Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)

Prior to the 2015 general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.

Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.

Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Michael Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.[2]

Constituency polls

England

Amber Valley

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 44.0% 34.8% 3.0% 15.9% 2.4% – 9.2%
3–12 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 35% 4% 23% 3% 2% 1%
14–20 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 41% 6% 20% 2% 2% 12%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,958 38.6% 37.4% 14.4% 2.0% – 7.6% 1.2%

Bedford

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 42.6% 40.2% 4.2% 9.6% 3.1% 0.3% 2.4%
23–30 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 28% 38% 14% 15% 3% 2% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,102 38.9% 35.9% 19.9% 2.5% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0%

Bermondsey and Old Southwark

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 11.8% 43.1% 34.3% 6.3% 3.9% 0.5% 8.7%
3–13 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 35% 36% 9% 5% 2% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,651 17.1% 29.2% 48.4% – 1.6% 3.7% 19.1%

Berwick-upon-Tweed

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 41.1% 14.9% 28.9% 11.2% 3.7% 0.2% 12.2%
21–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 16% 30% 17% 3% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,439 36.7% 13.2% 43.7% 3.2% – 3.2% 7%

Birmingham Edgbaston

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,293 44.8% 38.3% 2.9% 10.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4%
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1001 48% 29% 3% 12% 5% 1% 19%
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1000 44% 33% 5% 13% 4% 1% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,571 40.6% 37.6% 15.4% 1.8% 1.1% 3.6% 3.1%

Birmingham Yardley

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,313 41.6% 14.0% 25.6% 16.1% 1.7% 1.0% 16.0%
27–31 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 31% 12% 34% 19% 2% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,850 32.2% 19.2% 39.6% 2.9% – – 7.3%

Blackpool North and Cleveleys

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 39,393 36.0% 44.4% 2.4% 14.8% 2.3% 0.1% 8.5%
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 42% 3% 15% 2% 1% 5%
13–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 35% 5% 24% 3% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,591 36.5% 41.8% 13.3% 4.1% - 4.3% 5.3%

Bognor Regis and Littlehampton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 47,116 51.3% 9.0% 21.7% 13.8% 4.1% 27.9%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 508 37% 11% 27% 20% 5% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,852 51.4% 23.5% 6.5% 14.0% 4.5% 27.9%

Bolton West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 47,576 39.0% 40.6% 4.0% 15.3% - 1.1% 1.6%
23–31 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 27% 8% 21% 2% 2% 13%
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 41% 28% 10% 17% 2% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,576 38.5% 38.3% 17.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2%

Boston and Skegness

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green IFE BNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 43,339 43.8% 2.3% 33.8% 16.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 10%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 5% 35% 17% 3% – – 2% 3%
5–9 Sep 2014 Survation/Alan Bown 342 26.2% 2.0% 45.5% 20.8% 3.2% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 19.3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,125 49.4% 14.8% 9.5% 20.6% – – 5.3% 0.4% 28.8%

Bradford East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,406 46.6% 11.3% 29.3% 9.9% 2.1% - 0.5% 17.1%
1–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 12% 23% 15% 2% – 3% 22%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,457 32.8% 26.8% 33.7% – – 4.6% 2.0% 0.9%

Brent Central

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 45,324 62.1% 20.3% 8.4% 3.9% 4.1% 1.2% 41.8%
11–22 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 54% 13% 19% 7% 5% 1% 35%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,324 41.2% 11.2% 44.2% – 1.5% 2% 3.0%

Brentford and Isleworth

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17–26 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 45% 10% 7% 4% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,765 37.2% 33.6% 23.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6%

Brighton Kemptown

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 45,306 39.2% 40.7% 3.0% 9.8% 7.0% 0.4% 1.5%
11–21 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 33% 6% 13% 10% 1% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,705 34.9% 38.0% 18.0% 3.2% 5.5% 0.5% 3.1%

Brighton Pavilion

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Green Lab Con LD UKIP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 54,676 41.8% 27.3% 22.8% 2.8% 5.0% 0.4% 14.6%
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 28% 21% 5% 8% 1% 10%
5–12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 33% 18% 5% 9% 2% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,834 31.3% 28.9% 23.7% 13.8% 1.8% 0.4% 2.4%

Bristol North West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,005 34% 43% 8% 8% 6% 0% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,336 25.9% 38.0% 32.5% 2.3% 1.0% 1.3% 5.5%

Bristol West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 64,218 35.7% 15.2% 18.8% 3.0% 26.8% 0.4% 8.8%
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 14% 20% 2% 25% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,347 27.5% 18.4% 48.0% 1.2% 3.8% 1.1% 20.5%

Broxtowe

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 39% 7% 18% 4% 1% 1% 9%
8–13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 44% 10% 13% 1% 1% 1% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,727 39.0% 38.3% 16.9% 2.3% 0.8% 2.7% – 0.7%

Burnley

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
27–30 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 11% 38% 23% 25% 2% 1% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,845 16.6% 31.3% 35.7% 2.2% – 9.0% 5.2% 4.3%

Bury North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-14 October 2014 Ashcroft 1,004 32% 41% 5% 20% 2% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,961 40.2% 35.2% 17% 2.9% - 4.8% 5%

Camborne and Redruth

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green MK OMRLP Others Lead
24–26 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 37% 24% 13% 14% 8% – – 3% 13%
25 Nov 2014 Survation/University of Exeter 500 30.0% 22.4% 6.3% 33.0% 6.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,493 37.6% 16.3% 37.4% 5.1% 1.4% 1.8% – 0.4% 0.2%

Cambridge

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24–28 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1000 17% 31% 40% 3% 9% – 9%
3–12 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1000 19% 33% 32% 7% 8% 1% 1%
4–8 Apr 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 18% 41% 28% 5% 5% 2% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,130 25.6% 24.3% 39.1% 2.4% 7.6% 1.0% 13.5%

Cannock Chase

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
16–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 38% 32% 5% 21% 3% – 1% 6%
22–27 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 27% 8% 30% 2% – 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,559 33.1% 40.1% 17.0% 3.5% – 4.8% 1.6% 7%

Carlisle

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11-16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 30% 41% 5% 18% 3% 3% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,200 39.3% 37.3% 15.6% 2.3% 1.5% 4.1% 2.0%

Carshalton and Wallington

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 23% 43% 17% 3% 1% 20%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,918 8.7% 36.8% 48.3% 2.9% 0.8% 2.4% 11.5%

Castle Point

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 41% 2% 36% 3% 5% 5%
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 16% 37% 3% 36% 2% 6% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,026 14.7% 44.0% 9.4% – - 31.9% 17.0%

Cheadle

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–22 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 19% 30% 34% 13% 2% 3% 4%
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 21% 29% 32% 15% 2% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,512 9.4% 40.8% 47.1% 2.7% – – 6.3%

Cheltenham

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 34% 42% 11% 5% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,768 5.1% 41.2% 50.5% 2.3% – 0.9 9.3%

Chippenham

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-20 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 14% 24% 16% 6% 1% 15%
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 12% 26% 19% 7% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,385 41.0% 6.9% 45.8% 3.4% 0.9% 2% 4.8%

City of Chester

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 34% 7% 10% 3% 1% 11%
13–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 36% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,853 35.1% 40.6% 19.1% 2.6% 1.1% 1.5% 5.5%

Clacton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,207 36.7% 14.4% 44.4% 1.8% 1.9% - 7.8%
9 Oct 2014 Clacton by-election Result 35,365 24.6% 11.2% 59.7% 1.4% 2.7% 1.2% 35.1%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 27% 19% 48% 3% 3% <0.5% 21%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,001 24% 16% 56% 2% 1% 1% 32%
28–29 Aug 2014 Survation (By-election polling) 700 20% 13% 64% 2% 1% <0.5% 44%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,123 53.0% 25.0% – 12.9% 1.2% 7.8% 28.0%

Cleethorpes

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-11 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 36% 6% 15% 3% 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,966 42.1% 32.6% 18.2% 7.1% - 3.9% 9.5%

Colchester

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
4–14 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 17% 22% 36% 18% 6% 1% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,139 12.3% 32.9% 48.0% 2.9% 1.5% 2.4% 15.1%

Colne Valley

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
16–22 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 37% 8% 11% 6% 2% 2%
2–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 33% 9% 13% 9% 1% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,296 26.4% 37.0% 28.2% 2.1% 1.6% 4.7% 8.7%

Corby

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
10–17 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 30% 5% 21% 2% 2% 10%
15 Nov 2012 Corby by-election Result 35,665 48.4% 26.6% 5.0% 14.3% 1.1% 4.6% 21.8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 54,180 38.6% 42.2% 14.5% – – 4.7% 3.6%

Crewe and Nantwich

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
2–9 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 41% 13% 4% 1% 3%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 500 33% 46% 11% 6% 5% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,084 45.8% 34.0% 2.8% 15.0% 2.3% 11.8%

Croydon Central

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
26-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,003 44% 40% 10% 2% 3% 0% 4%
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 41% 13% 3% 5% 1% 4%
14–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 39% 19% 4% 4% 1% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,757 39.5% 33.5% 2.0% 13.2% 1.2% 10.6% 6.0%

Derby North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
28 May-4 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 23% 44% 17% 12% 2% 2% 21%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,080 31.7% 33% 28% 1.8% – 5.4% 1.3%

Dewsbury

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15-23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 40% 4% 18% 6% 3% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 54,008 35% 32.2% 16.9% - 1.6% 14.3% 2.8%

Doncaster North

Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
18–23 Nov 2014 Ashcroft, Corrected 1,000 13% 54% 4% 25% 2% 1% 2% 29%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,483 21.0% 47.3% 14.9% 4.3% – 6.8% 5.6% 26.3%

Dover

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-9 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 32% 40% 3% 20% 4% - 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,385 33.5% 44% 15.8% 3.5% - 3.2% 10.5%

Dudley North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP LD Others Lead
20–27 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 37% 24% 34% 3% 3% 3%
28 Apr–4 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 24% 27% 4% 5% 13%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation 526 45% 25% 23% 2% 5% 20%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,602 38.7% 37.0% 8.5% 10.5% 5.3% 1.7%

Dudley South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
7-10 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 39% 3% 18% 4% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,165 33% 43.1% 15.7% 8.2% - 10.1%

Ealing Central and Acton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 40% 11% 6% 7% 2% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,200 38.0% 30.1% 27.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 7.9%

Eastbourne

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 25% 46% 18% 2% 2% 21%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,142 4.8% 40.7% 47.3% 2.5% - 4.6% 6.6%

Eastleigh

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size LD Con UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
20–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 538 40% 25% 21% 12% 2% 1% 15%
29 May–6 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 523 39% 27% 22% 10% 2% 0% 12%
14–17 Apr 2014 Survation/Alan Bown 369 27.1% 28.2% 31.6% 11.5% 1.0% 0.6% 3.4%
28 Feb 2013 Eastleigh by-election Result 42,649 32.1% 25.4% 27.8% 9.8% – 4.9% 4.3%
22–24 Feb 2013 Ashcroft (By-election polling)[a] 416 33% 28% 23% 12% – 4% 5%
19–22 Feb 2013 Populus/Times (By-election polling)[a] 408 33% 28% 25% 11% – 4% 5%
18–22 Feb 2013 Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling) 402 29% 33% 21% 13% – 4% 4%
6–8 Feb 2013 Survation/Mail on Sunday[b] 321 36% 33% 16% 13% 0.3% 0.1% 3%
4–5 Feb 2013 Ashcroft (By-election polling)[c] 314 31% 34% 15% 19% 1% 1% 3%
2–5 Aug 2010 Ashcroft 513 31% 43% – 20% – 6% 12%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,650 46.5% 39.3% 3.6% 9.6% – 1.0% 7.2%

Elmet and Rothwell

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 35% 6% 16% 3% 1% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,789 42.6% 34.5% 16.3% 2.9% – 3.6% 8.1%

Enfield North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17–25 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 44% 3% 12% 3% 3% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,453 42.3% 38.5% 12.2% 2.1% 1.1% 3.9% 3.8%

Erewash

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
3-14 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 30% 38% 5% 22% 3% 2% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,642 39.5% 34.2% 17.5% 1.8% 1.1% 2.9% 5.3%

Finchley and Golders Green

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
7-11 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 43% 41% 6% 6% 4% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,157 33.7% 46% 17% 1.7% 1.6% 12.3%

Folkestone and Hythe

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
3–4 Apr 2014 Survation/Mail on Sunday 529 36.4% 9.6% 32.9% 17.8% 1.9% 1.5% 3.5%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 548 35% 10% 28% 21% 4% 2% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,800 49.4% 30.3% 4.6% 10.8% 1.2% 3.6% 19.1%

Gloucester

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 36% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4%
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 33% 12% 18% 3% 0% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,764 39.9% 35.2% 19.2% 3.6% 1% 1.1% 4.8%

Great Grimsby

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP LD Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1000 42% 24% 25% 5% 4% 17%
20–27 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 35% 20% 34% 8% 4% 1%
5–11 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 21% 26% 10% 5% 12%
18–22 Oct 2013 Survation 506 40% 21% 23% 11% 5% 17%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 32,954 32.7% 30.5% 6.2% 22.4% 8.1% 2.2%

Great Yarmouth

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 34% 24% 2% 4% 1% 2%
11–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 28% 32% 3% 3% 1% 1%
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 31% 29% 5% 2% 1% 1%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 507 27% 37% 30% 3% 2% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,057 43.1% 33.2% 4.8% 14.4% 1.0% 3.5% 9.9%

Halesowen and Rowley Regis

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 4% 15% 3% 2% 2%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 35% 2% 24% 4% 1% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,979 41.2% 36.6% 14.8% 6.4% – 1.0% 4.6%

Halifax

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 43% 26% 8% 18% 2% 3% 17%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,555 37.4% 34% 19.1% 1.5% - 8% 3.4%

Hampstead and Kilburn

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 47% 2% 13% 6% 1% 17%
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 30% 41% 3% 19% 6% 0% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Result 52,822 32.7% 32.8% 0.8% 31.2% 1.4% 1% 0.1%

Harlow

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-10 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 44% 3% 16% 2% 1% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,878 33.7% 44.9% 13.7% 3.6% - 4.2% 11.2%

Harrogate and Knaresborough

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5-12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 41% 24% 16% 8% 0% 17%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,134 6.4% 45.7% 43.8% 2% - 2.1% 1.9%

Harrow East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 44% 4% 8% 3% 1% 4%
1–7 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 37% 6% 13% 3% 0% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,006 44.7% 37.6% 14.3% 1.9% 1.7% – 7.1%

Hastings and Rye

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-25 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 31% 5% 19% 3% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,814 37.1% 41.1% 15.7% 2.8% - 3.3% 4%

Hazel Grove

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
4–15 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 15% 29% 35% 17% 4% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,981 12.5% 33.6% 48.8% 5.1% – 15.2%

Hendon

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–29 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 49% 4% 9% 1% 1% 15%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 44% 7% 11% 2% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,374 42.3% 42.1% 12.4% 2.1% 1.1% – 0.2%

Heywood and Middleton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
9 Oct 2014 Heywood and Middleton by-election Result 28,472 40.9% 12.3% 5.1% 38.7% 3.1% – 2.2%
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,000 47% 16% 5% 28% 4% – 19%
30 Sep 2014 Survation/The Sun (By-election polling) 551 50% 13% 4% 31% 3% – 19%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,125 40.1% 27.2% 22.7% 2.6% - 7.4% 12.9%

High Peak

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 40% 7% 10% 5% 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,337 31.6% 40.9% 21.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 9.3%

Hornsey and Wood Green

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
3 Mar 2015 Liberal Democrats
(fieldwork by Survation)		 325 15% 37% 36% 4% 7% 1% 1%
3–13 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 43% 30% 3% 8% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,042 16.7% 34.0% 46.5% – 2.3% 0.6% 12.5%

Hove

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,214 39.9% 42.3% 3.6% 6.3% 6.8% 1.1% 2.4%
1–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 37% 43% 5% 5% 9% 1% 6%
17–27 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 37% 6% 11% 12% - 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,819 36.7% 33.0% 22.6% 2.4% 5.2% 0.2% 3.7%

Ipswich

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 31% 6% 19% 5% 1% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,291 34.7% 39.1% 18.2% 2.9% 1.7% 3.3% 4.4%

Keighley

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
20-26 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 31% 5% 23% 3% 1% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,692 35.8% 41.9% 14.8% 3.1% - 4.4% 6.1%

Kingston and Surbiton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 16% 38% 10% 6% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,111 36.5% 9.3% 49.8% 2.5% 1% 0.8% 13.3%

Kingswood

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 42% 33% 5% 15% 4% 1% 9%
3-14 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 32% 6% 23% 4% 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,906 40.4% 35.3% 16.8% 3.2% 0.8% 3.4% 5.1%

Lancaster and Fleetwood

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 27% 41% 4% 18% 10% 1% 14%
8-13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 29% 43% 6% 12% 9% 1% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,701 36.1% 35.2% 19.1% 4.4% – 2.7% 0.8%

Lewes

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 50,540 38.0% 9.9% 35.9% 10.7% 5.5% - 2.1%
11-20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 9% 37% 15% 7% 2% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,088 36.7% 5% 52% 3.4% 1.5% 1.4% 15.3%

Lincoln

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-21 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 35% 6% 17% 3% 1% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,721 35.2% 37.5% 20.2% 2.2% - 4.8% 2.3%

Loughborough

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 36% 3% 12% 3% 1% 9%
22-25 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 37% 5% 12% 3% 3% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,838 41.6% 34.5% 18.3% 1.8% - 3.9% 7.1%

Manchester Withington

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 56% 7% 22% 4% 10% 1% 34%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,075 40.5% 11.1% 44.6% 1.5% 1.8% 0.4% 4.1%

Mid Dorset and North Poole

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 8% 32% 19% 3% 1% 6%
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 8% 32% 17% 3% 1% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,788 44.5% 5.9% 45.1% 4.5% - - 0.6%

Milton Keynes South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7-10 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 8% 10% 4% 2% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,333 41.6% 32.2% 17.7% 3.7% 1.4% 3.3% 9.4%

Morecambe and Lunesdale

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1-4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 42% 5% 12% 5% 1% 6%
7-11 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 37% 6% 18% 4% 2% 3%
14-20 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 5% 12% 3% 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,436 41.5% 39.5% 13.3% 4.2% 1.4% - 2%

Morley and Outwood

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5–11 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 41% 24% 5% 20% 2% 8% 17%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,856 37.6% 35.3% 16.8% 3.1% - 7.2% 2.3%

Newark

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Others Lead
5 Jun 2014 Newark by-election Result 38,707 45.0% 17.7% 3% 25.9% 8% 19%
2–3 Jun 2014 Survation 678 42% 22% 4% 27% 5% 15%
27 May–1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,000 42% 20% 6% 27% 5% 15%
27–28 May 2014 Survation/The Sun 606 36% 27% 5% 28% 5% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,228 53.9% 22.3% 20.0% 3.8% – 31.5%

Newton Abbot

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5-12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 13% 39% 20% 20% 7% 1% 19%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,283 7% 43% 41.9% 6.4% 1.5% 1.1% 1.1%

North Cornwall

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-29 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 36% 5% 38% 14% 5% 3% 2%
12-20 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,004 36% 6% 38% 13% 6% 1% 2%
15-20 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 10% 33% 20% 3% 1% Tied
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 31% 8% 31% 24% 5% 2% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,844 41.7% 4.2% 48.1% 4.9% - 1.1% 6.4%

North Devon

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-26 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 8% 31% 16% 6% 2% 7%
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 9% 29% 23% 7% 2% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,321 36% 7.2% 47.4% 7.2% 1.4% 2.8% 11.4%

North East Cambridgeshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 17% 46% 7% 25% 4% 1% 21%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,064 17.8% 51.6% 20% 5.4% - 5.2% 31.6%

North East Somerset

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7-11 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 28% 44% 9% 10% 8% 1% 16%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,203 31.7% 41.3% 22.3% 3.4% 1.3% - 9.6%

North Warwickshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–28 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 41% 30% 2% 22% 2% 2% 11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 43% 35% 3% 15% 3% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,265 40.1% 40.2% 11.6% 2.8% – 0.9% 0.1%

Norwich North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 36% 6% 12% 8% 1% 2%
4–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 34% 5% 18% 10% 0% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,573 31.4% 40.6% 18.3% 4.4% 2.9% 2.4% 9.2%

Norwich South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 18% 12% 15% 20% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,551 28.7% 22.9% 29.4% 2.4% 14.9% 1.7% 0.7%

Nuneaton

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 34% 4% 14% 8% – 1% 5%
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 36% 3% 19% 2% – 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,646 36.9% 41.5% 15.3% – – 6.3% - 4.6%

Oxford West and Abingdon

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
21–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 18% 38% 30% 9% 4% <0.5% 8%
30 May–5 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 18% 36% 25% 11% 8% 1% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 56,480 10.6% 42.3% 42.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.3%

Pendle

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 41% 37% 8% 10% 4% 1% 4%
8–14 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 33% 11% 17% 2% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,045 38.9% 30.9% 20.2% 3.3% – 6.7% 8.0%

Plymouth Moor View

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 506 35% 26% 5% 30% 2% 1% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,526 37.2% 33.3% 16.9% 7.7% 1.0% 4.0% 3.8%

Plymouth Sutton & Devonport

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 506 39% 26% 6% 21% 8% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,894 31.7% 34.3% 24.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.7% 2.6%

Portsmouth South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 20% 30% 25% 17% 6% 1% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,264 13.7% 33.3% 45.9% 2.1% 1.7% 3.4% 12.6%

Redcar

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 44% 12% 18% 23% 2% 1% 21%
17–19 Apr 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 47% 15% 15% 19% 2% 2% 28%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,963 32.7% 13.8% 45.2% 4.5% – 3.8% 12.5%

Rochester and Strood

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–22 April 2015 Ashcroft 1000 36% 24% 3% 33% 4% 1% 3%
20 Nov 2014 Rochester and Strood by-election Result 40,065 34.8% 16.8% 0.9% 42.1% 4.2% 2.2% 7.3%
7–10 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 543 36% 21% 2% 35% 5% 1% 1%
7–10 Nov 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 543 32% 17% 2% 44% 4%[d] 1% 12%
27–28 Oct 2014 Survation 1,012 33% 16% 1% 48% 1.7% 2% 15%
17–21 Oct 2014 ComRes[permanent dead link‍][e] 949 30% 21% 3% 43% 2% 1% 13%
4 Oct 2014 Survation/Mail on Sunday 677 31% 25% 2% 40% 1% 0.4% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,971 49.2% 28.5% 16.3% – 1.5% 4.5% 20.7%

Rother Valley

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green BNP Others Lead
24–29 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 480 18% 40% 34% 4% 3% <0.5% 2% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,768 28.4% 40.9% 5.6% 17.3% – 7.7% – 12.5%

Sheffield Hallam

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
4 May 2015 ICM/Guardian1 501 35% 12% 42% 7% 3% 2% 7%
22–28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 15% 36% 7% 4% 1% 1%
22–28 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 36% 16% 34% 7% 6% 1% 2%
22–29 Jan 2015 Survation/Unite 1,011 33% 22% 23% 9% 12% <0.5% 10%
20–22 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 962 30% 19% 27%[f] 13% 10% 1% 3%
29 Apr–4 May 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 33% 24% 23% 10% 8% 1% 9%
1–4 Oct 2010 Populus/Ashcroft 1,000 31% 28% 33% N/A N/A 8% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Result 51,135 16.1% 23.5% 53.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 29.9%

1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[4]

Solihull

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 37% 28% 16% 6% 1% 9%
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 37% 28% 16% 6% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,129 8.9% 42.6% 42.9% 2.2% – 3.5% 0.3%

Southampton Itchen

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 30% 7% 20% 8% – 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,412 36.8% 36.3% 20.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4%

South Basildon and East Thurrock

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 3% 29% 3% 1% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,735 31.0% 43.9% 13.4% 5.9% - 5.9% 12.9%

South Swindon

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
22–28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 36% 6% 16% 4% - 1%
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 35% 5% 19% 4% 2% 1%
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 508 34% 34% 7% 20% 4% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,119 41.8% 34.3% 17.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.7% 7.5%

South Thanet

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
22-28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 26% 32% 3% 5% 2%
22 April 2015 Survation/Alan Bown [g] 1,057 30% 26% 39% 2% 3% 9%
13-18 March 2015 ComRes/Chartwell Political Archived 12 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,003 31% 29% 30% 5% 5% 1%
18–20 Feb 2015 Survation/Alan Bown [g] 1,011 27% 28% 38% 2% 5% 10%
23–24 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 33% 27% 32% 4% 4% 1%
11–16 July 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 29% 33% 4% 5% 4%
21–27 April 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 31% 27% 7% 3% 1%
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation 515 28% 35% 30% 5% 2% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,933 48.0% 31.4% 5.5% 15.1% – 16.6%

South West Surrey

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
4–5 Dec 2014 Survation/Unite 587 57% 8% 15% 11% 7% 1% 42%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,259 58.7% 30.2% 2.6% 6.0% 1.2% 1.4% 28.5%

St Austell and Newquay

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1002 32% 10% 26% 20% 6% 4% 6%
6–16 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 493 27% 13% 26% 25% 6% 3% 1%
19–25 May 2014 Ashcroft[h] 473 32% 10% 24% 25% 4% 5% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,238 40.0% 7.2% 42.7% 3.7% – 6.4% 2.8%

Stevenage

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 497 38% 33% 7% 18% 3% 0% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,651 33.4% 41.4% 16.6% 4.5% – 4.1% 8.0%

Stockton South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1000 39% 44% 3% 9% 1% 3% 5%
6–12 Nov 2014 Survation/Unite 571 39.1% 36.5% 2.8% 18.2% 3.1% 0.2% 2.6%
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 521 35% 38% 4% 19% 2% 2% 3%
7–13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 512 36% 43% 5% 12% 0% 3% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,284 38.9% 38.3% 15.1% 2.9% – 4.8% 0.6%

Stroud

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 561 30% 41% 6% 11% 11% <0.5% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,973 40.8% 38.6% 15.4% 2.2% 2.7% 0.2% 2.2%

Sutton and Cheam

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
6-16 August 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 27% 45% 14% 3% 0% 18%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,508 7.0% 42.4% 45.7% 2.0% 0.5% 2.5% 3.3%

Thurrock

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 49,964 33.7% 32.6% 31.7% 1.3% 0.7% 1.1%
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 31% 35% 1% 3% 4%
18–26 June 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 28% 30% 36% 2% 4% 6%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 394 27% 37% 29% 4% 3% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,822 36.8% 36.6% 7.4% 10.7% 8.5% 0.2%

Torbay

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 48,079 8.7% 40.7% 33.8% 13.6% 3.2% 0.0% 6.9%
12-21 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 33% 34% 17% 3% 1% 1%
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 15% 30% 30% 21% 3% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,210 6.6% 38.7% 47.0% 5.3% 1.0% 1.4% 8.3%

Twickenham

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green BNP Others Lead
11-16 Apr 2014 ICM/Oakeshott 501 34% 23% 5% 32% 4% 1% 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 59,721 34.1% 7.7% 1.5% 54.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 20.3%

Warwick & Leamington

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 534 38% 34% 7% 14% 7% <0.5% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,032 42.6% 35.4% 18.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 7.2%

Watford

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 56,149 43.5% 26.0% 18.1% 9.8% 2.4% 0.3% 17.4%
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 525 30% 24% 28% 14% 3% 0% 2%
20–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 525 27% 29% 25% 14% 4% 1% 2%
19 May–6 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 524 29% 25% 24% 16% 6% 0% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,208 34.9% 26.7% 32.4% 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6%

Weaver Vale

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-22 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 41% 6% 18% 2% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,990 38.5% 36.3% 18.6% 2.3% 0.8% 3.4% 2.2%

Wirral West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 43% 46% 3% 5% 2% 0% 3%
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 42% 5% 10% 5% 1% 5%
22–26 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 39% 6% 12% 4% 1% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,372 42.5% 36.3% 16.8% 2.3% – 2.1% 6.2%

Witney

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
2–4 Dec 2014 Survation/Unite 531 53% 4% 19% 16% 7% 1% 34%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,769 58.8% 19.4% 3.5% 13.0% 4.1% 1.2% 39.4%

Worcester

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 38% 33% 4% 15% 7% – 2% 5%
13–19 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 34% 36% 5% 17% 7% – 1% 2%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,974 39.5% 33.4% 19.4% 2.8% 1.5% 2.5% 0.7% 6.1%

Wyre Forest

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP ICHC Others Lead
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 518 32% 16% 7% 27% 5% <1% - 13% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,899 36.9% 14.3% 11.9% 2.9% – 2.2% 31.7% – 5.2%

Wythenshawe and Sale East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab UKIP Con LD Others Lead
13 Feb 2014 Wythenshawe by-election Result 23,961 55.3% 18.0% 14.5% 4.9% 7.3% 37.3%
3–5 Feb 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,009 61% 15% 14% 5% 4% 46%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,751 44.1% 3.4% 25.6% 22.3% 4.6% 18.6%

Northern Ireland

Belfast East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP APNI UUP PUP TUV SF UKIP Green SDLP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 39,682 49.3% 42.8% – – – 2.1% – – 0.3% 2.8% 6.5%
12–28 Jan 2015 LucidTalk[permanent dead link‍] 820 34.4% 28.7% 14.6% 6.5% 2.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.8% 7.5% 5.7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 34,488 32.8% 37.2% 21.2% – 5.4% 2.4% – – 1.1% – 4.4%

Scotland

Airdrie and Shotts

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,286 7.7% 34.1% 1.5% 2.5% - 53.9% 0.3% 19.8%
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 39% 1% 5% 1% 47% 0% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 35,849 8.7% 58.2% 8.1% – – 23.5% 1.5% 34.6%

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,209 19.8% 27.3% 1.6% 2.5% - 48.8% - 21.6%
10–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 21% 31% 2% 3% 0% 42% 1% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,893 25.5% 47.1% 9.3% – – 18.0% – 21.6%

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 55,038 36.0% 4.9% 18.7% 2.4% 1.1% 36.6% 0.2% 0.6%
13-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 30% 9% 28% 3% 1% 29% 0% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,014 33.8% 10.2% 45.4% 1.2% – 9.2% 0.3% 11.6%

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 50,698 6.3% 33.9% 1.1% 2.1% - 56.6% - 22.7%
7–17 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 6% 43% 1% 3% 1% 46% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,635 8.1% 66.6% 8.5% – – 16.8% – 49.8%

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 49,382 7.9% 30.0% 2.2% - - 59.9% - 29.9%
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 34% 2% 3% 3% 52% 1% 18%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,150 8.3% 57.2% 9.5% – – 23.8% 1.2% 33.3%

Dumfries and Galloway

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 55,432 29.9% 24.7% 1.7% 2.3% – 41.4% – 11.5%
19–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 30% 28% 2% 4% 2% 34% 0% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,173 31.6% 45.9% 8.8% 1.3% – 12.3% – 14.3%

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,134 39.8% 14.8% 2.7% 2.8% 1.6% 38.3% - 1.5%
24-29 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 31% 17% 5% 4% 2% 42% - 11%
9-15 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 20% 4% 2% 2% 36% 1% 2%
10–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 18% 7% 4% 2% 34% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,892 38.0% 28.9% 19.8% 1.4% 1.1% 10.8% – 9.1%

Dundee West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,714 8.6% 23.7% 2.4% - 2.7% 61.9% 0.7% 38.2%
23–30 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 25% 3% 2% 5% 59% 0% 34%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 37,126 9.3% 48.5% 11.4% – – 28.9% 1.9% 19.6%

East Dunbartonshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 54,871 8.6% 12.3% 36.3% 1.0% 1.5% 40.3% - 4.0%
10-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 16% 29% 1% 1% 40% 0% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,948 15.5% 34.1% 38.7% 1.1% – 10.5% - 4.6%

East Renfrewshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 56,825 21.9% 34.0% 1.8% 1.6% – 40.6% 6.5%
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 20% 36% 3% 1% 1% 39% 3%
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 25% 31% 3% 1% 1% 40% 9%
16–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 26% 34% 2% 1% 3% 33% 1%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,181 30.4% 50.8% 9.2% 0.7% – 8.9% 20.4%

Edinburgh North and Leith

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14 - 17 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 29% 6% 1% 6% 43% 0% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,356 14.9% 37.5% 33.8% – 2.2% 9.6% 1.6% 3.5%

Edinburgh South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
13 - 17 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 16% 34% 8% 1% 4% 37% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,801 21.6% 34.7% 34.0% – 2.0% 7.7% - 0.7%

Edinburgh South West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 19% 27% 4% 2% 7% 40% 0% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,462 24.3% 42.8% 18.0% – 1.9% 12.2% 0.8% 18.6%

Glasgow Central

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–10 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 5% 35% 3% 3% 7% 45% 2% 10%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 30,572 7.1% 52.0% 16.4% 0.8% 2.6% 17.5% 3.6% 34.5%

Glasgow East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–8 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 4% 37% 1% 4% 2% 51% 2% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 32,164 4.5% 61.6% 5.0% 0.6% – 24.7% 3.5% 36.8%

Glasgow North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–10 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 5% 33% 4% 1% 11% 45% 1% 12%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 29,613 7.1% 44.5% 31.3% – 3.2% 11.9% 2.0% 13.2%

Glasgow North East

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–8 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 4% 46% 1% 5% 4% 39% 1% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 29,409 5.3% 68.3% 7.7% – – 14.1% 4.4% 54.2%

Glasgow North West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7–17 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 38% 3% 2% 5% 44% 1% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 35,582 9.9% 54.1% 15.8% – 2.5% 15.3% 2.5% 38.3%

Glasgow South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7–16 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 9% 33% 2% 3% 3% 48% 1% 15%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,094 11.5% 51.7% 11.8% – 2.4% 20.1% 2.5% 31.6%

Glasgow South West

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,003 6% 34% 2% 3% 1% 55% 1% 21%
7–15 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 4% 42% 2% 5% 2% 45% 1% 3%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 31,781 6.6% 62.5% 9.0% – – 16.3% 5.5% 46.2%

Gordon

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
22–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 11% 14% 26% 4% 1% 43% 1% 17%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,775 18.7% 20.1% 36.0% – 1.5% 22.2% 1.4% 13.8%

Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
20–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 10% 13% 21% 4% 1% 50% 1% 29%
23–26 May 2014 ICM/Oakeshott 500 12% 25% 16% 7% 4% 32% 3% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,086 13.3% 22.1% 40.7% 1.2% 1.7% 18.7% 2.5% 18.6%

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
19–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 39% 3% 3% 3% 45% 0% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,802 9.3% 64.5% 9.3% 1.7% – 14.3% 0.9% 50.2%

Motherwell and Wishaw

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 5% 39% 1% 3% 1% 50% 1% 11%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,123 9.4% 61.1% 9.8% – – 18.2% 1.6% 42.9%

North East Fife

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
10-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 16% 9% 30% 4% 1% 43% 1% 13%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,064 21.8% 17.1% 44.3% 2.6% - 14.2% - 22.6%

Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 46,226 7.6% 38.6% 2.2% – – 50.9% 0.6% 12.3%
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,005 6% 39% 1% 2% 1% 50% 1% 11%
22–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 40% 2% 1% 2% 48% 1% 8%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,998 9.9% 59.6% 9.5% – – 18.1% 2.9% 41.5%

Ross, Skye and Lochaber

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
9-15 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 6% 33% 2% 3% 48% 1% 15%
16–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 8% 9% 35% 2% 5% 40% 1% 5%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 34,838 12.2% 15.1% 52.6% 1.9% 2.2% 15.1% 0.8% 37.5%

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 25% 10% 20% 3% 2% 39% 0% 14%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,195 30.3% 13.6% 38.4% 0.9% – 15.7% 1.1% 8.1%

West Dunbartonshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 38% 1% 4% 2% 47% 1% 9%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,266 7.7% 61.3% 8.1% 1.6% – 20.1% 1.2% 41.2%

Wales

Brecon and Radnorshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 553 8% 15% 27% 31% 17% 2% 0% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,845 2.5% 10.5% 36.5% 46.2% 2.3% 0.9% 1.1% 9.6%

Cardiff Central

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
19–22 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 542 9% 36% 17% 24% 9% 5% <0.5% 12%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 36,151 3.4% 28.8% 21.6% 41.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 12.6%

Cardiff North

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–27 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 41% 30% 6% 12% 3% 1% 11%
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 461 7% 41% 34% 8% 8% 1% <0.5% 7%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,630 3.3% 37.1% 37.5% 18.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 515 16% 29% 33% 4% 14% 3% 1% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,507 10.4% 32.7% 41.1% 12.1% 2.8% – 0.9% 8.5%

Vale of Glamorgan

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 532 12% 32% 38% 4% 10% 3% 1% 6%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,667 5.5% 32.9% 41.8% 15.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 8.8%

Multiple constituency polling

Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Michael Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organisation/client No of Seats
surveyed		 Incumbents by party Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others
1–14 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 8 8 Con 8,000 36% 35% 14% 6% 5%[i] 2%
20–29 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 Lab 4,002 22% 37% 33% 5% 2%[j] 1%
15–24 Nov 2014 ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link‍] 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 743 31% 39% 18% 7% 4% <0.5%
2–27 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 12 12 Con 12,008 32% 35% 23% 5% 4% 1%
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 11 11 Con 11,002 32% 38% 18% 5% 5% 1%
18–26 Sep 2014 ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link‍] 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 766 30% 41% 17% 6% 5% 2%
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 5 5 LibDem 5,000 15% 38% 10% 28% 6% 3%
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 17 2 Con, 15 LibDem 8,909 32% 13% 17% 32% 4% 1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 8 8 Con 8,005 30% 40% 8% 17% 5% 1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 Lab 4,001 30% 43% 9% 13% 4% 1%
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 14 14 Con 14,004 31% 38% 4% 21% 4% 2%
18–25 Jun 2014 ComRes/ITV News[permanent dead link‍] 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 795 31% 36% 17% 7% 6% 3%
11–22 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 LD 1,963 12% 47% 10% 19% 9% 2%
11 May–14 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 17 6 Con, 11 LibDem 8,728 33% 14% 18% 28% 6%[d] 1%
15–20 May 2014 ComRes/Independent[permanent dead link‍] 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 1,030 33% (−4) 35% (−2) 17% (+14) 8% (−10) 4% 2%
31 Mar–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 26 14 Con, 12 Lab 26,025 29% 41% 18% 8% 4%
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013 Ashcroft 40 40 Con 12,809 30% 35% 12% 13% 10%

Explanatory notes

The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.

Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.[5]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  2. ^ Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  3. ^ Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  4. ^ a b Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  5. ^ By-election polling
  6. ^ This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
  7. ^ a b Candidates named in the poll.
  8. ^ Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
  9. ^ Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
  10. ^ Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies

References

  1. ^ Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". The Guardian.
  2. ^ a b "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". New Statesman. 8 June 2021.
  3. ^ "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com. Archived from the original on 2 December 2014. Retrieved 2 December 2014.
  4. ^ Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
  5. ^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.

P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.