
876 LV
±3.3%
Suffolk University [ 234]
September 13 – 16, 2012
Obama
64%
Romney
31%
33
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 235]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
39%
16
825 LV
Not reported
MassLive.com /Western New England University [ 236]
September 6 – 13, 2012
Obama
60%
Romney
38%
22
444 LV
±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting [ 237]
September 7 – 9, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
40%
16
756 LV
±3.5%
16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–41%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Mitchell Research & Communications [ 238]
November 4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
1,305 LV
±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 239]
November 1 – 3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
47%
5
502 LV
±4.4%
Public Policy Polling [ 240]
November 1 – 3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
700 LV
±3.7%
YouGov [ 241]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
1,091 LV
±3.3%
Fox 2 News Detroit /Foster McCollum White & Associates /Baydoun Consulting [ 242]
November 2, 2012
Obama
46.24%
Romney
46.86%
0.62
1,913 LV
±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports [ 243]
November 1, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
47%
5
750 LV
±4%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 244]
October 31 – November 1, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
41%
7
500 LV
±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 245]
October 31 – November 1, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
500 LV
±4.4%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 246]
October 30–31, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
45%
8
500 LV
±4.4%
Detroit News /Glengariff Group [ 247]
October 27–29, 2012
Obama
47.7%
Romney
45%
2.7
600 LV
±4%
EPIC-MRA [ 248]
October 26–29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
42%
6
600 LV
±4%
Fox 2 News Detroit /Foster McCollum White & Associates /Baydoun Consulting [ 249]
October 22–23, 2012
Obama
46.92%
Romney
46.56%
0.36
1,122 LV
±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 250]
October 18–20, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
551 LV
±4.2%
EPIC-MRA [ 251]
October 17, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
800 LV
±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 252]
October 11, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
45%
7
500 LV
±4.5%
YouGov [ 253]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
42%
10
895 LV
±3.9%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates /Denno Research [ 254]
October 9–10, 2012
Obama
44.2%
Romney
40.5%
3.7
600 LV
±4.0%
Detroit News /Glengariff Group [ 255]
October 6 – 8, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
42%
7
600 LV
±4.0%
Capitol CorrespondentGravis Marketing [ 256]
October 5 – 8, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
44%
2
1,122 LV
±3.2%
EPIC-MRA [ 257]
October 4 – 6, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
Fox 2 News Detroit /Foster McCollum White /Baydoun Consulting [ 258]
October 5, 2012
Obama
49.3%
Romney
45.85%
3.45
1,122 LV
±2.93%
We Ask America [ 259]
September 25 – 27, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
39.9%
12.1
1,064 LV
±3.1%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 260]
September 21 – 22, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46.2%
3.8
804 LV
±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 261]
September 20, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
42%
12
500 LV
±4.5%
National Resource Defense Council /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 262]
September 17–19, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
42%
9
1021 LV
±3.1%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 263]
September 14–18, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
44%
8
754 LV
±3.5%
Detroit News /Glengariff Group [ 264]
September 15–17, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
38%
14
600 LV
±4%
Marketing Resource Group [ 265]
September 10–14, 2012
Obama
47.5%
Romney
42.3%
5.2
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
42%
9
1114 LV
Not reported
Foster McCollum White /Baydoun & Associates [ 266]
September 12, 2012
Obama
45.49%
Romney
43.65%
1.84
1,156 LV
±2.88%
EPIC-MRA [ 267]
September 8–11, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
37%
10
600 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 268]
August 31 – September 2, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
815 LV
±3.4%
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 269]
November 2–3, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
45%
8
1,164 LV
±2.9%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis /SurveyUSA [ 270]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
41%
11
556 LV
±4.2%
YouGov [ 271]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
790 LV
±3.8%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 272]
October 31 – November 1, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
44%
9
772 LV
Not reported
American Future Fund /NMB Research (R) [ 273]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
46%
1
500 LV
±4.38%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis /Survey USA [ 274]
October 26–28, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
574 LV
±4.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 275]
October 23–25, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
800 LV
±3.5%
St. Cloud State University [ 276]
October 15–21, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
45%
8
601 LV
±5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 277]
October 21, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
500 LV
±4.5%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis /SurveyUSA [ 278]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
40%
10
550 LV
±4.3%
YouGov [ 279]
October 4 – 11, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
44%
8
683 LV
±4.2%
American Future Fund /NMB Research (R) [ 280]
October 7 – 8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
43%
4
500 LV
±4.38%
Public Policy Polling [ 281]
October 5–8, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
43%
10
937 LV
±3.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 282]
September 10–11, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
824 LV
±3.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis /SurveyUSA [ 283]
September 6–9, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
40%
10
551 LV
±4.3%
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 59%–40% (Republican in 2008 ) 56%–43%
10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008 ) 49%–49%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 284]
November 2–3, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
53%
8
835 LV
±3.4%
YouGov [ 285]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
53%
11
779 LV
±3.8%
KSDK-TV St. Louis /KSHB-TV Kansas City /KSPR-TV Springfield /KYTV-TV Springfield /Survey USA [ 286]
October 28 – November 3, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
50%
7
589 LV
±4.1%
We Ask America [ 287]
October 30, 2012
Obama
42.2%
Romney
53.8%
11.6
1,217 LV
±2.9%
Saint Louis Post-Dispatch /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 288]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
41%
Romney
54%
13
624 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 289]
October 19 – 21, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
52%
6
582 LV
±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 290]
October 12 – 13, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
54%
11
500 LV
±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies [ 291]
October 12 – 13, 2012
Obama
41.1%
Romney
54.9%
13.8
1,000 LV
±3.07%
Public Policy Polling [ 292]
October 1 – 3, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
51%
6
700 LV
±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 293]
October 2, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
49%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
We Ask America [ 294]
September 25 – 27, 2012
Obama
44.5%
Romney
47.7%
3.2
1,145 LV
±2.9%
Missouri Scout /Chilenski Strategies [ 295]
September 20, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
50%
6
817 LV
±3.4%
YouGov [ 296]
September 7 – 14, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
50%
7
734 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 297]
September 11, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
48%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008 ) 49%–47%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 298]
November 2–3, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
52%
7
836 LV
±3.4%
Billings Gazette /Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 299]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
53%
10
625 LV
±4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 300]
October 29, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
53%
10
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 301]
October 15 – 16, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
53%
10
806 LV
±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 302]
October 14, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
53%
8
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 303]
October 8 – 10, 2012
Obama
41%
Romney
52%
11
737 LV
±3.6%
Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology /Mellman Group (D) [ 304]
September 23 – 26, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
48%
4
600 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 305]
September 10–11, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
50%
5
656 LV
±3.8%
Three way race
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
2nd Congressional District
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008 ) 55%–43%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 312]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
750 LV
±3.6%
YouGov [ 313]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
732 LV
±4.1%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 314]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
6
600 LV
±4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal /SurveyUSA [ 315]
October 23–29, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
1,212 LV
±2.9%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 316]
October 27–28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
43%
6
500 LV
±4.4%
Gravis Marketing [ 317]
October 24, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
955 LV
±3.2%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 318]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
1,042 LV
±3%
Public Policy Polling [ 319]
October 22–24, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
636 LV
±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 320]
October 23, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
American Research Group [ 321]
October 19 – 22, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 322]
October 15–17, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
600 LV
±4.0%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 323]
October 15–16, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
500 LV
±4.4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal /SurveyUSA [ 324]
October 11–15, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
806 LV
±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 325]
October 15, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
YouGov [ 326]
October 4 – 11, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
358 LV
±6.7%
Public Policy Polling [ 327]
October 8–10, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
594 LV
±4%
KSNV-Nevada /Suffolk University [ 328]
October 6–9, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
500 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 329]
October 8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
500 LV
±4.5%
Las Vegas Review-Journal /SurveyUSA [ 330]
October 3–8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
1,222 LV
±2.9%
Gravis Marketing [ 331]
October 3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
1,006 LV
±3.1%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 332]
September 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
984 LV
±3.1%
American Research Group [ 333]
September 20 – 23, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
600 LV
±4.0%
Retail Association of Nevada /Public Opinion Strategies (R) [ 334]
September 19 – 20, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
46%
Tied
500 LV
±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 335]
September 18 – 20, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
501 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 336]
September 18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 337]
September 14–18, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
741 LV
±3.5%
Three way race
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–45%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 339]
November 4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
750 LV
±4%
New England College [ 340]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
687 LV
±3.7%
Public Policy Polling [ 341]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
1,550 LV
±2.5%
American Research Group [ 342]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
600 LV
±4%
University of New Hampshire [ 343]
November 1–4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
48%
3
789 LV
±3.5%
YouGov [ 344]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
43%
4
690 LV
±4.1%
WMUR /University of New Hampshire [ 345]
October 31 – November 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
502 LV
±4.4%
Gravis Marketing [ 346]
November 1, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
497 LV
±4.3%
New England College [ 347]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
6
1,017 LV
±3.7%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 348]
October 28–29, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
1,013 LV
±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [ 349]
October 26 – 28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
874 LV
±3.3%
USAction /Lake Research Partners (D) [ 350]
October 24 – 28, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
42%
5
400 LV
±5%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 351]
October 24 – 25, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
New England College [ 352]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
571 LV
±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 353]
October 23, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
American Research Group [ 354]
October 19 – 22, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
USAction /Lake Research Partners (D) [ 355]
October 18 – 22, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
400 LV
±4.9%
WMUR /University of New Hampshire [ 356]
October 17 – 21, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
42%
9
773 LV
±3.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 357]
October 17 – 19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
1,036 LV
±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 358]
October 15, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
7 News /Suffolk University [ 359]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
500 LV
±4.4%
American Research Group [ 360]
October 9 – 11, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 361]
October 9, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
500 LV
±4.5%
WMUR /University of New Hampshire [ 362]
September 30 – October 6, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
6
559 LV
±4.1%
WMUR /University of New Hampshire [ 363]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
39%
15
600 LV
±4.0%
American Research Group [ 364]
September 25 – 27, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
600 LV
±4.0%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 365]
September 24–25, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
862 LV
±3.3%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 366]
September 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
1,012
±3.1%
New Hampshire Democratic Party /Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [ 367]
September 15 – 19, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
45%
7
600 LV
±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 368]
September 18, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
48%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
American Research Group [ 369]
September 15–17, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
463 LV
Not reported
YouGov [ 370]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
42%
6
340 LV
Not reported
WMUR /University of New Hampshire [ 371]
September 4–10, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
40%
5
592 LV
±4.0%
14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 372]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
41%
12
987 LV
±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research [ 373]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
41%
10
601 LV
±4.0%
Quinnipiac University [ 374]
October 10 – 14, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
1,319 LV
±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research [ 375]
October 4 – 8, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
40%
11
604 LV
±4.0%
Rutgers University [ 376]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
39%
17
645 LV
±3.8%
Monmouth University [ 377]
September 19 – 23, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
37%
15
613 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 378]
September 7 – 14, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
40%
12
1,040 LV
Not reported
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research [ 379]
September 9–12, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
37%
14
600 LV
±4.0%
Quinnipiac University [ 380]
August 27 – September 2, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
1,471 LV
±2.6%
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 381]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
43%
6
650 LV
Not reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [ 382]
October 30–31, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
41%
8
500 LV
±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal /Research & Polling Inc. [ 383]
October 23–25, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
41%
9
662 LV
±3.8%
Public Policy Polling [ 384]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
44%
9
727 LV
Not reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [usurped]
October 21–22, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
42%
5
500 LV
±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal /Research & Polling Inc. [ 385]
October 9–10, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
39%
10
658 LV
±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 386]
October 8, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
43%
11
500 LV
±4.5%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 387]
October 2–3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
778 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 388]
September 27, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
40%
11
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [ 389]
September 25–27, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
40%
7
500 LV
±4.38%
NRDC Action Fund /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 390]
September 17 – 20, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
3,111 LV
±1.8%
YouGov [ 391]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
293 LV
Not reported
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 392]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
42%
11
1,122 LV
±2.9%
Albuquerque Journal /Research & Polling Inc. [ 393]
September 3–6, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
40%
5
667 LV
±3.8%
Three way race
29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008 ) 63%–36%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 399]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
59%
Romney
36%
23
1,430 LV
±2.8%
WABC-TV New York /SurveyUSA [ 400]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
62%
Romney
33%
29
554 LV
±4.1%
Siena College [ 401]
October 22 – 24, 2012
Obama
59%
Romney
35%
24
750 LV
±3.6%
Marist College [ 402]
October 18 – 21, 2012
Obama
61%
Romney
35%
26
565 LV
±4.1%
YouGov [ 403]
October 4 – 11, 2012
Obama
59%
Romney
35%
24
1,142 LV
±3.2%
Quinnipiac University [ 404]
September 4–9, 2012
Obama
62%
Romney
34%
28
1,486 LV
±2.5%
15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008 ) 50%–49%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Gravis Marketing [ 405]
November 4, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
1,130 LV
±2.9%
Public Policy Polling [ 406]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
926 LV
±3.2%
YouGov [ 407]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
2
1,500 LV
±2.8%
Public Policy Polling [ 408]
October 29 – 31, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
730 LV
±3.6%
High Point University [ 409]
October 22–30, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
46%
1
403 LV
±5%
WRAL-TV Raleigh /SurveyUSA [ 410]
October 26–29, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
50%
5
682 LV
±3.8%
Elon University [ 411]
October 21 – 26, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
45%
Tied
1,238 LV
±2.79%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 412]
October 25, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
52%
6
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 413]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
880 LV
±3.3%
Gravis Marketing [ 414]
October 24, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
53%
8
1,723 LV
±2.4%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 415]
October 23 – 24, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
Civitas Institute /National Research (R) [ 416]
October 20–21, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
600 LV
±4%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 417]
October 17 – 18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 418]
October 17, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
52%
6
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 419]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
2
1,084 LV
±3.0%
North Carolina Republican Party /Tel Opinion Research (R) [ 420]
October 12–13, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
49%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 421]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
810 LV
±3.9%
University of North Carolina /High Point University [ 422]
September 29 – October 10, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
45%
1
605 RV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 423]
October 9, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
51%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [ 424]
October 6–8, 2012
Obama
41.2%
Romney
49.9%
8.7
1,325 LV
±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 425]
October 2, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
51%
4
500 LV
±4.5%
Survey USA [ 426]
September 29 – October 1, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
573 LV
±4.2%
American Research Group [ 427]
September 28 – 30, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
50%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 428]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
981 LV
±3.1%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 429]
September 23–25, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
1,035 LV
±3.0%
Civitas Institute /National Research (R) [ 430]
September 18–19, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
600 RV
±4%
Purple Strategies [ 431]
September 15–19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
600 LV
±4%
FOX 8 /High Point University [ 432]
September 8–13, 15–18, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
43%
3
448 RV
±4.7%
YouGov [ 433]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
48%
2
1,060 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 434]
September 13, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
51%
6
500 LV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 435]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
1,087 LV
±3.0%
Civitas Institute /SurveyUSA [ 436]
September 4–6, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
53%
10
500 RV
±4.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 437]
August 31 – Sept 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
1,012 LV
±3.1%
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 63%–36% (Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008 ) 52%–47%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Gravis Marketing [ 443]
November 4–5, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
1,316 LV
±2.7%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 444]
November 3–5, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
680 LV
±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 445]
November 4, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
750 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 446]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
47%
5
1,000 LV
±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 447]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
48%
3
572 LV
±4.1%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 448]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
44%
4
712 LV
±4.2%
WCMH-TV Columbus /SurveyUSA [ 449]
November 1–4, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
803 LV
±3.5%
University of Cincinnati [ 450]
October 31 – November 4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
901 LV
±3.3%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 451]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
45%
1
1,031 LV
±3.5%
YouGov [ 452]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,620 LV
±3%
Columbus Dispatch [ 453]
October 24 – November 3, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
1,501 LV
±2.2%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 454]
November 1–2, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
500 LV
±4.4%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 455]
October 31 – November 2, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
1,012 LV
±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 456]
November 1, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
750 LV
±4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 457]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
971 LV
±3.1%
We Ask America [ 458]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
50.2%
Romney
45.8%
4
1,649 LV
±2.6%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 459]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
796 LV
±3.5%
Citizens United /Wenzel Strategies (R) [ 460]
October 30–31, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
49%
3
1,281 LV
±2.7%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 461]
October 29 – 30, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
600 LV
±4.0%
University of Cincinnati [ 462]
October 25 – 30, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
1,141 LV
±2.9%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 463]
October 29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
1,000 LV
±3%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 464]
October 28 – 29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
WCMH-TV Columbus /SurveyUSA [ 465]
October 26 – 29, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
603 LV
±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 466]
October 28, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
750 LV
±4%
Pharos Research [ 467]
October 26 – 28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46.3%
2.7
765 LV
±3.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 468]
October 26 – 28, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
718 LV
±3.7%
CBS News /Quinnipiac University [ 469]
October 23 – 28, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
1,100 LV
±3%
Gravis Marketing [ 470]
October 27, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
730 LV
±3.6%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 471]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
600 LV
±4%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 472]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
741 RV
±3.5%
Purple Strategies [ 473]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
44%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
American Research Group [ 474]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
Time /Abt SRBI [ 475]
October 22 – 23, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
783 LV
±3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 476]
October 23, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
750 LV
±4.0%
USAction /Lake Research (D) [ 477]
October 20 – 23, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
44%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization /University of Cincinnati [ 478]
October 18 – 23, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tied
1,015 LV
±3.1%
WCMH-TV Columbus /SurveyUSA [ 479]
October 20 – 22, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
609 LV
±4.1%
Suffolk University [ 480]
October 18 – 21, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
600 LV
±4.0%
CBS News /Quinnipiac University [ 481]
October 17–20, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
1,548 LV
±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 482]
October 18–20, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
550 LV
±4.2%
Public Policy Polling [ 483]
October 18–20, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
532 LV
±4.3%
Gravis Marketing [ 484]
October 18 – 19, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
1,943 LV
±2.2%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 485]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
43%
3
1,131 LV
±3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 486]
October 17, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
750 LV
±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 487]
October 15, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
47%
1
1,000 LV
±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus /SurveyUSA [ 488]
October 12–15, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
42%
3
613 LV
±4.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 489]
October 12–13, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
880 LV
±3.3%
YouGov [ 490]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
851 LV
±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 491]
October 10, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
750 LV
±4.0%
Gravis Marketing [ 492]
October 6 – 10, 2012
Obama
45.1%
Romney
45.9%
0.8
1,313 LV
±2.7%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 493]
October 7 – 9, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
994 LV
±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 494]
October 8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
1,000 LV
±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus /SurveyUSA [ 495]
October 5 – 8, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
44%
1
808 LV
±3.5%
CNN /Opinion Research Corporation [ 496]
October 5–8, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
722 LV
±3.5%
American Research Group [ 497]
October 5 – 8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
Citizens United /Wenzel Strategies (R) [ 498]
October 4–5, 2012
Obama
47.3%
Romney
48%
0.7
1,072 LV
±2.96%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 499]
October 4, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
49%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 500]
October 1, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
1,000 LV
±3.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 501]
September 30 – October 1, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
931 LV
±3.2%
Public Policy Polling [ 502]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
897 LV
±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch [ 503]
September 19 – 29, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
42%
9
1,662 LV
±2.2%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 504]
September 18 – 24, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
43%
10
1,162 LV
±3.0%
Washington Post [ 505]
September 19 – 23, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
44%
8
759 LV
±4.5%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 506]
September 21 – 22, 2012
Obama
45.2%
Romney
44.3%
0.9
594 LV
±4.3%
Purple Strategies [ 507]
September 15 – 19, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
44%
4
600 LV
±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization /University of Cincinnati [ 508]
September 13 – 18, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
861 LV
±3.3%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 509]
September 16–18, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
42%
7
1,009 LV
±3.0%
National Resource Defense Council /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 510]
September 14–18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
44%
6
2,890 LV
Not reported
Secure America Now /Caddell Associates /Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [ 511]
September 13–15, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 512]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
1,036 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 513]
September 12, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
American Research Group [ 514]
September 10–12, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 515]
September 9–12, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
979 LV
±3.1%
Public Policy Polling [ 516]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
1,072 LV
±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 517]
September 7–8, 2012
Obama
47.27%
Romney
43.19%
4.08
1,548 LV
±2.7%
Capitol Correspondent /Gravis Marketing [ 518]
September 2, 2012
Obama
43.7%
Romney
46.8%
3.1
1,381 RV
±2.9%
Three way race
7 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 66%–34% (Republican in 2008 ) 67%–34%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
SoonerPoll [ 522]
October 18 – 24, 2012
Obama
33%
Romney
59%
26
305 LV
±5.6%
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008 ) 57%–40%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 523]
October 31 – November 1, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
921 LV
±3.2%
Elway Research [ 524]
October 25 – 28, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
41%
6
405 LV
±5%
Hoffman Research [ 525]
October 24 – 25, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
42%
5
615 LV
±3.9%
Survey USA [ 526]
October 16 – 18, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
42%
7
579 LV
±4.2%
Survey USA [ 527]
September 10–13, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
41%
9
552 LV
±4.3%
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008 ) 54%–44%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Gravis Marketing [ 528]
November 4, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,060 LV
±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 529]
November 2 – 4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
479 LV
Not reported
Public Policy Polling [ 530]
November 2 – 3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
46%
6
790 LV
±3.5%
Morning Call /Muhlenberg College [ 531]
November 1 – 3, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
430 LV
±5%
YouGov [ 532]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
44%
8
1,273 LV
±3.3%
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review /Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [ 533]
October 29–31, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
800 LV
±3.5%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 534]
October 30, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,000 LV
±3%
Franklin & Marshall College [ 535]
October 23–28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
547 LV
±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research Inc. [ 536]
October 23–25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
43%
6
600 LV
±4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 537]
October 24, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
500 LV
±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [ 538]
October 21, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
887 LV
±3.3%
Morning Call /Muhlenberg College [ 539]
October 17 – 21, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
444 LV
±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 540]
October 18 – 20, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
42%
10
559 LV
±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 541]
October 15, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
44%
4
1,000 LV
±3%
Quinnipiac University [ 542]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
1,519 LV
±2.5%
Public Policy Polling [ 543]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
500 LV
±4.4%
Morning Call /Muhlenberg College [ 544]
October 10 – 14, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
45%
4
438 LV
±5.0%
YouGov [ 545]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
967 LV
±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 546]
October 9, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
500 LV
±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 547]
October 8, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
1,000 LV
±3%
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research Inc. [ 548]
October 4–8, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
42%
2
600 LV
±4%
Siena College [ 549]
October 1 – 5, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
40%
3
545 LV
±4.2%
Morning Call /Muhlenberg College [ 550]
September 22–26, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
42%
7
427 LV
±5.0%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 551]
September 18–24, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
42%
12
1,180 LV
±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College [ 552]
September 18–23, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
392 LV
±4.9%
Tribune-Review /Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [ 553]
September 18–20, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
45%
2
800 LV
±3.46%
Mercyhurst University [ 554]
September 12–20, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
40%
8
522 LV
±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 555]
September 19, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
39%
12
500 LV
±4.5%
We Ask America [ 556]
September 18, 2012
Obama
48.1%
Romney
42.2%
5.9
1,214 LV
±2.8%
National Research Defense Council /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 557]
September 17–18, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
40%
12
2,051 LV
±2.2%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania /Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R) [ 558]
September 15–17, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
800 LV
±3.46%
Morning Call /Muhlenberg College [ 559]
September 10–16, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
41%
9
640 LV
±4.0%
YouGov [ 560]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
43%
9
1,139 LV
Not reported
Philadelphia Inquirer /Global Strategy Group /National Research Inc. [ 561]
September 9–12, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
39%
11
600 LV
±4%
Three-way race
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Libertarian
%
Margin
Sample size
Margin of error
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. [ 562]
October 4 – 6, 2012
Barack Obama
47%
Mitt Romney
45%
Gary Johnson
3%
2
725 LV
±3.64%
Four-way race
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008 ) 63%–35%
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008 ) 54%–45%
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008 ) 53%–45%
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008 ) 57%–42%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 571]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
53%
11
697 LV
±4%
Middle Tennessee State University [ 572]
October 16 – 21, 2012
Obama
34%
Romney
59%
25
609 LV
±4%
YouGov [ 573]
October 4 – 11, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
52%
9
484 LV
±5%
YouGov [ 574]
September 7 – 14, 2012
Obama
42%
Romney
50%
8
694 LV
Not reported
38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008 ) 55%–44%
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 72%–26% (Republican in 2008 ) 62%–34%
3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008 ) 67%–30%
13 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 54%–46% (Democratic in 2008 ) 53%–46%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Reuters /Ipsos [ 583]
November 3–5, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
828 LV
±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 584]
November 4, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
750 LV
±4%
Public Policy Polling [ 585]
November 3–4, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
975 LV
±3.1%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 586]
November 2–4, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
662 LV
±4.3%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 587]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
947 LV
±3.6%
YouGov [ 588]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
1,497 LV
±2.7%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 589]
November 1–2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,165 LV
±2.9%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 590]
October 31 – November 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
1,065 LV
±3.4%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 591]
October 30 – November 2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
45%
3
800 LV
±3.4%
We Ask America [ 592]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
48.5%
Romney
47.6%
0.9
1,069 LV
±3%
Reuters /Ipsos [ 593]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
792 LV
±4%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 594]
October 30 – 31, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 595]
October 30, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
1,000 LV
±3%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 596]
October 23 – 28, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
1,074 LV
±3%
Priorities USA Action /Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [ 597]
October 25–27, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
807 LV
Not reported
Gravis Marketing [ 598]
October 26, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
645 LV
±3.9%
Roanoke College [ 599]
October 23–26, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
49%
5
638 LV
±4%
The Washington Post [ 600]
October 22–26, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
1,228 LV
±3.5%
Purple Strategies [ 601]
October 23 – 25, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
47%
Tied
600 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 602]
October 24, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
50%
2
750 LV
±4.0%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 603]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
45%
Romney
47%
2
1126 LV
±3.0%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 604]
October 23 – 24, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
722 LV
±3.6%
Americans United for Change /Mellman Group (D) [ 605]
October 18 – 21, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
45%
1
800 LV
±3.46%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 606]
October 18 – 19, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
500 LV
±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 607]
October 18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
50%
3
750 LV
±4.0%
Virginian-Pilot /Old Dominion University [ 608]
September 19 – October 17, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
465 LV
±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 609]
October 15 – 16, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
733 LV
±3.6%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 610]
October 15, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
46%
1
1,000 LV
±3.0%
American Research Group [ 611]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
600 LV
±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting [ 612]
October 12 – 13, 2012
Obama
43%
Romney
54%
11
696 LV
±3.7%
YouGov [ 613]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
45%
1
743 LV
±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 614]
October 11, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
49%
2
750 LV
±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [ 615]
October 8–9, 2012
Obama
44%
Romney
51%
7
600 LV
±4.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 616]
October 7–9, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
48%
1
981 LV
±3.1%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 617]
October 4–9, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
1,288 LV
±2.7%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 618]
October 8, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
48%
Tied
1,000 LV
±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 619]
October 4–7, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
725 LV
±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 620]
October 4, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
49%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 621]
October 1, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
1,000 LV
±3.0%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 622]
September 30 – October 1, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
969 LV
±3.1%
Roanoke College [ 623]
September 19 – 28, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
39%
8
589 LV
±4.0%
American Research Group [ 624]
September 24 – 27, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
600 LV
±4.0%
National Research Defense Council /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 625]
September 17–19, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
43%
6
2,770 LV
±1.9%
Purple Strategies [ 626]
September 15 – 19, 2012
Obama
46%
Romney
43%
3
600 LV
±4.0%
Fox News /Anderson Robbins /Shaw & Company [ 627]
September 16–18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
43%
7
1,006 LV
±3.0%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 628]
September 11–17, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
1,474 LV
±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 629]
September 13–16, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
1,021 LV
±3.1%
Washington Post [ 630]
September 12–16, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
44%
8
847 LV
±3.5%
YouGov [ 631]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
44%
4
753 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 632]
September 13, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
500 LV
±4.5%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 633]
September 9–11, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
44%
5
996 LV
±3.1%
Gravis Marketing [ 634]
September 8–9, 2012
Obama
44.04%
Romney
49.39%
5.35
2,238 LV
±2.2%
Three-way race
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Libertarian
%
Margin
Sample size
Margin of error
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company
October 23–24, 2012
Barack Obama
44%
Mitt Romney
46%
Virgil Goode
1%
2
1,126 LV
±3%
We Ask America [ 635]
October 4, 2012
Barack Obama
45%
Mitt Romney
48%
Gary Johnson
2%
3
1,200 LV
±3%
We Ask America [ 636]
September 17, 2012
Barack Obama
48.5%
Mitt Romney
45.7%
Gary Johnson
1.1%
2.8
1,238 LV
±2.8%
Four-way race
Five-way race
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Libertarian
%
Constitution
%
Green
%
Sample size
Margin of error
Citizens United /Wenzel Strategies (R) [ 638]
October 19–20, 2012
Barack Obama
47.1%
Mitt Romney
49.2%
Gary Johnson
0.4%
Virgil Goode
0.3%
Jill Stein
0.4%
1,000 LV
±3.07%
12 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008 ) 58%–40%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
YouGov [ 639]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
40%
14
837 LV
Not reported
Public Policy Polling [ 640]
November 1 – 3, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
46%
7
932 LV
±3.2%
KING-TV Seattle /SurveyUSA [ 641]
October 28 – 31, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
40%
14
555 LV
±4.2%
KCTS9 /University of Washington [ 642]
October 18 – 31, 2012
Obama
57.1%
Romney
36.4%
20.7
632 LV
±3.9%
Strategies 360 [ 643]
October 17 – 20, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
39%
13
500 LV
±4.4%
Washington Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 644]
October 15 – 16, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
574 LV
Not reported
KCTS9 /University of Washington [ 645]
October 1–16, 2012
Obama
51.9%
Romney
42.9%
9
644 LV
±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 646]
October 14, 2012
Obama
55%
Romney
42%
13
500 LV
±4.5%
KING-TV Seattle /SurveyUSA [ 647]
October 12 – 14, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
40%
14
543 LV
±4.3%
YouGov [ 648]
October 4–11, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
39%
17
748 LV
±4.3%
KING-TV Seattle /SurveyUSA [ 649]
September 28 – 30, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
36%
20
540 LV
±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 650]
September 26, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
41%
11
500 LV
±4.5%
Gravis Marketing [ 651]
September 21–22, 2012
Obama
56%
Romney
39%
17
625 LV
±4.6%
YouGov [ 652]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
39%
14
880 LV
Not reported
Elway Research [ 653]
September 9–12, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
36%
17
405 RV
±5.0%
Washington Conservation Voters /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 654]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
42%
11
563 LV
Not reported
KING-TV Seattle /SurveyUSA [ 655]
September 7–9, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
38%
16
524 LV
±4.4%
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 56%–43% (Republican in 2008 ) 56%–43%
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004 ) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008 ) 56%–42%
Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error
Public Policy Polling [ 656]
November 2 – 3, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
48%
3
1,256 LV
±2.8%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 657]
November 1–3, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
46%
7
482 LV
±4.5%
YouGov [ 658]
October 31 – November 3, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
1,225 LV
±3.1%
USAction /Project New America /Project New America/Grove Insight (D) [ 659]
November 1–2, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
42%
6
500 LV
±4.4%
We Ask America [ 660]
October 30 – November 1, 2012
Obama
51.5%
Romney
44.8%
6.7
1,210 LV
±3%
Citizens United /Wenzel Strategies (R) [ 661]
October 30–31, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
1,074 LV
±3%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 662]
October 30, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
1,000 LV
±3%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 663]
October 29–30, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
825 LV
±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 664]
October 29, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tie
750 LV
±4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 665]
October 28–29, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
1,065 LV
±3%
St. Norbert College [ 666]
October 25–29, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
42%
9
402 LV
±5%
Marquette Law School [ 667]
October 25–28, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
43%
8
1,243 LV
±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 668]
October 25, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
49%
Tie
500 LV
±4.5%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 669]
October 24–25, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
43%
5
500 LV
±4.4%
Health Care for America Now /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 670]
October 23–24, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
827 LV
±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion [ 671]
October 18–20, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
46%
5
469 LV
Not reported
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 672]
October 18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
48%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
Project New America /Grove Insight (D) [ 673]
October 17–18, 2012
Obama
47%
Romney
44%
3
500 LV
±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research [ 674]
October 15 – 17, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
46%
2
625 LV
±4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 675]
October 15 – 17, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
1,013 LV
±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 676]
October 15, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
1,000 LV
±3%
Marquette Law School [ 677]
October 11–14, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
870 LV
±3.4%
YouGov [ 678]
October 4 – 11, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
47%
4
638 LV
±4.9%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 679]
October 4–9, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
47%
3
1,327 LV
±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 680]
October 9, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
49%
2
500 LV
±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 681]
October 8, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
46%
4
1,000 LV
±3.0%
Public Policy Polling [ 682]
October 4 – 6, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
47%
2
979 LV
±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring /Pulse Opinion Research (R) [ 683]
October 1, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
44%
7
1,000 LV
±3.0%
JZ Analytics [ 684]
September 29–30, 2012
Obama
48.9%
Romney
38.8%
10.1
414 LV
±4.9%
Marquette Law School [ 685]
September 27 – 30, 2012
Obama
53%
Romney
42%
11
894 LV
±3.3%
Public Policy Polling [ 686]
September 18 – 19, 2012
Obama
52%
Romney
45%
7
842 LV
±3.4%
NBC News /Wall Street Journal /Marist College [ 687]
September 16 – 18, 2012
Obama
50%
Romney
45%
5
968 LV
±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports /Pulse Opinion Research [ 688]
September 17, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
46%
3
500 LV
±4.5%
CBS News /New York Times /Quinnipiac University [ 689]
September 11–17, 2012
Obama
51%
Romney
45%
6
1,485 LV
±3.0%
Marquette Law School [ 690]
September 13–16, 2012
Obama
54%
Romney
40%
14
601 LV
±4%
YouGov [ 691]
September 7–14, 2012
Obama
48%
Romney
47%
1
753 LV
Not reported
Democracy for America /Public Policy Polling (D) [ 692]
September 12–13, 2012
Obama
49%
Romney
48%
1
959 LV
±3.16%
Three way race
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004 ) 69%–29% (Republican in 2008 ) 65%–33%
No polls conducted
See also
References
External links
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Libertarian Party
Green Party