Rattota Polling Division

Rattota
Polling Division
Location of Rattota
Coordinates: 7°28′24″N 80°39′11″E / 7.473219°N 80.652919°E / 7.473219; 80.652919
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictMatale Electoral District
Area
 • Total
182.43 km2 (70.44 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
119,381
 • Density654/km2 (1,690/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-05D

The Rattota Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Matale Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rattota has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Rattota is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Rattota Matale Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 6.52% SLPP 3.85%
2015 NDF UPFA 5.62% NDF 1.71%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.13% UPFA 3.21%
2005 UNP UNP 3.93% UPFA 5.94%
1999 PA PA 0.19% PA 0.28%
1994 PA PA 1.48% PA 2.63%
1988 UNP UNP 3.39% UNP 9.22%
1982 UNP UNP 4.03% UNP 7.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 3.79% 8/8 4.32%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[4] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 37,390 48.43% 187,821 55.37% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 35,774 46.34% 134,291 39.59% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,322 3.01% 8,219 2.42% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,717 2.22% 8,890 2.62% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 77,203 99.13% 339,221 99.05% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 678 0.87% 3,252 0.95% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 77,881 83.29% 342,473 85.30% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 93,503 401,496 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[5] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 37,319 52.70% 145,928 47.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 32,235 45.52% 158,880 51.41% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,258 1.78% 4,214 1.36% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 70,812 98.50% 309,022 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,079 1.50% 3,653 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 71,891 77.06% 312,675 78.76% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 93,296 397,005 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[6] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,818 54.35% 157,953 59.74% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 25,991 43.04% 100,513 38.01% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,579 2.61% 5,953 2.25% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 60,388 98.76% 264,419 99.00% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 760 1.24% 2,666 1.00% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 61,148 73.34% 267,085 75.08% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 83,381 355,738 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[7] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,449 54.10% 125,937 50.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 25,551 43.96% 120,533 48.09% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,129 1.94% 4,150 1.66% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 58,129 98.38% 250,620 98.51% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 955 1.62% 3,785 1.49% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 59,084 75.45% 254,405 76.51% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 78,314 332,515 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[8] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,959 51.56% 111,232 51.42% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,336 42.72% 91,944 42.51% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,574 3.01% 7,924 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,414 2.70% 5,210 2.41% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 52,283 96.98% 216,310 97.23% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,627 3.02% 6,171 2.77% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 53,910 75.90% 222,481 76.18% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 71,025 292,055 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[9] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,300 59.36% 121,449 60.98% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,187 38.15% 73,324 36.82% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 618 1.30% 2,111 1.06% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 573 1.20% 2,280 1.14% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 47,678 96.68% 199,164 97.40% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,636 3.32% 5,317 2.60% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 49,314 74.45% 204,481 76.95% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 66,238 265,743 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[10] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,599 61.27% 37,007 57.85% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 6,380 36.88% 25,825 40.37% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 320 1.85% 1,135 1.77% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 17,299 98.31% 63,967 98.29% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 297 1.69% 1,110 1.71% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 17,596 33.53% 65,077 30.13% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 52,472 215,999 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rattota[11] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,183 62.06% 94,031 58.11% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,982 31.99% 59,299 36.65% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,033 5.01% 7,169 4.43% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 382 0.94% 1,315 0.81% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 40,580 99.03% 161,814 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 396 0.97% 1,414 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 40,976 85.53% 163,228 85.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 47,906 189,867 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rattota has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Rattota is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Rattota Matale Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 5.85% UNP 6.02%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.01% UPFA 2.28%
2004 UNP UPFA 4.10% UPFA 5.07%
2001 UNP UNP 2.34% UNP 4.51%
2000 PA PA 1.69% PA 3.57%
1994 UNP PA 4.00% PA 5.35%
1989 UNP UNP 1.66% UNP 7.83%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 7/7 3.52% 7/7 4.95%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[14] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,313 55.99% 138,241 49.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 24,872 39.44% 126,315 45.57% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,419 3.84% 10,947 3.95% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 465 0.74% 1,690 0.61% 82,293 0.74%
Valid Votes 63,069 91.24% 277,193 92.73% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 6,014 8.70% 21,537 7.21% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 69,124 74.09% 298,917 78.73% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 93,296 379,675 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[15] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,818 61.82% 131,069 67.02% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,666 33.81% 55,737 28.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,574 3.63% 7,636 3.90% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 323 0.74% 1,122 0.57% 34,715 0.43%
Valid Votes 43,381 88.55% 195,564 90.93% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,567 11.36% 19,310 8.98% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,992 58.76% 215,060 60.23% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 83,381 357,063 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[16] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,330 49.25% 100,642 45.73% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 22,747 44.23% 108,259 49.19% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 2,611 5.08% 8,819 4.01% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 741 1.44% 2,342 1.06% 54,554 0.59%
Valid Votes 51,429 91.21% 220,062 91.84% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,959 8.79% 19,549 8.16% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 56,388 73.67% 239,611 76.66% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 76,544 312,556 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[17] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,088 53.42% 109,991 50.43% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,506 39.00% 88,999 40.81% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,179 6.05% 16,063 7.37% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 805 1.53% 3,037 1.39% 62,170 0.69%
Valid Votes 52,578 92.52% 218,090 93.38% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,253 7.48% 15,449 6.62% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 56,831 76.77% 233,539 77.95% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 74,026 299,606 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[18] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,615 52.52% 110,213 50.53% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 21,331 40.57% 91,836 42.11% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,138 4.07% 10,673 4.89% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 838 1.59% 3,025 1.39% 182,723 2.12%
NLF 660 1.26% 2,350 1.08% 32,275 0.38%
Valid Votes 52,582 N/A 218,097 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[19] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,283 52.78% 100,121 48.61% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 22,856 45.90% 102,680 49.85% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 656 1.32% 3,161 1.53% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 49,795 93.62% 205,962 94.22% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,393 6.38% 12,646 5.78% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 53,188 80.30% 218,608 81.88% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 66,238 266,974 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rattota[20] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,019 65.02% 88,869 63.81% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,225 30.19% 45,717 32.82% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 912 2.69% 2,350 1.69% 67,723 1.21%
USA 710 2.10% 2,344 1.68% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 33,866 91.67% 139,280 92.11% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 3,079 8.33% 11,927 7.89% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,945 71.80% 151,207 70.35% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 51,452 214,938 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Rattota Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (67.9%), a significant Moor population (13.4%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (12.6%) . In comparison, the Matale Electoral District (which contains the Rattota Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (80.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Rattota[1]

  Sinhalese (67.9%)
  Moor (13.4%)
  Indian Tamil (12.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (5.9%)
  Other (0.3%)

Religion

The Rattota Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (67.3%), a significant Hindu population (17.1%) and a significant Muslim population (13.6%) . In comparison, the Matale Electoral District (which contains the Rattota Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (79.5%) [1]

Religion in Rattota[1]

  Buddhist (67.3%)
  Hindu (17.1%)
  Muslim (13.6%)
  Roman Catholic (1.2%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rattota and the Matale Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rattota and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rattota and the Matale Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rattota and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.